Bnei Sakhnin’s recent five matches show a struggling side that has lost three of its last five games, including a 1-2 defeat to Maccabi Petah Tikva, and the model reflects that with a 18% chance of a home win. Beitar Jerusalem, on the other hand, has won two of its last five away fixtures and averages two goals scored per match against weaker opposition, giving the model a 58% probability of an away victory. The draw sits at 24%. The model’s favourite result is an away win, and the most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 11.4% probability. The expected total goals is 2.9, with the most probable total being two goals at 24%. Bnei Sakhnin averages 0.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded at home against stronger teams, while Beitar Jerusalem scores 2.0 and concedes 1.33 away against weaker teams. Suggested selections include Under 7.5 goals at 99%, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 98.3%, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 98.2%, Home under 3.5 goals at 98.1%, Under 6.5 at 97.1% with a 3% edge, Over 19.5 fouls at 96.2%, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 94.9% with a 6% edge, and Away under 2.5 2H goals at 93.4% with a 9% edge.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bnei Sakhnin win
18.1%
Avg Implied 13.0% · @ 7.05
Edge
+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
8.10
Bet365
7.50
Betano
7.30
Betfair
7.00
BetVictor
7.00
Draw
24.1%
Avg Implied 20.4% · @ 4.49
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
4.60
Pinnacle
4.59
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Beitar Jerusalem win
57.8%
Avg Implied 66.6% · @ 1.37
Edge
-8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
Betano
1.39
BetVictor
1.36
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bnei Sakhnin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.63
1.43
0.81
1.31
0.43
1.57
vs Stronger (9)
0.33
1.89
0.40
1.60
0.25
2.25
vs Similar (21)
0.76
1.24
1.00
1.18
0.50
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.87
1.40
1.80
1.40
1.93
1.40
vs Stronger (3)
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.86
1.55
1.82
1.64
1.91
1.45
vs Weaker (5)
1.80
1.00
1.50
0.50
2.00
1.33
Clean sheet %
23% (-4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.7%
@ 1.20+2.2%
Under 1.5
20.3%
@ 4.11-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
Under
BetVictor
4.40
Bet365
4.33
Pinnacle
4.17
1xBet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.5%
@ 1.66-1.0%
Under 2.5
44.5%
@ 2.15+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.67
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Marathonbet
1.65
1xBet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.19
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Bet365
2.15
10Bet
2.15
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
33.2%
@ 2.58-2.7%
Under 3.5
66.8%
@ 1.44+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.63
BetVictor
2.63
Bet365
2.62
10Bet
2.62
Betano
2.57
Under
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
BetVictor
1.44
Bet365
1.44
Both teams to score
Yes
54.7%
@ 1.88+5.4%
No
45.3%
@ 1.83-5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
2.00
William Hil
1.91
Betfair
1.91
Betano
1.90
10Bet
1.85
No
William Hil
1.91
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.86
BetVictor
1.85
Betfair
1.80
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.4%@ 8.17+6.1%
0-2
10.0%@ 6.41+3.2%
1-2
9.9%@ 7.62+4.2%
0-1
9.4%@ 6.77+2.9%
0-0
6.5%@ 12.34+3.0%
0-3
6.4%@ 8.68+1.3%
1-3
6.3%@ 10.19+2.0%
2-1
5.2%@ 19.12+2.9%
Bnei Sakhnin goals ↓
Beitar Jerusalem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.5%
9.4%
10%
6.4%
3.1%
1
4.4%
11%
9.9%
6.3%
3.0%
2
2.7%
5.2%
4.9%
3.1%
1.5%
3
0.9%
1.7%
1.6%
1.0%
0.5%
4
0.2%
0.4%
0.4%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Sakhnin goals (down), columns = Beitar Jerusalem goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Bnei Sakhnin is 1.08 points worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 2.11).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Bnei Sakhnin is 1.32 goals worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 2.17).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.37 goals worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.11).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Bnei Sakhnin is 18.6 percentage points worse than Beitar Jerusalem in terms of average possession (39% vs 57%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bnei Sakhnin
For 3.4 · Against 5.4 · Total 8.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.2 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Beitar Jerusalem
For 4.2 · Against 3.3 · Total 7.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.8 · Against 2.9 · Total 6.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 16.3 · Against 17.1 · Total 33.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bnei Sakhnin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.2
9.4
2.1
2.8
1.5
24.9
26.1
23.8
vs Stronger (14)
10.3
8.8
11.8
3.3
4.1
2.2
25.1
27.4
22.8
vs Similar (36)
8.6
9.6
7.7
1.7
2.2
1.3
24.8
25.1
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
38%
33%
42%
34%
44%
24%
62%
67%
58%
% under line
62%
67%
58%
66%
56%
76%
38%
33%
42%
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
8.5
8.9
8.2
3.7
3.2
4.2
30.2
30.0
30.3
vs Stronger (6)
9.0
9.5
8.5
3.0
3.7
2.3
30.5
31.0
30.0
vs Similar (35)
7.9
7.8
8.0
4.2
3.5
4.9
30.6
30.4
30.9
vs Weaker (9)
11.5
14.0
9.0
2.3
