Botev Plovdiv vs Levski Sofia Result & Analysis

Defensive solidity is the headline here, with Botev Plovdiv conceding 1.33 goals per game at home against stronger opposition, while Le Sofia’s away attack averages 1.33 goals scored and only 0.67 conceded to weaker teams. The model favours an away win, giving Le Sofia 47% of the win probability, Botev 22%, and a draw 31%. The expected total of 2.1 goals points to a tight affair, and the single most likely scoreline is 0-1 for Le Sofia, with a 14.4% chance. The suggested selections include Over 2.5 cards at 89.8%, Over 19.5 fouls at 89.4%, Under 3.5 at 83.6% (miss), Under 11.5 corners at 80.0%, Over 21.5 fouls at 79.5%, Over 3.5 cards at 77.4%, and Under 10.5 corners at 70.2%. The match is likely to stay low-scoring, with Le Sofia’s recent win and Botev’s recent three defeats hinting at a narrow away triumph.

The final score of 1-3 confirmed the model’s prediction of an away win, a result that matched the 47% probability assigned to Levski Sofia. The model’s favourite was correct, and the match’s outcome aligned with the 28% chance of the most likely scoreline. Over 2.5 cards, with an 89.8% probability, hit; Over 19.5 fouls, 89.4%, hit; Under 3.5, 83.6%, missed; Under 11.5 corners, 80.0%, hit; Over 21.5 fouls, 79.5%, hit; Over 3.5 cards, 77.4%, hit; Under 10.5 corners, 70.2%, hit. Botev Plovdiv’s recent form of LLLWW ended with a defeat, while Levski Sofia’s WLWDW streak continued with a win.