Bnei Sakhnin vs Beitar Jerusalem Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Beitar Jerusalem holding a 45% chance of triumph, a 29% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of a home victory. The expected total of goals sits at 2.5, centring on the most likely 2-goal outcome. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 13.7% probability. Bnei Sakhnin, playing at home against a stronger side, averages a modest 0.25 goals scored and concedes one per match. Beitar Jerusalem, on the road to a weaker opponent, scores 1.8 goals and concedes only 0.6. The model’s selections include Over 2.5 cards at 92.5%, Over 19.5 fouls at 87.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 82.3%, Over 21.5 fouls at 76.6%, Under 3.5 at 75.4% (hit), Under 11.5 corners at 74.4% (hit) and Over 1.5 at 72.9% (hit). The final result was a 2-0 home win.

The pre-match favourite, an away win for Beitar Jerusalem, fell short as Bnei Sakhnin secured a 2-0 victory, a result that surprised the model. The model had given Beitar a 45% chance of triumph, but the home side’s form - coming off a defeat with a last-five record of LDWLL - proved decisive. The final score of 2-0 meant the model’s pick was wrong. The model’s selections all hit: Under 3.5 goals at 75.4% probability, Under 11.5 corners at 74.4%, and Over 1.5 goals at 72.9%. Each probability was expressed as a percentage, and no other side was called favourite.