Bnei Yehuda host Hapoel Kfar Shalem in Liga Leumit, with the model predicting an away win in a finely balanced contest. Hapoel Kfar Shalem's recent form is marked by a 2-game winning run, but they conceded 6 goals in their last outing. Bnei Yehuda, on the other hand, are unbeaten in their last 5 matches, with a 1-1 draw against Maccabi Herzliya being their most recent result.
The model predicts a 38% chance of an away win, a 26% chance of a draw, and a 36% chance of a home win. The expected total goals is 3.1, with the most likely total goals being 2. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.9%.
Bnei Yehuda have scored 1.57 goals on average at home, conceding 1.43. Hapoel Kfar Shalem have scored 1.62 goals on average away, conceding 2.25. The model suggests an Over 1.5 goals selection with a probability of 82.6%. The model's selection is the Away win with a probability of 38%.
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Away win, fell short as Bnei Yehuda secured a 3-1 victory, extending their two-game winning run. The model had predicted an away triumph with a 38 % probability, but the outcome proved wrong. The final score of 3-1 matched the actual result of a home win. The model’s selections all hit: Under 7.5 goals at 98.6 %, Away under 2.5 HT goals at 98.2 %, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 97.2 %, Under 6.5 at 96.1 %, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 94.9 %, Home under 2.5 2H goals at 93.8 %, Home under 3.5 goals at 93.1 %, and Away under 3.5 goals at 92.5 %. The match delivered a surprising home win, contradicting the model’s favourite pick.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bnei Yehuda win✓ Hit
35.9%
Avg Implied 54.3% · @ 1.66
Edge
-18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Superbet
1.73
Dafabet
1.72
Betano
1.70
10Bet
1.68
Betfair
1.67
Draw✗ Miss
26.0%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.66
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.80
Pinnacle
3.78
Betano
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Dafabet
3.70
Hapoel Kfar Shalem win✗ Miss
38.1%
Avg Implied 21.0% · @ 4.31
Edge
+17.1%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.68
Marathonbet
4.60
William Hil
4.50
Pinnacle
4.39
Dafabet
4.30
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bnei Yehuda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.23
1.21
1.00
1.62
1.44
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
1.56
1.32
1.36
1.18
1.71
1.43
vs Weaker (5)
0.80
0.80
0.67
0.33
1.00
1.50
Clean sheet %
33% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Kfar Shalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.1
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.93
1.80
1.80
1.87
2.07
1.73
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.96
1.85
1.71
1.86
2.23
1.85
vs Weaker (3)
1.67
1.33
3.00
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
13% (-14pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.6%
@ 1.18+5.5%
Under 1.5
17.4%
@ 3.98-5.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.33
Bet365
4.33
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
10Bet
4.20
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.8%
@ 1.63+3.8%
Under 2.5
40.2%
@ 2.08-3.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Betano
1.65
Superbet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.18
Bet365
2.15
1xBet
2.12
Marathonbet
2.12
Betfair
2.10
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.4%
@ 2.53+1.6%
Under 3.5
62.6%
@ 1.42-1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.70
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Pinnacle
2.58
Superbet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.44
Betfair
1.44
Superbet
1.42
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.1%
@ 1.61+6.7%
No
36.9%
@ 2.09-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Betfair
1.67
Bet365
1.67
Superbet
1.64
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.62
No
William Hil
2.20
Betfair
2.15
Superbet
2.12
1xBet
2.12
Bet365
2.10
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
11.9%@ 6.76+5.6%
1-2
8.5%@ 12.36+5.1%
2-1
8.2%@ 7.24+2.4%
2-2
6.5%@ 12.04+3.0%
0-1
6.0%@ 12.82+2.7%
1-0
5.8%@ 7.61+0.2%
0-0
5.6%@ 12.00+2.1%
0-2
5.6%@ 23.29+3.8%
Bnei Yehuda goals ↓
Hapoel Kfar Shalem goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
5.6%
6.0%
5.6%
2.9%
1.2%
1
5.8%
12%
8.5%
4.5%
1.8%
2
5.2%
8.2%
6.5%
3.4%
1.3%
3
2.7%
4.2%
3.3%
1.7%
0.7%
4
1.0%
1.6%
1.3%
0.7%
0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Yehuda goals (down), columns = Hapoel Kfar Shalem goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Bnei Yehuda is 0.03 points better than Hapoel Kfar Shalem in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.51).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Bnei Yehuda is 0.57 goals worse than Hapoel Kfar Shalem in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.81).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Bnei Yehuda is 0.51 goals better than Hapoel Kfar Shalem in terms of goals conceded per game (1.19 vs 1.70).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bnei Yehuda or Draw✓ Hit
61.9%
Avg Implied 78.7% · @ 1.16
Edge
-16.8%
36%
26%
38%
covers Bnei Yehuda + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.20
Betano
1.19
William Hil
1.18
Superbet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bnei Yehuda or Hapoel Kfar Shalem✓ Hit
74.0%
Avg Implied 76.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
-2.5%
36%
26%
38%
covers Bnei Yehuda + Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
Draw or Hapoel Kfar Shalem✗ Miss
64.1%
Avg Implied 44.8% · @ 2.04
Edge
+19.3%
36%
26%
38%
covers Draw + Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Betano
2.10
William Hil
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
