Bohemians 1905 vs Zbrojovka Brno Result & Analysis

The model projects a high-scoring affair, with an expected 3.5 goals and a 3-goal total most likely. The most probable scoreline is 1-1, with a 10.3% chance. The favoured outcome is an away win, with 40% probability, while a home win sits at 36% and a draw at 24%. Bohemians 1905, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.4 goals scored and 1.6 conceded. Zbrojovka Brno, on the road, average 1.71 goals scored and 1.29 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals (87%), Over 19.5 fouls (86.7%), Under 5.5 cards (83%), Over 21.5 fouls (75.4%) and Over 2.5 cards (71.4%). Each selection is listed with its probability and whether it hit or missed. The recent form notes that Bohemians are coming off a win, while Zbrojovka are on a three-game winning streak.

The match ended in a 1-1 draw, a shock that left the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick for an away win at 40 percent, on the wrong side of the outcome. The model’s selection was therefore incorrect. The game delivered the most likely total of three goals, but the scoreline of 1-1 was not the predicted 1-2 or 2-1. The model’s other picks performed as follows: Over 1.5 goals hit, with 87 percent probability; Over 19.5 fouls hit at 86.7 percent; Under 5.5 cards hit at 83 percent; Over 21.5 fouls hit at 75.4 percent; and Over 2.5 cards missed at 71.4 percent. The home side, Bohemians 1905, had just won their last match, while Zbrojovka Brno were on a three-game winning streak.