Botev Vratsa vs Cherno More Varna Result & Analysis

The model favours an away win, with Cherno More Varna expected to edge Botev Vratsa 54% to 20% for home victory and 26% for a draw. The average number of goals is 2.7, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.4% chance. Botev Vratsa, at home against a similarly-matched opponent, averages 1.09 goals scored and 0.64 conceded, while Cherno More Varna, on the road, averages 2.0 goals scored and 1.25 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 11.5 corners (98.2%), Under 10.5 corners (96.2%), Under 9.5 corners (92.3%), Under 8.5 corners (85.8%), Over 19.5 fouls (90.6%), Over 21.5 fouls (81.3%) and Over 3.5 cards (79.6%). The only miss is Over 2.5 cards (91.0%). The match’s shape points to a tight contest with Cherno More likely to secure the win.

The match finished 0-1, confirming the model’s prediction of an away win. The model had given Cherno More Varna a 54% chance of triumph, and the outcome matched that forecast. The win extends Botev Vratsa’s five-game run with a solitary victory, while Cherno More’s form has dipped after a defeat to CSKA Sofia. The model’s suggested picks performed largely as expected: Under 11.5 corners hit with 98.2% probability, Under 10.5 corners 96.2% hit, Under 9.5 corners 92.3% hit, Under 8.5 corners 85.8% hit, whereas Over 2.5 cards 91.0% missed and Over 3.5 cards 79.6% missed. The overall prediction proved accurate, with most corner-related selections proving reliable.