Bnei Sakhnin enter the match on a draw, having ended their last outing 0-0 against Maccabi Netanya, while Maccabi Petah Tikva come off a three-game winning streak, winning 2-1 over Ironi Kiryat Shmona. The model’s most confident outcome is a home win, with a 41% chance, followed by a 30% draw and a 29% away win. The expected total is 2.4 goals, centring on a 2-goal total with a 28% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.3% chance. Bnei Sakhnin typically score 1.0 goal and concede 1.1 at home against similar opposition, whereas Maccabi Petah Tikva average 1.69 goals scored and 1.15 conceded away against similar teams. The model’s suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.7%), Under 6.5 (98.9% with a 2% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.8% with a 7% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (98.6% with a 7% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% with an 8% edge), Home under 2.5 2H goals (97.4% with a 7% edge), and Under 5.5 (96.7% with a 5% edge).
Results analysis
The upset came early as Maccabi Petah Tikva snapped a four-game winning streak to beat Bnei Sakhnin 2-1, overturning the model’s favourite for a home win. The prediction, which carried a 41% probability, proved incorrect. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away triumph. Every model selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 99.7%, Under 6.5 hit at 98.9%, Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.8%, Home under 2.5 HT goals hit at 98.6%, Away under 3.5 goals hit at 97.7%, Home under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 97.4%, and Under 5.5 hit at 96.7%. The match delivered a lower-than-expected total, aligning with the model’s strong under-goals predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bnei Sakhnin win✗ Miss
40.6%
Avg Implied 32.6% · @ 2.80
Edge
+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.92
Betano
2.90
1xBet
2.86
Superbet
2.85
Dafabet
2.85
Draw✗ Miss
30.3%
Avg Implied 27.7% · @ 3.30
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Betano
3.40
Pinnacle
3.40
Dafabet
3.35
Marathonbet
3.34
1xBet
3.34
Maccabi Petah Tikva win✓ Hit
29.1%
Avg Implied 39.6% · @ 2.31
Edge
-10.6%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.36
Superbet
2.35
Marathonbet
2.34
Dafabet
2.34
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bnei Sakhnin
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
1.47
0.94
1.38
0.43
1.57
vs Stronger (10)
0.60
2.00
0.83
1.83
0.25
2.25
vs Similar (20)
0.75
1.20
1.00
1.10
0.50
1.30
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.77
1.13
1.94
1.19
1.57
1.07
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.78
1.19
1.86
1.21
1.69
1.15
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
0.67
2.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
20% (-8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
@ 1.29-2.2%
Under 1.5
30.5%
@ 3.27+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.30
Bet365
1.30
BetVictor
1.30
Under
Pinnacle
3.42
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
Superbet
3.35
BetVictor
3.30
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
41.9%
@ 1.95-6.0%
Under 2.5
58.1%
@ 1.79+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.02
SBO
2.00
Betano
1.98
1xBet
1.96
Marathonbet
1.96
Under
Bet365
1.85
Pinnacle
1.82
1xBet
1.80
Superbet
1.80
Marathonbet
1.80
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
@ 3.37-6.3%
Under 3.5
78.8%
@ 1.28+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.53
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
1xBet
3.34
Under
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
48.8%
@ 1.74-4.6%
No
51.2%
@ 1.98+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betano
1.80
Betfair
1.75
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
BetVictor
1.73
No
William Hil
2.00
Betfair
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.3%@ 5.89+6.8%
1-0
11.0%@ 8.42+5.7%
0-0
10.8%@ 9.46+6.1%
0-1
8.7%@ 7.36+2.7%
2-1
8.4%@ 9.67+3.8%
2-0
8.0%@ 13.56+4.7%
1-2 ✓
6.9%@ 8.60+1.7%
0-2
5.3%@ 10.70+1.2%
Bnei Sakhnin goals ↓
Maccabi Petah Tikva goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
11%
8.7%
5.3%
1.9%
0.5%
1
11%
14%
6.9%
2.4%
0.6%
2
8.0%
8.4%
4.5%
1.6%
0.4%
3
3.4%
3.6%
1.9%
0.7%
0.2%
4
1.1%
1.2%
0.6%
0.2%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Sakhnin goals (down), columns = Maccabi Petah Tikva goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.11
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.80
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.77
Maccabi Haifa
1.53
Maccabi Netanya
1.45
Ironi Tiberias
1.33
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.25
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.21
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.11
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.11
Bnei Sakhnin
1.03
Hapoel Haifa
1.03
Hapoel Katamon
0.94
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.22 points worse than Maccabi Petah Tikva in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.25).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Beer Sheva
2.19
Beitar Jerusalem
2.17
Maccabi Tel Aviv
2.06
Maccabi Haifa
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.79
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.57
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.52
Ironi Tiberias
1.36
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.36
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.33
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.20
Hapoel Haifa
1.18
Bnei Sakhnin
0.85
Hapoel Katamon
0.79
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.51 goals worse than Maccabi Petah Tikva in terms of goals scored per game (0.85 vs 1.36).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Hapoel Tel Aviv
1.00
Hapoel Beer Sheva
1.06
Beitar Jerusalem
1.11
Hapoel Katamon
1.30
Maccabi Haifa
1.31
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.31
Bnei Sakhnin
1.48
Hapoel Haifa
1.55
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.58
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
1.61
Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.62
Ironi Tiberias
1.70
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1.83
Maccabi Netanya
1.91
Bnei Sakhnin is 0.13 goals better than Maccabi Petah Tikva in terms of goals conceded per game (1.48 vs 1.62).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Hapoel Beer Sheva
60%
Beitar Jerusalem
57%
Maccabi Haifa
54%
Maccabi Tel Aviv
53%
Maccabi Netanya
50%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
47%
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
47%
Hapoel Haifa
43%
Bnei Sakhnin
39%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bnei Sakhnin
For 2.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 8.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.5 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Maccabi Petah Tikva
🚩 Corners
No recent corners data for this league.
🟨 Cards
No recent cards data for this league.
⚠️ Fouls
No recent fouls data for this league.
Bnei Sakhnin
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.3
9.1
9.4
2.1
2.7
1.5
25.3
27.0
23.8
vs Stronger (14)
10.3
8.8
11.8
3.3
4.1
2.2
25.1
27.4
22.8
vs Similar (36)
8.5
9.3
7.7
1.6
2.1
1.3
25.5
26.7
24.4
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
35%
27%
42%
34%
44%
24%
65%
73%
58%
% under line
65%
73%
58%
66%
56%
76%
35%
27%
42%
This opponent (Maccabi Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.3
12.5
9.0
0.3
0.3
0.2
25.3
23.0
30.0
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (44)
11.3
12.5
9.0
0.3
0.4
0.3
25.3
23.0
30.0
vs Weaker (6)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
33%
50%
0%
4%
4%
4%
100%
100%
100%
% under line
67%
50%
100%
96%
96%
96%
0%
0%
0%
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Bnei Sakhnin
9.6
Hapoel Beer Sheva
9.3
Hapoel Haifa
9.0
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
8.9
Maccabi Petah Tikva
8.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
8.8
Maccabi Tel Aviv
8.7
Maccabi Netanya
8.7
Beitar Jerusalem
8.6
Maccabi Haifa
8.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Maccabi Netanya
6.1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
5.6
Beitar Jerusalem
5.5
Hapoel Haifa
5.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
5.5
Maccabi Haifa
5.2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
5.1
Bnei Sakhnin
4.8
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
4.7
Maccabi Petah Tikva
4.5
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Maccabi Tel Aviv
29.6
Beitar Jerusalem
28.5
Hapoel Beer Sheva
27.8
Maccabi Haifa
27.2
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
26.8
Hapoel Tel Aviv
26.3
Hapoel Haifa
25.9
Maccabi Netanya
25.1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25.0
Bnei Sakhnin
25.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
36.6%
@ 1.95-11.0%
Under 9.5
63.4%
@ 1.77+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.00
Superbet
2.00
Pinnacle
1.95
Marathonbet
1.92
1xBet
1.88
Under
1xBet
1.82
Pinnacle
1.81
Marathonbet
1.77
Superbet
1.73
Bet365
1.73
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
78.6%
Under 3.5
21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
87.9%
Under 21.5
12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bnei Sakhnin or Draw✗ Miss
70.9%
Avg Implied 60.4% · @ 1.53
Edge
+10.5%
41%
30%
29%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
Bnei Sakhnin or Maccabi Petah Tikva✓ Hit
69.7%
Avg Implied 72.2% · @ 1.28
Edge
-2.6%
41%
30%
29%
covers Bnei Sakhnin + Maccabi Petah Tikva
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.33
BetVictor
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Betano
1.29
Draw or Maccabi Petah Tikva✓ Hit
59.4%
Avg Implied 67.3% · @ 1.37
Edge
-8.0%
41%
30%
29%
covers Draw + Maccabi Petah Tikva
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.42
Bet365
1.40
William Hil
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Marathonbet
1.38
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
72.7%
@ 1.34+3.1%
Under
27.3%
@ 3.06-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.25
Pinnacle
3.16
Superbet
3.05
Marathonbet
3.04
1xBet
3.04
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
37.2%
@ 2.65+2.2%
Under
62.8%
@ 1.43-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.79
Betano
2.70
BetVictor
2.70
Marathonbet
2.66
1xBet
2.66
Under
Superbet
1.45
Bet365
1.44
Pinnacle
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Marathonbet
1.43
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
14.2%
@ 6.42-0.3%
Under
85.8%
@ 1.09+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.80
1xBet
6.80
Bet365
6.50
BetVictor
6.50
Betano
6.00
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
1xBet
1.06
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
4.3%
@ 15.00-2.1%
Under
95.7%
@ 1.02+2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
11.00
Under
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
65.3%
@ 1.26-8.4%
Under
34.7%
@ 3.54+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.29
Pinnacle
1.27
Superbet
1.26
BetVictor
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Under
Bet365
3.75
BetVictor
3.60
Pinnacle
3.59
Superbet
3.50
1xBet
3.48
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
28.6%
@ 2.30-11.8%
Under
71.4%
@ 1.56+11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.42
Marathonbet
2.33
1xBet
2.33
Betano
2.30
BetVictor
2.30
Under
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
9.2%
@ 5.29-8.4%
Under
90.8%
@ 1.12+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
5.55
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
BetVictor
5.40
Superbet
4.90
Under
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
2.3%
@ 12.12-5.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
15.00
Betano
9.25
Under
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bnei Sakhnin, so a minus line means Bnei Sakhnin give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Petah Tikva receive them. At -1, Bnei Sakhnin must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bnei Sakhnin win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
This opponent (Maccabi Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.30
0.81
0.31
0.64
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.74
0.33
0.79
0.36
0.69
0.31
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
70% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
66.4%
@ 1.38-0.5%
Under 0.5
33.6%
@ 2.80+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.44
BetVictor
1.41
Bet365
1.40
Pinnacle
1.40
1xBet
1.38
Under
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.94
Betfair
2.88
Superbet
2.80
1xBet
2.77
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
27.2%
@ 2.83-5.6%
Under 1.5
72.8%
@ 1.38+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.00
Betano
2.92
Betfair
2.88
Marathonbet
2.85
1xBet
2.85
Under
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
8.9%
@ 7.11-4.1%
Under 2.5
91.1%
@ 1.07+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
8.00
BetVictor
8.00
Marathonbet
7.50
1xBet
7.50
Superbet
6.60
Under
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
41.6%
@ 2.21-0.4%
Under
58.4%
@ 1.60+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Pinnacle
2.26
Marathonbet
2.18
1xBet
2.18
Superbet
2.17
Under
Pinnacle
1.62
Superbet
1.61
Marathonbet
1.59
1xBet
1.59
Betano
1.57
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 7.70-1.7%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.05+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.30
1xBet
8.30
Betano
6.50
Under
Betano
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.4%
@ 11.00-7.0%
Under
98.6%
@ 1.01+7.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
11.00
Under
Betano
1.01
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
40.1%
@ 2.04-5.4%
Under
59.9%
@ 1.70+5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.09
Betano
2.05
1xBet
2.02
Marathonbet
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Under
Superbet
1.72
Pinnacle
1.71
Betano
1.70
Marathonbet
1.69
1xBet
1.69
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.5%
@ 6.63-3.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.08+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
7.10
1xBet
7.10
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 10.75-7.5%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.02+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.75
Under
Betano
1.02
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bnei Sakhnin
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.87
0.62
0.81
0.29
0.93
vs Stronger (10)
0.40
1.30
0.67
1.33
0.00
1.25
vs Similar (20)
0.50
0.65
0.60
0.50
0.40
0.80
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Petah Tikva) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.83
1.12
0.88
0.93
0.79
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.04
0.85
1.07
0.86
1.00
0.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
0.67
1.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Sakhnin) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
72.9%
@ 1.24-1.7%
Under 0.5
27.1%
@ 3.64+1.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
Under
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
1xBet
3.68
Marathonbet
3.68
Betano
3.55
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
38.4%
@ 2.15-4.9%
Under 1.5
61.6%
@ 1.64+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.20
Marathonbet
2.17
1xBet
2.17
Superbet
2.12
Betano
2.12
Under
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
14.8%
@ 4.55-5.5%
Under 2.5
85.2%
@ 1.16+5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
4.80
Marathonbet
4.80
William Hil
4.50
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.45
Under
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.12
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
48.8%
@ 1.86-0.9%
Under
51.2%
@ 1.83+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.85
Under
Superbet
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.83
Betano
1.82
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
13.4%
@ 5.35-3.8%
Under
86.6%
@ 1.12+3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.40
Betano
4.90
Under
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
Bnei Sakhnin over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.5%
@ 10.00-6.7%
Under
97.5%
@ 1.02+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
44.4%
@ 1.72-9.5%
Under
55.6%
@ 2.01+9.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.73
Betano
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.70
Under
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.02
Superbet
2.00
Marathonbet
1.98
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
14.4%
@ 4.48-6.2%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.16+6.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.90
1xBet
4.40
Betano
4.15
Under
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
Maccabi Petah Tikva over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
2.6%
@ 9.00-7.7%
Under
97.4%
@ 1.03+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
9.00
Under
Betano
1.03
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+2.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.8%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+7.5%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+7.0%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.04
Bet365
1.03
-
-
-
+5.6%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
97.5%
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.4%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+7.7%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
96.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.03
1xBet
1.02
-
-
+4.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
95.7%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betano
1.02
-
-
-
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
94.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 HT goals
91.1%
1.07
William Hil
1.10
Betano
1.09
Betfair
1.08
Superbet
1.08
Bet365
1.08
+4.1%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
91.0%
1.08
Pinnacle
1.10
Superbet
1.10
Betano
1.10
Bet365
1.10
BetVictor
1.06
+4.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
90.8%
1.12
Betano
1.16
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.14
BetVictor
1.11
1xBet
1.10
+8.4%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
90.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.05
Betano
1.08
Marathonbet
1.04
1xBet
1.04
-
-
+1.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.5%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Marathonbet
1.06
1xBet
1.06
-
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
88.4%
1.15
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.12
-
-
-
+13.1%
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
87.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 2H goals
86.6%
1.12
Betano
1.14
1xBet
1.11
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
+3.8%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
85.8%
1.09
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.08
1xBet
1.06
+0.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
85.6%
1.16
Betano
1.19
1xBet
1.16
Marathonbet
1.14
-
-
+6.2%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
85.2%
1.16
Betano
1.18
Bet365
1.18
William Hil
1.17
Superbet
1.17
1xBet
1.12
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
83.6%
1.26
Superbet
1.30
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
-
+11.4%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
81.0%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
Marathonbet
1.10
-
-
-
+2.2%
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
78.8%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
Pinnacle
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Superbet
1.30
Betano
1.29
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards
78.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 23.5 fouls
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 10.5 corners
74.7%
1.47
Pinnacle
1.50
1xBet
1.48
Superbet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
-
+12.1%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
72.9%
1.24
William Hil
1.29
Betano
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Superbet
1.24
1xBet
1.21
-1.7%
✓ Hit
Under 1.5 HT goals
72.8%
1.38
William Hil
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Superbet
1.40
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.39
+5.6%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 goals
72.7%
1.34
Betano
1.39
Superbet
1.33
BetVictor
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+3.1%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
71.4%
1.56
Superbet
1.57
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.57
Pinnacle
1.56
Marathonbet
1.56
+11.8%
✗ Miss
Home or Draw
70.9%
1.53
Betano
1.62
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
1xBet
1.54
Superbet
1.53
+10.5%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
70.9%
1.53
Bet365
1.57
Marathonbet
1.54
Betfair
1.53
Unibet
1.47
-
+13.8%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bnei Sakhnin · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yusef Mustafa Sheh19%
Jubayer Bushnaq16%
Ahmad Salman15%
Eden Shamir11%
Artur Miranyan11%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe11%
Ahmed Taha10%
Iyad Abu Abaid8%
Basil Khuri8%
Alon Azugi5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Iyad Abu Abaid46%
Muhamad Badarna33%
Maksim Grechkin29%
Hassan Hilu25%
Ahmad Salman25%
Ibrahima Drame21%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe21%
Maron Ghantous20%
Glid Otanga20%
Mohamad Ganame20%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh19%
Mohammed Abu Nil15%
Karlo Bručić11%
Eden Shamir11%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Alon Azugi10%
Basil Khuri8%
Omer Korsia7%
Artur Miranyan5%
Omer Abuhav5%
Durel Avounou0%
James Adeniyi0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Maicom David0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Alon Azugi15%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Maron Ghantous10%
Ahmad Salman10%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh6%
Eden Shamir6%
Omer Abuhav5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
Artur Miranyan0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Ibrahima Drame0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Basil Khuri0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Artur Miranyan16%
Jubayer Bushnaq11%
Basil Khuri8%
Ibrahima Drame7%
Mathew Anim Cudjoe5%
Durel Avounou0%
Karlo Bručić0%
James Adeniyi0%
Muhamad Badarna0%
Alon Azugi0%
Maksim Grechkin0%
Yusef Mustafa Sheh0%
Eden Shamir0%
Iyad Abu Abaid0%
Maron Ghantous0%
Hassan Hilu0%
Johan N'Zi0%
Stav Nachmani0%
Mohammed Abu Nil0%
Omer Korsia0%
Glid Otanga0%
Omer Abuhav0%
Ahmad Salman0%
Ahmed Taha0%
Maicom David0%
Mohamad Ganame0%
Maccabi Petah Tikva · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Wilson Harris33%
Anas Mahamid22%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Renato Gojković11%
Alon Azugi11%
Luka Štor8%
Tamir Glazer7%
Ido Cohen7%
Muhammad Handy6%
Liran Hazan6%
Idan Vered5%
Marco Wolff0%
Plamen Galabov0%
Andreas Karo0%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Rushine De Reuck0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Aviv Salem0%
Eden Shamir0%
Yarden Cohen0%
Jordy Soladio0%
Arad Bar0%
Amer Altoury0%
Or Roizman0%
Niv Yehoshua0%
Guy Deznet0%
Gal Gabi Maatuk0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Gal Gabi Maatuk100%
Andreas Karo42%
Jordy Soladio29%
Eyal Golasa27%
Yarden Cohen27%
Rushine De Reuck25%
Muhammad Handy25%
Niv Yehoshua24%
Tamir Glazer21%
Aviv Salem19%
Plamen Galabov15%
Idan Vered15%
Marco Wolff13%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Renato Gojković11%
Wilson Harris11%
Alon Azugi11%
Eden Shamir11%
Ido Cohen7%
Anas Mahamid6%
Liran Hazan6%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Luka Štor0%
Arad Bar0%
Amer Altoury0%
Or Roizman0%
Guy Deznet0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Yarden Cohen13%
Vitalie Damașcan12%
Liran Hazan11%
Idan Vered10%
Niv Yehoshua10%
Aviv Salem6%
Marco Wolff0%
Renato Gojković0%
Plamen Galabov0%
Andreas Karo0%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Rushine De Reuck0%
Wilson Harris0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Luka Štor0%
Muhammad Handy0%
Anas Mahamid0%
Alon Azugi0%
Eden Shamir0%
Jordy Soladio0%
Arad Bar0%
Tamir Glazer0%
Amer Altoury0%
Or Roizman0%
Guy Deznet0%
Gal Gabi Maatuk0%
Ido Cohen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Vitalie Damașcan19%
Wilson Harris11%
Anas Mahamid11%
Liran Hazan11%
Idan Vered10%
Tamir Glazer7%
Eden Shamir5%
Marco Wolff0%
Renato Gojković0%
Plamen Galabov0%
Andreas Karo0%
Déinner Quiñones0%
Rushine De Reuck0%
Eyal Golasa0%
Luka Štor0%
Muhammad Handy0%
Alon Azugi0%
Aviv Salem0%
Yarden Cohen0%
Jordy Soladio0%
Arad Bar0%
Amer Altoury0%
Or Roizman0%
Niv Yehoshua0%
Guy Deznet0%
Gal Gabi Maatuk0%
Ido Cohen0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (29)
€35m
MH (33)
€27m
HBS (26)
€20m
HTA (27)
€18m
BJ (28)
€17m
MN (24)
€11m
IKS (22)
€7m
MPT (25)
€6m
HK (21)
€6m
HPT (22)
€6m
HRG (26)
€5m
BS (20)
€5m
IT (24)
€5m
HH (18)
€4m
Bnei Sakhnin and Maccabi Petah Tikva have a similar squad value (both €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (12)
€13m
HTA (13)
€11m
HBS (13)
€10m
BJ (11)
€9m
MH (11)
€7m
MN (5)
€3m
MPT (11)
€3m
IKS (8)
€3m
IT (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (6)
€2m
BS (6)
€2m
HH (6)
€1m
HK (5)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin's attack is €1m less valuable than Maccabi Petah Tikva's (€2m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MH (9)
€10m
MTA (6)
€9m
HBS (3)
€5m
MN (8)
€3m
BJ (5)
€3m
HTA (4)
€2m
HK (5)
€1m
HPT (5)
€1m
IKS (3)
€1m
BS (6)
€1m
HRG (6)
€1m
MPT (4)
€1m
IT (5)
€1m
HH (3)
€1m
Bnei Sakhnin and Maccabi Petah Tikva have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MTA (11)
€13m
MH (13)
€10m
BJ (12)
€5m
MN (11)
€5m
HBS (10)
€5m
HTA (10)
€5m
HK (11)
€3m
IKS (11)
€2m
HH (9)
€2m
HRG (10)
€2m
HPT (11)
€2m
BS (8)
€2m
MPT (10)
€2m
IT (10)
€2m
Bnei Sakhnin and Maccabi Petah Tikva have a similar defence value (both €2m).
Israel: Ligat Ha'al 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Ligat Ha'al stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Maccabi Tel Aviv
Maccabi Netanya
Hapoel Tel Aviv
Hapoel Beer Sheva
Ironi Kiryat Shmona
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Maccabi Haifa
Ironi Tiberias
Hapoel Haifa
Hapoel Ramat Gan
Hapoel Katamon
Beitar Jerusalem