This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Sarajevo
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.83
0.63
1.69
0.75
2.00
0.50
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.50
0.70
0.33
1.00
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (20)
2.50
0.60
2.50
0.60
2.50
0.60
Clean sheet %
53% (+19pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
72.2%
Under 1.5
27.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
45.1%
Under 2.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
23.8%
Under 3.5
76.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
51.8%
No
48.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.2%
0-0
9.7%
0-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
1-2
8.0%
2-1
7.9%
0-2 ✓
6.5%
2-0
6.4%
Borac Banja Luka goals ↓
FK Sarajevo goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.7%
9.1%
6.5%
2.7%
0.8%
1
9.0%
14%
8.0%
3.3%
1.0%
2
6.4%
7.9%
5.0%
2.1%
0.6%
3
2.6%
3.3%
2.0%
0.8%
0.3%
4
0.8%
1.0%
0.6%
0.3%
0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borac Banja Luka goals (down), columns = FK Sarajevo goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
2.50
Borac Banja Luka
2.50
FK Sarajevo
2.12
Siroki Brijeg
2.00
Posušje
2.00
Zrinjski
1.75
Igman Konjic
1.50
Radnik Bijeljina
1.50
Čelik
1.50
Zvijezda Gradačac
1.50
Vareš
1.50
Velež
1.50
Famos Vojkovići
1.00
Gornji Rahić
1.00
Rudar Prijedor
1.00
Sloboda Tuzla
1.00
Kruševo
1.00
Sloga Doboj
0.50
GOŠK Gabela
0.50
Zvijezda 09
0.00
Laktaši
0.00
Slavija
0.00
Stupčanica Olovo
0.00
Žepce
0.00
Mladost Solina
0.00
Kozara Gradiška
0.00
Famos-SAŠK
0.00
Troglav Livno
0.00
Sloboda Novi Grad
0.00
Bratstvo Gračanica
0.00
Svatovac Poljice
0.00
Leotar
0.00
Borac Banja Luka is 0.38 points better than FK Sarajevo in terms of average points per game (2.50 vs 2.12).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
3.50
Radnik Bijeljina
3.00
Siroki Brijeg
2.25
Slavija
2.00
Kozara Gradiška
2.00
Borac Banja Luka
1.83
FK Sarajevo
1.75
Famos Vojkovići
1.50
Vareš
1.50
Posušje
1.50
Kruševo
1.25
Velež
1.25
Zvijezda 09
1.00
Zrinjski
1.00
Igman Konjic
1.00
Stupčanica Olovo
1.00
Žepce
1.00
Čelik
1.00
Zvijezda Gradačac
1.00
Rudar Prijedor
1.00
Sloboda Tuzla
1.00
Sloga Doboj
0.50
GOŠK Gabela
0.50
Laktaši
0.00
Gornji Rahić
0.00
Mladost Solina
0.00
Famos-SAŠK
0.00
Troglav Livno
0.00
Sloboda Novi Grad
0.00
Bratstvo Gračanica
0.00
Svatovac Poljice
0.00
Leotar
0.00
Borac Banja Luka is 0.08 goals better than FK Sarajevo in terms of goals scored per game (1.83 vs 1.75).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Gornji Rahić
0.00
Posušje
0.00
Igman Konjic
0.50
FK Sarajevo
0.50
Borac Banja Luka
0.50
Zrinjski
0.75
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.83
Siroki Brijeg
0.88
Radnik Bijeljina
1.00
Rudar Prijedor
1.00
Sloboda Tuzla
1.00
GOŠK Gabela
1.00
Velež
1.25
Zvijezda Gradačac
1.50
Sloga Doboj
1.50
Famos Vojkovići
1.75
Zvijezda 09
2.00
Laktaši
2.00
Stupčanica Olovo
2.00
Žepce
2.00
Mladost Solina
2.00
Čelik
2.00
Sloboda Novi Grad
2.00
Svatovac Poljice
2.00
Kozara Gradiška
3.00
Famos-SAŠK
3.00
Kruševo
3.00
Leotar
3.00
Vareš
4.00
Slavija
5.00
Bratstvo Gračanica
5.00
Troglav Livno
9.00
Borac Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo are level in goals conceded per game (both 0.50).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Borac Banja Luka or Draw✗ Miss
64.6%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Borac Banja Luka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka or FK Sarajevo✓ Hit
70.3%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Borac Banja Luka + FK Sarajevo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or FK Sarajevo✓ Hit
65.1%
Avg Implied -
35%
30%
35%
covers Draw + FK Sarajevo
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5Actual: Under
Over
70.9%
Under
29.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
35.0%
Under
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
12.8%
Under
87.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.7%
Under
96.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
71.2%
Under
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
35.4%
Under
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
13.1%
Under
86.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
3.8%
Under
96.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Borac Banja Luka, so a minus line means Borac Banja Luka give that many goals of a start and FK Sarajevo receive them. At -1, Borac Banja Luka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Borac Banja Luka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Borac Banja Luka)Actual: FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka -2
5.2%
Draw -2
10.3%
FK Sarajevo +2
84.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Borac Banja Luka)Actual: FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka -1
15.6%
Draw -1
19.3%
FK Sarajevo +1
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Borac Banja Luka)Actual: FK Sarajevo
Borac Banja Luka +1
64.6%
Draw +1
19.5%
FK Sarajevo -1
15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Borac Banja Luka)Actual: Draw
Borac Banja Luka +2
84.1%
Draw +2
10.5%
FK Sarajevo -2
5.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Borac Banja Luka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.33
0.54
0.15
0.59
0.47
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.29
0.36
0.00
0.40
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
0.81
0.31
0.88
0.00
0.75
0.62
Clean sheet %
73% (+39pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Sarajevo
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.97
0.33
0.69
0.38
1.29
0.29
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.30
0.50
0.00
0.67
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (20)
1.30
0.25
1.10
0.20
1.50
0.30
Clean sheet %
67% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Borac Banja Luka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
0.17
1.38
0.08
0.76
0.24
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (14)
0.57
0.29
0.80
0.20
0.44
0.33
vs Weaker (16)
1.44
0.06
1.75
0.00
1.12
0.12
Clean sheet %
87% (+52pp vs league)
This opponent (FK Sarajevo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
FK Sarajevo
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.30
1.00
0.38
0.71
0.21
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (10)
0.20
0.20
0.33
0.33
0.00
0.00
vs Weaker (20)
1.20
0.35
1.40
0.40
1.00
0.30
Clean sheet %
77% (+42pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
FK Sarajevo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
96.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
96.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
95.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
89.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
87.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away +2 handicap
84.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
84.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 3.5
76.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
72.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals
70.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Home or Away
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Borac Banja Luka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Borac Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo have a similar squad value (both €9m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's attack is €2m more valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€5m vs €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Borac Banja Luka's midfield is €2m less valuable than FK Sarajevo's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka and FK Sarajevo have a similar defence value (both €4m).
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →
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Zrinjski
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Siroki Brijeg
Sloga Doboj
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Radnik Bijeljina
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Igman Konjic
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