Borac Banja Luka’s recent three-game winning streak and a 3-1 victory over Vikingur Reykjavik set a confident tone for the home side, who have been scoring an average of 2.45 goals and conceding only 0.64 against weaker opponents. Sloga Doboj, fresh from a win, has struggled away, averaging just 0.33 goals and conceding 1.83 against stronger teams. The model therefore rates a home win as the clear favourite, assigning a 76% chance to Borac, 19% for a draw and 6% to Sloga. The expected total of 2.5 goals points to a modestly open game, with the most likely scoreline 2-0 for Borac at 17.6%. The model’s selections reinforce this outlook: Away under 3.5 goals99.9%, Under 7.599.6%, Away under 2.5 goals99.0%, Home +2 handicap98.8%, Under 6.598.6%, Under 5.595.8%, Home or Draw94.2%, and Home +1 handicap94.2%. These figures collectively underline the home side’s dominance and the low probability of a high-scoring encounter.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Borac Banja Luka win
77.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
17.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj win
4.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Borac Banja Luka
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
0.47
2.24
0.53
1.46
0.38
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.56
0.56
1.80
0.40
1.25
0.75
vs Weaker (21)
2.05
0.43
2.42
0.58
1.56
0.22
Clean sheet %
60% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sloga Doboj
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
1.33
0.71
1.29
0.50
1.38
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
2.09
0.00
2.40
0.33
1.83
vs Similar (18)
0.83
0.94
1.11
0.67
0.56
1.22
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
72.4%
Under 1.5
27.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
46.2%
Under 2.5
53.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
24.7%
Under 3.5
75.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
29.0%
No
71.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
18.3%
1-0
16.5%
3-0
13.0%
0-0
8.7%
1-1
7.3%
2-1
7.1%
4-0
6.9%
3-1
5.1%
Borac Banja Luka goals ↓
Sloga Doboj goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
8.7%
2.5%
0.6%
0.1%
0.0%
1
16%
7.3%
1.3%
0.2%
0.0%
2
18%
7.1%
1.4%
0.2%
0.0%
3
13%
5.1%
1.0%
0.1%
0.0%
4
6.9%
2.7%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borac Banja Luka goals (down), columns = Sloga Doboj goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Čelik
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
BSK Banja Luka
1.22
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Borac Banja Luka is 1.44 points better than Sloga Doboj in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 0.94).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Čelik
1.07
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
BSK Banja Luka
0.96
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Borac Banja Luka is 1.53 goals better than Sloga Doboj in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 0.58).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
Čelik
1.09
BSK Banja Luka
1.21
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Borac Banja Luka is 0.72 goals better than Sloga Doboj in terms of goals conceded per game (0.56 vs 1.28).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Borac Banja Luka or Draw
95.2%
Avg Implied -
78%
18%
5%
covers Borac Banja Luka + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka or Sloga Doboj
82.5%
Avg Implied -
78%
18%
5%
covers Borac Banja Luka + Sloga Doboj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Sloga Doboj
22.3%
Avg Implied -
78%
18%
5%
covers Draw + Sloga Doboj
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5
Over
62.9%
Under
37.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 3.5
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5
Over
32.2%
Under
67.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5
Over
5.8%
Under
94.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5
Over
0.7%
Under
99.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 3.5
Over
0.1%
Under
99.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Borac Banja Luka, so a minus line means Borac Banja Luka give that many goals of a start and Sloga Doboj receive them. At -1, Borac Banja Luka must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Borac Banja Luka win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Borac Banja Luka)
Borac Banja Luka -2
29.2%
Draw -2
23.9%
Sloga Doboj +2
47.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Borac Banja Luka)
Borac Banja Luka -1
53.0%
Draw -1
24.6%
Sloga Doboj +1
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Borac Banja Luka)
Borac Banja Luka +1
95.2%
Draw +1
3.9%
Sloga Doboj -1
0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Borac Banja Luka)
Borac Banja Luka +2
99.1%
Draw +2
0.8%
Sloga Doboj -2
0.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Borac Banja Luka
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.23
0.94
0.29
0.69
0.15
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
0.44
0.22
0.20
0.20
0.75
0.25
vs Weaker (21)
1.00
0.24
1.25
0.33
0.67
0.11
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sloga Doboj
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.6
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.67
0.29
0.71
0.19
0.62
vs Stronger (11)
0.00
0.73
0.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (18)
0.33
0.67
0.44
0.56
0.22
0.78
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
-
-
1.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Borac Banja Luka
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.23
1.29
0.24
0.77
0.23
vs Stronger (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
vs Similar (9)
1.11
0.33
1.60
0.20
0.50
0.50
vs Weaker (21)
1.05
0.19
1.17
0.25
0.89
0.11
Clean sheet %
77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Sloga Doboj) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Sloga Doboj
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.30
0.70
0.29
0.64
0.31
0.75
vs Stronger (11)
0.18
1.36
0.00
1.40
0.33
1.33
vs Similar (18)
0.39
0.33
0.44
0.22
0.33
0.44
vs Weaker (1)
0.00
0.00
-
-
0.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Sloga Doboj over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 3.5 goals
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 7.5
99.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
99.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
99.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
98.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
95.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
95.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 1.5 goals
94.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
88.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
83.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home win
77.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 3.5
75.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
72.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
BTTS No
71.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Borac Banja Luka · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
ČEL (26)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
BBL (23)
€2m
Borac Banja Luka's squad is €6m more valuable than Sloga Doboj's (€9m vs €3m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
ČEL (7)
€1m
SB (5)
€1m
BBL (9)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's attack is €3m more valuable than Sloga Doboj's (€5m vs €2m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
ČEL (8)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
BBL (4)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Borac Banja Luka and Sloga Doboj have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
ČEL (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
BBL (10)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's defence is €2m more valuable than Sloga Doboj's (€4m vs €1m).
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →
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Zrinjski
Siroki Brijeg
FK Sarajevo
Čelik
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
Velež
BSK Banja Luka
Radnik Bijeljina