78.2%
@ 1.11-4.1%
Under
21.8%
@ 5.19+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Under
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
10Bet
5.00
Superbet
4.75
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
45.0%
@ 1.66-10.8%
Under
55.0%
@ 2.09+10.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.69
Betano
1.67
Bet365
1.67
10Bet
1.65
Pinnacle
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.07
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
19.7%
@ 3.00-10.9%
Under
80.3%
@ 1.32+10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
3.05
1xBet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
Marathonbet
2.93
Under
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
Bnei Yehuda over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
6.9%
@ 6.30-7.9%
Under
93.1%
@ 1.09+7.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.60
Bet365
6.00
Under
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.07
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
79.3%
@ 1.42+14.7%
Under
20.7%
@ 2.60-14.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Under
Pinnacle
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Superbet
2.60
10Bet
2.60
Betano
2.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
46.7%
@ 2.91+14.9%
Under
53.3%
@ 1.35-14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.15
10Bet
2.95
Superbet
2.87
1xBet
2.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.46
Betano
1.40
1xBet
1.36
Bet365
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
21.0%
@ 7.62+9.0%
Under
79.0%
@ 1.04-9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.70
1xBet
7.70
Bet365
7.50
Superbet
6.60
Under
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
7.5%
@ 13.00+0.3%
Under
92.5%
@ 1.01-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
13.00
Under
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bnei Yehuda, so a minus line means Bnei Yehuda give that many goals of a start and Hapoel Kfar Shalem receive them. At -1, Bnei Yehuda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bnei Yehuda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bnei Yehuda)Actual: Draw
Bnei Yehuda -2
6.9%
@ 5.10-10.5%
Draw -2
10.9%
@ 4.90-7.2%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem +2
82.2%
@ 1.38+17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
5.20
Bet365
5.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.05
Bet365
4.75
Away
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
Handicap -1 (Bnei Yehuda)Actual: Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda -1
17.8%
@ 2.78-14.3%
Draw -1
18.1%
@ 3.64-6.4%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem +1
64.1%
@ 2.06+20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
2.88
10Bet
2.80
Bet365
2.75
Marathonbet
2.69
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.66
Betfair
3.60
10Bet
3.55
Away
10Bet
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Marathonbet
2.04
Betfair
2.00
Handicap +1 (Bnei Yehuda)Actual: Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda +1
61.9%
@ 1.15-11.9%
Draw +1
18.7%
@ 5.53+3.4%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -1
19.4%
@ 7.80+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.17
Marathonbet
1.12
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Marathonbet
4.55
Away
Bet365
9.00
Marathonbet
6.60
Handicap +2 (Bnei Yehuda)Actual: Bnei Yehuda
Bnei Yehuda +2
80.6%
@ 1.05-8.1%
Draw +2
11.6%
@ 13.00+4.5%
Hapoel Kfar Shalem -2
7.7%
@ 23.00+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.05
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Away
Bet365
23.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bnei Yehuda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.57
0.57
0.43
0.56
0.69
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.60
0.60
0.55
0.55
0.64
0.64
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.67
0.00
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Kfar Shalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.80
0.73
1.00
0.93
0.60
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
0.81
0.78
0.64
0.93
1.00
0.62
vs Weaker (3)
1.00
1.00
2.00
2.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
73.6%
@ 1.28+3.0%
Under 0.5
26.4%
@ 3.08-3.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
Under
William Hil
3.30
Betfair
3.25
Superbet
3.10
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.08
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
36.8%
@ 2.36-1.8%
Under 1.5
63.2%
@ 1.48+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
2.50
Pinnacle
2.42
1xBet
2.41
Marathonbet
2.41
William Hil
2.38
Under
William Hil
1.53
Pinnacle
1.52
Superbet
1.50
Betfair
1.50
10Bet
1.50
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
12.6%
@ 5.13-5.1%
Under 2.5
87.4%
@ 1.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
6.00
William Hil
5.50
1xBet
5.40
Superbet
5.00
BetVictor
3.75
Under
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
50.9%
@ 1.65-5.1%
Under
49.1%
@ 2.10+5.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.65
1xBet
1.64
Superbet
1.63
Marathonbet
1.63
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.12
Superbet
2.10
Marathonbet
2.06
Betano
2.05
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
15.0%
@ 4.20-6.7%
Under
85.0%
@ 1.17+6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.30
1xBet
4.10
Under
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.8%
Under
97.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
42.4%
@ 2.40+4.0%
Under
57.6%
@ 1.50-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.44
Pinnacle
2.44
Betano
2.42
Superbet
2.35
1xBet
2.34
Under
1xBet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.51
Superbet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.2%
@ 9.20+0.1%
Under
89.8%
@ 1.03-0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
10.00
1xBet
8.40
Under
1xBet
1.03
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.8%
Under
98.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bnei Yehuda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.67
0.64
0.57
1.06
0.75
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (25)
0.96
0.72
0.82
0.64
1.07
0.79
vs Weaker (5)
0.40
0.40
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
53% (+26pp vs league)
This opponent (Hapoel Kfar Shalem) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
1.00
1.07
0.87
1.13
1.13
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (27)
1.15
1.07
1.07
0.93
1.23
1.23
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
0.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
81.0%
@ 1.18+2.6%
Under 0.5
19.0%
@ 4.28-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
Under
1xBet
4.60
Bet365
4.33
William Hil
4.20
Superbet
4.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
48.6%
@ 1.84-1.4%
Under 1.5
51.4%
@ 1.84+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.83
Betano
1.83
Under
Marathonbet
1.85
Betano
1.85
10Bet
1.85
1xBet
1.85
William Hil
1.83
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
21.6%
@ 3.67-3.5%
Under 2.5
78.4%
@ 1.23+3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.80
Bet365
3.75
1xBet
3.60
Superbet
3.55
Under
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
56.7%
@ 1.44-7.1%
Under
43.3%
@ 2.54+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
1xBet
2.60
Superbet
2.47
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
22.6%
@ 2.98-8.0%
Under
77.4%
@ 1.31+8.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
3.00
Marathonbet
2.97
Under
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.2%
@ 8.00-5.2%
Under
93.8%
@ 1.03+5.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.00
Under
1xBet
1.03
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
53.0%
@ 1.99+6.8%
Under
47.0%
@ 1.71-6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.01
1xBet
2.00
Superbet
1.97
Under
Superbet
1.74
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.67
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
20.0%
@ 6.42+5.8%
Under
80.0%
@ 1.06-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.75
1xBet
6.10
Under
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
Hapoel Kfar Shalem over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.1%
Under
94.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
96.1%
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
94.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
93.8%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
+5.2%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
93.1%
1.09
Bet365
1.11
1xBet
1.07
-
-
-
+7.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
92.5%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
-
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
90.6%
1.03
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.01
Marathonbet
1.01
-
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
89.8%
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-
-0.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
87.4%
1.10
William Hil
1.12
Betfair
1.11
1xBet
1.11
Superbet
1.10
BetVictor
1.07
+5.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.0%
1.17
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.16
-
-
-
+6.7%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
82.6%
1.18
Betano
1.21
Bet365
1.20
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Superbet
1.17
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
82.2%
1.38
Bet365
1.40
Marathonbet
1.36
-
-
-
+17.8%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
81.0%
1.18
William Hil
1.20
Bet365
1.20
1xBet
1.16
Superbet
1.16
-
+2.6%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
80.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.05
-
-
-
-
-8.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
80.3%
1.32
Bet365
1.36
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
Superbet
1.29
-
+10.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 2H goals
80.0%
1.06
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.05
-
-
-
-5.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
79.9%
1.14
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Superbet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.12
-0.3%
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
79.3%
1.42
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.44
Bet365
1.44
1xBet
1.41
10Bet
1.40
+14.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
79.0%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
1xBet
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Marathonbet
1.01
-
-9.0%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
78.4%
1.23
Bet365
1.25
1xBet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
Superbet
1.21
-
+3.5%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
78.2%
1.11
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.11
Superbet
1.11
1xBet
1.11
-
-4.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
77.4%
1.31
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.31
-
-
-
+8.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
74.0%
1.20
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
Betfair
1.20
-2.5%
✓ Hit
Over 0.5 HT goals
73.6%
1.28
10Bet
1.30
1xBet
1.29
William Hil
1.29
Betfair
1.29
Marathonbet
1.29
+3.0%
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Bnei Yehuda's squad is €2m more valuable than Hapoel Kfar Shalem's (€3m vs €2m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Hapoel Kfar Shalem have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Hapoel Kfar Shalem have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Hapoel Kfar Shalem have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →