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Bournemouth vs Newcastle Result & Analysis

Date: 11/02/2023
Time: 17:30
Final 1-1
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
Vs
20%
29%
51%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Referee: S Attwell

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bournemouth win✗ Miss
20.4%
Avg Implied 16.6% · @ 5.81
Edge
+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
28.6%
Avg Implied 24.1% · @ 4.00
Edge
+4.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Newcastle win✗ Miss
51.0%
Avg Implied 59.4% · @ 1.62
Edge
-8.4%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L23L34L30W02L02L03L02L11D01LA·WES24/10H·TOT29/10A·LEE05/11H·EVE12/11A·CHE27/12H·CRY31/12A·MAN03/01A·BRE14/01H·NOT21/01A·BRI04/02
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
2.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.630.930.861.122.31
vs Stronger (3)0.005.330.003.000.006.50
vs Similar (22)1.091.271.000.751.201.90
vs Weaker (5)1.401.001.000.001.501.25
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W40W41W10W30W00D00D10W00D11DA·TOT23/10H·AST29/10A·SOU06/11H·CHE12/11A·LEI26/12H·LEE31/12A·ARS03/01H·FUL15/01A·CRY21/01H·WES04/02
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.530.831.560.501.501.21
vs Stronger (6)1.001.831.671.330.332.33
vs Similar (18)1.440.611.550.271.291.14
vs Weaker (6)2.330.501.500.502.750.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%11%020%128%221%312%46%53%6+
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
69.5%
Under 1.5
30.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
42.0%
@ 1.94-7.5%
Under 2.5
58.0%
@ 1.90+7.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
21.3%
Under 3.5
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
46.1%
No
53.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
13.4%
0-1
12.9%
0-0
10.7%
0-2
10.6%
1-2
9.1%
1-0
6.9%
0-3
5.3%
2-1
5.3%
Bournemouth goals ↓
Newcastle goals →
01234
011%13%11%5.3%2.0%
16.9%13%9.1%4.6%1.7%
23.5%5.3%3.9%2.0%0.7%
31.0%1.5%1.1%0.6%0.2%
40.2%0.3%0.2%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bournemouth goals (down), columns = Newcastle goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.34
Arsenal
2.21
Manchester United
1.97
Newcastle
1.87
Liverpool
1.76
Brighton
1.63
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.58
Brentford
1.55
Fulham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.18
Chelsea
1.16
Wolves
1.08
West Ham
1.05
Bournemouth
1.03
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Everton
0.95
Leicester
0.89
Leeds
0.82
Southampton
0.66
Bournemouth is 0.84 points worse than Newcastle in terms of average points per game (1.03 vs 1.87).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.47
Arsenal
2.32
Liverpool
1.97
Brighton
1.89
Tottenham
1.84
Newcastle
1.79
Brentford
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.45
Leicester
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Leeds
1.26
West Ham
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.05
Chelsea
1.00
Nottingham Forest
1.00
Bournemouth
0.97
Southampton
0.95
Everton
0.89
Wolves
0.82
Bournemouth is 0.82 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals scored per game (0.97 vs 1.79).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Newcastle
0.87
Manchester City
0.87
Arsenal
1.13
Manchester United
1.13
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.21
Liverpool
1.24
Chelsea
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.29
Fulham
1.39
Brighton
1.39
West Ham
1.45
Everton
1.50
Wolves
1.53
Tottenham
1.66
Leicester
1.79
Nottingham Forest
1.79
Bournemouth
1.87
Southampton
1.92
Leeds
2.05
Bournemouth is 1.00 goals worse than Newcastle in terms of goals conceded per game (1.87 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
60%
Chelsea
59%
Manchester United
54%
Newcastle
52%
Tottenham
50%
Fulham
49%
Aston Villa
49%
Leicester
48%
Leeds
48%
Crystal Palace
46%
Southampton
44%
Brentford
43%
Everton
42%
West Ham
42%
Bournemouth
41%
Nottingham Forest
37%
Bournemouth is 11.4 percentage points worse than Newcastle in terms of average possession (41% vs 52%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BournemouthBournemouth

For 3.3 · Against 7.9 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

2103746355627863531321951010811914816215A·BRIH·NOTA·BREA·MANH·CRYA·CHEH·EVEA·LEEH·TOTA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.1 · Total 2.8

🟨 Cards

501312113412221224323502432A·BRIH·NOTA·BREA·MANH·CRYA·CHEH·EVEA·LEEH·TOTA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 9.6 · Total 19.9

⚠️ Fouls

280714107957131711108128101610511921171420281820261520A·BRIH·NOTA·BREA·MANH·CRYA·CHEH·EVEA·LEEH·TOTA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

NewcastleNewcastle

For 6.5 · Against 4.0 · Total 10.5

🚩 Corners

18042153105559355532837661815101210810313H·WESA·CRYH·FULA·ARSH·LEEA·LEIH·CHEA·SOUH·ASTA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

80212413443532111243648805126H·WESA·CRYH·FULA·ARSH·LEEA·LEIH·CHEA·SOUH·ASTA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.0 · Against 11.9 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

320111371361416101319691411107111161224202026321525172218H·WESA·CRYH·FULA·ARSH·LEEA·LEIH·CHEA·SOUH·ASTA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BournemouthBournemouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.210.210.23.94.13.721.422.420.5
vs Stronger (3)9.37.010.52.33.02.017.022.014.5
vs Similar (25)10.510.011.03.74.13.222.223.820.5
vs Weaker (22)10.010.99.24.44.34.421.020.621.4
% over line60%58%62%46%50%42%42%50%35%
% under line40%42%38%54%50%58%58%50%65%
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.510.74.03.84.221.223.019.2
vs Stronger (9)10.811.210.44.24.04.418.919.218.6
vs Similar (31)10.09.610.54.54.05.122.324.219.7
vs Weaker (10)9.77.011.52.53.02.219.621.018.7
% over line58%46%71%60%54%67%40%54%25%
% under line42%54%29%40%46%33%60%46%75%
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Southampton
10.7
Fulham
10.6
Brighton
10.5
Aston Villa
10.5
Leicester
10.4
Brentford
10.4
Everton
10.4
Liverpool
10.3
Tottenham
10.2
Bournemouth
10.2
Newcastle
10.1
Nottingham Forest
10.0
Wolves
9.9
West Ham
9.9
Manchester United
9.8
Chelsea
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Manchester City
9.7
Crystal Palace
9.6
Leeds
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Nottingham Forest
4.7
Leeds
4.4
Everton
4.2
Aston Villa
4.1
Tottenham
4.0
Newcastle
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Brighton
3.9
Bournemouth
3.9
Arsenal
3.8
Wolves
3.8
Chelsea
3.8
Manchester United
3.4
Southampton
3.2
Manchester City
3.1
Brentford
3.0
West Ham
2.9
Leicester
2.8
Liverpool
2.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.7
Nottingham Forest
23.7
Aston Villa
23.7
Leeds
23.3
Chelsea
22.6
Bournemouth
21.4
Newcastle
21.2
Fulham
21.0
Everton
20.9
Brighton
20.8
Arsenal
20.6
Tottenham
20.5
Leicester
20.4
Southampton
20.4
Wolves
19.6
Brentford
19.2
Manchester United
18.9
Manchester City
17.8
Liverpool
17.7
West Ham
17.4
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
58.4%
Under 9.5
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
56.4%
Under 3.5
43.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
34.9%
Under 21.5
65.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L10W21W20W02L02L01L01L10W00DA·WES24/10H·TOT29/10A·LEE05/11H·EVE12/11A·CHE27/12H·CRY31/12A·MAN03/01A·BRE14/01H·NOT21/01A·BRI04/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.360.430.441.31
vs Stronger (3)0.003.330.002.000.004.00
vs Similar (22)0.500.590.420.330.600.90
vs Weaker (5)0.200.800.000.000.251.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W10W10W00D30W00D00D00D00D11DA·TOT23/10H·AST29/10A·SOU06/11H·CHE12/11A·LEI26/12H·LEE31/12A·ARS03/01H·FUL15/01A·CRY21/01H·WES04/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.270.560.251.000.29
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.670.670.330.67
vs Similar (18)0.720.110.550.091.000.14
vs Weaker (6)1.170.330.500.501.500.25
Clean sheet %77% (+51pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BournemouthBournemouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L13L10W00D00D02L01L01L01LA·WES24/10H·TOT29/10A·LEE05/11H·EVE12/11A·CHE27/12H·CRY31/12A·MAN03/01A·BRE14/01H·NOT21/01A·BRI04/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.3
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.730.570.430.691.00
vs Stronger (3)0.002.000.001.000.002.50
vs Similar (22)0.590.680.580.420.601.00
vs Weaker (5)1.200.201.000.001.250.25
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Newcastle) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

NewcastleNewcastle

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L30W31W10W00D00D00D10W00D00DA·TOT23/10H·AST29/10A·SOU06/11H·CHE12/11A·LEI26/12H·LEE31/12A·ARS03/01H·FUL15/01A·CRY21/01H·WES04/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.571.000.250.500.93
vs Stronger (6)0.501.171.000.670.001.67
vs Similar (18)0.720.501.000.180.291.00
vs Weaker (6)1.170.171.000.001.250.25
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Newcastle over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls89.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls79.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards78.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.578.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards76.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners70.4%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Bournemouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Marcus Tavernier22%
Philip Billing19%
Dominic Solanke18%
Matías Viña17%
Kieffer Moore11%
Jefferson Lerma11%
Jaidon Anthony10%
Antoine Semenyo9%
Marcos Senesi6%
Dango Ouattara5%
Ryan Christie3%
Neto0%
Ryan Fredericks0%
Mark Travers0%
Chris Mepham0%
Adam Smith0%
David Brooks0%
Lewis Cook0%
Junior Stanislas0%
Jack Stephens0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Ben Pearson0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Jack Stacey0%
Jordan Zemura0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Adam Smith30%
Chris Mepham27%
Marcos Senesi23%
Jack Stephens20%
Jack Stacey20%
Jefferson Lerma19%
David Brooks17%
Neto15%
Lewis Cook14%
Ben Pearson14%
Philip Billing14%
Lloyd Kelly13%
Ryan Fredericks8%
Matías Viña8%
Jaidon Anthony7%
Ryan Christie6%
Dominic Solanke6%
Jordan Zemura5%
Dango Ouattara5%
Joe Rothwell5%
Marcus Tavernier4%
Kieffer Moore4%
Mark Travers0%
Junior Stanislas0%
Antoine Semenyo0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Dominic Solanke18%
Dango Ouattara16%
Marcus Tavernier13%
Lloyd Kelly9%
Lewis Cook7%
Jordan Zemura5%
Joe Rothwell5%
Jaidon Anthony3%
Ryan Christie3%
Philip Billing3%
Adam Smith3%
Neto0%
Jefferson Lerma0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Ryan Fredericks0%
Mark Travers0%
Chris Mepham0%
David Brooks0%
Junior Stanislas0%
Jack Stephens0%
Antoine Semenyo0%
Ben Pearson0%
Jack Stacey0%
Kieffer Moore0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Matías Viña0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Solanke21%
Kieffer Moore11%
Dango Ouattara11%
Marcus Tavernier9%
Matías Viña8%
Jefferson Lerma8%
Ryan Christie6%
Philip Billing6%
Jaidon Anthony3%
Neto0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Ryan Fredericks0%
Mark Travers0%
Chris Mepham0%
Adam Smith0%
David Brooks0%
Lewis Cook0%
Junior Stanislas0%
Jack Stephens0%
Lloyd Kelly0%
Antoine Semenyo0%
Ben Pearson0%
Joe Rothwell0%
Jack Stacey0%
Jordan Zemura0%
Siriki Dembélé0%
Hamed Junior Traorè0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Newcastle
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson42%
Alexander Isak36%
Miguel Almirón29%
Joelinton16%
Chris Wood11%
Bruno Guimarães9%
Joe Willock9%
Jacob Murphy8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Sean Longstaff3%
Fabian Schär3%
Kieran Trippier3%
Dan Burn3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Elliot Anderson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Jamaal Lascelles57%
Joelinton38%
Bruno Guimarães22%
Fabian Schär19%
Alexander Isak14%
Kieran Trippier13%
Dan Burn13%
Callum Wilson13%
Ryan Fraser12%
Nick Pope8%
Anthony Gordon6%
Sean Longstaff6%
Miguel Almirón6%
Matt Targett6%
Sven Botman6%
Allan Saint-Maximin4%
Joe Willock3%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Chris Wood0%
Jacob Murphy0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Kieran Trippier18%
Callum Wilson16%
Allan Saint-Maximin16%
Bruno Guimarães16%
Joe Willock14%
Sean Longstaff12%
Miguel Almirón6%
Fabian Schär6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Alexander Isak5%
Elliot Anderson5%
Joelinton3%
Ryan Fraser0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Dan Burn0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Callum Wilson39%
Joelinton19%
Miguel Almirón15%
Fabian Schär14%
Alexander Isak14%
Ryan Fraser12%
Allan Saint-Maximin12%
Joe Willock6%
Jacob Murphy6%
Bruno Guimarães3%
Sean Longstaff3%
Dan Burn3%
Kieran Trippier0%
Jamaal Lascelles0%
Javier Manquillo0%
Matt Ritchie0%
Jonjo Shelvey0%
Nick Pope0%
Chris Wood0%
Matt Targett0%
Sven Botman0%
Anthony Gordon0%
Elliot Anderson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Bournemouth's squad is €5m more valuable than Newcastle's (€573m vs €568m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Bournemouth's attack is €51m more valuable than Newcastle's (€285m vs €234m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Bournemouth's midfield is €18m less valuable than Newcastle's (€106m vs €124m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Bournemouth's defence is €28m less valuable than Newcastle's (€182m vs €210m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

