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Borac Banja Luka vs Velež Result & Analysis

Date: 19/10/2025
Time: 15:30
Final 1-0
Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Vs
72%
19%
10%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Borac Banja Luka win✓ Hit
71.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
18.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Velež win✗ Miss
9.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-620W60W11D10W51W51W23L51W20W20WA·FC 17/07H·RUD27/07A·VEL03/08A·SLO17/08H·FK 24/08H·SIR31/08A·ZEL15/09H·RAD20/09A·POS28/09A·RUD05/10
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
3.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.672.530.731.270.60
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)1.600.901.801.601.400.20
vs Weaker (20)2.050.552.900.301.200.80
Clean sheet %57% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L11D31W01L03L01L31W02L13L20WA·SLO26/07H·BOR03/08A·SIR10/08H·ZEL15/08A·RAD23/08H·POS30/08A·RUD13/09A·FK 20/09H·ZRI27/09H·SLO04/10
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.201.301.331.201.071.40
vs Stronger (8)0.501.380.801.400.001.33
vs Similar (18)1.501.391.621.121.401.60
vs Weaker (4)1.250.751.501.001.000.50
Clean sheet %20% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%5%013%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.9%
Under 1.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
59.2%
Under 2.5
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.8%
Under 3.5
63.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
48.6%
No
51.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
12.4%
1-0 ✓
9.9%
3-0
9.6%
2-1
9.4%
1-1
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-0
5.5%
0-0
5.5%
Borac Banja Luka goals ↓
Velež goals →
01234
05.5%2.7%1.3%0.3%0.1%
19.9%8.9%3.1%0.8%0.1%
212%9.4%3.6%0.9%0.2%
39.6%7.3%2.7%0.7%0.1%
45.5%4.2%1.6%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borac Banja Luka goals (down), columns = Velež goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.39
Zrinjski
1.97
FK Sarajevo
1.81
Velež
1.42
Siroki Brijeg
1.25
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.17
Radnik Bijeljina
0.97
Sloga Doboj
0.94
Posušje
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.83
Borac Banja Luka is 0.97 points better than Velež in terms of average points per game (2.39 vs 1.42).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Borac Banja Luka
2.11
FK Sarajevo
1.50
Zrinjski
1.33
Siroki Brijeg
1.03
Velež
1.00
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
0.94
Rudar Prijedor
0.86
Radnik Bijeljina
0.75
Posušje
0.69
Sloga Doboj
0.58
Borac Banja Luka is 1.11 goals better than Velež in terms of goals scored per game (2.11 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Borac Banja Luka
0.56
Zrinjski
0.69
Velež
0.97
Zeljeznicar Sarajevo
1.03
FK Sarajevo
1.03
Posušje
1.14
Radnik Bijeljina
1.25
Sloga Doboj
1.28
Siroki Brijeg
1.33
Rudar Prijedor
1.53
Borac Banja Luka is 0.42 goals better than Velež in terms of goals conceded per game (0.56 vs 0.97).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D20W00D10W21W20W20W41W00D20WA·FC 17/07H·RUD27/07A·VEL03/08A·SLO17/08H·FK 24/08H·SIR31/08A·ZEL15/09H·RAD20/09A·POS28/09A·RUD05/10
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.331.070.530.670.13
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.700.600.801.200.600.00
vs Weaker (20)0.950.201.200.200.700.20
Clean sheet %73% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L00D01L00D00D01L21W01L02L00DA·SLO26/07H·BOR03/08A·SIR10/08H·ZEL15/08A·RAD23/08H·POS30/08A·RUD13/09A·FK 20/09H·ZRI27/09H·SLO04/10
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.630.470.600.530.67
vs Stronger (8)0.120.750.200.800.000.67
vs Similar (18)0.610.670.620.500.600.80
vs Weaker (4)0.750.250.500.501.000.00
Clean sheet %50% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-420W40W11D00D30W31W03L10W20W00DA·FC 17/07H·RUD27/07A·VEL03/08A·SLO17/08H·FK 24/08H·SIR31/08A·ZEL15/09H·RAD20/09A·POS28/09A·RUD05/10
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.331.470.200.600.47
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.900.301.000.400.800.20
vs Weaker (20)1.100.351.700.100.500.60
Clean sheet %77% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Velež) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

VeležVelež

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D11D30W01L03L00D10W01L11D20WA·SLO26/07H·BOR03/08A·SIR10/08H·ZEL15/08A·RAD23/08H·POS30/08A·RUD13/09A·FK 20/09H·ZRI27/09H·SLO04/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.870.600.530.73
vs Stronger (8)0.380.620.600.600.000.67
vs Similar (18)0.890.721.000.620.800.80
vs Weaker (4)0.500.501.000.500.000.50
Clean sheet %43% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Borac Banja Luka) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Borac Banja Luka over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Velež over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.9%-------✗ Miss
Home win71.6%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Borac Banja Luka · 2024/25
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
David Vuković25%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Sandi Ogrinec20%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sebastian Herrera0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Enver Kulašin56%
Marko Vukčević40%
Sebastian Herrera33%
Bart Meijers30%
Zoran Kvržić25%
David Vuković25%
Boban Nikolov22%
Dino Skorup20%
Đorđe Despotović20%
Nikola Srećković17%
David Čavić12%
Filip Manojlović11%
Jurich Carolina10%
Sandi Ogrinec10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
David Vuković25%
Zoran Kvržić12%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Stefan Savić10%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Đorđe Despotović0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Đorđe Despotović30%
Sebastian Herrera11%
Srđan Grahovac0%
Boban Nikolov0%
Zoran Kvržić0%
Dino Skorup0%
Filip Manojlović0%
Marko Vukčević0%
Jurich Carolina0%
Bart Meijers0%
Nikola Srećković0%
Stojan Vranješ0%
Stefan Savić0%
Sandi Ogrinec0%
David Čavić0%
Viktor Rogan0%
Damir Hrelja0%
David Vuković0%
Enver Kulašin0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (33)
€9m
FS (32)
€9m
ZRI (30)
€8m
ZS (19)
€4m
RB (27)
€4m
SB (20)
€4m
VEL (23)
€3m
SD (24)
€3m
Borac Banja Luka's squad is €6m more valuable than Velež's (€9m vs €3m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (16)
€5m
ZRI (13)
€4m
FS (11)
€3m
RB (12)
€2m
ZS (7)
€2m
VEL (9)
€2m
SD (9)
€2m
SB (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's attack is €3m more valuable than Velež's (€5m vs €2m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FS (7)
€3m
ZRI (4)
€2m
ZS (7)
€1m
SB (7)
€1m
BBL (4)
€1m
VEL (5)
€0m
RB (4)
€0m
SD (4)
€0m
Borac Banja Luka and Velež have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BBL (13)
€4m
FS (14)
€3m
ZRI (13)
€3m
RB (11)
€1m
VEL (9)
€1m
SD (11)
€1m
SB (8)
€1m
ZS (5)
€1m
Borac Banja Luka's defence is €2m more valuable than Velež's (€4m vs €1m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BBL wins
4
Draws
1
VEL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Borac Banja Luka vs Velež · H/A from BBL
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/25AVelež Vs BBL1-1
10/05/25HBBL Vs Velež1-0
02/11/24AVelež Vs BBL0-0
12/10/24HBBL Vs Velež2-1
07/04/24AVelež Vs BBL1-1
24/02/24AVelež Vs BBL0-0
01/10/23HBBL Vs Velež2-0
01/05/23AVelež Vs BBL2-0

Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
05/10/25ARudar Prijedor Vs BBL0-2
28/09/25APosušje Vs BBL0-2
20/09/25HBBL Vs Radnik Bijeljina5-1
15/09/25AZeljeznicar Sarajevo Vs BBL3-2
31/08/25HBBL Vs Siroki Brijeg5-1
24/08/25HBBL Vs FK Sarajevo5-1
17/08/25ASloga Doboj Vs BBL0-1
03/08/25AVelež Vs BBL1-1
27/07/25HBBL Vs Rudar Prijedor6-0
17/07/25AFC Santa Coloma Vs BBL0-2

VeležVelež

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/10/25HVEL Vs Sloga Doboj2-0
27/09/25HVEL Vs Zrinjski1-3
20/09/25AFK Sarajevo Vs VEL2-0
13/09/25ARudar Prijedor Vs VEL1-3
30/08/25HVEL Vs Posušje0-1
23/08/25ARadnik Bijeljina Vs VEL3-0
15/08/25HVEL Vs Zeljeznicar Sarajevo0-1
10/08/25ASiroki Brijeg Vs VEL1-3
03/08/25HVEL Vs Borac Banja Luka1-1
26/07/25ASloga Doboj Vs VEL2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Borac Banja Luka
Borac Banja Luka
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 8 Wins / 1 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW2.24
HomeLWWWW2.43
AwayDWLWW2.07
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%78%63%
AVG goals2.442.912.04
Over 1.5 %68%74%63%
Over 2.5 %34%48%22%
Over 3.5 %24%35%15%
Scored1.802.351.33
Conceded0.640.570.70
BTTS30%30%30%
Clean Sheet60%61%59%
Corners9.789.2510.20
Cards5.225.005.40
Velež
Velež
Bosnia: Premijer Liga
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLW1.24
HomeDLLLW1.38
AwayLWLWL1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%33%31%
AVG goals2.682.333.00
Over 1.5 %76%67%85%
Over 2.5 %50%50%50%
Over 3.5 %28%25%31%
Scored1.361.291.42
Conceded1.321.041.58
BTTS54%54%54%
Clean Sheet24%29%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Borac Banja LukaBorac Banja Luka3686
75%
2.4
7620+56
2.7
67%
47%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
5142.10.6
-
2ZrinjskiZrinjski3671
58%
2.0
4825+23
2.0
67%
36%
8%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
8
4231.30.7
-
3FK SarajevoFK Sarajevo3665
53%
1.8
5437+17
2.5
64%
47%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
9
3331.51.0
-
4VeležVelež3651
39%
1.4
3635+1
2.0
50%
36%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2011.01.0
-
5Siroki BrijegSiroki Brijeg3645
31%
1.2
3748-11
2.4
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
1111.01.3
-
6Zeljeznicar SarajevoZeljeznicar Sarajevo3642
28%
1.2
3437-3
2.0
56%
33%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2110.91.0
-
7Radnik BijeljinaRadnik Bijeljina3635
22%
1.0
2745-18
2.0
53%
33%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
4
2010.81.2
-
8PosušjePosušje3634
22%
0.9
2541-16
1.8
56%
22%
11%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.71.1
-
9Sloga DobojSloga Doboj3634
22%
0.9
2146-25
1.9
53%
39%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
2010.61.3
-
10Rudar PrijedorRudar Prijedor3630
19%
0.8
3155-24
2.4
61%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Bosnia: Premijer Liga 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Bosnia: Premijer Liga stats & trends →

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