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Borac Banja Luka vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 10/05/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 1-0
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Vs
59%
26%
15%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borac Banja Luka win✓ Hit
59.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
14.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W10W10W20W02L20W12L31W10WA·FK 26/03H·GOŠ29/03A·FK 02/04A·ZRI06/04H·SLO11/04H·FK 15/04H·FK 19/04A·ZEL23/04H·SLO28/04A·SIR03/05
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.570.531.730.401.400.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.930.640.860.711.000.57
vs Weaker (16)2.120.442.500.121.750.75
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-500D12L11D52W11D32W02L22D10W01LH·FK 08/03H·SIR12/03A·POS16/03A·SIR28/03A·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04A·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.271.101.330.931.201.27
vs Stronger (7)0.141.290.000.500.332.33
vs Similar (16)1.561.251.891.111.141.43
vs Weaker (7)1.710.571.501.001.800.40
Clean sheet %30% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%27%11%020%127%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
69.3%
Under 1.5
30.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
41.9%
Under 2.5
58.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.2%
Under 3.5
78.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
42.0%
No
58.0%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0 ✓
14.6%
2-0
12.9%
1-1
12.1%
0-0
10.6%
2-1
9.1%
3-0
7.1%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.0%
Borac Banja Luka goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
011%5.6%2.4%0.6%0.1%
115%12%3.9%0.9%0.2%
213%9.1%3.2%0.8%0.1%
37.1%5.0%1.8%0.4%0.1%
42.9%2.1%0.7%0.2%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borac Banja Luka goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Zrinjski
2.48
Borac Banja Luka
2.45
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.97
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Sloga Doboj
1.33
Velež
1.27
Radnik Bijeljina
1.21
Posušje
1.12
Igman Konjic
0.88
GOŠK Gabela
0.48
Sloboda Tuzla
0.30
Borac Banja Luka is 1.18 points better than Velež in terms of average points per game (2.45 vs 1.27).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Zrinjski
2.18
FK Sarajevo
1.79
Borac Banja Luka
1.76
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.67
Velež
1.36
Radnik Bijeljina
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.30
Posušje
1.09
Sloga Doboj
1.06
Igman Konjic
0.91
GOŠK Gabela
0.85
Sloboda Tuzla
0.64
Borac Banja Luka is 0.39 goals better than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (1.76 vs 1.36).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.39
Zrinjski
0.52
FK Sarajevo
0.73
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.15
Velež
1.18
Posušje
1.18
Sloga Doboj
1.36
Siroki Brijeg
1.39
Radnik Bijeljina
1.58
Igman Konjic
2.00
Sloboda Tuzla
2.15
GOŠK Gabela
2.30
Borac Banja Luka is 0.79 goals better than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (0.39 vs 1.18).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D10W10W10W01L20W00D01L10WA·FK 26/03H·GOŠ29/03A·FK 02/04A·ZRI06/04H·SLO11/04H·FK 15/04H·FK 19/04A·ZEL23/04H·SLO28/04A·SIR03/05
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.270.470.270.600.27
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.430.290.290.430.570.14
vs Weaker (16)0.620.250.620.120.620.38
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L10W20W10W21W02L01L10W00DH·FK 08/03H·SIR12/03A·POS16/03A·SIR28/03A·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04A·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.430.470.470.670.40
vs Stronger (7)0.000.430.000.250.000.67
vs Similar (16)0.620.560.670.560.570.57
vs Weaker (7)1.000.140.500.501.200.00
Clean sheet %63% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W00D00D10W01L00D12L30W00DA·FK 26/03H·GOŠ29/03A·FK 02/04A·ZRI06/04H·SLO11/04H·FK 15/04H·FK 19/04A·ZEL23/04H·SLO28/04A·SIR03/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.271.270.130.800.40
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (14)0.500.360.570.290.430.43
vs Weaker (16)1.500.191.880.001.120.38
