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Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo Result & Analysis

Date: 18/10/2023
Time: 17:00
Final 1-1
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Vs
55%
24%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borac Banja Luka win✗ Miss
54.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo win✗ Miss
21.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-512L02L41W50W42W10W21W20W20W30WH·AUS03/08A·ZEL12/08H·IGM20/08H·SLO25/08H·ZVI01/09H·POS17/09A·TUZ23/09A·SIR27/09H·VEL01/10A·GOŠ08/10
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.630.902.200.731.071.07
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.401.400.671.670.001.00
vs Weaker (25)1.880.802.580.501.231.08
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D12L30W21W10W22D10W01L20W30WH·TOR20/07H·SLO30/07H·POS11/08A·TUZ21/08H·VEL28/08A·GOŠ02/09H·ZRI16/09A·SIR22/09H·ZVI30/09H·ZEL08/10
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.171.530.941.851.46
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)1.331.111.170.831.671.67
vs Weaker (21)1.811.191.731.001.901.40
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.4%
Under 1.5
18.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
58.0%
Under 2.5
42.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.6%
Under 3.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
58.3%
No
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.4%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
1-2
5.8%
3-0
5.6%
Borac Banja Luka goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
01234
05.9%4.4%3.1%1.1%0.3%
18.3%11%5.8%2.2%0.6%
28.8%9.9%5.5%2.1%0.6%
35.6%6.2%3.5%1.3%0.4%
42.6%3.0%1.7%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borac Banja Luka goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.36
Zrinjski
2.30
Velež
1.79
FK Sarajevo
1.70
Posušje
1.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.30
Sloga Doboj
1.27
Siroki Brijeg
1.18
GOŠK Gabela
1.03
Igman Konjic
1.00
Tuzla City
0.82
Zvijezda 09
0.64
Borac Banja Luka is 0.67 points better than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (2.36 vs 1.70).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.30
Borac Banja Luka
2.06
FK Sarajevo
1.73
Velež
1.52
Tuzla City
1.36
Igman Konjic
1.21
GOŠK Gabela
1.15
Sloga Doboj
1.12
Siroki Brijeg
1.12
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.06
Posušje
1.06
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Borac Banja Luka is 0.33 goals better than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (2.06 vs 1.73).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.79
Zrinjski
0.82
Velež
0.85
Posušje
0.88
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.09
FK Sarajevo
1.15
Siroki Brijeg
1.36
Sloga Doboj
1.52
GOŠK Gabela
1.94
Igman Konjic
2.03
Tuzla City
2.09
Zvijezda 09
2.18
Borac Banja Luka is 0.36 goals better than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals conceded per game (0.79 vs 1.15).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D21W10W12L00D20W20W00D20WH·AUS03/08A·ZEL12/08H·IGM20/08H·SLO25/08H·ZVI01/09H·POS17/09A·TUZ23/09A·SIR27/09H·VEL01/10A·GOŠ08/10
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.300.730.330.670.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.000.200.000.330.000.00
vs Weaker (25)0.840.320.920.330.770.31
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W11D10W20W00D01L00D00D20W20WH·TOR20/07H·SLO30/07H·POS11/08A·TUZ21/08H·VEL28/08A·GOŠ02/09H·ZRI16/09A·SIR22/09H·ZVI30/09H·ZEL08/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.470.820.410.770.54
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.560.330.670.170.330.67
vs Weaker (21)0.900.520.910.550.900.50
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L02L20W40W30W10W01L00D20W10WH·AUS03/08A·ZEL12/08H·IGM20/08H·SLO25/08H·ZVI01/09H·POS17/09A·TUZ23/09A·SIR27/09H·VEL01/10A·GOŠ08/10
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.601.470.400.400.80
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (5)0.401.200.671.330.001.00
vs Weaker (25)1.040.481.670.170.460.77
Clean sheet %53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W01L10W21W10W01L00D10WH·TOR20/07H·SLO30/07H·POS11/08A·TUZ21/08H·VEL28/08A·GOŠ02/09H·ZRI16/09A·SIR22/09H·ZVI30/09H·ZEL08/10
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.700.710.531.080.92
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (9)0.780.780.500.671.331.00
vs Weaker (21)0.900.670.820.451.000.90
Clean sheet %40% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners73.7%--------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Borac Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo have a similar squad value (both €9m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's attack is €2m more valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€5m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Borac Banja Luka's midfield is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo have a similar defence value (both €4m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
1
BBL wins
0
Draws
2
FS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Borac Banja Luka vs FK Sarajevo · H/A from BBL
DateH/AGameScore
07/05/23HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo1-0
08/10/22AFK Sarajevo Vs BBL1-0
24/07/22HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo1-3

