PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Bournemouth vs Brentford Result & Analysis

Date: 15/03/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 1-2
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Vs
51%
24%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: C Pawson

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bournemouth win✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 54.7% · @ 1.76
Edge
-3.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
24.0%
Avg Implied 22.9% · @ 4.20
Edge
+1.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✓ Hit
25.0%
Avg Implied 22.4% · @ 4.29
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D41W50W02L20W31W01L12L11D22DA·CHE14/01A·NEW18/01H·NOT25/01H·LIV01/02A·EVE08/02A·SOU15/02H·WOL22/02A·BRI25/02H·WOL01/03A·TOT09/03
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.171.570.791.941.50
vs Stronger (4)1.001.501.331.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)1.761.121.300.702.071.40
vs Weaker (1)5.001.005.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-550W01L22D02L21W02L10W40W11D01LA·SOU04/01H·PLY11/01H·MAN14/01H·LIV18/01A·CRY26/01H·TOT02/02A·WES15/02A·LEI21/02H·EVE26/02H·AST08/03
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.571.881.711.461.38
vs Stronger (5)1.002.201.002.331.002.00
vs Similar (22)1.911.502.271.731.551.27
vs Weaker (3)1.331.001.331.00--
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%121%222%318%412%511%6+
The model estimates around 3.3 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
84.7%
Under 1.5
15.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
63.4%
@ 1.49-1.0%
Under 2.5
36.6%
@ 2.69+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
41.2%
Under 3.5
58.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
63.8%
No
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
7.2%
1-2 ✓
6.5%
1-0
6.4%
2-2
6.3%
3-1
6.2%
0-0
4.8%
Bournemouth goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
04.8%4.1%3.3%1.5%0.5%
16.4%11%6.5%2.9%0.9%
27.2%9.5%6.3%2.8%0.9%
34.7%6.2%4.1%1.8%0.6%
42.3%3.0%2.0%0.9%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bournemouth goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Bournemouth and Brentford are level in average points per game (both 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Bournemouth is 0.21 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.74).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Bournemouth is 0.29 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.50).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Bournemouth is 0.9 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (49% vs 48%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

For 5.8 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

1306391676433396739937191013106121312128A·TOTA·BRIH·WOLA·SOUH·LIVH·NOTA·NEWA·CHEH·EVEA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.9 · Against 2.1 · Total 5.0

🟨 Cards

70331243312323613222316374557544A·TOTA·BRIH·WOLA·SOUH·LIVH·NOTA·NEWA·CHEH·EVEA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.1 · Against 11.3 · Total 26.4

⚠️ Fouls

3101615141217915131599121871615151416731262628242125312923A·TOTA·BRIH·WOLA·SOUH·LIVH·NOTA·NEWA·CHEH·EVEA·FUL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 4.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

17065256529103742154522431171111131117947H·ASTH·EVEA·LEIA·WESH·TOTA·CRYH·LIVH·MANA·SOUH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.0 · Against 1.8 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

502221411122232124342145023H·ASTH·EVEA·LEIA·WESH·TOTA·CRYH·LIVH·MANA·SOUH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 7.1 · Against 8.6 · Total 15.7

⚠️ Fouls

23010536101013104111186144441068159202315192081414H·ASTH·EVEA·LEIA·WESH·TOTA·CRYH·LIVH·MANA·SOUH·ARS
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BournemouthBournemouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.512.011.04.44.54.424.224.723.8
vs Stronger (6)10.010.29.54.23.85.022.321.025.0
vs Similar (40)11.612.211.24.74.84.524.625.623.9
vs Weaker (4)12.013.59.02.83.70.023.725.021.0
% over line67%77%58%72%71%73%83%82%83%
% under line33%23%42%28%29%27%17%18%17%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.110.711.63.33.23.518.517.119.9
vs Stronger (11)12.111.213.23.62.74.815.714.816.8
vs Similar (34)10.810.511.13.63.93.319.317.920.7
vs Weaker (5)13.0-13.00.60.01.522.0-22.0
% over line69%57%82%48%42%54%24%17%32%
% under line31%43%18%52%58%46%76%83%68%
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.3
Bournemouth
11.6
Brentford
11.2
Everton
10.8
Newcastle
10.8
Southampton
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.7
Fulham
10.7
Manchester United
10.7
Ipswich
10.7
Liverpool
10.6
Manchester City
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.3
Brighton
10.2
Wolves
10.2
Aston Villa
10.1
Leicester
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Aston Villa
4.7
Wolves
4.6
Brighton
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.4
Southampton
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Tottenham
4.2
Fulham
4.1
Liverpool
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
Manchester United
4.0
Leicester
3.9
West Ham
3.9
Ipswich
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.8
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.1
Tottenham
23.8
Aston Villa
23.8
Wolves
23.6
Southampton
22.9
Brighton
22.9
Newcastle
22.7
Ipswich
22.5
Crystal Palace
22.4
Chelsea
22.3
Nottingham Forest
21.9
West Ham
21.8
Arsenal
21.8
Leicester
21.7
Everton
21.5
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.8
Manchester United
20.8
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
77.7%
Under 9.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
53.7%
Under 3.5
46.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
35.1%
Under 21.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L21W10W01L20W20W01L01L10W10WA·CHE14/01A·NEW18/01H·NOT25/01H·LIV01/02A·EVE08/02A·SOU15/02H·WOL22/02A·BRI25/02H·WOL01/03A·TOT09/03
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.500.710.290.750.69
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.330.330.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.720.400.600.200.800.53
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W00D00D00D00D01L10W30W10W00DA·SOU04/01H·PLY11/01H·MAN14/01H·LIV18/01A·CRY26/01H·TOT02/02A·WES15/02A·LEI21/02H·EVE26/02H·AST08/03
Avg total
0.7
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.731.180.710.690.77
vs Stronger (5)0.400.800.330.330.501.50
vs Similar (22)1.050.771.360.910.730.64
vs Weaker (3)1.330.331.330.33--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W20W40W01L00D11D00D11D01L12LA·CHE14/01A·NEW18/01H·NOT25/01H·LIV01/02A·EVE08/02A·SOU15/02H·WOL22/02A·BRI25/02H·WOL01/03A·TOT09/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.670.860.501.190.81
vs Stronger (4)0.750.501.000.670.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.040.720.700.501.270.87
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-440W01L22D02L21W01L00D10W01L01LA·SOU04/01H·PLY11/01H·MAN14/01H·LIV18/01A·CRY26/01H·TOT02/02A·WES15/02A·LEI21/02H·EVE26/02H·AST08/03
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.830.711.000.770.62
vs Stronger (5)0.601.400.672.000.500.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.730.910.820.820.64
vs Weaker (3)0.000.670.000.67--
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners85.9%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.584.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls79.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners77.7%-------✗ Miss
Over 2.5 cards73.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bournemouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Evanilson32%
Antoine Semenyo29%
Justin Kluivert23%
Dango Ouattara16%
Daniel Jebbison14%
Enes Ünal12%
Marcus Tavernier9%
Dean Huijsen8%
Luis Sinisterra7%
Ryan Christie6%
David Brooks6%
Miloš Kerkez5%
Lewis Cook2%
Neto0%
Tyler Adams0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Philip Billing0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Mark Travers0%
Adam Smith0%
Max Aarons0%
James Hill0%
Julián Araujo0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Alex Scott0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dean Huijsen33%
Ryan Christie31%
Marcos Senesi26%
Adam Smith26%
Justin Kluivert26%
Tyler Adams25%
Antoine Semenyo24%
Lewis Cook22%
Alex Scott22%
Marcus Tavernier19%
Julián Araujo15%
Miloš Kerkez15%
James Hill14%
David Brooks12%
Enes Ünal12%
Illia Zabarnyi10%
Philip Billing10%
Kepa Arrizabalaga9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Evanilson6%
Daniel Jebbison5%
Neto0%
Mark Travers0%
Max Aarons0%
Luis Sinisterra0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Justin Kluivert21%
Marcus Tavernier16%
Antoine Semenyo14%
Dango Ouattara11%
Miloš Kerkez10%
Ryan Christie9%
James Hill7%
Luis Sinisterra7%
Tyler Adams6%
Enes Ünal6%
Dean Huijsen6%
Lewis Cook5%
David Brooks3%
Evanilson3%
Illia Zabarnyi3%
Neto0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Philip Billing0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Mark Travers0%
Adam Smith0%
Max Aarons0%
Julián Araujo0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Alex Scott0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoine Semenyo40%
Dango Ouattara27%
Evanilson26%
Marcus Tavernier19%
Justin Kluivert18%
David Brooks9%
Alex Scott9%
Luis Sinisterra7%
Ryan Christie6%
Dean Huijsen3%
Lewis Cook2%
Neto0%
Tyler Adams0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Philip Billing0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Mark Travers0%
Adam Smith0%
Max Aarons0%
James Hill0%
Enes Ünal0%
Julián Araujo0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Miloš Kerkez0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yoane Wissa46%
Bryan Mbeumo38%
Kevin Schade21%
Christian Nørgaard17%
Fabio Carvalho12%
Ethan Pinnock9%
Mikkel Damsgaard7%
Nathan Collins5%
Keane Lewis-Potter5%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Ben Mee0%
Rico Henry0%
Mark Flekken0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Michael Kayode0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Christian Nørgaard26%
Kristoffer Ajer20%
Keane Lewis-Potter19%
Ben Mee18%
Yehor Yarmolyuk17%
Michael Kayode17%
Nathan Collins14%
Yoane Wissa13%
Mads Roerslev9%
Ethan Pinnock9%
Vitaly Janelt9%
Sepp van den Berg9%
Mathias Jensen7%
Bryan Mbeumo7%
Kevin Schade7%
Mikkel Damsgaard5%
Fabio Carvalho4%
Mark Flekken3%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bryan Mbeumo19%
Mikkel Damsgaard19%
Christian Nørgaard11%
Yoane Wissa10%
Mads Roerslev9%
Vitaly Janelt9%
Fabio Carvalho8%
Michael Kayode8%
Mathias Jensen7%
Nathan Collins7%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Kevin Schade7%
Mark Flekken5%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Ben Mee0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Yoane Wissa28%
Bryan Mbeumo26%
Kevin Schade16%
Ethan Pinnock9%
Mikkel Damsgaard2%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Ben Mee0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Mark Flekken0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Edmond-Paris Maghoma0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Michael Kayode0%
Jayden Meghoma0%
Kim Ji-Soo0%
Ryan Trevitt0%
Gustavo Nunes0%
Yunus Konak0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Bournemouth's squad is €7m more valuable than Brentford's (€573m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Bournemouth's attack is €57m more valuable than Brentford's (€285m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Bournemouth's midfield is €22m less valuable than Brentford's (€106m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Bournemouth's defence is €28m less valuable than Brentford's (€182m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

7 previous meetings
0
BOU wins
2
Draws
5
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bournemouth vs Brentford · H/A from BOU
DateH/AGameScore
09/11/24ABrentford Vs BOU3-2
11/05/24HBOU Vs Brentford1-2
02/09/23ABrentford Vs BOU2-2
14/01/23ABrentford Vs BOU2-0
01/10/22HBOU Vs Brentford0-0
24/04/21HBOU Vs Brentford0-1
30/12/20ABrentford Vs BOU2-1

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
09/03/25ATottenham Vs BOU2-2
01/03/25HBOU Vs Wolves1-1
25/02/25ABrighton Vs BOU2-1
22/02/25HBOU Vs Wolves0-1
15/02/25ASouthampton Vs BOU1-3
08/02/25AEverton Vs BOU0-2
01/02/25HBOU Vs Liverpool0-2
25/01/25HBOU Vs Nottingham Forest5-0
18/01/25ANewcastle Vs BOU1-4
14/01/25AChelsea Vs BOU2-2

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HBRE Vs Aston Villa0-1
26/02/25HBRE Vs Everton1-1
21/02/25ALeicester Vs BRE0-4
15/02/25AWest Ham Vs BRE0-1
02/02/25HBRE Vs Tottenham0-2
26/01/25ACrystal Palace Vs BRE1-2
18/01/25HBRE Vs Liverpool0-2
14/01/25HBRE Vs Manchester City2-2
11/01/25HBRE Vs Plymouth0-1
04/01/25ASouthampton Vs BRE0-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLLDD1.48
HomeWWLLD1.67
AwayWWWLD1.31
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%46%35%
AVG goals2.922.623.19
Over 1.5 %80%71%88%
Over 2.5 %58%46%69%
Over 3.5 %34%25%42%
Scored1.621.621.62
Conceded1.301.001.58
BTTS62%54%69%
Clean Sheet22%29%15%
Corners11.4611.9511.00
Cards4.834.914.75
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDL1.24
HomeDLLDL1.35
AwayDWWWW1.12
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%35%33%
AVG goals3.163.352.96
Over 1.5 %80%85%75%
Over 2.5 %60%54%67%
Over 3.5 %42%50%33%
Scored1.581.651.50
Conceded1.581.691.46
BTTS64%69%58%
Clean Sheet20%12%29%
Corners11.1310.6511.64
Cards3.693.613.77

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches