This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
1.30
1.19
1.19
0.64
1.43
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
1.80
0.67
1.33
0.50
2.50
vs Similar (25)
1.00
1.20
1.31
1.15
0.67
1.25
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
23% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
66.0%
Under 1.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
37.9%
Under 2.5
62.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
18.2%
Under 3.5
81.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.0%
No
54.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.7%
0-0
12.3%
1-0
11.2%
0-1
10.4%
2-1
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-2
6.3%
Bnei Sakhnin goals ↓
Ironi Tiberias goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
12%
10%
6.3%
2.2%
0.6%
1
11%
15%
7.2%
2.6%
0.7%
2
7.1%
7.6%
4.1%
1.5%
0.4%
3
2.7%
2.9%
1.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
0.8%
0.8%
0.4%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Sakhnin goals (down), columns = Ironi Tiberias goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3.00
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Beitar Jerusalem
2.00
Maccabi Netanya
2.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.60
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.47
Bnei Sakhnin
1.40
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.31
Ashdod
1.20
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
0.80
Hapoel Haifa
0.80
Hapoel Beer Sheva
0.00
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.20 points worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of average points per game (1.40 vs 1.60).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Maccabi Netanya
2.80
Beitar Jerusalem
2.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.50
Maccabi Haifa
2.00
Ashdod
2.00
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.75
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.56
Ironi Tiberias
1.40
Hapoel Haifa
1.20
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.00
Hapoel Katamon
1.00
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.00
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.20 goals better than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals scored per game (1.60 vs 1.40).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Maccabi Bnei Raina
0.60
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.00
Ironi Tiberias
1.20
Beitar Jerusalem
1.20
Maccabi Netanya
1.20
Maccabi Haifa
1.33
Hapoel Katamon
1.40
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.40
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.58
Hapoel Haifa
1.60
Bnei Sakhnin
1.60
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.78
Hapoel Beer Sheva
3.00
Ashdod
3.20
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.40 goals worse than Ironi Tiberias in terms of goals conceded per game (1.60 vs 1.20).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bnei Sakhnin or Draw✓ Hit
67.5%
Avg Implied -
36%
32%
32%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin or Ironi Tiberias✗ Miss
68.3%
Avg Implied -
36%
32%
32%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Ironi Tiberias✓ Hit
64.2%
Avg Implied -
36%
32%
32%
covers Draw + Ironi Tiberias
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
67.9%
Under
32.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
31.4%
Under
68.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
10.7%
Under
89.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.9%
Under
97.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.7%
Under
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
29.0%
Under
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.4%
Under
90.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.4%
Under
97.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bnei Sakhnin, so a minus line means Bnei Sakhnin give that many goals of a start and Ironi Tiberias receive them. At -1, Bnei Sakhnin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bnei Sakhnin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Ironi Tiberias
Bnei Sakhnin -2
4.8%
Draw -2
10.5%
Ironi Tiberias +2
84.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Ironi Tiberias
Bnei Sakhnin -1
15.3%
Draw -1
20.5%
Ironi Tiberias +1
64.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Bnei Sakhnin
Bnei Sakhnin +1
67.5%
Draw +1
19.2%
Ironi Tiberias -1
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bnei Sakhnin)Actual: Bnei Sakhnin
Bnei Sakhnin +2
86.7%
Draw +2
9.3%
Ironi Tiberias -2
4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.37
0.60
0.29
0.43
0.44
0.75
vs Stronger (7)
0.14
0.71
0.25
0.75
0.00
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.43
0.57
0.30
0.30
0.54
0.77
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
0.67
0.62
0.69
0.21
0.64
vs Stronger (5)
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.67
0.00
1.50
vs Similar (25)
0.52
0.60
0.77
0.69
0.25
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.40
0.73
0.29
0.57
0.50
0.88
vs Stronger (7)
0.43
1.14
0.50
0.75
0.33
1.67
vs Similar (23)
0.39
0.61
0.20
0.50
0.54
0.69
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Ironi Tiberias) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Ironi Tiberias
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.50
0.63
0.56
0.50
0.43
0.79
vs Stronger (5)
0.60
0.80
0.67
0.67
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (25)
0.48
0.60
0.54
0.46
0.42
0.75
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+27pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Ironi Tiberias over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
97.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
92.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
89.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
81.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bnei Sakhnin
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusef Mustafa Sheh19%
Jubayer Bushnaq16%
Ahmad Salman15%
Eden Shamir11%
Artur Miranyan11%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe11%
Ahmed Taha10%
Iyad Abu Abaid8%
Basil Khuri8%
Alon Azugi5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iyad Abu Abaid46%
Muhamad Badarna33%
Maksim Grechkin29%
Hassan Hilu25%
Ahmad Salman25%
Ibrahima Drame21%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe21%
Maron Ghantous20%
Glid Otanga20%
Mohamad Ganame20%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh19%
Mohammed Abu Nil15%
Karlo Bručić11%
Eden Shamir11%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Alon Azugi10%
Basil Khuri8%
Omer Korsia7%
Artur Miranyan5%
Omer Abuhav5%
Durel Avounou0%
James Adeniyi0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Maicom David0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alon Azugi15%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Maron Ghantous10%
Ahmad Salman10%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh6%
Eden Shamir6%
Omer Abuhav5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
Artur Miranyan0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Basil Khuri0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artur Miranyan16%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Basil Khuri8%
Ibrahima Drame7%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Alon Azugi0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh0%
Eden Shamir0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Ahmad Salman0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
ASH (23)
€4m
MBR (18)
€3m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
MBR (8)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar attack value (both €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
MBR (2)
€0m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
ASH (9)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin and Ironi Tiberias have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Beitar Jerusalem
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Maccabi Haifa
Maccabi Netanya
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Katamon
Ashdod
Maccabi Bnei Raina