Blackpool are tipped to win, with a 52% chance of triumph, 26% for a draw and 22% for Peterboro. The model expects a total of 2.8 goals, most likely a 2-goal game, and the single most probable scoreline is 1-1 at 12.3%. Blackpool’s home form shows they average 1.53 goals scored and concede 1.0 against teams of similar strength, while Peterboro on the road averages 1.07 scored and 1.57 conceded to similar opponents. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 at 99.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.6% with a 4% edge, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 97.5% with a 4% edge, Under 6.5 at 97.5% with a 3% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.2% with a 7% edge, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 94.3% with a 6% edge, and Under 5.5 at 93.4% with a 4% edge. Blackpool’s unbeaten run of five games, finishing 2-1 over Stockport, and Peterboro’s recent win, 2-1 over Mansfield, set the stage for a tight contest.
Results analysis
Blackpool’s recent victory over Peterboro extended their winning run, and the Pythia model’s prediction of a home win proved accurate. The final score was 4-0, confirming the favoured result. The model had given the home side a 51% chance of triumph, and that call was correct. Every suggested selection also landed: Under 7.5 goals hit with a 99.2% probability, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.5%, Under 6.5 at 97.6%, Away under 3.5 goals at 97.5%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.1%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 96.9%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 95.6%, and Under 5.5 at 93.5%. The model’s predictions were consistently correct, showcasing its reliability in this match.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Blackpool win✓ Hit
50.8%
Avg Implied 52.1% · @ 1.79
Edge
-1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.83
Dafabet
1.82
1xBet
1.81
10Bet
1.81
BetVictor
1.80
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 24.4% · @ 3.82
Edge
+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
4.03
Betfair
4.00
Unibet
3.95
BetVictor
3.90
Dafabet
3.90
Peterboro win✗ Miss
23.0%
Avg Implied 23.5% · @ 3.97
Edge
-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Unibet
4.20
Bet365
4.10
Betfair
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Betano
4.10
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Blackpool
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.27
1.47
1.47
1.13
1.07
1.80
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
-
-
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (28)
1.29
1.36
1.47
1.13
1.08
1.62
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
4.00
-
-
1.00
4.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.50
1.93
1.36
1.31
1.62
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.33
0.00
1.00
3.00
1.50
vs Similar (27)
1.56
1.52
2.08
1.38
1.07
1.64
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.0%
@ 1.18-1.0%
Under 1.5
22.0%
@ 4.43+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Under
Unibet
4.90
Pinnacle
4.66
Superbet
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Betfair
4.50
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
53.0%
@ 1.61-5.4%
Under 2.5
47.0%
@ 2.26+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.65
Bet365
1.62
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
1xBet
1.62
Under
Unibet
2.35
Pinnacle
2.31
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.26
Marathonbet
2.26
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
30.8%
@ 2.48-6.7%
Under 3.5
69.2%
@ 1.49+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
10Bet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.50
Under
Unibet
1.53
Betano
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
55.5%
@ 1.57-3.5%
No
44.5%
@ 2.25+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
William Hil
1.60
Betfair
1.60
Betano
1.57
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
No
Betfair
2.30
1xBet
2.28
Unibet
2.28
Betano
2.25
Bet365
2.25
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 7.11+6.1%
2-1
9.7%@ 7.64+3.8%
1-0
9.3%@ 8.45+4.0%
2-0
8.9%@ 9.28+4.1%
0-0
7.2%@ 13.25+3.8%
1-2
6.2%@ 12.15+2.5%
3-1
5.5%@ 11.80+1.7%
0-1
5.5%@ 13.05+2.0%
Blackpool goals ↓
Peterboro goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
7.2%
5.5%
3.6%
1.3%
0.4%
1
9.3%
12%
6.2%
2.2%
0.6%
2
8.9%
9.7%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
3
5.1%
5.5%
3.0%
1.1%
0.3%
4
2.2%
2.4%
1.3%
0.5%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Blackpool goals (down), columns = Peterboro goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Blackpool is 0.15 points better than Peterboro in terms of average points per game (1.30 vs 1.15).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Blackpool is 0.22 goals worse than Peterboro in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.39).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Blackpool is 0.07 goals better than Peterboro in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.48).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Blackpool is 8.8 percentage points worse than Peterboro in terms of average possession (46% vs 55%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Blackpool
For 5.0 · Against 6.8 · Total 11.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.5 · Total 3.4
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Peterboro
For 5.0 · Against 4.7 · Total 9.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.5 · Against 12.6 · Total 22.1
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Blackpool
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.4
9.5
11.3
3.7
3.5
3.8
23.3
24.0
22.6
vs Stronger (1)
20.0
-
20.0
4.0
-
4.0
21.0
-
21.0
vs Similar (45)
10.2
9.5
10.8
3.8
3.7
4.0
23.4
24.0
22.7
vs Weaker (4)
10.3
8.5
14.0
1.8
2.3
0.0
23.3
23.5
23.0
% over line
59%
54%
64%
52%
44%
60%
67%
71%
64%
% under line
41%
46%
36%
48%
56%
40%
33%
29%
36%
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.1
10.0
10.2
4.1
4.0
4.2
23.4
23.7
23.2
vs Stronger (4)
10.2
18.0
7.7
5.2
10.0
3.7
25.5
34.0
22.7
vs Similar (46)
10.1
