Botev Plovdiv vs Arda Kardzhali Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity will shape this encounter, with Botev Plovdiv averaging 0.78 goals conceded at home and Arda Kardzhali conceding 0.8 away. The model favours an away win, assigning a 41% chance to Arda, 34% to a draw, and 25% to Botev. The expected total of 1.9 goals points to a tight match, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-0 at 15.9%. Botev’s home form shows 1.11 goals scored and 0.78 conceded against similar opposition, while Arda’s away form records 0.9 goals scored and 0.8 conceded. Suggested picks include Over 2.5 cards at 90.5%, Under 3.5 at 87.1%, Over 19.5 fouls at 86.9%, Under 11.5 corners at 86.1%, Over 3.5 cards at 78.7%, Under 10.5 corners at 77.9% (miss), and Over 21.5 fouls at 75.7%. The recent form narrative highlights Botev’s three straight defeats and Arda’s four-game winning streak, setting the stage for a low-scoring, defensively dominated fixture.

The model’s prediction proved accurate as Arda Kardzhali secured a 0-2 away win, extending their four-game winning streak. The pre-match favourite, Away win, was assigned a 41% probability and the outcome matched the forecast. The most likely total of 2 goals came with a 28% chance, and the 0-1 scoreline, the most probable result, was indeed the only goal conceded by Botev. The model’s selections largely hit: Over 2.5 cards (90.5%), Under 3.5 (87.1%), Over 19.5 fouls (86.9%), Under 11.5 corners (86.1%), Over 3.5 cards (78.7%) and Over 21.5 fouls (75.7%) all materialised, while Under 10.5 corners (77.9%) missed. The match confirmed the model’s overall accuracy.