Clean sheet %80% (+48pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D01L32W01L11D00D21W00D01LH·FK 08/03H·SIR12/03A·POS16/03A·SIR28/03A·SLO04/04H·RAD13/04A·POS17/04H·IGM22/04A·GOŠ27/04H·ZRI03/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.870.470.530.87
vs Stronger (7)0.140.860.000.250.331.67
vs Similar (16)0.940.691.220.560.570.86
vs Weaker (7)0.710.431.000.500.600.40
Clean sheet %47% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 3.578.8%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Borac Banja Luka's squad is €6m more valuable than Velež's (€9m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's attack is €3m more valuable than Velež's (€5m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Borac Banja Luka and Velež have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's defence is €2m more valuable than Velež's (€4m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BBL wins
4
Draws
2
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Borac Banja Luka vs Velež · H/A from BBL
DateH/AGameScore
02/11/24AVelež Vs BBL0-0
12/10/24HBBL Vs Velež2-1
07/04/24AVelež Vs BBL1-1
24/02/24AVelež Vs BBL0-0
01/10/23HBBL Vs Velež2-0
01/05/23AVelež Vs BBL2-0
04/03/23AVelež Vs BBL1-0
10/09/22HBBL Vs Velež0-0

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs BBL0-1
28/04/25HBBL Vs Sloga Doboj3-1
23/04/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs BBL2-1
19/04/25HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo2-0
15/04/25HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo0-2
11/04/25HBBL Vs Sloboda Tuzla2-0
06/04/25AZrinjski Vs BBL0-1
02/04/25AFK Sarajevo Vs BBL0-1
29/03/25HBBL Vs GOŠK Gabela1-0
26/03/25AFK Sarajevo Vs BBL0-2

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/05/25HVEL Vs Zrinjski0-1
27/04/25AGOŠK Gabela Vs VEL0-1
22/04/25HVEL Vs Igman Konjic2-2
17/04/25APosušje Vs VEL2-0
13/04/25HVEL Vs Radnik Bijeljina3-2
04/04/25ASloboda Tuzla Vs VEL1-1
28/03/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs VEL2-5
16/03/25APosušje Vs VEL1-1
12/03/25HVEL Vs Siroki Brijeg1-2
08/03/25HVEL Vs FK Sarajevo0-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 0 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWW2.12
HomeWWLWW2.23
AwayWWWLW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %64%69%58%
AVG goals2.082.082.08
Over 1.5 %68%69%67%
Over 2.5 %32%35%29%
Over 3.5 %14%12%17%
Scored1.521.651.38
Conceded0.560.420.71
BTTS28%23%33%
Clean Sheet60%62%58%
Corners9.458.8310.20
Cards5.295.435.14
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.42
HomeDLWDL1.64
AwayDWDLW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%40%32%
AVG goals2.462.322.60
Over 1.5 %68%68%68%
Over 2.5 %40%44%36%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.321.401.24
Conceded1.140.921.36
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet34%36%32%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ZrinjskiZrinjski3382
79%
2.5
7217+55
2.7
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4232.20.5
-
2Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3381
79%
2.5
5813+45
2.2
64%
30%
18%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5141.80.4
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3365
55%
2.0
5924+35
2.5
73%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.80.7
-
4Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3365
61%
2.0
5538+17
2.8
76%
55%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2111.71.2
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3346
39%
1.4
4346-3
2.7
73%
48%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.31.4
-
6Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3344
39%
1.3
3545-10
2.4
67%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.11.4
-
7VeležVelež3342
30%
1.3
4539+6
2.5
70%
48%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.41.2
-
8Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3340
36%
1.2
4452-8
2.9
82%
48%
30%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2011.31.6
-
9PosušjePosušje3337
30%
1.1
3639-3
2.3
73%
48%
12%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
10Igman KonjicIgman Konjic3329
24%
0.9
3066-36
2.9
79%
61%
27%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.92.0
-
11GOŠK GabelaGOŠK Gabela3316
12%
0.5
2876-48
3.2
88%
67%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.82.3
-
12Sloboda TuzlaSloboda Tuzla3310
3%
0.3
2171-50
2.8
76%
42%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.62.2
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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