The match between Bnei Yehuda and Maccabi Herzliya is a tight affair, with the model favouring a home win but the odds are close: 38 % for Bnei Yehuda, 29 % for a draw, and 33 % for Maccabi Herzliya. The expected total goals sit at 2.6, with the most likely total being two goals at 26 %. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13.8 % chance. Bnei Yehuda, playing at home against a similarly ranked opponent, averages 1.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded, while Maccabi Herzliya, on the road, averages 1.46 scored and 1.38 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.5 %), Under 6.5 (98.3 %), Away under 3.5 goals (96.3 %), Under 5.5 (95.2 %), Home under 3.5 goals (95.2 %), Under 4.5 (88.0 %), Away under 2.5 goals (87.2 %) and Home +2 handicap (85.5 %). Bnei Yehuda are on a two-game winning run, while Maccabi Herzliya return from a defeat, adding to the uncertainty of the outcome.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bnei Yehuda win
38.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
29.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya win
32.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bnei Yehuda
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
0.97
1.33
1.00
1.87
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.73
1.08
1.50
1.17
1.93
1.00
vs Weaker (4)
0.75
0.25
0.67
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Herzliya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Herzliya
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.43
1.43
1.33
1.60
1.53
1.27
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.39
1.50
1.33
1.60
1.46
1.38
vs Weaker (2)
2.00
0.50
-
-
2.00
0.50
Clean sheet %
17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
74.1%
Under 1.5
25.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
47.6%
Under 2.5
52.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
25.9%
Under 3.5
74.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
53.7%
No
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
9.0%
0-0
8.8%
2-1
8.5%
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
2-0
6.9%
0-2
5.7%
Bnei Yehuda goals ↓
Maccabi Herzliya goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.8%
8.1%
5.7%
2.4%
0.7%
1
9.0%
14%
7.7%
3.2%
1.0%
2
6.9%
8.5%
5.2%
2.1%
0.7%
3
3.1%
3.8%
2.3%
1.0%
0.3%
4
1.0%
1.3%
0.8%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bnei Yehuda goals (down), columns = Maccabi Herzliya goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Maccabi Herzliya
1.68
Ashdod
1.64
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.58
Bnei Yehuda
1.54
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.51
Kiryat Yam SC
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.38
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.34
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.34
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.32
Hapoel Afula
1.22
Kafr Qasim
1.11
Ironi Modi'in
1.08
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Bnei Yehuda is 0.14 points worse than Maccabi Herzliya in terms of average points per game (1.54 vs 1.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.81
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.78
Ashdod
1.66
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.60
Maccabi Herzliya
1.49
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.41
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.35
Kiryat Yam SC
1.30
Bnei Yehuda
1.24
Kafr Qasim
1.14
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.14
Hapoel Acre
1.08
Hapoel Afula
1.05
Ironi Modi'in
1.00
Bnei Yehuda is 0.24 goals worse than Maccabi Herzliya in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.49).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Ashdod
1.11
Maccabi Bnei Raina
1.16
Kiryat Yam SC
1.16
Bnei Yehuda
1.19
Maccabi Herzliya
1.19
Hapoel Ra'anana
1.19
Ironi Modi'in
1.27
Hapoel Acre
1.30
Kafr Qasim
1.32
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1.35
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
1.36
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
1.36
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
1.46
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
1.57
Hapoel Afula
1.57
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
1.70
Bnei Yehuda and Maccabi Herzliya are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.19).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bnei Yehuda or Draw
67.2%
Avg Implied -
38%
29%
33%
covers Bnei Yehuda + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda or Maccabi Herzliya
71.0%
Avg Implied -
38%
29%
33%
covers Bnei Yehuda + Maccabi Herzliya
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Maccabi Herzliya
61.7%
Avg Implied -
38%
29%
33%
covers Draw + Maccabi Herzliya
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5
Over
74.0%
Under
26.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5
Over
39.0%
Under
61.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5
Over
15.4%
Under
84.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 3.5
Over
4.8%
Under
95.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 0.5
Over
70.8%
Under
29.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 1.5
Over
34.8%
Under
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 2.5
Over
12.7%
Under
87.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 3.5
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bnei Yehuda, so a minus line means Bnei Yehuda give that many goals of a start and Maccabi Herzliya receive them. At -1, Bnei Yehuda must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bnei Yehuda win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bnei Yehuda)
Bnei Yehuda -2
6.5%
Draw -2
11.6%
Maccabi Herzliya +2
81.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bnei Yehuda)
Bnei Yehuda -1
18.1%
Draw -1
20.2%
Maccabi Herzliya +1
61.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bnei Yehuda)
Bnei Yehuda +1
67.2%
Draw +1
18.3%
Maccabi Herzliya -1
14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bnei Yehuda)
Bnei Yehuda +2
85.5%
Draw +2
9.7%
Maccabi Herzliya -2
4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bnei Yehuda
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.43
0.60
0.47
0.73
0.40
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
0.69
0.50
0.58
0.58
0.79
0.43
vs Weaker (4)
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.00
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
63% (+36pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Herzliya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Herzliya
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.70
0.50
0.67
0.67
0.73
0.33
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.71
0.54
0.67
0.67
0.77
0.38
vs Weaker (2)
0.50
0.00
-
-
0.50
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bnei Yehuda
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.93
0.53
0.73
0.53
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (26)
1.04
0.58
0.92
0.58
1.14
0.57
vs Weaker (4)
0.25
0.25
0.00
0.33
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Maccabi Herzliya) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Maccabi Herzliya
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.93
0.67
0.93
0.80
0.93
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.68
0.96
0.67
0.93
0.69
1.00
vs Weaker (2)
1.50
0.50
-
-
1.50
0.50
Clean sheet %
37% (+9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bnei Yehuda) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bnei Yehuda over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Maccabi Herzliya over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
87.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
85.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 2.5 goals
84.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
81.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
74.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
74.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
70.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (23)
€4m
BY (26)
€3m
MBR (18)
€3m
HRL (19)
€3m
KYS (24)
€3m
MH (22)
€2m
HR (18)
€2m
HA (23)
€2m
KQ (26)
€2m
HKS (22)
€2m
HKS (14)
€2m
IM (21)
€1m
MKJ (18)
€1m
HA (11)
€1m
Bnei Yehuda and Maccabi Herzliya have a similar squad value (both €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MBR (8)
€2m
HRL (8)
€1m
KYS (10)
€1m
ASH (8)
€1m
BY (9)
€1m
MH (8)
€1m
HKS (7)
€1m
HR (6)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
MKJ (11)
€0m
IM (7)
€0m
KQ (9)
€0m
HKS (4)
€0m
HA (2)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Maccabi Herzliya have a similar attack value (both €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BY (5)
€1m
ASH (6)
€1m
KQ (8)
€1m
MH (4)
€0m
HRL (5)
€0m
HKS (7)
€0m
HR (4)
€0m
KYS (6)
€0m
IM (6)
€0m
MBR (2)
€0m
HA (4)
€0m
MKJ (3)
€0m
HKS (2)
€0m
HA (0)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Maccabi Herzliya have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ASH (9)
€1m
BY (12)
€1m
MBR (8)
€1m
HR (8)
€1m
HKS (11)
€1m
HRL (6)
€1m
HA (10)
€1m
MH (10)
€1m
HA (9)
€1m
KQ (9)
€1m
KYS (8)
€1m
HKS (5)
€0m
MKJ (4)
€0m
IM (8)
€0m
Bnei Yehuda and Maccabi Herzliya have a similar defence value (both €1m).
Israel: Liga Leumit 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Israel: Liga Leumit stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Hapoel Rishon LeZion
Hapoel Afula
Hapoel Ra'anana
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Ashdod
Ironi Modi'in
Maccabi Kiryat Gat
Kiryat Yam SC
Kafr Qasim
Maccabi Ahi Nazareth
Hapoel Kfar Saba
Maccabi Bnei Raina
Maccabi Kabilio Jaffa
Hapoel Acre