1.8
2.8
27.2
27.0
27.5
% over line
37%
40%
33%
52%
48%
56%
90%
87%
93%
% under line
63%
60%
67%
48%
52%
44%
10%
13%
7%
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Hapoel Haifa
8.8
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.6
Maccabi Netanya
8.6
Beitar Jerusalem
8.4
Maccabi Haifa
8.2
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Beitar Jerusalem
5.6
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.4
Hapoel Haifa
5.3
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Bnei Sakhnin
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.5
Beitar Jerusalem
29.1
Hapoel Beer Sheva
28.0
Maccabi Haifa
27.3
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.6
Hapoel Haifa
26.1
Maccabi Netanya
25.4
Maccabi Petah Tikva
24.8
Bnei Sakhnin
24.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
34.7%
Under 9.5
65.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
82.7%
Under 3.5
17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
91.2%
Under 21.5
8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bnei Sakhnin or Draw
42.2%
Avg Implied 32.7% · @ 2.86
Edge
+9.5%
18%
24%
58%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
3.00
Betano
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
BetVictor
2.80
Bnei Sakhnin or Beitar Jerusalem
75.9%
Avg Implied 80.4% · @ 1.16
Edge
-4.5%
18%
24%
58%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Beitar Jerusalem
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Draw or Beitar Jerusalem
81.9%
Avg Implied 86.9% · @ 1.07
Edge
-5.0%
18%
24%
58%
covers Draw + Beitar Jerusalem
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5
Over
63.0%
@ 1.69+8.1%
Under
37.0%
@ 2.06-8.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.73
Betfair
1.67
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
1xBet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.10
Betfair
2.10
Betano
2.02
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5
Over
26.2%
@ 4.44+5.2%
Under
73.8%
@ 1.18-5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Betfair
4.50
Betano
4.35
Marathonbet
4.25
Under
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5
Over
7.9%
@ 13.92+1.1%
Under
92.1%
@ 1.02-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
1xBet
13.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 3.5
Over
1.9%
@ 51.00-98.1%
Under
98.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
51.00
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5
Over
85.2%
@ 1.08-1.6%
Under
14.8%
@ 7.12+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.06
Under
Bet365
8.00
1xBet
7.20
Betfair
7.00
Betano
6.30
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5
Over
57.0%
@ 1.46-6.7%
Under
43.0%
@ 2.56+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Marathonbet
1.49
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.45
Under
Betfair
2.63
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.55
10Bet
2.55
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5
Over
30.0%
@ 2.46-7.8%
Under
70.0%
@ 1.49+7.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.59
Betfair
2.50
Marathonbet
2.50
Betano
2.45
1xBet
2.43
Under
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.49
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 3.5
Over
12.7%
@ 4.69-7.1%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.16+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
5.00
10Bet
4.75
1xBet
4.70
Bet365
4.50
Betano
4.50
Under
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bnei Sakhnin, so a minus line means Bnei Sakhnin give that many goals of a start and Beitar Jerusalem receive them. At -1, Bnei Sakhnin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bnei Sakhnin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bnei Sakhnin)
Bnei Sakhnin -2
1.8%
@ 51.00-0.1%
Draw -2
4.9%
@ 26.00+1.2%
Beitar Jerusalem +2
93.3%
@ 1.02-1.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
51.00
Draw
Bet365
26.00
Away
Bet365
1.02
Handicap -1 (Bnei Sakhnin)
Bnei Sakhnin -1
6.7%
@ 21.00+2.2%
Draw -1
11.5%
@ 11.00+2.9%
Beitar Jerusalem +1
81.9%
@ 1.08-5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
21.00
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Away
Bet365
1.08
Handicap +1 (Bnei Sakhnin)
Bnei Sakhnin +1
42.2%
@ 2.88+11.2%
Draw +1
23.1%
@ 3.54-2.1%
Beitar Jerusalem -1
34.8%
@ 2.04-9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
2.95
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.71
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
10Bet
3.45
Away
Marathonbet
2.14
10Bet
2.05
Betfair
2.00
Bet365
1.95
Handicap +2 (Bnei Sakhnin)
Bnei Sakhnin +2
65.2%
@ 1.72+12.6%
Draw +2
18.1%
@ 4.16-3.7%
Beitar Jerusalem -2
16.7%
@ 3.53-8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.80
10Bet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.65
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
3.95
Away
10Bet
3.60
Marathonbet
3.58
Bet365
3.40
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.63
0.31
0.62
0.14
0.64
vs Stronger (9)
0.11
0.78
0.00
0.60
0.25
1.00
vs Similar (21)
0.29
0.57
0.45
0.64
0.10
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.57
0.87
0.53
0.80
0.60
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.55
0.73
0.45
0.73
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
1.20
0.60
1.00
0.50
1.33
0.67
Clean sheet %
57% (+29pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
71.8%
@ 1.31+0.6%
Under 0.5
28.2%
@ 3.23-0.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
Under
Bet365
3.40
BetVictor
3.40
Betfair
3.25
William Hil
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
32.3%
@ 2.41-6.3%
Under 1.5
67.7%
@ 1.51+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.49
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
Under
Bet365
1.53
William Hil
1.53
10Bet
1.53
BetVictor
1.52
Pinnacle
1.51
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
12.1%
@ 5.54-4.6%
Under 2.5
87.9%
@ 1.11+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
6.00
Bet365
6.00
William Hil
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.30
Under
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 HT
Over
37.1%
@ 2.96+5.8%
Under
62.9%
@ 1.35-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.12
Betano
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.88
1xBet
2.80
Under
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.3%
@ 10.58-1.5%
Under
92.7%
@ 1.02+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
11.75
10Bet
11.00
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.7%
Under
98.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 HT
Over
56.7%
@ 1.51-4.8%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.41+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
Pinnacle
1.51
1xBet
1.49
10Bet
1.48
Under
10Bet
2.45
Pinnacle
2.44
1xBet
2.44
Betano
2.30
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 HT
Over
18.6%
@ 3.41-8.5%
Under
81.4%
@ 1.27+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.55
Betano
3.45
10Bet
3.35
1xBet
3.30
Under
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 HT
Over
5.1%
@ 8.40-5.9%
Under
94.9%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.10
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.60
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.80
0.50
0.69
0.29
0.93
vs Stronger (9)
0.22
1.11
0.40
1.00
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (21)
0.48
0.67
0.55
0.55
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Beitar Jerusalem) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Beitar Jerusalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
0.93
0.87
1.13
0.80
vs Stronger (3)
1.00
0.33
0.50
0.00
2.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
1.14
1.00
1.09
1.18
1.18
0.82
vs Weaker (5)
0.60
0.40
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.67
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
81.6%
@ 1.18+3.2%
Under 0.5
18.4%
@ 4.29-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
Under
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.35
Marathonbet
4.35
10Bet
4.33
Betano
4.20
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
52.5%
@ 1.87+2.8%
Under 1.5
47.5%
@ 1.85-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.95
1xBet
1.87
Marathonbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Under
Marathonbet
1.87
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Bet365
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
20.3%
@ 3.59-5.5%
Under 2.5
79.7%
@ 1.25+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.75
1xBet
3.52
Marathonbet
3.52
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 2H
Over
44.7%
@ 2.44+6.7%
Under
55.3%
@ 1.49-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.50
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.38
1xBet
2.36
Under
1xBet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.50
10Bet
1.48
Betano
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.9%
@ 8.38-0.2%
Under
89.1%
@ 1.04+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
9.00
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
8.50
Betano
7.30
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 0.5 2H
Over
63.5%
@ 1.33-5.7%
Under
36.5%
@ 3.00+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.34
1xBet
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Under
10Bet
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Betano
3.00
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 1.5 2H
Over
26.6%
@ 2.57-9.4%
Under
73.4%
@ 1.45+9.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.62
10Bet
2.60
1xBet
2.55
Betano
2.50
Under
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
Beitar Jerusalem over/under 2.5 2H
Over
6.6%
@ 5.88-9.1%
Under
93.4%
@ 1.10+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
6.25
1xBet
6.10
Betano
5.30
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
98.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
97.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+2.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 HT goals
94.9%
1.04
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+5.9%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
93.4%
1.10
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
-
-
+9.1%
Away +2 handicap
93.3%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
-
-1.1%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
92.7%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+1.5%
Over 2.5 cards
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
92.5%
1.04
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
BetVictor
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
+3.3%
Home under 2.5 goals
92.1%
1.02
Betano
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-1.1%
Over 21.5 fouls
91.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 1.5 2H goals
89.1%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+0.2%
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.9%
1.11
Betfair
1.13
Betano
1.13
Bet365
1.12
William Hil
1.12
BetVictor
1.10
+4.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
87.3%
1.16
Bet365
1.18
Betano
1.18
10Bet
1.15
Betfair
1.14
1xBet
1.14
+7.1%
Away over 0.5 goals
85.2%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.08
Betfair
1.07
1xBet
1.06
-
-1.6%
Under 11.5 corners
84.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
83.1%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Pinnacle
1.17
Bet365
1.17
1xBet
1.14
BetVictor
1.14
+3.0%
Over 23.5 fouls
82.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 3.5 cards
82.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Draw or Away
81.9%
1.07
Betano
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-5.0%
Away +1 handicap
81.9%
1.08
Bet365
1.08
-
-
-
-
-5.1%
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.6%
1.18
William Hil
1.22
Betano
1.19
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.15
+3.2%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
81.4%
1.27
10Bet
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Betano
1.27
Marathonbet
1.25
-
+8.5%
Under 2.5 2H goals
79.7%
1.25
Betano
1.27
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.23
1xBet
1.23
+5.5%
Over 1.5
79.7%
1.20
10Bet
1.22
Betano
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bet365
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+2.2%
Under 10.5 corners
76.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
75.9%
1.16
William Hil
1.20
Betano
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-4.5%
Home under 1.5 goals
73.8%
1.18
1xBet
1.21
Marathonbet
1.19
Betano
1.19
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
-5.2%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
73.4%
1.45
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.45
10Bet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.43
-
+9.4%
Over 0.5 HT goals
71.8%
1.31
Betano
1.34
William Hil
1.33
Marathonbet
1.30
Bet365
1.30
1xBet
1.30
+0.6%
Over 25.5 fouls
71.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
70.0%
1.49
Bet365
1.53
Betano
1.52
10Bet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
1xBet
1.49
+7.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bnei Sakhnin · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusef Mustafa Sheh19%
Jubayer Bushnaq16%
Ahmad Salman15%
Eden Shamir11%
Artur Miranyan11%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe11%
Ahmed Taha10%
Iyad Abu Abaid8%
Basil Khuri8%
Alon Azugi5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iyad Abu Abaid46%
Muhamad Badarna33%
Maksim Grechkin29%
Hassan Hilu25%
Ahmad Salman25%
Ibrahima Drame21%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe21%
Maron Ghantous20%
Glid Otanga20%
Mohamad Ganame20%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh19%
Mohammed Abu Nil15%
Karlo Bručić11%
Eden Shamir11%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Alon Azugi10%
Basil Khuri8%
Omer Korsia7%
Artur Miranyan5%
Omer Abuhav5%
Durel Avounou0%
James Adeniyi0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Maicom David0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alon Azugi15%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Maron Ghantous10%
Ahmad Salman10%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh6%
Eden Shamir6%
Omer Abuhav5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
Artur Miranyan0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Basil Khuri0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artur Miranyan16%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Basil Khuri8%
Ibrahima Drame7%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Alon Azugi0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh0%
Eden Shamir0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Ahmad Salman0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
Beitar Jerusalem
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Daniel Worko33%
Omer Atzili25%
Noam Muche25%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
S. Weissman0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Y. Shua0%
T. Yosefi0%
T. Muzi0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Z. Shimol0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Brayan Carabalí50%
Boris Enow50%
Omer Atzili50%
T. Yosefi50%
Nana Antwi33%
T. Muzi33%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu33%
Z. Shimol33%
Daniel Worko33%
Luka Gadrani25%
Eugene Ansah25%
Miguel Silva0%
S. Weissman0%
Y. Shua0%
Noam Muche0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nana Antwi33%
Omer Atzili25%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Boris Enow0%
S. Weissman0%
Eugene Ansah0%
Y. Shua0%
T. Yosefi0%
T. Muzi0%
Noam Muche0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Z. Shimol0%
Daniel Worko0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Omer Atzili25%
Y. Shua25%
Noam Muche25%
Brayan Carabalí0%
Luka Gadrani0%
Miguel Silva0%
Nana Antwi0%
Boris Enow0%
S. Weissman0%
Eugene Ansah0%
T. Yosefi0%
T. Muzi0%
Roey Elimelech0%
Johnbosco Samuel Kalu0%
Z. Shimol0%
Daniel Worko0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Bnei Sakhnin's squad is €12m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€5m vs €17m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin's attack is €7m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€2m vs €9m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin's midfield is €2m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Bnei Sakhnin's defence is €3m less valuable than Beitar Jerusalem's (€2m vs €5m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon