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Bolton vs Lincoln Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-1
Bolton
Bolton
Vs
48%
28%
24%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League One
Referee: J Miles

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bolton win✗ Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied 53.1% · @ 1.76
Edge
-5.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
27.8%
Avg Implied 26.2% · @ 3.56
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Lincoln win✗ Miss
24.4%
Avg Implied 20.7% · @ 4.51
Edge
+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BoltonBolton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-414L02L24L11D11D02L20W33D11D11DA·BAR12/04H·WYC18/04A·LIN21/04A·PET26/04H·STE03/05A·STO03/08H·PLY09/08H·SHE13/08A·BAR16/08H·REA20/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.531.641.361.191.69
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (16)1.251.621.571.431.001.78
vs Weaker (13)1.691.541.711.291.671.83
Clean sheet %17% (-11pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W42W23L02L20W02L31W32W10WH·SHR12/04A·REA18/04H·BOL21/04A·STO26/04H·WRE03/05H·REA02/08A·AFC09/08A·HAR12/08H·PLY16/08A·NOR19/08
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.231.730.931.331.53
vs Stronger (3)0.331.670.002.000.501.50
vs Similar (24)1.711.171.920.851.451.55
vs Weaker (3)1.331.331.001.001.501.50
Clean sheet %30% (+2pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%26%9%017%126%222%314%47%55%6+
The model estimates around 2.6 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
74.6%
Under 1.5
25.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
48.4%
@ 2.08+3.6%
Under 2.5
51.6%
@ 1.69-3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
26.6%
Under 3.5
73.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
52.6%
No
47.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.3%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
0-0
8.6%
0-1
6.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-2
4.9%
Bolton goals ↓
Lincoln goals →
01234
08.6%6.5%4.1%1.4%0.4%
110%13%6.3%2.2%0.6%
28.9%9.4%4.9%1.7%0.5%
34.6%4.9%2.6%0.9%0.2%
41.8%1.9%1.0%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bolton goals (down), columns = Lincoln goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Lincoln
2.24
Cardiff
1.98
Bolton
1.71
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Stevenage
1.56
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Burton
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Exeter
1.07
Port Vale
0.91
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.76
Bolton is 0.52 points worse than Lincoln in terms of average points per game (1.71 vs 2.24).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cardiff
1.96
Lincoln
1.93
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Bolton
1.55
Stockport
1.53
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Exeter
1.13
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Stevenage
1.02
Rotherham
0.89
Northampton
0.85
Port Vale
0.78
Bolton is 0.38 goals worse than Lincoln in terms of goals scored per game (1.55 vs 1.93).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Lincoln
0.89
Stevenage
1.02
Bolton
1.08
Mansfield
1.09
Cardiff
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Luton
1.22
Wigan
1.26
Wycombe
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Port Vale
1.33
Exeter
1.33
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Doncaster
1.50
Leyton Orient
1.54
Rotherham
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Northampton
1.61
Bolton is 0.19 goals worse than Lincoln in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Cardiff
63%
Bolton
59%
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Exeter
51%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Port Vale
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Rotherham
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Northampton
45%
Lincoln
42%
Bolton is 16.6 percentage points better than Lincoln in terms of average possession (59% vs 42%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BoltonBolton

For 4.6 · Against 3.2 · Total 7.8

🚩 Corners

16031234837942655432434541116611957H·REAA·BARH·SHEH·PLYA·STOH·STEA·PETA·LINH·WYCA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.7 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

905232124121542222235536319445H·REAA·BARH·SHEH·PLYA·STOH·STEA·PETA·LINH·WYCA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 13.2 · Total 26.0

⚠️ Fouls

310921151412916913131112131114131318121230292125262324273124H·REAA·BARH·SHEH·PLYA·STOH·STEA·PETA·LINH·WYCA·BAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

LincolnLincoln

For 5.1 · Against 5.5 · Total 10.6

🚩 Corners

17016461023639423945931077101291261291217A·NORH·PLYA·HARA·AFCH·REAH·WREA·STOH·BOLA·REAH·SHR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.6 · Total 3.9

🟨 Cards

10043641111232244171011133481A·NORH·PLYA·HARA·AFCH·REAH·WREA·STOH·BOLA·REAH·SHR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 10.2 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

31013915111161511144612111313141912121022261726181824273122A·NORH·PLYA·HARA·AFCH·REAH·WREA·STOH·BOLA·REAH·SHR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BoltonBolton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.49.65.05.14.925.526.524.4
vs Stronger (2)11.0-11.02.5-2.525.0-25.0
vs Similar (26)9.29.48.95.65.95.227.027.626.2
vs Weaker (22)9.89.310.34.54.14.923.725.122.1
% over line50%52%48%76%76%76%81%80%83%
% under line50%48%52%24%24%24%19%20%17%
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.59.69.53.73.63.723.522.824.2
vs Stronger (5)8.89.58.02.23.01.722.823.522.0
vs Similar (41)9.49.29.63.93.84.023.722.824.6
vs Weaker (4)11.517.09.72.81.03.322.522.022.7
% over line51%52%50%52%43%59%66%57%75%
% under line49%48%50%48%57%41%34%43%25%
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Huddersfield
10.9
Barnsley
10.8
Luton
10.8
Doncaster
10.6
Reading
10.3
Peterboro
10.0
Exeter
10.0
Rotherham
9.9
Port Vale
9.9
Stevenage
9.7
Plymouth
9.6
Cardiff
9.6
Blackpool
9.6
Bolton
9.5
Burton
9.5
Lincoln
9.5
Wigan
9.5
Bradford
9.4
Mansfield
9.4
Leyton Orient
9.4
Wycombe
9.2
AFC Wimbledon
9.2
Northampton
8.9
Stockport
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bolton
5.2
Bradford
4.9
Exeter
4.1
Stevenage
4.1
Peterboro
4.0
Lincoln
4.0
Luton
4.0
Stockport
3.9
Port Vale
3.9
Doncaster
3.9
Burton
3.9
AFC Wimbledon
3.8
Wigan
3.8
Wycombe
3.8
Huddersfield
3.8
Northampton
3.7
Cardiff
3.7
Plymouth
3.7
Mansfield
3.7
Barnsley
3.6
Leyton Orient
3.6
Reading
3.5
Rotherham
3.3
Blackpool
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bolton
25.4
Stevenage
25.2
Wycombe
24.7
Stockport
24.6
Exeter
24.5
Doncaster
24.4
Bradford
24.4
Rotherham
24.2
Wigan
24.1
Luton
24.1
Lincoln
23.8
Peterboro
23.6
Mansfield
23.6
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Cardiff
23.1
Reading
23.1
Plymouth
23.0
Northampton
22.9
Blackpool
22.8
Huddersfield
22.8
Port Vale
22.2
Burton
21.6
Leyton Orient
21.3
Barnsley
21.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.1%
Under 9.5
46.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
58.2%
Under 3.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
73.3%
Under 21.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BoltonBolton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D22D11D00D01L10W12L00D00DA·BAR12/04H·WYC18/04A·LIN21/04A·PET26/04H·STE03/05A·STO03/08H·PLY09/08H·SHE13/08A·BAR16/08H·REA20/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.430.570.440.81
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (16)0.500.810.430.570.561.00
vs Weaker (13)0.380.620.430.570.330.67
Clean sheet %50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D00D22D20W00D10W01L10W10W10WH·SHR12/04A·REA18/04H·BOL21/04A·STO26/04H·WRE03/05H·REA02/08A·AFC09/08A·HAR12/08H·PLY16/08A·NOR19/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.470.870.400.530.53
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (24)0.790.460.920.380.640.55
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.001.000.500.50
Clean sheet %63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bolton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BoltonBolton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L02L00D11D01L10W21W11D11DA·BAR12/04H·WYC18/04A·LIN21/04A·PET26/04H·STE03/05A·STO03/08H·PLY09/08H·SHE13/08A·BAR16/08H·REA20/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.831.210.790.750.88
vs Stronger (1)0.000.00--0.000.00
vs Similar (16)0.750.811.140.860.440.78
vs Weaker (13)1.310.921.290.711.331.17
Clean sheet %40% (+12pp vs league)
This opponent (Lincoln) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

LincolnLincoln

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W20W03L02L10W01L21W22D00DH·SHR12/04A·REA18/04H·BOL21/04A·STO26/04H·WRE03/05H·REA02/08A·AFC09/08A·HAR12/08H·PLY16/08A·NOR19/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.770.870.530.801.00
vs Stronger (3)0.331.330.002.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.920.711.000.460.821.00
vs Weaker (3)0.670.670.000.001.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Bolton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bolton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bolton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lincoln over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls85.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards77.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.574.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.573.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls73.3%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.7%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bolton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Johnny Kenny43%
Corey Blackett-Taylor29%
Mason Burstow22%
Amario Cozier-Duberry21%
Sam Dalby20%
Rúben Rodrigues20%
Thierry Gale15%
Kyle Dempsey10%
Ibrahim Cissoko10%
Eoin Toal8%
Jordi Osei-Tutu8%
John McAtee7%
Joel Randall7%
Xavier Simons6%
Marcus Forss6%
Josh Sheehan5%
Chris Forino3%
George Johnston2%
Cyrus Christie0%
Josh Dacres-Cogley0%
Jack Bonham0%
Aaron Morley0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Tyler Miller0%
Richard Taylor0%
Teddy Sharman-Lowe0%
Max Conway0%
Robert Apter0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Chris Forino25%
Josh Sheehan24%
Johnny Kenny21%
George Johnston19%
Ibrahim Cissoko17%
Jordi Osei-Tutu15%
Josh Dacres-Cogley14%
Corey Blackett-Taylor14%
Richard Taylor14%
Kyle Dempsey14%
Cyrus Christie12%
Ethan Erhahon12%
Xavier Simons9%
Thierry Gale8%
John McAtee7%
Rúben Rodrigues7%
Max Conway7%
Mason Burstow6%
Marcus Forss6%
Eoin Toal5%
Aaron Morley5%
Sam Dalby5%
Teddy Sharman-Lowe5%
Amario Cozier-Duberry3%
Joel Randall0%
Jack Bonham0%
Tyler Miller0%
Robert Apter0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Amario Cozier-Duberry24%
Josh Dacres-Cogley21%
Corey Blackett-Taylor14%
Johnny Kenny14%
Rúben Rodrigues13%
Ethan Erhahon12%
Thierry Gale10%
Josh Sheehan10%
Mason Burstow8%
Robert Apter8%
John McAtee7%
Kyle Dempsey7%
Sam Dalby7%
Max Conway7%
Jordi Osei-Tutu5%
Cyrus Christie4%
Ibrahim Cissoko3%
Eoin Toal3%
Joel Randall0%
Marcus Forss0%
Jack Bonham0%
Aaron Morley0%
Tyler Miller0%
George Johnston0%
Richard Taylor0%
Xavier Simons0%
Teddy Sharman-Lowe0%
Chris Forino0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Johnny Kenny36%
Amario Cozier-Duberry29%
Robert Apter23%
Joel Randall20%
Thierry Gale15%
Corey Blackett-Taylor14%
Mason Burstow14%
Sam Dalby14%
Rúben Rodrigues13%
John McAtee7%
Josh Sheehan7%
Marcus Forss6%
Cyrus Christie4%
Kyle Dempsey3%
Eoin Toal3%
Jordi Osei-Tutu0%
Josh Dacres-Cogley0%
Jack Bonham0%
Aaron Morley0%
Ethan Erhahon0%
Tyler Miller0%
George Johnston0%
Richard Taylor0%
Xavier Simons0%
Teddy Sharman-Lowe0%
Max Conway0%
Chris Forino0%
Ibrahim Cissoko0%
Lincoln
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jack Moylan34%
Ryan One31%
Robert Street25%
Freddie Draper23%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild19%
Ben House17%
Justin Obikwu17%
Adam Reach13%
Tendayi Darikwa10%
James Collins10%
Dom Jefferies7%
Tom Bayliss7%
Francis Okoronkwo7%
Sonny Bradley6%
Alfie Lloyd5%
Thomas Hamer4%
Ivan Varfolomeev3%
Ryley Towler2%
Conor McGrandles2%
Adam Jackson0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
George Wickens0%
Zach Jeacock0%
Erik Ring0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Zane Okoro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Hamilton33%
Ivan Varfolomeev24%
Ben House22%
Ryley Towler21%
Freddie Draper20%
Conor McGrandles19%
Tendayi Darikwa19%
Adam Jackson18%
Tom Bayliss18%
Alfie Lloyd16%
Thomas Hamer15%
Dom Jefferies15%
James Collins14%
George Wickens11%
Sonny Bradley11%
Robert Street10%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild9%
Adam Reach6%
Ryan One6%
Justin Obikwu6%
Jack Moylan3%
Zach Jeacock0%
Erik Ring0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Zane Okoro0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jack Moylan19%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild16%
Adam Reach13%
Conor McGrandles12%
Freddie Draper11%
Thomas Hamer11%
Robert Street10%
James Collins10%
George Wickens9%
Dom Jefferies7%
Ryley Towler7%
Tendayi Darikwa6%
Ivan Varfolomeev6%
Ben House6%
Justin Obikwu6%
Alfie Lloyd5%
Tom Bayliss5%
Sonny Bradley2%
Adam Jackson0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Zach Jeacock0%
Erik Ring0%
Francis Okoronkwo0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Ryan One0%
Zane Okoro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Freddie Draper26%
Jack Moylan25%
Robert Street23%
Ryan One19%
Reeco Hackett-Fairchild14%
James Collins10%
Francis Okoronkwo7%
Ben House6%
Tom Bayliss2%
Sonny Bradley2%
Tendayi Darikwa2%
Conor McGrandles0%
Thomas Hamer0%
Adam Reach0%
Adam Jackson0%
Ethan Hamilton0%
Dom Jefferies0%
George Wickens0%
Zach Jeacock0%
Ryley Towler0%
Erik Ring0%
Dexter Lembikisa0%
Oscar Thorn0%
Alfie Lloyd0%
Ivan Varfolomeev0%
Deji Elerewe0%
Justin Obikwu0%
Zane Okoro0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (25)
€29m
LUT (26)
€29m
BOL (22)
€17m
HUD (26)
€16m
PLY (25)
€13m
LIN (24)
€12m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
PV (23)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
ROT (19)
€5m
NOR (18)
€3m
EXE (15)
€3m
Bolton's squad is €5m more valuable than Lincoln's (€17m vs €12m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CAR (12)
€15m
LUT (10)
€13m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
BOL (6)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
LIN (7)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
ROT (6)
€2m
PV (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (5)
€1m
Bolton and Lincoln have a similar attack value (both €4m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (6)
€4m
BOL (4)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
CAR (3)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
PV (7)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
LIN (4)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
ROT (5)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
EXE (5)
€1m
NOR (3)
€1m
Bolton's midfield is €2m more valuable than Lincoln's (€4m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LUT (10)
€12m
CAR (10)
€10m
BOL (12)
€9m
HUD (13)
€8m
LIN (13)
€6m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
PV (11)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
NOR (10)
€2m
ROT (8)
€2m
EXE (5)
€1m
Bolton's defence is €2m more valuable than Lincoln's (€9m vs €6m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
BOL wins
1
Draws
1
LIN wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bolton vs Lincoln · H/A from BOL
DateH/AGameScore
21/04/25ALincoln Vs BOL4-2
29/12/24HBOL Vs Lincoln3-0
26/12/23ALincoln Vs BOL0-1
05/08/23HBOL Vs Lincoln3-0
30/12/22ALincoln Vs BOL1-1
01/10/22HBOL Vs Lincoln2-0
22/02/22HBOL Vs Lincoln3-1
17/08/21ALincoln Vs BOL0-1

BoltonBolton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
20/08/25HBOL Vs Reading1-1
16/08/25ABarnsley Vs BOL1-1
13/08/25HBOL Vs Sheffield Weds3-3
09/08/25HBOL Vs Plymouth2-0
03/08/25AStockport Vs BOL2-0
03/05/25HBOL Vs Stevenage1-1
26/04/25APeterboro Vs BOL1-1
21/04/25ALincoln Vs BOL4-2
18/04/25HBOL Vs Wycombe0-2
12/04/25ABarnsley Vs BOL4-1

LincolnLincoln

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
19/08/25ANorthampton Vs LIN0-1
16/08/25HLIN Vs Plymouth3-2
12/08/25AHarrogate Vs LIN1-3
09/08/25AAFC Wimbledon Vs LIN2-0
02/08/25HLIN Vs Reading2-0
03/05/25HLIN Vs Wrexham0-2
26/04/25AStockport Vs LIN3-2
21/04/25HLIN Vs Bolton4-2
18/04/25AReading Vs LIN0-1
12/04/25HLIN Vs Shrewsbury1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bolton
Bolton
England: League One
Recent: 1 Wins / 5 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDDD1.40
HomeLDWDD1.64
AwayLLDLD1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%48%32%
AVG goals3.103.123.08
Over 1.5 %82%84%80%
Over 2.5 %58%60%56%
Over 3.5 %36%36%36%
Scored1.481.681.28
Conceded1.621.441.80
BTTS62%60%64%
Clean Sheet18%16%20%
Corners9.489.369.61
Cards5.195.085.30
Lincoln
Lincoln
England: League One
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.40
HomeDWLWW1.70
AwayWLLWW1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%48%30%
AVG goals2.682.612.74
Over 1.5 %70%70%70%
Over 2.5 %46%43%48%
Over 3.5 %30%30%30%
Scored1.461.611.33
Conceded1.221.001.41
BTTS48%48%48%
Clean Sheet30%35%26%
Corners9.519.579.46
Cards3.893.614.17