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23AGOŠK Gabela Vs BBL0-3
01/10/23HBBL Vs Velež2-0
27/09/23ASiroki Brijeg Vs BBL0-2
23/09/23ATuzla City Vs BBL1-2
17/09/23HBBL Vs Posušje1-0
01/09/23HBBL Vs Zvijezda 094-2
25/08/23HBBL Vs Sloga Doboj5-0
20/08/23HBBL Vs Igman Konjic4-1
12/08/23AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs BBL2-0
03/08/23HBBL Vs Austria Vienna1-2

FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/10/23HFS Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo3-0
30/09/23HFS Vs Zvijezda 092-0
22/09/23ASiroki Brijeg Vs FS1-0
16/09/23HFS Vs Zrinjski1-0
02/09/23AGOŠK Gabela Vs FS2-2
28/08/23HFS Vs Velež1-0
21/08/23ATuzla City Vs FS1-2
11/08/23HFS Vs Posušje3-0
30/07/23HFS Vs Sloga Doboj1-2
20/07/23HFS Vs Torpedo Kutaisi1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWWW1.85
HomeWWWWW2.42
AwayLLWWW1.23
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %59%79%36%
AVG goals2.392.582.18
Over 1.5 %65%67%64%
Over 2.5 %43%50%36%
Over 3.5 %22%25%18%
Scored1.431.831.00
Conceded0.960.751.18
BTTS35%38%32%
Clean Sheet41%54%27%
Corners10.7511.0010.50
Cards7.255.509.00
FK Sarajevo
FK Sarajevo
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWW1.66
HomeWWWWW1.88
AwayWDWDL1.40
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%54%40%
AVG goals2.802.543.10
Over 1.5 %70%67%75%
Over 2.5 %50%46%55%
Over 3.5 %34%25%45%
Scored1.551.541.55
Conceded1.251.001.55
BTTS50%46%55%
Clean Sheet30%46%10%
Corners11.5010.0013.00
Cards6.006.00-

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3378
73%
2.4
6826+42
2.8
76%
52%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.8
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3376
73%
2.3
7627+49
3.1
79%
58%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.30.8
-
3VeležVelež3359
48%
1.8
5028+22
2.4
61%
36%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.50.8
-
4FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3356
48%
1.7
5738+19
2.9
76%
58%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.71.2
-
5PosušjePosušje3348
39%
1.5
3529+6
1.9
61%
24%
9%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.10.9
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3343
39%
1.3
3536-1
2.2
61%
42%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.11.1
-
7Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3342
39%
1.3
3750-13
2.6
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.5
-
8Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3339
33%
1.2
3745-8
2.5
70%
45%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.11.4
-
9GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3334
24%
1.0
3864-26
3.1
79%
67%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.9
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3333
27%
1.0
4067-27
3.2
82%
58%
45%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.22.0
-
11Tuzla CityTuzla City3327
21%
0.8
4569-24
3.5
91%
64%
42%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.42.1
-
12Zvijezda 09Zvijezda 093321
18%
0.6
3372-39
3.2
85%
61%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.02.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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