The model rates Bodo/Glimt as the clear favourite, with an 78% chance of a home win, 15% for a draw and 7% for Rosenborg to triumph. The expected total of 3.3 goals points to a high-scoring affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 2-0 for the hosts, a 12.7% probability. Bodo/Glimt’s home form is dominant, averaging three goals scored and only 0.2 conceded against weaker opposition, while Rosenborg’s away record against this tier is less convincing. The suggested picks echo the model’s confidence: Away under 3.5 goals99.5%, Away under 2.5 HT goals99.4%, Away under 2.5 2H goals99.1%, Home +2 handicap98.2%, Under 7.598.0%, Away under 2.5 goals96.9%, Under 6.594.9%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals94.8%. Each selection carries its own probability, and the edge percentages highlight where the model sees an advantage.
Results analysis
The win extends Bodo/Glimt’s four-game winning run, cementing the model’s prediction that the home side would prevail. The final score of 4-2 matched the actual result, confirming the favoured outcome. The model’s pick of a Home win, with a 78% probability, proved correct. Every suggested selection also hit: Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.5%, Away under 3.5 goals at 99.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.8%, Home +2 handicap at 98.2%, Under 7.5 at 98.0%, Away under 2.5 goals at 96.9%, Under 6.5 at 94.9%, and Away under 1.5 HT goals at 94.8%. The model’s high-confidence choices all delivered, underscoring the accuracy of its predictions.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bodo/Glimt win✓ Hit
78.5%
Avg Implied 69.7% · @ 1.34
Edge
+8.8%
Best 5 market prices
Bet365
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
Draw✗ Miss
15.0%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.47
Edge
-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
6.06
Dafabet
6.00
1xBet
5.69
Marathonbet
5.55
Bet365
5.50
Rosenborg win✗ Miss
6.5%
Avg Implied 13.2% · @ 7.07
Edge
-6.7%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
7.87
1xBet
7.55
BetVictor
7.50
Betfair
7.50
Marathonbet
7.40
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bodo/Glimt
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.53
0.90
2.80
0.53
2.27
1.27
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
1.25
3.00
0.50
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (7)
1.71
2.14
1.75
1.50
1.67
3.00
vs Weaker (19)
2.95
0.37
3.22
0.11
2.70
0.60
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rosenborg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.47
2.07
1.20
1.13
1.73
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
1.75
1.67
1.33
0.00
3.00
vs Similar (17)
1.47
1.59
1.78
1.44
1.12
1.75
vs Weaker (9)
2.00
1.11
3.33
0.33
1.33
1.50
Clean sheet %
30% (+6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.9%
@ 1.08-1.4%
Under 1.5
15.1%
@ 6.80+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
Under
Betfair
8.00
Pinnacle
7.54
BetVictor
7.50
10Bet
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
64.2%
@ 1.32-6.5%
Under 2.5
35.8%
@ 3.18+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.36
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Superbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Under
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.40
Pinnacle
3.40
10Bet
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
42.1%
@ 1.85-8.9%
Under 3.5
57.9%
@ 1.92+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.91
Pinnacle
1.88
Betano
1.87
1xBet
1.86
Superbet
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
2.01
Betfair
2.00
SBO
2.00
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.94
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.2%
@ 1.53-14.5%
No
53.8%
@ 2.35+14.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.57
Betano
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Unibet
1.54
Marathonbet
1.53
No
Betfair
2.55
William Hil
2.45
BetVictor
2.40
10Bet
2.35
1xBet
2.35
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.7%@ 8.93+7.6%
3-0
11.2%@ 9.96+6.6%
1-0
9.0%@ 11.28+5.0%
2-1
8.6%@ 8.31+3.1%
3-1
7.5%@ 9.27+2.6%
4-0
7.4%@ 14.22+4.2%
1-1
7.2%@ 10.76+2.9%
4-1
5.0%@ 13.32+1.5%
Bodo/Glimt goals ↓
Rosenborg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.3%
1.8%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
1
9.0%
7.2%
2.2%
0.5%
0.1%
2
13%
8.6%
2.9%
0.6%
0.1%
3
11%
7.5%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
4
7.4%
5.0%
1.7%
0.4%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bodo/Glimt goals (down), columns = Rosenborg goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.44
Viking
2.39
Tromso
1.94
Molde
1.67
Fredrikstad
1.44
Lillestrom
1.44
Brann
1.44
Rosenborg
1.33
Ham-Kam
1.28
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Valerenga
1.17
KFUM Oslo
1.06
Sandefjord
1.06
Kristiansund BK
0.89
Aalesund
0.83
Start
0.72
Bodo/Glimt is 1.11 points better than Rosenborg in terms of average points per game (2.44 vs 1.33).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bodo/Glimt
2.61
Viking
2.33
Molde
2.00
Brann
2.00
Tromso
1.89
Valerenga
1.72
Aalesund
1.56
Rosenborg
1.50
Ham-Kam
1.44
Lillestrom
1.33
Fredrikstad
1.22
KFUM Oslo
1.11
Start
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.11
Kristiansund BK
0.94
Sandefjord
0.83
Bodo/Glimt is 1.11 goals better than Rosenborg in terms of goals scored per game (2.61 vs 1.50).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Bodo/Glimt
0.78
Viking
1.00
Tromso
1.11
Sarpsborg 08 FF
1.28
Sandefjord
1.28
Lillestrom
1.39
Rosenborg
1.44
Brann
1.50
Fredrikstad
1.56
Molde
1.61
Kristiansund BK
1.61
KFUM Oslo
1.72
Ham-Kam
1.78
Valerenga
2.11
Start
2.17
Aalesund
2.39
Bodo/Glimt is 0.67 goals better than Rosenborg in terms of goals conceded per game (0.78 vs 1.44).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bodo/Glimt
64%
Brann
59%
Molde
58%
Lillestrom
53%
Rosenborg
52%
Viking
51%
Sandefjord
50%
Tromso
49%
Valerenga
49%
Ham-Kam
48%
Fredrikstad
47%
KFUM Oslo
46%
Sarpsborg 08 FF
45%
Aalesund
43%
Kristiansund BK
43%
Start
42%
Bodo/Glimt is 12.4 percentage points better than Rosenborg in terms of average possession (64% vs 52%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bodo/Glimt
For 6.6 · Against 3.4 · Total 10.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 0.6 · Against 2.7 · Total 3.3
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.8 · Total 22.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Rosenborg
For 6.2 · Against 5.3 · Total 11.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.1 · Against 14.2 · Total 27.3
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bodo/Glimt
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.7
10.4
11.0
2.5
2.5
2.5
19.2
19.9
18.5
vs Stronger (9)
12.8
10.0
15.0
3.1
3.2
3.0
19.0
20.5
17.8
vs Similar (12)
8.2
8.7
7.5
3.8
3.4
4.2
22.8
22.5
23.3
vs Weaker (29)
10.9
11.5
10.5
1.8
1.7
1.9
17.9
18.3
17.6
% over line
60%
57%
64%
28%
29%
27%
33%
33%
32%
% under line
40%
43%
36%
72%
71%
73%
67%
67%
68%
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rosenborg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
11.2
12.2
10.1
3.3
3.2
3.5
25.0
25.0
25.0
vs Stronger (7)
11.3
11.5
11.0
3.9
3.0
5.0
25.6
24.0
27.7
vs Similar (28)
11.3
12.8
9.8
3.8
3.7
3.8
25.1
25.4
24.8
vs Weaker (15)
10.8
11.4
10.3
2.3
2.0
2.6
24.4
24.8
24.0
% over line
67%
81%
52%
50%
50%
50%
69%
71%
67%
% under line
33%
19%
48%
50%
50%
50%
31%
29%
33%
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Valerenga
12.0
Aalesund
11.8
Viking
11.8
Sarpsborg 08 FF
11.3
Rosenborg
11.2
Brann
11.0
Sandefjord
10.9
Bodo/Glimt
10.8
Lillestrom
10.5
Ham-Kam
10.3
Kristiansund BK
10.2
Molde
10.2
Fredrikstad
10.0
Start
8.9
KFUM Oslo
8.9
Tromso
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Molde
4.2
Viking
4.2
Brann
4.2
Lillestrom
4.1
Rosenborg
4.0
Valerenga
3.9
Start
3.8
Sandefjord
3.7
Kristiansund BK
3.6
KFUM Oslo
3.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
3.4
Tromso
3.3
Aalesund
3.3
Fredrikstad
3.2
Ham-Kam
3.0
Bodo/Glimt
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Sandefjord
25.2
Viking
24.7
Rosenborg
24.5
Valerenga
24.0
Tromso
23.9
Brann
23.9
Start
23.6
Molde
23.3
Ham-Kam
23.1
Lillestrom
22.6
Sarpsborg 08 FF
22.6
Kristiansund BK
21.9
KFUM Oslo
21.7
Aalesund
21.6
Fredrikstad
21.1
Bodo/Glimt
19.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.50
Superbet
1.47
Betano
1.45
Pinnacle
1.45
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betano
2.62
Pinnacle
2.59
Marathonbet
2.56
Superbet
2.50
1xBet
2.42
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bodo/Glimt or Draw✓ Hit
93.5%
Avg Implied 86.1% · @ 1.09
Edge
+7.3%
78%
15%
7%
covers Bodo/Glimt + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
Bodo/Glimt or Rosenborg✓ Hit
85.0%
Avg Implied 83.7% · @ 1.12
Edge
+1.3%
78%
15%
7%
covers Bodo/Glimt + Rosenborg
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
Draw or Rosenborg✗ Miss
21.5%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.11
Edge
-8.6%
78%
15%
7%
covers Draw + Rosenborg
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.30
Betano
3.25
Bet365
3.25
1xBet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.20
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
92.8%
@ 1.04+2.1%
Under
7.2%
@ 10.12-2.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Under
Bet365
13.00
1xBet
10.20
Betfair
10.00
Superbet
9.40
Betano
8.00
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
73.9%
@ 1.27+0.7%
Under
26.1%
@ 3.47-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
Under
Pinnacle
3.85
BetVictor
3.60
Betfair
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5Actual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 1.87-0.9%
Under
51.0%
@ 1.86+0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.96
Pinnacle
1.91
Superbet
1.90
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.94
Betfair
1.91
Marathonbet
1.90
1xBet
1.90
BetVictor
1.87
Bodo/Glimt over/under 3.5Actual: Over
Over
27.1%
@ 3.22-1.8%
Under
72.9%
@ 1.31+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
3.40
Pinnacle
3.38
Bet365
3.25
Superbet
3.25
10Bet
3.20
Under
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Rosenborg over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
49.0%
@ 1.44-15.5%
Under
51.0%
@ 2.62+15.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.49
Betano
1.47
Marathonbet
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
Superbet
2.67
10Bet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
Rosenborg over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
14.7%
@ 3.14-15.0%
Under
85.3%
@ 1.33+15.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.32
Bet365
3.25
Marathonbet
3.22
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.16
Under
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Rosenborg over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
3.1%
@ 8.18-8.3%
Under
96.9%
@ 1.06+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Marathonbet
8.20
1xBet
8.10
Betfair
8.00
Superbet
7.70
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
Rosenborg over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 20.00-4.3%
Under
99.5%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Superbet
22.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bodo/Glimt, so a minus line means Bodo/Glimt give that many goals of a start and Rosenborg receive them. At -1, Bodo/Glimt must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bodo/Glimt win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bodo/Glimt)Actual: Draw
Bodo/Glimt -2
35.9%
@ 2.95+5.8%
Draw -2
22.1%
@ 4.17+0.7%
Rosenborg +2
42.0%
@ 1.84-6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
3.10
Superbet
3.00
Bet365
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Betfair
2.88
Draw
Bet365
4.50
Marathonbet
4.25
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.15
10Bet
4.00
Away
Marathonbet
1.91
10Bet
1.85
Superbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap -1 (Bodo/Glimt)Actual: Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt -1
58.0%
@ 1.85+9.3%
Draw -1
20.5%
@ 4.01-2.0%
Rosenborg +1
21.5%
@ 3.13-7.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Unibet
1.90
Superbet
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Marathonbet
1.83
Bet365
1.83
Draw
Bet365
4.33
Betfair
4.20
Superbet
4.00
10Bet
4.00
Marathonbet
3.94
Away
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
Marathonbet
3.20
Superbet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Handicap +1 (Bodo/Glimt)Actual: Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt +1
93.5%
@ 1.09+8.7%
Draw +1
4.8%
@ 9.67-4.8%
Rosenborg -1
1.8%
@ 16.00-4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
Draw
Bet365
11.00
Betfair
10.00
Unibet
8.00
Away
Bet365
19.00
Betfair
17.00
Unibet
12.00
Handicap +2 (Bodo/Glimt)Actual: Bodo/Glimt
Bodo/Glimt +2
98.2%
@ 1.02+4.6%
Draw +2
1.4%
@ 21.00-3.1%
Rosenborg -2
0.3%
@ 51.00-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.02
Draw
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
21.00
Away
Betfair
61.00
Bet365
41.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bodo/Glimt
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.47
1.13
0.33
1.13
0.60
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.50
1.50
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.14
0.75
0.75
1.00
1.67
vs Weaker (19)
1.32
0.21
1.22
0.11
1.40
0.30
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rosenborg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.73
0.77
0.93
0.53
0.53
1.00
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
0.67
0.67
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (17)
0.65
0.88
0.89
0.67
0.38
1.12
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.44
1.33
0.00
0.83
0.67
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
80.6%
@ 1.17+1.5%
Under 0.5
19.4%
@ 4.44-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.80
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
Superbet
4.50
10Bet
4.50
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
41.6%
@ 1.89-7.7%
Under 1.5
58.4%
@ 1.84+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.98
SBO
1.97
Unibet
1.92
1xBet
1.91
Marathonbet
1.91
Under
Pinnacle
1.93
Superbet
1.87
SBO
1.87
Betfair
1.85
10Bet
1.85
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
23.0%
@ 3.74-1.8%
Under 2.5
77.0%
@ 1.23+1.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
3.85
BetVictor
3.80
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Superbet
3.70
Under
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
70.9%
@ 1.36+2.8%
Under
29.1%
@ 2.90-2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Under
1xBet
3.00
10Bet
3.00
Superbet
2.92
Unibet
2.80
Betano
2.80
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
31.9%
@ 2.68-2.8%
Under
68.1%
@ 1.42+2.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.80
Pinnacle
2.74
Marathonbet
2.68
Superbet
2.65
10Bet
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.47
1xBet
1.43
10Bet
1.42
Superbet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.40
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
10.3%
@ 6.29-4.4%
Under
89.7%
@ 1.08+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.30
10Bet
6.25
Superbet
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
Rosenborg over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
29.8%
@ 2.43-8.5%
Under
70.2%
@ 1.51+8.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.43
Superbet
2.40
10Bet
2.40
Under
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
Rosenborg over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 8.34-5.9%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.04+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.90
10Bet
8.50
1xBet
8.40
Superbet
8.10
Betano
7.80
Under
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Rosenborg over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.5%
@ 33.00-99.5%
Under
99.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
33.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bodo/Glimt
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
0.43
1.67
0.20
1.13
0.67
vs Stronger (4)
1.25
0.75
1.50
0.00
1.00
1.50
vs Similar (7)
0.86
1.00
1.00
0.75
0.67
1.33
vs Weaker (19)
1.63
0.16
2.00
0.00
1.30
0.30
Clean sheet %
67% (+43pp vs league)
This opponent (Rosenborg) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Rosenborg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.70
1.13
0.67
0.60
0.73
vs Stronger (4)
0.75
0.75
1.00
0.67
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (17)
0.82
0.71
0.89
0.78
0.75
0.62
vs Weaker (9)
1.00
0.67
2.00
0.33
0.50
0.83
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (Bodo/Glimt) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
86.2%
@ 1.10+1.2%
Under 0.5
13.8%
@ 6.26-1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
Under
Bet365
6.50
1xBet
6.40
Betano
6.20
Superbet
6.20
William Hil
6.00
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
58.1%
@ 1.53-2.6%
Under 1.5
41.9%
@ 2.36+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
1.56
William Hil
1.55
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.53
Bet365
1.53
Under
Betano
2.47
Marathonbet
2.39
1xBet
2.39
Bet365
2.38
Superbet
2.37
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
28.6%
@ 2.61-7.1%
Under 2.5
71.4%
@ 1.45+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.70
Superbet
2.65
Bet365
2.62
1xBet
2.56
Marathonbet
2.56
Under
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bodo/Glimt over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
78.0%
@ 1.23+2.5%
Under
22.0%
@ 3.79-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
Under
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.80
Betano
3.80
Superbet
3.65
Bodo/Glimt over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
46.1%
@ 2.07+1.4%
Under
53.9%
@ 1.67-1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.12
10Bet
2.10
1xBet
2.05
Betano
2.05
Marathonbet
2.03
Under
Betano
1.72
1xBet
1.68
Marathonbet
1.68
10Bet
1.65
Superbet
1.64
Bodo/Glimt over/under 2.5 2HActual: Over
Over
18.9%
@ 4.35-2.5%
Under
81.1%
@ 1.18+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
4.50
Superbet
4.50
1xBet
4.30
Betano
4.10
Under
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
Rosenborg over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
34.2%
@ 2.01-12.0%
Under
65.8%
@ 1.72+12.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.05
Superbet
2.02
Betano
2.02
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Under
10Bet
1.75
Betano
1.75
1xBet
1.72
Superbet
1.71
Marathonbet
1.67
Rosenborg over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
6.1%
@ 6.10-9.1%
Under
93.9%
@ 1.09+9.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.50
1xBet
6.20
Superbet
6.10
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
Rosenborg over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.2%
@ 17.50-4.3%
Under
98.8%
@ 1.01+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
21.00
Superbet
20.00
Betano
11.50
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.8%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+4.3%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
98.2%
1.02
Bet365
1.02
Betfair
1.02
-
-
-
+4.6%
✓ Hit
Under 7.5
98.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+3.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
96.9%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
Superbet
1.06
Marathonbet
1.04
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
94.9%
1.06
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.06
1xBet
1.06
Superbet
1.05
+5.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
94.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.05
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
+5.9%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
93.9%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.09
1xBet
1.08
Marathonbet
1.07
+9.1%
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
93.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.10
Bet365
1.10
William Hil
1.10
BetVictor
1.10
+7.3%
✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap
93.5%
1.09
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.09
Betfair
1.07
-
-
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
92.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.01
+2.1%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
89.7%
1.08
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.09
10Bet
1.08
1xBet
1.07
-
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
88.2%
1.15
10Bet
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Bet365
1.17
Betano
1.17
Pinnacle
1.17
+7.3%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
86.2%
1.10
William Hil
1.11
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.11
Superbet
1.10
1xBet
1.08
+1.2%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 goals
85.3%
1.33
Superbet
1.35
Betano
1.34
Pinnacle
1.34
1xBet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
+15.0%
✗ Miss
Home or Away
85.0%
1.12
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
1xBet
1.14
Bet365
1.14
Superbet
1.13
+1.3%
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
84.9%
1.08
Betano
1.11
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
Unibet
1.10
10Bet
1.09
-1.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
81.1%
1.18
Betano
1.21
1xBet
1.17
10Bet
1.17
Superbet
1.16
-
+2.5%
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 HT goals
80.6%
1.17
Betano
1.22
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Superbet
1.18
10Bet
1.17
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Home win
78.5%
1.34
Bet365
1.38
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.36
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.35
+8.8%
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 2H goals
78.0%
1.23
Betano
1.24
Superbet
1.24
10Bet
1.22
1xBet
1.21
-
+2.5%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
77.0%
1.23
William Hil
1.25
Superbet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+1.8%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
76.1%
1.38
Pinnacle
1.41
10Bet
1.40
Betfair
1.40
Bet365
1.40
Betano
1.40
+8.8%
✗ Miss
Home over 1.5 goals
73.9%
1.27
Betano
1.30
Unibet
1.30
Superbet
1.29
Bet365
1.28
Pinnacle
1.27
+0.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
72.9%
1.31
Betano
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
+1.8%
✗ Miss
Under 2.5 2H goals
71.4%
1.45
Betano
1.50
Marathonbet
1.45
1xBet
1.45
Superbet
1.44
Bet365
1.44
+7.1%
✗ Miss
Home over 0.5 HT goals
70.9%
1.36
Betano
1.40
Unibet
1.37
Superbet
1.35
1xBet
1.35
10Bet
1.33
+2.8%
✓ Hit
Away under 0.5 HT goals
70.2%
1.51
Pinnacle
1.55
1xBet
1.52
Superbet
1.51
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
+8.5%
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bodo/Glimt
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Andreas Helmersen39%
Kasper Høgh33%
Håkon Evjen31%
Sondre Fet25%
Ole Didrik Blomberg24%
Jens Petter Hauge22%
Ferslev Anders Klynge17%
Mikkel Bro Hansen17%
Fredrik André Bjørkan16%
Fredrik Sjøvold14%
Haitam Aleesami13%
Patrick Berg11%
Sondre Auklend10%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Isak Dybvik Määttä5%
Nikita Haikin0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mikkel Bro Hansen17%
Sondre Auklend15%
Ole Didrik Blomberg10%
Håkon Evjen8%
Haitam Aleesami7%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Jens Petter Hauge6%
Patrick Berg5%
Sondre Fet5%
Kasper Høgh0%
Nikita Haikin0%
Fredrik André Bjørkan0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Andreas Helmersen0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Fredrik Sjøvold0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jens Petter Hauge28%
Kasper Høgh25%
Sondre Auklend25%
Ole Didrik Blomberg24%
Andreas Helmersen11%
Fredrik André Bjørkan11%
Daniel Bassi10%
Fredrik Sjøvold10%
Håkon Evjen8%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Patrick Berg5%
Sondre Fet5%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft5%
Haitam Aleesami0%
Nikita Haikin0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Isak Dybvik Määttä0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Mikkel Bro Hansen0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Kasper Høgh42%
Andreas Helmersen39%
Patrick Berg21%
Sondre Auklend10%
Haitam Aleesami7%
Ola Brynhildsen7%
Jens Petter Hauge6%
Fredrik André Bjørkan5%
Sondre Fet5%
Odin Luras Bjørtuft5%
Isak Dybvik Määttä5%
Nikita Haikin0%
Håkon Evjen0%
Ulrik Saltnes0%
Joshua Kitolano0%
Jostein Gundersen0%
Ole Didrik Blomberg0%
Ferslev Anders Klynge0%
Magnus Riisnæs0%
Fredrik Sjøvold0%
Daniel Bassi0%
Villads Nielsen0%
Mikkel Bro Hansen0%
Rosenborg
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Amin Chiakha44%
Simen Nordli36%
Iver Fossum23%
Emil Konradsen Ceide22%
Dino Islamović9%
Jonas Svensson8%
Dávid Ďuriš8%
Noah Sahsah8%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira8%
Mads Bomholt6%
Ole Selnaes0%
Jonas Mortensen0%
Aslak Witry0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Håkon Røsten0%
Tobias Solheim Dahl0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aslak Witry31%
Jonas Svensson25%
Dávid Ďuriš25%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde25%
Tomáš Nemčík20%
Simen Nordli18%
Amin Chiakha17%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira15%
Tobias Solheim Dahl14%
Ole Selnaes13%
Håkon Røsten12%
Emil Konradsen Ceide11%
Mads Bomholt11%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide10%
Dino Islamović9%
Jonas Mortensen8%
Leopold Wahlstedt6%
Iver Fossum0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Håkon Volden0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ole Selnaes33%
Mads Bomholt22%
Emil Konradsen Ceide17%
Amin Chiakha11%
Jonas Svensson8%
Iver Fossum8%
Jonas Mortensen0%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira0%
Aslak Witry0%
Dino Islamović0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Simen Nordli0%
Dávid Ďuriš0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Håkon Røsten0%
Tobias Solheim Dahl0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Amin Chiakha39%
Emil Konradsen Ceide22%
Simen Nordli18%
Iver Fossum15%
Mads Bomholt11%
Dino Islamović9%
Dávid Ďuriš8%
Ole Selnaes0%
Jonas Mortensen0%
Jonas Svensson0%
Adrian Nilsen Pereira0%
Aslak Witry0%
Santeri Väänänen0%
Leopold Wahlstedt0%
Johan Johanessen Bakke0%
Tomáš Nemčík0%
Mikkel Konradsen Ceide0%
Håkon Røsten0%
Tobias Solheim Dahl0%
Noah Sahsah0%
Jesper Reitan-Sunde0%
Håkon Volden0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (24)
€75m
VIK (27)
€47m
MOL (26)
€35m
BRA (25)
€27m
ROS (23)
€23m
S0F (24)
€16m
VAL (22)
€16m
FRE (25)
€15m
TRO (22)
€15m
LIL (25)
€14m
AAL (25)
€13m
KB (21)
€13m
SAN (23)
€12m
HAM (24)
€10m
STA (25)
€9m
KO (24)
€8m
Bodo/Glimt's squad is €52m more valuable than Rosenborg's (€75m vs €23m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€22m
VIK (10)
€21m
MOL (7)
€13m
BRA (10)
€11m
ROS (8)
€10m
S0F (10)
€9m
LIL (9)
€6m
VAL (7)
€6m
AAL (7)
€5m
KB (6)
€5m
FRE (5)
€5m
SAN (8)
€4m
TRO (6)
€4m
HAM (10)
€4m
KO (8)
€3m
STA (5)
€2m
Bodo/Glimt's attack is €11m more valuable than Rosenborg's (€22m vs €10m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (7)
€27m
VIK (5)
€12m
MOL (8)
€7m
BRA (4)
€7m
VAL (6)
€5m
KB (6)
€4m
AAL (8)
€4m
LIL (4)
€4m
ROS (4)
€3m
S0F (5)
€3m
STA (8)
€3m
HAM (6)
€3m
TRO (5)
€3m
FRE (4)
€3m
SAN (4)
€2m
KO (5)
€2m
Bodo/Glimt's midfield is €24m more valuable than Rosenborg's (€27m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BOD (10)
€26m
VIK (12)
€15m
MOL (11)
€15m
ROS (11)
€9m
BRA (11)
€9m
TRO (11)
€8m
FRE (16)
€8m
VAL (9)
€5m
SAN (11)
€5m
LIL (12)
€5m
AAL (10)
€4m
S0F (9)
€4m
HAM (8)
€4m
KO (11)
€4m
STA (12)
€4m
KB (9)
€3m
Bodo/Glimt's defence is €17m more valuable than Rosenborg's (€26m vs €9m).
Norway: Eliteserien 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Norway: Eliteserien stats & trends →
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Viking
Tromso
Molde
Brann
Lillestrom
Fredrikstad
Sarpsborg 08 FF
Ham-Kam
Valerenga
Sandefjord
KFUM Oslo
Kristiansund BK
Aalesund
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