PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Bournemouth vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 28/04/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 3-0
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: P Tierney

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bournemouth win✓ Hit
45.1%
Avg Implied 48.9% · @ 1.96
Edge
-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.9%
Avg Implied 23.6% · @ 4.07
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✗ Miss
29.0%
Avg Implied 27.5% · @ 3.49
Edge
+1.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-401L20W22D43W21W10W12L22D13L10WH·MAN24/02A·BUR03/03H·SHE09/03H·LUT13/03H·EVE30/03H·CRY02/04A·LUT06/04H·MAN13/04A·AST21/04A·WOL24/04
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.731.471.531.531.93
vs Stronger (4)0.253.750.003.001.006.00
vs Similar (22)1.551.321.600.901.501.67
vs Weaker (4)2.502.003.002.502.001.50
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D03L04L10W10W12L00D03L11D04LH·EVE24/02A·FUL02/03A·AS 07/03H·NOT10/03H·AS 14/03A·LIV31/03A·BRE03/04H·ARS06/04A·BUR13/04H·MAN25/04
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.331.361.071.121.56
vs Stronger (4)0.252.750.003.500.502.00
vs Similar (25)1.441.001.580.671.311.31
vs Weaker (1)0.004.00--0.004.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.7%
Under 1.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.4%
@ 1.40-9.7%
Under 2.5
41.6%
@ 2.99+9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
36.0%
Under 3.5
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
61.3%
No
38.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.3%
1-2
7.3%
1-0
7.1%
2-0
7.0%
2-2
6.2%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.3%
Bournemouth goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
05.9%5.3%4.3%1.9%0.6%
17.1%12%7.3%3.2%1.1%
27.0%9.3%6.2%2.7%0.9%
33.9%5.3%3.5%1.6%0.5%
41.7%2.2%1.5%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bournemouth goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Bournemouth and Brighton are level in average points per game (both 1.26).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Bournemouth is 0.03 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.42 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Bournemouth is 0.13 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.76 vs 1.63).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Bournemouth is 15.5 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (45% vs 60%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

For 6.9 · Against 5.6 · Total 12.5

🚩 Corners

2001284872279298113103273820129911171413911A·WOLA·ASTH·MANA·LUTH·CRYH·EVEH·LUTH·SHEA·BURH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

80243143212123542226440533864A·WOLA·ASTH·MANA·LUTH·CRYH·EVEH·LUTH·SHEA·BURH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 10.0 · Total 24.0

⚠️ Fouls

27017101481314147131414111611121113814627222721272527232120A·WOLA·ASTH·MANA·LUTH·CRYH·EVEH·LUTH·SHEA·BURH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 6.0 · Against 3.8 · Total 9.8

🚩 Corners

15044548751485163656211389156126911814H·MANA·BURH·ARSA·BREA·LIVH·AS H·NOTA·AS A·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

8022112113525442121332332878336H·MANA·BURH·ARSA·BREA·LIVH·AS H·NOTA·AS A·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 12.5 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

28010381814131296201513141485101691413262721262828132623H·MANA·BURH·ARSA·BREA·LIVH·AS H·NOTA·AS A·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BournemouthBournemouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.911.812.04.04.13.822.422.821.9
vs Stronger (8)12.511.414.32.93.02.719.019.418.3
vs Similar (38)11.811.711.94.24.24.223.223.522.9
vs Weaker (4)11.813.510.04.05.52.521.225.017.5
% over line74%76%72%58%56%60%52%52%52%
% under line26%24%28%42%44%40%48%48%48%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.410.08.85.15.15.123.223.522.8
vs Stronger (8)9.09.58.53.92.85.024.424.824.0
vs Similar (40)9.410.08.85.45.75.222.923.322.4
vs Weaker (2)12.013.011.04.04.04.025.023.027.0
% over line44%48%40%70%72%68%62%72%52%
% under line56%52%60%30%28%32%38%28%48%
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
12.5
Bournemouth
11.9
Tottenham
11.7
Liverpool
11.2
Everton
11.0
Luton
10.7
Sheffield United
10.7
Brentford
10.5
Fulham
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Manchester City
10.5
Burnley
10.4
Newcastle
10.4
Wolves
10.3
Aston Villa
10.0
Chelsea
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Brighton
9.4
Arsenal
9.1

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.3
Brighton
5.1
Chelsea
5.0
Wolves
4.9
Tottenham
4.8
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Newcastle
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Liverpool
4.1
West Ham
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.0
Sheffield United
4.0
Burnley
4.0
Bournemouth
4.0
Brentford
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
Everton
3.7
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.6
Luton
3.6

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.3
Crystal Palace
24.1
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.8
Luton
23.4
Chelsea
23.4
Brighton
23.2
Newcastle
23.1
Bournemouth
22.4
Liverpool
22.1
Arsenal
22.0
Nottingham Forest
21.9
Everton
21.8
Brentford
21.6
Fulham
21.4
Burnley
21.3
West Ham
20.5
Sheffield United
20.0
Manchester United
20.0
Manchester City
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
80.7%
Under 9.5
19.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
64.3%
Under 3.5
35.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
89.1%
Under 21.5
10.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W01L03L00D00D00D21W11D10WH·MAN24/02A·BUR03/03H·SHE09/03H·LUT13/03H·EVE30/03H·CRY02/04A·LUT06/04H·MAN13/04A·AST21/04A·WOL24/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.700.470.730.600.67
vs Stronger (4)0.001.500.001.000.003.00
vs Similar (22)0.640.500.700.400.580.58
vs Weaker (4)0.501.000.002.001.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D02L02L10W10W11D00D01L00D03LH·EVE24/02A·FUL02/03A·AS 07/03H·NOT10/03H·AS 14/03A·LIV31/03A·BRE03/04H·ARS06/04A·BUR13/04H·MAN25/04
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.630.790.430.500.81
vs Stronger (4)0.251.250.002.000.500.50
vs Similar (25)0.720.440.920.170.540.69
vs Weaker (1)0.003.00--0.003.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D10W21W40W21W10W12L01L02L00DH·MAN24/02A·BUR03/03H·SHE09/03H·LUT13/03H·EVE30/03H·CRY02/04A·LUT06/04H·MAN13/04A·AST21/04A·WOL24/04
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.971.031.000.800.931.27
vs Stronger (4)0.252.250.002.001.003.00
vs Similar (22)0.910.820.900.500.921.08
vs Weaker (4)2.001.003.000.501.001.50
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D01L02L00D00D01L00D02L11D01LH·EVE24/02A·FUL02/03A·AS 07/03H·NOT10/03H·AS 14/03A·LIV31/03A·BRE03/04H·ARS06/04A·BUR13/04H·MAN25/04
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.700.570.640.620.75
vs Stronger (4)0.001.500.001.500.001.50
vs Similar (25)0.720.560.670.500.770.62
vs Weaker (1)0.001.00--0.001.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls95.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls89.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners88.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards81.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners80.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls79.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards71.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 10.5 corners71.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bournemouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Solanke42%
Justin Kluivert22%
Antoine Semenyo21%
Marcos Senesi13%
Kieffer Moore12%
Enes Ünal12%
Luis Sinisterra10%
David Brooks8%
Philip Billing7%
Marcus Tavernier7%
Alex Scott4%
Dango Ouattara3%
Illia Zabarnyi3%
Neto0%
Ryan Christie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Mark Travers0%
Chris Mepham0%
Adam Smith0%
Lewis Cook0%
Max Aarons0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Joe Rothwell0%
James Hill0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Romain Faivre0%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Miloš Kerkez0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Marcos Senesi42%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Adam Smith21%
Chris Mepham20%
Romain Faivre20%
Antoine Semenyo18%
Ryan Christie16%
Justin Kluivert16%
Neto16%
Lewis Cook15%
Miloš Kerkez14%
Illia Zabarnyi14%
Alex Scott13%
Philip Billing10%
Marcus Tavernier10%
Dango Ouattara10%
Lloyd Kelly9%
Dominic Solanke8%
David Brooks8%
Enes Ünal6%
Max Aarons5%
Tyler Adams0%
Mark Travers0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Kieffer Moore0%
James Hill0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Luis Sinisterra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Ryan Christie14%
Marcos Senesi13%
Enes Ünal12%
Chris Mepham10%
Marcus Tavernier10%
Luis Sinisterra10%
Dominic Solanke8%
David Brooks8%
Adam Smith7%
Philip Billing7%
Dango Ouattara7%
Lewis Cook6%
Antoine Semenyo6%
Max Aarons5%
Lloyd Kelly4%
Alex Scott4%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Justin Kluivert3%
Neto0%
Tyler Adams0%
Mark Travers0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Kieffer Moore0%
James Hill0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Romain Faivre0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke34%
Antoine Semenyo27%
Enes Ünal25%
Marcus Tavernier17%
Luis Sinisterra10%
Justin Kluivert9%
Ryan Christie8%
David Brooks8%
Philip Billing7%
Miloš Kerkez4%
Dango Ouattara3%
Marcos Senesi3%
Neto0%
Tyler Adams0%
Mark Travers0%
Chris Mepham0%
Adam Smith0%
Lewis Cook0%
Max Aarons0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Kieffer Moore0%
James Hill0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Romain Faivre0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Alex Scott0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Bournemouth's squad is €47m less valuable than Brighton's (€573m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Bournemouth's attack is €95m more valuable than Brighton's (€285m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Bournemouth's midfield is €74m less valuable than Brighton's (€106m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Bournemouth's defence is €67m less valuable than Brighton's (€182m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BOU wins
0
Draws
3
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bournemouth vs Brighton · H/A from BOU
DateH/AGameScore
24/09/23ABrighton Vs BOU3-1
04/04/23HBOU Vs Brighton0-2
04/02/23ABrighton Vs BOU1-0

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
24/04/24AWolves Vs BOU0-1
21/04/24AAston Villa Vs BOU3-1
13/04/24HBOU Vs Manchester United2-2
06/04/24ALuton Vs BOU2-1
02/04/24HBOU Vs Crystal Palace1-0
30/03/24HBOU Vs Everton2-1
13/03/24HBOU Vs Luton4-3
09/03/24HBOU Vs Sheffield United2-2
03/03/24ABurnley Vs BOU0-2
24/02/24HBOU Vs Manchester City0-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/04/24HBHA Vs Manchester City0-4
13/04/24ABurnley Vs BHA1-1
06/04/24HBHA Vs Arsenal0-3
03/04/24ABrentford Vs BHA0-0
31/03/24ALiverpool Vs BHA2-1
14/03/24HBHA Vs AS Roma1-0
10/03/24HBHA Vs Nottingham Forest1-0
07/03/24AAS Roma Vs BHA4-0
02/03/24AFulham Vs BHA3-0
24/02/24HBHA Vs Everton1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDLW1.32
HomeDWWWD1.32
AwayDWLLW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%36%40%
AVG goals3.062.963.16
Over 1.5 %80%80%80%
Over 2.5 %62%60%64%
Over 3.5 %44%40%48%
Scored1.321.281.36
Conceded1.741.681.80
BTTS54%52%56%
Clean Sheet24%20%28%
Corners11.9211.8012.04
Cards3.964.083.84
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLDL1.46
HomeDWWLL1.84
AwayLLLDD1.08
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%52%28%
AVG goals3.203.163.24
Over 1.5 %84%80%88%
Over 2.5 %62%56%68%
Over 3.5 %46%48%44%
Scored1.621.841.40
Conceded1.581.321.84
BTTS62%64%60%
Clean Sheet26%28%24%
Corners9.4410.048.84
Cards5.125.125.12

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches