PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Bournemouth vs Brighton Prediction & Stats

Date: 02/12/2026
Time: 20:00
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Vs
42%
27%
30%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game13 Player market rates14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Bournemouth are tipped to edge Brighton in a tight Premier League encounter, with the model’s pick favouring a home win. The odds reflect a 42% chance for Bournemouth, 27% for a draw and 30% for the visitors. The match is expected to see 2.8 goals on average, with the most likely total being two goals at a 25% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 13% chance, and that is the only scoreline to be highlighted. Bournemouth’s home form shows they average 1.33 goals scored and 1.08 conceded against teams of similar strength, while Brighton’s away record against similar opponents sees them net 1.45 and concede 1.45. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.2%), Under 6.5 (97.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.0%), Under 5.5 (93.6%), Home under 3.5 goals (93.1%), Home +2 handicap (86.5%), Away under 2.5 goals (86.5%) and Under 4.5 (84.9%). Bournemouth entered the game after a draw, while Brighton come off a defeat.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bournemouth win
42.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win
30.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D21W21W22D30W10W11D11D12L11DH·MAN20/03A·ARS11/04A·NEW18/04H·LEE22/04H·CRY03/05A·FUL09/05H·MAN19/05A·NOT24/05A·MAN23/08H·EVE29/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.371.471.271.531.47
vs Stronger (5)1.801.802.002.001.501.50
vs Similar (25)1.441.281.331.081.541.46
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W13L30W01L03L00D40W40W34LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.640.711.121.50
vs Stronger (6)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.501.091.550.731.451.45
vs Weaker (2)2.000.004.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%25%7%015%125%222%316%49%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
77.9%
Under 1.5
22.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
52.8%
Under 2.5
47.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
30.6%
Under 3.5
69.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
57.4%
No
42.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
8.2%
1-2
7.5%
0-0
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-1
6.6%
2-2
5.7%
Bournemouth goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
07.3%6.6%4.9%2.1%0.7%
18.2%13%7.5%3.2%1.0%
27.1%9.0%5.7%2.4%0.8%
33.6%4.6%2.9%1.2%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.1%0.5%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bournemouth goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Bournemouth is 0.11 points better than Brighton in terms of average points per game (1.50 vs 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Bournemouth is 0.16 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.53 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Bournemouth is 0.21 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.42 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Bournemouth is 3.5 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (50% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

For 5.4 · Against 6.0 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

17010738367621171121321106817119131381351114H·EVEA·MANA·NOTH·MANA·FULH·CRYH·LEEA·NEWA·ARSH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.4

🟨 Cards

803221114235234231235326823645H·EVEA·MANA·NOTH·MANA·FULH·CRYH·LEEA·NEWA·ARSH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.2 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.0

⚠️ Fouls

33011141111711167211210116101211181210925221823332116233019H·EVEA·MANA·NOTH·MANA·FULH·CRYH·LEEA·NEWA·ARSH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 6.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

160747521153877110265571177163158121112A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6031124211123311134162113624A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 8.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

280126136129197118799111210156141418192126191620222128A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BournemouthBournemouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.510.912.02.82.43.222.521.923.2
vs Stronger (7)12.513.012.03.33.03.721.519.323.7
vs Similar (40)11.210.412.03.02.53.422.822.523.1
vs Weaker (3)---0.00.00.0---
% over line70%69%71%42%35%50%55%50%59%
% under line30%31%29%58%65%50%45%50%41%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.210.72.82.82.822.021.422.6
vs Stronger (9)8.59.58.03.85.03.224.524.024.8
vs Similar (34)10.29.311.13.02.83.221.421.221.7
vs Weaker (7)11.57.016.00.40.30.522.519.026.0
% over line59%38%78%42%46%38%50%38%61%
% under line41%62%22%58%54%62%50%62%39%
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
61.4%
Under 9.5
38.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
58.3%
Under 3.5
41.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
54.3%
Under 21.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bournemouth or Draw
69.6%
Avg Implied -
42%
27%
30%
covers Bournemouth + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth or Brighton
72.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
27%
30%
covers Bournemouth + Brighton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Brighton
57.8%
Avg Implied -
42%
27%
30%
covers Draw + Brighton
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5
Over
78.3%
Under
21.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5
Over
45.1%
Under
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5
Over
19.8%
Under
80.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 3.5
Over
6.9%
Under
93.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5
Over
71.8%
Under
28.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5
Over
36.1%
Under
63.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5
Over
13.5%
Under
86.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bournemouth, so a minus line means Bournemouth give that many goals of a start and Brighton receive them. At -1, Bournemouth must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bournemouth win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bournemouth)
Bournemouth -2
8.5%
Draw -2
13.0%
Brighton +2
78.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bournemouth)
Bournemouth -1
21.5%
Draw -1
20.6%
Brighton +1
57.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bournemouth)
Bournemouth +1
69.6%
Draw +1
16.9%
Brighton -1
13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bournemouth)
Bournemouth +2
86.5%
Draw +2
8.9%
Brighton -2
4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D10W00D20W00D10W01L10W10WH·MAN20/03A·ARS11/04A·NEW18/04H·LEE22/04H·CRY03/05A·FUL09/05H·MAN19/05A·NOT24/05A·MAN23/08H·EVE29/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.600.470.670.67
vs Stronger (5)1.200.601.330.671.000.50
vs Similar (25)0.520.560.420.420.620.69
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W02L20W00D02L00D40W30W13LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.000.430.500.75
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.550.910.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-222D10W11D22D10W10W01L10W02L01LH·MAN20/03A·ARS11/04A·NEW18/04H·LEE22/04H·CRY03/05A·FUL09/05H·MAN19/05A·NOT24/05A·MAN23/08H·EVE29/08
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.800.870.800.870.80
vs Stronger (5)0.601.200.671.330.501.00
vs Similar (25)0.920.720.920.670.920.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D10W01L01L00D00D10W21WA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.640.290.620.75
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.550.640.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.2%-------
Under 6.597.6%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.0%-------
Under 5.593.6%-------
Home under 3.5 goals93.1%-------
Home +2 handicap86.5%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.5%-------
Under 4.584.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals80.2%-------
Away +2 handicap78.5%-------
Home over 0.5 goals78.3%-------
Over 1.577.9%-------
Over 2.5 cards77.4%-------
Under 5.5 cards77.1%-------
Under 25.5 fouls76.5%-------
Over 8.5 corners73.0%-------
Home or Away72.5%-------
Away over 0.5 goals71.8%-------
Over 19.5 fouls70.7%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bournemouth · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Antoine Semenyo38%
Eli Junior Kroupi34%
Rayan33%
Marcus Tavernier23%
Evanilson16%
Alex Scott10%
Justin Kluivert10%
Amine Adli9%
Tyler Adams8%
Ryan Christie7%
David Brooks6%
Enes Ünal4%
Álex Jiménez3%
Adrien Truffert3%
Marcos Senesi0%
Adam Smith0%
Lewis Cook0%
James Hill0%
Bafodé Diakité0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Ben Gannon-Doak0%
Alex Tóth0%
Julio Soler0%
Veljko Milosavljević0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Álex Jiménez31%
Tyler Adams31%
Antoine Semenyo29%
Justin Kluivert24%
Marcos Senesi21%
Marcus Tavernier20%
Julio Soler20%
David Brooks18%
James Hill16%
Alex Scott15%
Eli Junior Kroupi14%
Adam Smith13%
Adrien Truffert13%
Ryan Christie11%
Alex Tóth11%
Lewis Cook11%
Đorđe Petrović10%
Amine Adli9%
Rayan7%
Bafodé Diakité5%
Enes Ünal4%
Evanilson3%
Ben Gannon-Doak0%
Veljko Milosavljević0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Antoine Semenyo14%
Rayan13%
Marcos Senesi13%
Adrien Truffert13%
Marcus Tavernier11%
Ben Gannon-Doak11%
James Hill10%
David Brooks9%
Adam Smith9%
Tyler Adams8%
Lewis Cook5%
Evanilson5%
Álex Jiménez3%
Amine Adli3%
Alex Scott3%
Justin Kluivert0%
Ryan Christie0%
Bafodé Diakité0%
Enes Ünal0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Alex Tóth0%
Julio Soler0%
Eli Junior Kroupi0%
Veljko Milosavljević0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoine Semenyo29%
Evanilson21%
Marcus Tavernier20%
David Brooks12%
Eli Junior Kroupi9%
Rayan7%
Alex Scott5%
James Hill3%
Justin Kluivert0%
Ryan Christie0%
Tyler Adams0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Adam Smith0%
Lewis Cook0%
Bafodé Diakité0%
Enes Ünal0%
Đorđe Petrović0%
Amine Adli0%
Adrien Truffert0%
Álex Jiménez0%
Ben Gannon-Doak0%
Alex Tóth0%
Julio Soler0%
Veljko Milosavljević0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper50%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Mats Wieffer25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Malick Yalcouyé25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Dunk33%
Costinha33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Luka Vušković25%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Diego Gómez25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Gómez50%
Yasin Ayari33%
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Bournemouth's squad is €47m less valuable than Brighton's (€573m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Bournemouth's attack is €95m more valuable than Brighton's (€285m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Bournemouth's midfield is €74m less valuable than Brighton's (€106m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Bournemouth's defence is €67m less valuable than Brighton's (€182m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BOU wins
1
Draws
5
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bournemouth vs Brighton · H/A from BOU
DateH/AGameScore
19/01/26ABrighton Vs BOU1-1
13/09/25HBOU Vs Brighton2-1
25/02/25ABrighton Vs BOU2-1
23/11/24HBOU Vs Brighton1-2
28/04/24HBOU Vs Brighton3-0
24/09/23ABrighton Vs BOU3-1
04/04/23HBOU Vs Brighton0-2
04/02/23ABrighton Vs BOU1-0

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/26HBOU Vs Everton1-1
23/08/26AManchester City Vs BOU2-1
24/05/26ANottingham Forest Vs BOU1-1
19/05/26HBOU Vs Manchester City1-1
09/05/26AFulham Vs BOU0-1
03/05/26HBOU Vs Crystal Palace3-0
22/04/26HBOU Vs Leeds2-2
18/04/26ANewcastle Vs BOU1-2
11/04/26AArsenal Vs BOU1-2
20/03/26HBOU Vs Manchester United2-2

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AChelsea Vs BHA4-3
27/08/26HBHA Vs Tromso4-0
23/08/26HBHA Vs Aston Villa4-0
20/08/26ATromso Vs BHA0-0
24/05/26HBHA Vs Manchester United0-3
17/05/26ALeeds Vs BHA1-0
09/05/26HBHA Vs Wolves3-0
02/05/26ANewcastle Vs BHA3-1
21/04/26HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
18/04/26ATottenham Vs BHA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 5 Draws / 1 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDDLD1.42
HomeDDWDD1.56
AwayWWWDL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%36%28%
AVG goals2.802.363.24
Over 1.5 %76%72%80%
Over 2.5 %52%36%68%
Over 3.5 %38%28%48%
Scored1.421.361.48
Conceded1.381.001.76
BTTS64%56%72%
Clean Sheet28%32%24%
Corners10.7410.4411.04
Cards4.544.444.64
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.56
HomeWWLWW1.91
AwayDLLDL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%55%36%
AVG goals2.902.862.93
Over 1.5 %84%86%82%
Over 2.5 %56%64%50%
Over 3.5 %28%23%32%
Scored1.721.861.61
Conceded1.181.001.32
BTTS50%55%46%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.749.0910.25
Cards4.003.734.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches