This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.57
0.87
1.50
0.88
1.64
0.86
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.46
0.81
1.36
0.79
1.58
0.83
vs Weaker (4)
2.25
1.25
2.50
1.50
2.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.2%
Under 1.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
29.9%
Under 2.5
70.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
12.7%
Under 3.5
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
38.3%
No
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
16.1%
1-0
15.1%
1-1
14.5%
0-1
10.6%
2-0
9.1%
2-1 ✓
7.3%
1-2
5.3%
0-2
4.8%
Bnei Sakhnin goals ↓
Ironi Tiberias goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
16%
11%
4.8%
1.3%
0.3%
1
15%
14%
5.3%
1.4%
0.3%
2
9.1%
7.3%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
3
3.4%
2.7%
1.1%
0.3%
0.1%
4
0.9%
0.7%
0.3%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Sakhnin goals (down), columns = Ironi Tiberias goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Ashdod
1.20
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.00
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.20 points worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Hadera
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.20 goals better than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Hadera
1.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.00
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.40 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bnei Sakhnin or Draw✓ Hit
75.0%
Avg Implied -
41%
34%
25%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin or Ironi Tiberias✓ Hit
66.2%
Avg Implied -
41%
34%
25%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ironi Tiberias✗ Miss
58.8%
Avg Implied -
41%
34%
25%
covers Draw + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.0%
Under
33.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
30.4%
Under
69.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.1%
Under
89.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.6%
Under
97.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
55.2%
Under
44.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.9%
Under
99.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bnei Sakhnin, so a minus line means Bnei Sakhnin give that many goals of a start and Ironi Tiberias receive them. At -1, Bnei Sakhnin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bnei Sakhnin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Ironi Tiberias
Bnei Sakhnin -2
5.6%
Draw -2
12.1%
Ironi Tiberias +2
82.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Draw
Bnei Sakhnin -1
17.7%
Draw -1
23.5%
Ironi Tiberias +1
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Bnei Sakhnin
Bnei Sakhnin +1
75.0%
Draw +1
16.7%
Ironi Tiberias -1
8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Bnei Sakhnin
Bnei Sakhnin +2
91.7%
Draw +2
6.3%
Ironi Tiberias -2
1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.27
0.27
0.20
0.67
0.33
vs Stronger (12)
0.42
0.17
0.29
0.14
0.60
0.20
vs Similar (18)
0.50
0.33
0.25
0.25
0.70
0.40
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
77% (+53pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.30
0.75
0.31
0.57
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.54
0.27
0.64
0.29
0.42
0.25
vs Weaker (4)
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
70% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.93
0.73
1.00
0.47
0.87
vs Stronger (12)
0.67
1.42
0.86
1.29
0.40
1.60
vs Similar (18)
0.56
0.61
0.62
0.75
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
0.75
0.56
1.07
0.57
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.92
0.54
0.71
0.50
1.17
0.58
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
95.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
91.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
75.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 2.5
70.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bnei Sakhnin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Alexandre Ramalingom33%
Konstantinos Sotiriou17%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe14%
Abdallah Khalaihal13%
Basil Khuri9%
Daniel Joulani7%
Ahmad Salman6%
Naftali Belay6%
Iyad Abu Abaid6%
Jeando Fuchs0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Barnes Osei0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Kévin Soni0%
Hatem Abd Elhamed0%
Mavis Tchibota0%
Ovadia Dervish0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Ilay Elmkies0%
Matanel Tadesa0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Itai Ben Hamo0%
Jubayer Bushnaq0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Abdelhadi Yassin0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lenny Nangis50%
Jeando Fuchs33%
Stephane Omeonga33%
Kévin Soni33%
Mavis Tchibota33%
Jubayer Bushnaq33%
Abdelhadi Yassin33%
Maron Ghantous29%
Konstantinos Sotiriou25%
Hatem Abd Elhamed25%
Itai Ben Hamo23%
Naftali Belay22%
Ilay Elmkies19%
Matanel Tadesa11%
Basil Khuri9%
Alexandre Ramalingom7%
Abdallah Khalaihal7%
Mohammed Abu Nil6%
Iyad Abu Abaid6%
Barnes Osei0%
Ovadia Dervish0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Daniel Joulani0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Ahmad Salman0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ovadia Dervish20%
Elad Shahaf20%
Alexandre Ramalingom13%
Omer Abuhav12%
Matanel Tadesa11%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe7%
Ahmad Salman6%
Jeando Fuchs6%
Iyad Abu Abaid6%
Konstantinos Sotiriou0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Barnes Osei0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Kévin Soni0%
Hatem Abd Elhamed0%
Mavis Tchibota0%
Naftali Belay0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Ilay Elmkies0%
Daniel Joulani0%
Abdallah Khalaihal0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Itai Ben Hamo0%
Jubayer Bushnaq0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Basil Khuri0%
Abdelhadi Yassin0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Mathew Anim Cudjoe29%
Alexandre Ramalingom27%
Kévin Soni17%
Ahmad Salman6%
Jeando Fuchs0%
Konstantinos Sotiriou0%
Lenny Nangis0%
Barnes Osei0%
Stephane Omeonga0%
Hatem Abd Elhamed0%
Mavis Tchibota0%
Naftali Belay0%
Ovadia Dervish0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Elad Shahaf0%
Ilay Elmkies0%
Daniel Joulani0%
Matanel Tadesa0%
Abdallah Khalaihal0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Itai Ben Hamo0%
Jubayer Bushnaq0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Basil Khuri0%
Abdelhadi Yassin0%
Anis Forat Ayias0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HK (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
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Hapoel Beer Sheva
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Beitar Jerusalem
Hapoel Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Katamon
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Ashdod
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Hapoel Hadera