Borussia Mönchengladbach are favoured to win, with a 47% chance of triumph, a 26% chance of a draw and a 27% chance of an Elversberg victory. The model expects 2.9 goals on average, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 12.4% probability. Mönchengladbach, playing at home against a similarly-matched opponent, average 1.8 goals scored and 1.0 conceded, while Elversberg, on the road, average 1.82 goals scored and 1.64 conceded. The model’s selections include: Away under 2.5 HT goals99.0% (edge 6%); Under 7.598.6% (edge 3%); Away under 2.5 2H goals97.9% (edge 7%); Away under 3.5 goals97.6% (edge 4%); Under 6.596.3% (edge 2%); Away under 1.5 HT goals93.5% (edge 6%); Home +2 handicap92.8% (edge 6%); Under 5.590.8% (edge 2%). Mönchengladbach have recently suffered a 0-3 loss to RB Leipzig, whereas Elversberg are riding a two-game winning streak, having beaten Bayer Leverkusen 3-2.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Borussia Mönchengladbach win
46.9%
Avg Implied 50.4% · @ 1.88
Edge
-3.4%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.93
Betfair
1.91
Pinnacle
1.91
Dafabet
1.91
Bet365
1.90
Draw
26.4%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.79
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
3.98
Marathonbet
3.92
Pinnacle
3.91
Betfair
3.90
Betano
3.90
SV Elversberg win
26.7%
Avg Implied 24.7% · @ 3.83
Edge
+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
4.06
Marathonbet
4.00
Bet365
4.00
Dafabet
3.90
Unibet
3.90
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.23
1.47
1.43
1.00
1.06
1.88
vs Stronger (8)
0.38
1.75
0.50
1.00
0.25
2.50
vs Similar (22)
1.55
1.36
1.80
1.00
1.33
1.67
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
40% (+16pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Elversberg
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.8
Avg scored
2.3
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
2.00
1.20
2.20
0.87
1.80
1.53
vs Stronger (1)
3.00
2.00
3.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.86
1.23
1.91
0.82
1.82
1.64
vs Weaker (7)
2.29
1.00
3.00
0.67
1.75
1.25
Clean sheet %
27% (+3pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Mönchengladbach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
79.5%
@ 1.17-1.0%
Under 1.5
20.5%
@ 4.81+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
Under
Bet365
5.00
BetVictor
5.00
Betfair
5.00
Marathonbet
4.75
10Bet
4.75
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
55.1%
@ 1.59-4.7%
Under 2.5
44.9%
@ 2.37+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.65
Unibet
1.62
Betano
1.62
Pinnacle
1.61
Marathonbet
1.60
Under
1xBet
2.45
Betfair
2.45
Pinnacle
2.41
Marathonbet
2.38
Bet365
2.38
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
32.8%
@ 2.43-5.9%
Under 3.5
67.2%
@ 1.53+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.60
Pinnacle
2.50
Betano
2.50
Betfair
2.45
10Bet
2.40
Under
Bet365
1.57
Pinnacle
1.57
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.55
Betfair
1.53
Both teams to score
Yes
58.3%
@ 1.53-2.7%
No
41.7%
@ 2.39+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Unibet
1.57
William Hil
1.55
Betano
1.55
10Bet
1.53
Bet365
1.53
No
Betfair
2.50
1xBet
2.40
BetVictor
2.40
10Bet
2.40
William Hil
2.40
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.5%@ 7.01+6.0%
2-1
9.5%@ 7.67+3.6%
1-0
8.2%@ 9.03+3.2%
2-0
7.8%@ 9.96+3.3%
1-2
6.9%@ 11.73+3.0%
0-0
6.7%@ 14.19+3.5%
2-2
5.8%@ 11.30+1.8%
0-1
5.6%@ 13.57+2.3%
Borussia Mönchengladbach goals ↓
SV Elversberg goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.7%
5.6%
4.1%
1.7%
0.5%
1
8.2%
12%
6.9%
2.8%
0.8%
2
7.8%
9.5%
5.8%
2.3%
0.7%
3
4.3%
5.3%
3.2%
1.3%
0.4%
4
1.8%
2.2%
1.3%
0.5%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Borussia Mönchengladbach goals (down), columns = SV Elversberg goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Bayern München
2.62
Borussia Dortmund
2.15
RB Leipzig
1.91
VfB Stuttgart
1.82
1899 Hoffenheim
1.79
Bayer Leverkusen
1.74
SC Freiburg
1.38
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.29
FC Augsburg
1.26
FSV Mainz 05
1.18
Union Berlin
1.15
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.12
Hamburger SV
1.12
SV Elversberg
1.00
SC Paderborn 07
1.00
FC Schalke 04
1.00
1. FC Köln
0.94
Werder Bremen
0.94
Borussia Mönchengladbach is 0.11 points better than SV Elversberg in terms of average points per game (1.12 vs 1.00).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Bayern München
3.59
VfB Stuttgart
2.09
Borussia Dortmund
2.06
Bayer Leverkusen
2.00
RB Leipzig
1.94
1899 Hoffenheim
1.91
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.79
SC Freiburg
1.50
1. FC Köln
1.44
FC Augsburg
1.32
FSV Mainz 05
1.29
Union Berlin
1.29
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.24
Hamburger SV
1.18
SV Elversberg
1.15
FC Schalke 04
1.14
Werder Bremen
1.09
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Mönchengladbach is 0.08 goals better than SV Elversberg in terms of goals scored per game (1.24 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
SC Paderborn 07
0.50
Borussia Dortmund
1.00
Bayern München
1.06
Bayer Leverkusen
1.38
RB Leipzig
1.38
VfB Stuttgart
1.44
1899 Hoffenheim
1.53
Borussia Mönchengladbach
1.56
FSV Mainz 05
1.56
Hamburger SV
1.59
SC Freiburg
1.68
Union Berlin
1.71
Werder Bremen
1.76
FC Augsburg
1.79
1. FC Köln
1.85
Eintracht Frankfurt
1.91
SV Elversberg
2.10
FC Schalke 04
2.11
Borussia Mönchengladbach is 0.54 goals better than SV Elversberg in terms of goals conceded per game (1.56 vs 2.10).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Bayern München
67%
Bayer Leverkusen
59%
VfB Stuttgart
58%
1899 Hoffenheim
55%
Eintracht Frankfurt
55%
RB Leipzig
54%
Borussia Dortmund
53%
SC Paderborn 07
52%
Werder Bremen
51%
SC Freiburg
48%
1. FC Köln
47%
Borussia Mönchengladbach
47%
Hamburger SV
45%
FSV Mainz 05
44%
FC Augsburg
44%
Union Berlin
40%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Borussia Mönchengladbach
For 2.7 · Against 5.5 · Total 8.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.9 · Total 5.5
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.5 · Against 10.7 · Total 21.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
SV Elversberg
For 5.3 · Against 3.4 · Total 8.7
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.0
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.4 · Against 11.3 · Total 22.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
8.2
9.7
3.7
3.7
3.8
20.5
19.1
21.7
vs Stronger (12)
9.4
7.8
10.6
3.8
4.0
3.7
20.2
19.2
20.9
vs Similar (38)
8.9
8.4
9.4
3.7
3.6
3.8
20.6
19.1
22.0
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
42%
38%
46%
46%
50%
42%
44%
33%
54%
% under line
58%
62%
54%
54%
50%
58%
56%
67%
46%
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Elversberg
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.5
8.9
10.1
4.4
3.4
5.4
24.3
23.3
25.3
vs Stronger (1)
7.0
7.0
-
5.0
5.0
-
33.0
33.0
-
vs Similar (36)
10.0
9.9
10.0
4.4
3.4
5.1
24.1
23.1
24.9
vs Weaker (13)
8.5
7.1
10.6
4.4
3.0
6.6
24.2
22.5
26.8
% over line
50%
44%
56%
64%
52%
76%
72%
56%
88%
% under line
50%
56%
44%
36%
48%
24%
28%
44%
12%
This opponent (Borussia Mönchengladbach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
RB Leipzig
10.4
1899 Hoffenheim
10.3
1. FC Köln
10.3
VfB Stuttgart
10.0
SC Paderborn 07
10.0
FC Augsburg
9.8
FC Schalke 04
9.8
Hamburger SV
9.7
Bayern München
9.7
Union Berlin
9.6
Bayer Leverkusen
9.6
SV Elversberg
9.5
Werder Bremen
9.5
FSV Mainz 05
9.4
Eintracht Frankfurt
9.1
Borussia Mönchengladbach
9.0
Borussia Dortmund
8.9
SC Freiburg
8.5
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Hamburger SV
5.2
SC Paderborn 07
4.6
Werder Bremen
4.6
SV Elversberg
4.5
Bayer Leverkusen
4.5
FC Schalke 04
4.4
1. FC Köln
4.4
FSV Mainz 05
4.3
FC Augsburg
4.2
Union Berlin
4.1
VfB Stuttgart
4.1
1899 Hoffenheim
4.1
Eintracht Frankfurt
3.9
Bayern München
3.9
Borussia Mönchengladbach
3.9
Borussia Dortmund
3.7
SC Freiburg
3.6
RB Leipzig
3.4
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
SV Elversberg
24.3
SC Paderborn 07
24.2
Hamburger SV
24.1
FC Schalke 04
23.6
SC Freiburg
22.9
1899 Hoffenheim
22.8
VfB Stuttgart
22.6
Borussia Dortmund
22.3
FSV Mainz 05
21.7
FC Augsburg
21.7
Union Berlin
21.6
Werder Bremen
20.5
1. FC Köln
20.5
Borussia Mönchengladbach
20.5
RB Leipzig
19.9
Eintracht Frankfurt
19.8
Bayer Leverkusen
19.7
Bayern München
18.6
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
42.1%
@ 1.99-4.9%
Under 9.5
57.9%
@ 1.76+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
2.10
Betano
2.10
Pinnacle
2.02
1xBet
1.95
10Bet
1.95
Under
Unibet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.80
1xBet
1.79
10Bet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.76
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
61.4%
@ 1.84+11.0%
Under 3.5
38.6%
@ 1.88-11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.87
Betano
1.85
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.93
Pinnacle
1.93
Bet365
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
42.2%
@ 1.93-6.4%
Under 21.5
57.8%
@ 1.82+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.93
Under
Betano
1.82
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Borussia Mönchengladbach or Draw
81.3%
Avg Implied 75.4% · @ 1.25
Edge
+5.9%
47%
26%
27%
covers Borussia Mönchengladbach + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach or SV Elversberg
76.7%
Avg Implied 75.5% · @ 1.24
Edge
+1.2%
47%
26%
27%
covers Borussia Mönchengladbach + SV Elversberg
Best 5 market prices
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Unibet
1.25
Draw or SV Elversberg
42.0%
Avg Implied 49.1% · @ 1.91
Edge
-7.1%
47%
26%
27%
covers Draw + SV Elversberg
Best 5 market prices
SBO
1.98
1xBet
1.97
Marathonbet
1.96
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.94
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 0.5
Over
86.5%
@ 1.11+3.2%
Under
13.5%
@ 5.56-3.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Unibet
1.11
Under
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.00
1xBet
5.50
BetVictor
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 1.5
Over
59.5%
@ 1.69+3.9%
Under
40.5%
@ 2.11-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.72
Marathonbet
1.72
1xBet
1.71
Betano
1.70
Unibet
1.67
Under
Pinnacle
2.17
1xBet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.14
Betfair
2.10
10Bet
2.10
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 2.5
Over
32.4%
@ 3.19+3.1%
Under
67.6%
@ 1.32-3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
3.30
Pinnacle
3.29
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
1xBet
3.18
Under
Betano
1.35
Pinnacle
1.34
Marathonbet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
10Bet
1.33
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 3.5
Over
14.4%
@ 6.79+0.7%
Under