9.7
10.5
4.0
3.8
4.3
23.3
23.2
23.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
49%
46%
52%
66%
60%
72%
61%
67%
56%
% under line
51%
54%
48%
34%
40%
28%
39%
33%
44%
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.3
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
10.9
Wigan
10.6
Bromley
10.4
Luton
10.4
Blackpool
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Peterboro
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Stockport
10.0
AFC Wimbledon
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.6
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.0
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.7
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.3
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Leyton Orient
4.0
Doncaster
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.7
Wycombe
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Luton
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Oxford
3.4
Barnsley
3.4
Stockport
3.3
AFC Wimbledon
3.2
Wigan
3.1
Cambridge
3.1
Sheffield Weds
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.7
Bradford
24.6
Stevenage
24.6
Plymouth
24.5
Huddersfield
24.2
Luton
23.8
Peterboro
23.7
Leyton Orient
23.4
Blackpool
23.4
Milton Keynes Dons
23.3
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
22.9
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Doncaster
22.5
Reading
22.4
Leicester
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Burton
22.2
Sheffield Weds
21.9
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.4
Stockport
20.9
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
52.8%
@ 1.50-8.8%
Under 9.5
47.2%
@ 2.39+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.53
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.49
Under
Pinnacle
2.47
Marathonbet
2.41
Betfair
2.40
Betano
2.40
Unibet
2.38
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.9%
Under 3.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
65.3%
Under 21.5
34.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Blackpool or Draw✓ Hit
77.0%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.22
Edge
+0.4%
51%
26%
23%
covers Blackpool + Draw
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Blackpool or Peterboro✓ Hit
73.8%
Avg Implied 76.1% · @ 1.22
Edge
-2.3%
51%
26%
23%
covers Blackpool + Peterboro
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
Draw or Peterboro✗ Miss
49.2%
Avg Implied 47.3% · @ 1.97
Edge
+1.9%
51%
26%
23%
covers Draw + Peterboro
Best 5 market prices
Betano
2.07
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.97
SBO
1.97
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Blackpool over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
81.9%
@ 1.12-0.9%
Under
18.1%
@ 5.41+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Under
Bet365
6.00
Betfair
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.40
BetVictor
5.40
Blackpool over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
51.0%
@ 1.67-4.7%
Under
49.0%
@ 2.11+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.74
Marathonbet
1.71
1xBet
1.70
BetVictor
1.70
10Bet
1.70
Under
Unibet
2.20
Betfair
2.20
Pinnacle
2.14
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Blackpool over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
24.6%
@ 3.10-5.5%
Under
75.4%
@ 1.33+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.34
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.16
Under
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
Blackpool over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
9.5%
@ 6.40-5.1%
Under
90.5%
@ 1.09+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Superbet
6.40
Betano
5.90
1xBet
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Peterboro over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
66.3%
@ 1.35-2.2%
Under
33.7%
@ 2.95+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
1xBet
1.38
Superbet
1.37
Bet365
1.36
Betfair
1.36
Under
Pinnacle
3.16
Bet365
3.00
BetVictor
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.95
Peterboro over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.7%
@ 2.75-4.1%
Under
70.3%
@ 1.40+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.88
Pinnacle
2.85
1xBet
2.75
BetVictor
2.75
Marathonbet
2.75
Under
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
Peterboro over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.7%
@ 6.90-3.8%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.08+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.20
BetVictor
7.00
Superbet
6.60
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Peterboro over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 16.75-3.2%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.01+3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
21.00
Superbet
18.00
Betano
11.25
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Blackpool, so a minus line means Blackpool give that many goals of a start and Peterboro receive them. At -1, Blackpool must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Blackpool win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Blackpool)Actual: Blackpool
Blackpool -2
12.4%
@ 5.71-3.2%
Draw -2
15.9%
@ 5.03-1.9%
Peterboro +2
71.7%
@ 1.34+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
6.00
10Bet
6.00
Superbet
5.55
Betfair
5.50
Draw
Marathonbet
5.45
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
5.00
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Away
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
Handicap -1 (Blackpool)Actual: Blackpool
Blackpool -1
28.3%
@ 2.92-2.4%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.74-1.5%
Peterboro +1
49.2%
@ 1.98+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.98
Superbet
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Superbet
3.75
Betfair
3.75
Marathonbet
3.74
10Bet
3.65
Away
Unibet
2.02
Bet365
2.00
Betfair
2.00
Superbet
1.97
10Bet
1.95
Handicap +1 (Blackpool)Actual: Blackpool
Blackpool +1
77.0%
@ 1.22+3.2%
Draw +1
13.9%
@ 5.82-1.6%
Peterboro -1
9.1%
@ 8.45-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Betfair
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Superbet
5.65
Unibet
5.60
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Marathonbet
8.60
Unibet
8.00
Superbet
7.60
Handicap +2 (Blackpool)Actual: Blackpool
Blackpool +2
90.9%
@ 1.05+3.2%
Draw +2
6.4%
@ 11.67-1.5%
Peterboro -2
2.7%
@ 21.33-1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
12.00
Superbet
10.00
Away
Betfair
23.00
Bet365
23.00
Superbet
18.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Blackpool
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.53
0.67
0.73
0.40
0.33
vs Stronger (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.57
0.50
0.67
0.73
0.46
0.23
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
1.00
-
-
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.53
0.60
0.57
0.50
0.50
0.69
vs Stronger (3)
0.67
0.67
0.00
1.00
1.00
0.50
vs Similar (27)
0.52
0.59
0.62
0.46
0.43
0.71
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
68.1%
@ 1.29-4.4%
Under 0.5
31.9%
@ 3.39+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
William Hil
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Superbet
1.29
10Bet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.60
William Hil
3.50
Bet365
3.50
BetVictor
3.40
Superbet
3.40
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
33.1%
@ 2.33-6.8%
Under 1.5
66.9%
@ 1.55+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.45
Pinnacle
2.45
Bet365
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Marathonbet
2.36
Under
Unibet
1.58
Betfair
1.57
Superbet
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Pinnacle
1.55
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
11.8%
@ 5.49-5.2%
Under 2.5
88.2%
@ 1.12+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Under
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
49.4%
@ 1.65-6.9%
Under
50.6%
@ 2.12+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.69
10Bet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Under
Unibet
2.20
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.13
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
Blackpool over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
15.1%
@ 4.14-7.2%
Under
84.9%
@ 1.19+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.50
Betano
4.20
Superbet
4.00
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Under
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
Blackpool over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 10.50-6.0%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.03+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
12.00
10Bet
10.00
Betano
9.50
Under
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
Peterboro over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
39.2%
@ 2.26-1.9%
Under
60.8%
@ 1.58+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.33
Betano
2.32
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.25
Marathonbet
2.24
Under
Pinnacle
1.60
1xBet
1.59
Unibet
1.58
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Peterboro over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
8.8%
@ 7.62-3.4%
Under
91.2%
@ 1.05+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.60
1xBet
7.50
10Bet
7.50
Superbet
7.40
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
Peterboro over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.5%
@ 27.00-98.5%
Under
98.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
27.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Blackpool
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.80
0.40
0.67
1.47
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
1.00
-
-
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.86
0.80
0.40
0.62
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
3.00
-
-
1.00
3.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Peterboro) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Peterboro
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.90
1.36
0.86
0.81
0.94
vs Stronger (3)
1.33
0.67
0.00
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
0.93
1.46
0.92
0.64
0.93
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Blackpool) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
77.3%
@ 1.16-3.0%
Under 0.5
22.7%
@ 4.72+3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
Under
Bet365
5.00
Marathonbet
4.80
1xBet
4.80
Betano
4.70
Superbet
4.60
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
44.4%
@ 1.81-7.0%
Under 1.5
55.6%
@ 1.92+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.85
Superbet
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.80
Under
Betano
1.98
Unibet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.92
Bet365
1.91
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
18.4%
@ 3.55-7.9%
Under 2.5
81.6%
@ 1.26+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.70
Marathonbet
3.58
1xBet
3.58
Superbet
3.55
Bet365
3.50
Under
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Blackpool over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
55.9%
@ 1.45-8.3%
Under
44.1%
@ 2.59+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.67
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Blackpool over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
20.7%
@ 3.09-9.2%
Under
79.3%
@ 1.32+9.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Superbet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.14
1xBet
3.00
Betano
2.95
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
Blackpool over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
4.4%
@ 7.65-7.7%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
8.00
1xBet
8.00
Superbet
7.80
Betano
6.80
Under
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Peterboro over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
45.5%
@ 1.88-3.8%
Under
54.5%
@ 1.83+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Under
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.82
Superbet
1.82
Marathonbet
1.81
Peterboro over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 5.43-3.6%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.11+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.90
1xBet
5.50
Superbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Betano
5.10
Under
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Peterboro over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 15.33-3.1%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.01+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
18.00
10Bet
17.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.01
Superbet
1.01
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.03
Betano
1.04
10Bet
1.02
Superbet
1.02
-
-
+6.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
96.9%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.6%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.05
Superbet
1.05
1xBet
1.03
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
93.5%
1.04
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.07
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Unibet
1.04
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
91.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
10Bet
1.06
Superbet
1.06
1xBet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
90.9%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
90.5%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
Superbet
1.09
1xBet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Away under 2.5 goals
90.3%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
1xBet
1.07
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
88.2%
1.12
Bet365
1.14
William Hil
1.14
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Superbet
1.12
10Bet
1.12
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
84.9%
1.19
Superbet
1.20
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Marathonbet
1.16
+7.2%
✗ Miss
Under 4.5
84.8%
1.18
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
Unibet
1.19
+5.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
81.9%
1.12
Betano
1.14
10Bet
1.13
Superbet
1.13
Bet365
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
-0.9%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.26
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.28
Superbet
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
79.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 19.5 fouls
79.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
79.3%
1.32
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Superbet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.30
10Bet
1.30
+9.2%
✗ Miss
Over 1.5
78.0%
1.18
BetVictor
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Betano
1.20
Pinnacle
1.20
10Bet
1.20
-1.0%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals
77.3%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.13
-3.0%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
77.0%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Betano
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
+0.4%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
77.0%
1.22
10Bet
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Marathonbet
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.20
+3.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
75.4%
1.33
Unibet
1.37
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Superbet
1.34
Betfair
1.33
+5.5%
✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards
74.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
73.8%
1.22
Bet365
1.25
William Hil
1.25
Betano
1.25
1xBet
1.24
Superbet
1.24
-2.3%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
71.7%
1.34
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Bet365
1.36
10Bet
1.33
Betfair
1.33
+5.1%
✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners
71.0%
1.55
Superbet
1.59
Pinnacle
1.58
Unibet
1.57
Marathonbet
1.53
1xBet
1.53
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
70.3%
1.40
Pinnacle
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.40
+4.1%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Blackpool
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Josh Bowler60%
Dion Charles33%
Kylian Kouassi33%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
J. Williams20%
Leighton Clarkson20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Finley Munroe50%
Hayden Coulson33%
Z. Ashworth33%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton20%
J. Williams20%
G. Honeyman20%
Josh Bowler20%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dion Charles33%
B. Peacock-Farrell20%
G. Honeyman20%
Oliver Casey20%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
Andy Lyons0%
Josh Bowler0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Tom Bloxham0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Karoy Anderson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Josh Bowler40%
Tom Bloxham25%
Karoy Anderson25%
CJ Hamilton0%
Hayden Coulson0%
B. Peacock-Farrell0%
J. Williams0%
A. Morgan0%
G. Honeyman0%
Andy Lyons0%
Dion Charles0%
Leighton Clarkson0%
Oliver Casey0%
Z. Ashworth0%
Finley Munroe0%
Kylian Kouassi0%
Peterboro
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
H. Leonard60%
B. Woods20%
Harrison Jones20%
Bolu Shofowoke20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Carl Johnston25%
Brandon Khela25%
James Dornelly25%
H. Leonard20%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
Ethan Williams0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
B. Woods20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
H. Leonard0%
D. Okagbue0%
Brandon Khela0%
Harrison Jones0%
Ethan Williams0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
H. Leonard40%
Brandon Khela25%
Ethan Williams25%
Harrison Jones20%
L. Kelly0%
Alex Bass0%
Thomas O'Connor0%
Carl Johnston0%
Owura Edwards0%
Chris Conn-Clarke0%
D. Okagbue0%
B. Woods0%
James Dornelly0%
Harley Mills0%
Bolu Shofowoke0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Blackpool's squad is €3m more valuable than Peterboro's (€11m vs €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Blackpool and Peterboro have a similar attack value (both €4m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Blackpool's midfield is €1m more valuable than Peterboro's (€3m vs €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Blackpool's defence is €1m more valuable than Peterboro's (€4m vs €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Bradford
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe