PythiaFootballBETA
Bohemians 1905 are looking to build on their momentum after coming off a win, but they face a tough test against Hradec Králové, who are also coming off a win. The model's selection, the away win, suggests a narrow margin, with the most likely scoreline being 1-1, carrying a 14.3% probability. The expected total number of goals is 2.4, with the most likely total being 2 goals.
Bohemians 1905 have struggled to find the back of the net at home, scoring an average of 0.83 goals, while conceding 1.33 goals. Hradec Králové, on the other hand, have shown promise away from home, scoring 1.5 goals and conceding 0.9 goals against similar opponents.
The model's selection, the away win, has a 38% probability, with the draw at 30% and the home win at 32%. The model's suggested picks include Under 3.5 (78% probability), which offers an 8% edge, and Over 1.5 (70.4% probability), where the model has missed the mark.
In a stunning turn of events, Hradec Králové drew with Bohemians 1905, spoiling the home team's momentum as they came off a win. The win extends their run of decent form, but it's the visitors who take the points. The pre-match favourite, Bohemians 1905, was the model's selection, but unfortunately, it was wrong, as the model pick was an away win with a 38% probability. The model's call was incorrect. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, as the final score was 0-0, with a probability of 78%. Over 1.5 goals, the model's selection, missed, with a probability of 70.4%.
Bohemians 1905| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 1.23 | 0.86 | 1.21 | 1.06 | 1.25 |
| vs Stronger (18) | 0.78 | 1.39 | 0.75 | 1.50 | 0.80 | 1.30 |
| vs Similar (12) | 1.25 | 1.00 | 1.00 | 0.83 | 1.50 | 1.17 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 27% (-1pp vs league) | |||||
Hradec Králové| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.53 | 1.03 | 1.73 | 0.73 | 1.33 | 1.33 |
| vs Stronger (9) | 1.56 | 1.78 | 2.00 | 1.50 | 1.20 | 2.00 |
| vs Similar (11) | 1.45 | 0.91 | 1.67 | 0.67 | 1.20 | 1.20 |
| vs Weaker (10) | 1.60 | 0.50 | 1.60 | 0.20 | 1.60 | 0.80 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+13pp vs league) | |||||
| Hradec Králové goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 10% | 10% | 7.2% | 3.0% | 0.9% |
| 1 | 9.1% | 14% | 8.2% | 3.4% | 1.1% |
| 2 | 5.9% | 7.4% | 4.7% | 2.0% | 0.6% |
| 3 | 2.3% | 2.8% | 1.8% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
| 4 | 0.6% | 0.8% | 0.5% | 0.2% | 0.1% |
Bohemians 1905Hradec KrálovéBohemians 1905| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 10.5 | 10.1 | 10.8 | 3.7 | 4.2 | 3.1 | 22.5 | 21.9 | 23.0 |
| vs Stronger (33) | 9.6 | 8.9 | 10.3 | 3.8 | 4.4 | 3.2 | 23.1 | 22.7 | 23.5 |
| vs Similar (16) | 12.1 | 12.4 | 11.9 | 3.5 | 4.3 | 2.9 | 21.4 | 20.7 | 21.9 |
| vs Weaker (1) | 13.0 | 13.0 | - | 2.0 | 2.0 | - | 18.0 | 18.0 | - |
| % over line | 56% | 50% | 62% | 52% | 62% | 42% | 56% | 50% | 62% |
| % under line | 44% | 50% | 38% | 48% | 38% | 58% | 44% | 50% | 38% |
Hradec Králové| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | 9.6 | 9.6 | 9.6 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.8 | 23.2 | 23.6 | 22.8 |
| vs Stronger (12) | 9.6 | 11.2 | 8.3 | 3.8 | 3.8 | 3.7 | 21.8 | 22.2 | 21.5 |
| vs Similar (22) | 9.9 | 9.2 | 10.7 | 3.2 | 3.7 | 2.7 | 23.5 | 24.7 | 22.0 |
| vs Weaker (16) | 9.1 | 9.0 | 9.2 | 2.9 | 3.6 | 2.1 | 23.8 | 23.0 | 24.6 |
| % over line | 45% | 44% | 46% | 36% | 52% | 20% | 63% | 60% | 67% |
| % under line | 55% | 56% | 54% | 64% | 48% | 80% | 37% | 40% | 33% |
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 3.5 | 78.0% | 1.33 | 1.38 | 1.35 | 1.35 | 1.33 | 1.33 | +8.0% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 1.5 | 70.4% | 1.26 | 1.29 | 1.29 | 1.28 | 1.27 | 1.25 | -3.6% | ✗ Miss |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 05/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 02/11/25 | H | 1-2 | |
| 25/05/25 | A | 2-0 | |
| 18/05/25 | H | 1-0 | |
| 16/02/25 | A | 2-2 | |
| 04/12/24 | H | 0-3 | |
| 11/02/24 | A | 2-2 | |
| 27/08/23 | H | 2-1 |
Bohemians 1905| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 25/07/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 02/05/26 | H | 1-3 | |
| 25/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 05/04/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 15/03/26 | A | 2-0 | |
| 07/03/26 | H | 0-0 | |
| 01/03/26 | A | 1-0 |
Hradec Králové| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 30/07/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 23/07/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 24/05/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 3-1 | |
| 13/05/26 | H | 1-0 | |
| 10/05/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 03/05/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 25/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 19/04/26 | H | 2-1 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 |  Slavia Praha | 4 | 10 | 75% | 2.5 | 12 | 3 | +9 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 50% | 9.8 | 25% | 3.5 | 50% | 27.8 | 100% | 123 | 27 | 35 | 61 | 3.0 | 0.8 | 58% |
| 2 |  FK Jablonec | 3 | 9 | 100% | 3.0 | 5 | 1 | +4 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 0% | 8.7 | 33% | 3.3 | 33% | 31.0 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.7 | 0.3 | 49% |
| 3 |  Mlada Boleslav | 4 | 8 | 50% | 2.0 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 3.5 | 100% | 50% | 50% | 11.0 | 50% | 3.2 | 50% | 25.5 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 1.2 | 55% |
| 4 |  Slovan Liberec | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 5 | 3 | +2 | 2.0 | 50% | 25% | 25% | 9.0 | 25% | 7.0 | 100% | 26.2 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 0.8 | 47% |
| 5 | Hradec Králové | 3 | 7 | 67% | 2.3 | 4 | 2 | +2 | 2.0 | 67% | 67% | 0% | 9.3 | 33% | 3.7 | 67% | 25.0 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 0.7 | 45% |
| 6 |  Sigma Olomouc | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 7 | 6 | +1 | 3.2 | 100% | 100% | 25% | 8.8 | 50% | 1.8 | 0% | 26.8 | 50% | 30 | 7 | 10 | 12 | 1.8 | 1.5 | 51% |
| 7 |  Teplice | 4 | 7 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 10 | +0 | 5.0 | 75% | 75% | 75% | 11.8 | 75% | 5.2 | 50% | 25.0 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.5 | 42% |
| 8 |  Sparta Praha | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 8 | 7 | +1 | 3.8 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 12.2 | 50% | 4.0 | 67% | 24.0 | 75% | 97 | 45 | 28 | 24 | 2.0 | 1.8 | 64% |
| 9 |  Baník Ostrava | 4 | 6 | 50% | 1.5 | 3 | 6 | -3 | 2.2 | 50% | 50% | 25% | 9.8 | 25% | 3.5 | 25% | 26.2 | 75% | 19 | 5 | 7 | 7 | 0.8 | 1.5 | 52% |
| 10 |  Plzen | 4 | 5 | 25% | 1.2 | 10 | 11 | -1 | 5.2 | 100% | 75% | 75% | 7.5 | 0% | 4.8 | 75% | 25.8 | 75% | 57 | 15 | 22 | 20 | 2.5 | 2.8 | 56% |
| 11 |  Zbrojovka Brno | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 2.3 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 10.0 | 33% | 5.0 | 100% | 20.0 | 33% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.3 | 1.0 | - |
| 12 | Bohemians 1905 | 3 | 4 | 33% | 1.3 | 3 | 3 | +0 | 2.0 | 67% | 33% | 33% | 11.7 | 67% | 3.3 | 33% | 28.0 | 67% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.0 | 46% |
| 13 |  Artis | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 4 | 8 | -4 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 8.2 | 25% | 3.8 | 50% | 26.0 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.0 | 30% |
| 14 |  Pardubice | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2.5 | 100% | 50% | 0% | 9.0 | 25% | 2.8 | 25% | 29.8 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 1.8 | 46% |
| 15 |  Slovácko | 4 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 25% | 7.2 | 25% | 3.5 | 50% | 33.5 | 100% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 52% |
| 16 |  Zlin | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 3 | 9 | -6 | 3.0 | 75% | 50% | 50% | 8.0 | 0% | 3.2 | 25% | 30.5 | 75% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 40% |