85.6%
@ 1.07-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
7.50
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.90
1xBet
6.85
Unibet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
SV Elversberg over/under 0.5
Over
65.7%
@ 1.32-4.9%
Under
34.3%
@ 3.17+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.35
Unibet
1.34
Bet365
1.33
Pinnacle
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
Under
Pinnacle
3.31
Betfair
3.30
Bet365
3.25
BetVictor
3.20
10Bet
3.20
SV Elversberg over/under 1.5
Over
29.0%
@ 2.61-6.8%
Under
71.0%
@ 1.46+6.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
2.70
1xBet
2.67
Marathonbet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.67
Bet365
2.62
Under
Pinnacle
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
SV Elversberg over/under 2.5
Over
9.4%
@ 6.22-5.6%
Under
90.6%
@ 1.09+5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
6.70
Marathonbet
6.70
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
6.25
Under
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
SV Elversberg over/under 3.5
Over
2.4%
@ 14.75-4.1%
Under
97.6%
@ 1.02+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
19.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Borussia Mönchengladbach, so a minus line means Borussia Mönchengladbach give that many goals of a start and SV Elversberg receive them. At -1, Borussia Mönchengladbach must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Borussia Mönchengladbach win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Borussia Mönchengladbach)
Borussia Mönchengladbach -2
17.6%
@ 6.26+3.2%
Draw -2
18.0%
@ 5.38+1.3%
SV Elversberg +2
64.5%
@ 1.30-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
6.50
Bet365
6.50
10Bet
6.25
Marathonbet
6.05
Unibet
6.00
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
5.00
Away
Bet365
1.33
Marathonbet
1.32
Unibet
1.32
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Borussia Mönchengladbach)
Borussia Mönchengladbach -1
35.5%
@ 3.14+6.9%
Draw -1
22.5%
@ 3.79-1.3%
SV Elversberg +1
42.0%
@ 1.89-5.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.25
Betfair
3.25
10Bet
3.10
Marathonbet
3.10
Unibet
3.00
Draw
Bet365
4.00
Marathonbet
3.92
Betfair
3.75
10Bet
3.70
Unibet
3.60
Away
Marathonbet
1.96
Unibet
1.93
10Bet
1.90
Bet365
1.83
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Borussia Mönchengladbach)
Borussia Mönchengladbach +1
81.3%
@ 1.25+8.5%
Draw +1
11.5%
@ 5.61-4.6%
SV Elversberg -1
7.2%
@ 8.22-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.90
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Away
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
8.50
Marathonbet
8.10
Unibet
8.00
10Bet
7.50
Handicap +2 (Borussia Mönchengladbach)
Borussia Mönchengladbach +2
92.8%
@ 1.06+6.0%
Draw +2
5.1%
@ 10.83-3.4%
SV Elversberg -2
2.0%
@ 19.67-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Draw
Betfair
12.00
Bet365
12.00
10Bet
8.50
Away
Bet365
21.00
Betfair
21.00
10Bet
17.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.77
0.79
0.43
0.38
1.06
vs Stronger (8)
0.12
0.62
0.25
0.25
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (22)
0.73
0.82
1.00
0.50
0.50
1.08
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
57% (+33pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Elversberg
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
0.57
1.00
0.33
0.80
0.80
vs Stronger (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
0.77
0.55
0.73
0.36
0.82
0.73
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.71
1.67
0.33
0.75
1.00
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Mönchengladbach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
76.0%
@ 1.27+2.6%
Under 0.5
24.0%
@ 3.51-2.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
Under
Betfair
3.80
BetVictor
3.70
William Hil
3.60
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
39.8%
@ 2.30-1.0%
Under 1.5
60.2%
@ 1.58+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.42
Unibet
2.40
Pinnacle
2.37
Marathonbet
2.36
1xBet
2.36
Under
William Hil
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
10Bet
1.60
Pinnacle
1.59
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.9%
@ 5.34-1.6%
Under 2.5
84.1%
@ 1.13+1.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
5.75
Marathonbet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Bet365
5.50
1xBet
5.50
Under
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 0.5 HT
Over
61.1%
@ 1.66+5.0%
Under
38.9%
@ 2.12-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.70
Pinnacle
1.66
Unibet
1.66
1xBet
1.66
Marathonbet
1.65
Under
Pinnacle
2.22
10Bet
2.15
Marathonbet
2.11
1xBet
2.10
Betano
2.07
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 1.5 HT
Over
27.8%
@ 4.24+6.0%
Under
72.2%
@ 1.18-6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.45
Unibet
4.30
Betano
4.25
1xBet
4.20
10Bet
4.00
Under
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 2.5 HT
Over
10.0%
@ 9.88+0.7%
Under
90.0%
@ 1.02-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Unibet
10.00
Betano
9.75
Under
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.01
SV Elversberg over/under 0.5 HT
Over
31.5%
@ 2.19-11.0%
Under
68.5%
@ 1.62+11.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.26
Unibet
2.25
Betano
2.22
1xBet
2.17
Marathonbet
2.17
Under
10Bet
1.67
Pinnacle
1.64
1xBet
1.63
Betano
1.62
Marathonbet
1.61
SV Elversberg over/under 1.5 HT
Over
6.3%
@ 7.06-6.9%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.07+6.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
8.00
1xBet
7.20
Unibet
7.00
Betano
6.60
10Bet
6.50
Under
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
SV Elversberg over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.0%
@ 12.50-6.5%
Under
99.0%
@ 1.01+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Borussia Mönchengladbach
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.70
0.64
0.57
0.69
0.81
vs Stronger (8)
0.25
1.12
0.25
0.75
0.25
1.50
vs Similar (22)
0.82
0.55
0.80
0.50
0.83
0.58
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+23pp vs league)
This opponent (SV Elversberg) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
SV Elversberg
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.10
0.63
1.20
0.53
1.00
0.73
vs Stronger (1)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (22)
1.09
0.68
1.18
0.45
1.00
0.91
vs Weaker (7)
1.14
0.29
1.33
0.33
1.00
0.25
Clean sheet %
53% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Borussia Mönchengladbach) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
84.3%
@ 1.16+3.5%
Under 0.5
15.7%
@ 4.85-3.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
Under
Marathonbet
5.10
1xBet
5.10
Bet365
5.00
Betano
4.80
10Bet
4.75
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
56.3%
@ 1.80+4.1%
Under 1.5
43.7%
@ 1.97-4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
William Hil
1.83
Unibet
1.78
Betano
1.78
Under
Marathonbet
2.00
Betano
2.00
Bet365
2.00
1xBet
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
27.8%
@ 3.47+0.9%
Under 2.5
72.2%
@ 1.27-0.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
3.60
Unibet
3.55
Marathonbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
1xBet
3.50
Under
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 0.5 2H
Over
68.8%
@ 1.45+4.3%
Under
31.2%
@ 2.62-4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.45
1xBet
1.44
Under
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.60
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 1.5 2H
Over
35.8%
@ 3.08+5.8%
Under
64.2%
@ 1.32-5.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.20
Marathonbet
3.14
Betano
3.00
1xBet
3.00
Under
Betano
1.36
1xBet
1.33
Marathonbet
1.31
10Bet
1.30
Borussia Mönchengladbach over/under 2.5 2H
Over
12.8%
@ 7.50+0.5%
Under
87.2%
@ 1.05-0.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
8.10
Betano
6.90
Under
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
SV Elversberg over/under 0.5 2H
Over
40.0%
@ 1.83-10.7%
Under
60.0%
@ 1.89+10.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
1.84
Betano
1.83
1xBet
1.83
Under
Betano
1.91
1xBet
1.90
Marathonbet
1.86
SV Elversberg over/under 1.5 2H
Over
11.5%
@ 5.12-6.6%
Under
88.5%
@ 1.13+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.60
1xBet
5.10
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.80
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
SV Elversberg over/under 2.5 2H
Over
2.3%
@ 10.50-6.6%
Under
97.7%
@ 1.03+6.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
-
+6.5%
Under 7.5
98.6%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+2.5%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
97.7%
1.03
Betano
1.03
-
-
-
-
+6.6%
Away under 3.5 goals
97.6%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
-
-
-
+4.1%
Under 6.5
96.3%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Bet365
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Betfair
1.01
-
+2.3%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.07
Betano
1.09
10Bet
1.08
Unibet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+6.9%
Home +2 handicap
92.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.07
10Bet
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+6.0%
Under 5.5
90.8%
1.06
Betano
1.09
Bet365
1.08
10Bet
1.08
Betfair
1.07
Unibet
1.05
+2.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
90.6%
1.09
Betano
1.12
Bet365
1.11
BetVictor
1.10
10Bet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.08
+5.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
90.0%
1.02
Betano
1.03
Unibet
1.01
-
-
-
-0.7%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
88.5%
1.13
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.13
1xBet
1.12
Marathonbet
1.11
-
+6.6%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
87.2%
1.05
Betano
1.08
1xBet
1.03
-
-
-
-0.5%
Home over 0.5 goals
86.5%
1.11
Betano
1.15
Bet365
1.12
10Bet
1.12
BetVictor
1.11
Unibet
1.11
+3.2%
Home under 3.5 goals
85.6%
1.07
Betano
1.11
Bet365
1.10
1xBet
1.07
Marathonbet
1.06
Betfair
1.06
-0.7%
Under 25.5 fouls
85.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 0.5 2H goals
84.3%
1.16
William Hil
1.18
Betano
1.17
Bet365
1.17
10Bet
1.15
1xBet
1.15
+3.5%
Under 2.5 HT goals
84.1%
1.13
William Hil
1.15
Betano
1.15
10Bet
1.15
Bet365
1.14
Marathonbet
1.13
+1.6%
Home or Draw
81.3%
1.25
Betano
1.28
1xBet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
William Hil
1.25
BetVictor
1.25
+5.9%
Home +1 handicap
81.3%
1.25
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Unibet
1.23
Betfair
1.22
+8.5%
Under 4.5
80.3%
1.19
Betano
1.23
Bet365
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
BetVictor
1.18
+1.8%
Under 11.5 corners
79.7%
1.25
Unibet
1.32
1xBet
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
Betano
1.23
-
+7.1%
Over 2.5 cards
79.7%
1.36
Betano
1.38
Pinnacle
1.35
-
-
-
+11.3%
Over 1.5
79.5%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Unibet
1.18
10Bet
1.18
Bet365
1.17
Betfair
1.17
-1.0%
Home or Away
76.7%
1.24
1xBet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
William Hil
1.25
Unibet
1.25
+1.2%
Over 0.5 HT goals
76.0%
1.27
Betano
1.33
Unibet
1.29
1xBet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
+2.6%
Under 5.5 cards
74.4%
1.22
Betano
1.22
-
-
-
-
-2.2%
Under 23.5 fouls
73.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 2.5 2H goals
72.2%
1.27
Betano
1.32
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.28
-0.9%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
72.2%
1.18
Betano
1.20
10Bet
1.20
1xBet
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
Unibet
1.16
-6.0%
Away under 1.5 goals
71.0%
1.46
Pinnacle
1.50
BetVictor
1.47
Betano
1.47
1xBet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
+6.8%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Borussia Mönchengladbach · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Haris Tabaković37%
Robin Hack22%
Oscar Fraulo20%
Kevin Diks15%
Shuto Machino12%
Wael Mohya12%
Grant-Leon Ranos10%
Hugo Bolin8%
Jens Castrop7%
Franck Honorat6%
Philipp Sander6%
Yannik Engelhardt6%
Joseph Scally6%
Nico Elvedi6%
Giovanni Reyna5%
Kevin Stöger3%
Marvin Friedrich0%
Moritz Nicolas0%
Florian Neuhaus0%
Tim Kleindienst0%
Luca Netz0%
Rocco Reitz0%
Fabio Chiarodia0%
Lukas Ullrich0%
Kota Takai0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Jan Urbich0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Yannik Engelhardt24%
Rocco Reitz24%
Joseph Scally23%
Kevin Diks18%
Haris Tabaković14%
Nico Elvedi14%
Philipp Sander12%
Kota Takai12%
Luca Netz12%
Robin Hack11%
Grant-Leon Ranos10%
Kevin Stöger9%
Lukas Ullrich8%
Jens Castrop7%
Fabio Chiarodia6%
Shuto Machino6%
Wael Mohya6%
Giovanni Reyna5%
Moritz Nicolas3%
Franck Honorat0%
Marvin Friedrich0%
Florian Neuhaus0%
Tim Kleindienst0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Hugo Bolin0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Jan Urbich0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Franck Honorat29%
Luca Netz12%
Rocco Reitz12%
Kevin Stöger9%
Haris Tabaković9%
Hugo Bolin8%
Yannik Engelhardt6%
Wael Mohya6%
Joseph Scally6%
Florian Neuhaus6%
Jens Castrop4%
Shuto Machino3%
Nico Elvedi3%
Robin Hack0%
Marvin Friedrich0%
Philipp Sander0%
Moritz Nicolas0%
Tim Kleindienst0%
Kevin Diks0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Grant-Leon Ranos0%
Fabio Chiarodia0%
Lukas Ullrich0%
Kota Takai0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Jan Urbich0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Haris Tabaković29%
Robin Hack22%
Jens Castrop14%
Florian Neuhaus11%
Grant-Leon Ranos10%
Philipp Sander9%
Kevin Stöger9%
Rocco Reitz9%
Shuto Machino6%
Kevin Diks3%
Yannik Engelhardt3%
Joseph Scally3%
Nico Elvedi0%
Franck Honorat0%
Marvin Friedrich0%
Moritz Nicolas0%
Tim Kleindienst0%
Giovanni Reyna0%
Luca Netz0%
Oscar Fraulo0%
Fabio Chiarodia0%
Lukas Ullrich0%
Hugo Bolin0%
Kota Takai0%
Alejo Sarco0%
Jan Urbich0%
Wael Mohya0%
SV Elversberg · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Younes Ebnoutalib37%
David Mokwa29%
Lukas Petkov28%
Otto Stange25%
Bambasé Conté15%
Jason Ceka14%
Tom Zimmerschied11%
Frederik Schmahl10%
Luca Schnellbacher10%
Raif Adam10%
Maximilian Rohr9%
Jarzinho Malanga8%
Immanuel Pherai8%
Felix Keidel7%
Florian Yves Le Joncour5%
Nicholas Mickelson4%
Jan Gyamerah3%
Amara Condé3%
Łukasz Poręba3%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Lasse Günther0%
Lukas Finn Pinckert0%
Nicolas Kristof0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Amara Condé30%
Maximilian Rohr25%
Otto Stange25%
Lukas Finn Pinckert19%
Jan Gyamerah17%
Immanuel Pherai15%
Nicholas Mickelson12%
Łukasz Poręba11%
Lukas Petkov11%
Felix Keidel11%
Younes Ebnoutalib11%
Frederik Schmahl10%
Tom Zimmerschied8%
Bambasé Conté7%
Nicolas Kristof6%
Florian Yves Le Joncour5%
Lasse Günther4%
Luca Schnellbacher3%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Jason Ceka0%
David Mokwa0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Raif Adam0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Tom Zimmerschied25%
Lasse Günther21%
Bambasé Conté15%
Lukas Petkov14%
Luca Schnellbacher13%
Jan Gyamerah10%
Łukasz Poręba8%
Otto Stange8%
Nicholas Mickelson8%
Felix Keidel7%
Maximilian Rohr6%
Frederik Schmahl3%
Amara Condé3%
Florian Yves Le Joncour0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Immanuel Pherai0%
Lukas Finn Pinckert0%
Nicolas Kristof0%
Jason Ceka0%
David Mokwa0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Younes Ebnoutalib0%
Raif Adam0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Younes Ebnoutalib37%
Lukas Petkov25%
Immanuel Pherai23%
Tom Zimmerschied11%
Bambasé Conté7%
Felix Keidel7%
David Mokwa6%
Amara Condé3%
Łukasz Poręba3%
Florian Yves Le Joncour0%
Jan Gyamerah0%
Carlo Sickinger0%
Luca Schnellbacher0%
Nicholas Mickelson0%
Maximilian Rohr0%
Lasse Günther0%
Lukas Finn Pinckert0%
Nicolas Kristof0%
Jason Ceka0%
Frederik Schmahl0%
Jarzinho Malanga0%
Otto Stange0%
Raif Adam0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (29)
€1076m
BD (29)
€529m
RL (31)
€506m
BL (30)
€499m
VS (54)
€430m
EF (26)
€323m
1H (53)
€309m
SF (30)
€243m
FM0 (29)
€175m
FA (28)
€161m
1FK (74)
€133m
BM (29)
€129m
UB (29)
€123m
WB (33)
€119m
HS (28)
€117m
FS0 (29)
€67m
SE (27)
€52m
SP0 (33)
€43m
Borussia Mönchengladbach's squad is €77m more valuable than SV Elversberg's (€129m vs €52m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (10)
€554m
BL (13)
€246m
RL (12)
€212m
VS (19)
€193m
EF (11)
€174m
BD (8)
€170m
1H (22)
€111m
SF (10)
€96m
1FK (25)
€72m
FA (12)
€64m
BM (11)
€58m
WB (13)
€50m
FM0 (11)
€49m
UB (10)
€46m
HS (11)
€46m
SE (12)
€33m
FS0 (8)
€17m
SP0 (11)
€14m
Borussia Mönchengladbach's attack is €25m more valuable than SV Elversberg's (€58m vs €33m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (6)
€187m
BD (7)
€146m
RL (6)
€109m
1H (11)
€105m
VS (10)
€92m
BL (5)
€91m
FM0 (5)
€80m
EF (4)
€78m
SF (5)
€36m
HS (5)
€34m
WB (5)
€28m
UB (6)
€26m
FS0 (8)
€24m
FA (6)
€23m
BM (5)
€22m
1FK (16)
€19m
SP0 (13)
€18m
SE (3)
€4m
Borussia Mönchengladbach's midfield is €17m more valuable than SV Elversberg's (€22m vs €4m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
BM (13)
€336m
BD (14)
€214m
RL (13)
€185m
BL (12)
€162m
VS (25)
€145m
SF (15)
€110m
1H (20)
€92m
FA (10)
€74m
EF (11)
€72m
UB (13)
€50m
BM (13)
€49m
FM0 (13)
€47m
1FK (33)
€43m
WB (15)
€41m
HS (12)
€37m
FS0 (13)
€26m
SE (12)
€14m
SP0 (9)
€11m
Borussia Mönchengladbach's defence is €35m more valuable than SV Elversberg's (€49m vs €14m).
🤝 15. Games History
H2H record
No previous meetings
0
BM wins
0
Draws
0
SE wins
Head-to-head
Borussia Mönchengladbach vs SV Elversberg · H/A from BM
Germany: Bundesliga 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Germany: Bundesliga stats & trends →
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Bayern München
SC Freiburg
RB Leipzig
FC Augsburg
Borussia Dortmund
1. FC Köln
Eintracht Frankfurt
Union Berlin
FSV Mainz 05
SC Paderborn 07
Bayer Leverkusen
1899 Hoffenheim
Hamburger SV
Werder Bremen
FC Schalke 04
VfB Stuttgart