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LincolnLincoln46103
67%
2.2
8941+48
2.8
78%
54%
33%
9.3
41%
4.0
54%
22.8
61%
12
3261.90.9
42%
2CardiffCardiff4691
59%
2.0
9050+40
3.0
78%
54%
37%
10.5
61%
3.5
52%
20.6
30%
29
154102.01.1
63%
3BoltonBolton4984
45%
1.7
7653+23
2.6
76%
47%
27%
10.4
57%
3.7
49%
22.4
57%
17
4491.61.1
59%
4StockportStockport4983
49%
1.7
7562+13
2.8
80%
59%
24%
10.0
53%
3.4
51%
21.2
45%
10
3341.51.3
55%
5BradfordBradford4877
46%
1.6
5853+5
2.3
69%
50%
17%
9.9
52%
4.4
67%
25.2
77%
7
3131.21.1
50%
6StevenageStevenage4875
44%
1.6
4949+0
2.0
52%
35%
19%
8.7
46%
3.8
54%
24.5
75%
7
2231.01.0
45%
7LutonLuton4674
46%
1.6
6856+12
2.7
76%
54%
28%
10.4
57%
3.7
54%
24.0
63%
29
134121.51.2
56%
8PlymouthPlymouth4673
48%
1.6
7563+12
3.0
76%
59%
39%
11.3
74%
5.2
80%
24.5
67%
13
4361.61.4
48%
9HuddersfieldHuddersfield4667
39%
1.5
7464+10
3.0
76%
59%
43%
10.5
59%
4.1
61%
25.0
76%
16
4481.61.4
50%
10MansfieldMansfield4665
35%
1.4
6250+12
2.4
74%
46%
20%
9.5
39%
3.6
46%
22.4
57%
6
1321.31.1
46%
11WycombeWycombe4663
37%
1.4
6958+11
2.8
80%
52%
28%
10.2
54%
3.7
57%
21.5
41%
10
3251.51.3
54%
12ReadingReading4663
35%
1.4
6460+4
2.7
83%
48%
26%
9.3
39%
3.6
50%
22.4
57%
10
3341.41.3
50%
13BlackpoolBlackpool4660
37%
1.3
5465-11
2.6
65%
48%
33%
9.9
57%
3.7
52%
24.0
76%
11
4341.21.4
46%
14DoncasterDoncaster4660
37%
1.3
5069-19
2.6
72%
50%
22%
9.7
35%
3.9
52%
23.3
63%
7
2231.11.5
50%
15BarnsleyBarnsley4659
33%
1.3
6873-5
3.1
83%
63%
46%
10.9
57%
3.5
50%
21.0
43%
8
2331.51.6
52%
16WiganWigan4656
30%
1.2
4958-9
2.3
70%
35%
17%
10.8
61%
3.1
39%
23.6
63%
7
2231.11.3
45%
17BurtonBurton4654
28%
1.2
5060-10
2.4
70%
50%
22%
10.4
52%
3.6
52%
22.0
41%
5
1121.11.3
46%
18PeterboroPeterboro4653
33%
1.2
6468-4
2.9
80%
57%
26%
10.3
50%
4.2
67%
23.6
61%
7
3131.41.5
55%
19AFC WimbledonAFC Wimbledon4653
33%
1.2
5172-21
2.7
67%
50%
30%
9.7
50%
3.2
46%
23.2
65%
5
2121.11.6
46%
20Leyton OrientLeyton Orient4652
30%
1.1
5971-12
2.8
76%
61%
33%
9.6
52%
4.1
61%
23.0
65%
10
4331.31.5
52%
21ExeterExeter4649
26%
1.1
5261-9
2.5
65%
46%
24%
10.1
54%
3.3
50%
22.0
57%
3
1111.11.3
51%
22Port ValePort Vale4642
22%
0.9
3661-25
2.1
54%
39%
22%
10.2
59%
3.6
52%
21.3
48%
7
2230.81.3
46%
23RotherhamRotherham4641
22%
0.9
4171-30
2.4
67%
52%
24%
9.8
52%
4.2
65%
23.9
65%
5
2120.91.5
46%
24NorthamptonNorthampton4635
20%
0.8
3974-35
2.5
70%
48%
26%
10.1
61%
3.4
43%
21.9
54%
3
1120.81.6
45%
England: League One 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →

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