1 previous meeting
0
BOU wins
1
Draws
0
NEW wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bournemouth vs Newcastle · H/A from BOU
DateH/AGameScore
17/09/22ANewcastle Vs BOU1-1

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23ABrighton Vs BOU1-0
21/01/23HBOU Vs Nottingham Forest1-1
14/01/23ABrentford Vs BOU2-0
03/01/23AManchester United Vs BOU3-0
31/12/22HBOU Vs Crystal Palace0-2
27/12/22AChelsea Vs BOU2-0
12/11/22HBOU Vs Everton3-0
05/11/22ALeeds Vs BOU4-3
29/10/22HBOU Vs Tottenham2-3
24/10/22AWest Ham Vs BOU2-0

NewcastleNewcastle

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
04/02/23HNEW Vs West Ham1-1
21/01/23ACrystal Palace Vs NEW0-0
15/01/23HNEW Vs Fulham1-0
03/01/23AArsenal Vs NEW0-0
31/12/22HNEW Vs Leeds0-0
26/12/22ALeicester Vs NEW0-3
12/11/22HNEW Vs Chelsea1-0
06/11/22ASouthampton Vs NEW1-4
29/10/22HNEW Vs Aston Villa4-0
23/10/22ATottenham Vs NEW1-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bournemouth
Bournemouth
England: Premier League
Recent: 1 Wins / 1 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.30
HomeLLWLD1.58
AwayLLLLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%42%27%
AVG goals2.682.213.12
Over 1.5 %76%71%81%
Over 2.5 %46%38%54%
Over 3.5 %24%17%31%
Scored1.241.251.23
Conceded1.440.961.88
BTTS42%42%42%
Clean Sheet30%38%23%
Corners10.2010.2510.15
Cards3.904.123.69
Newcastle
Newcastle
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWDD1.70
HomeWWDWD1.96
AwayWWWDD1.42
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%54%38%
AVG goals2.422.352.50
Over 1.5 %66%62%71%
Over 2.5 %42%35%50%
Over 3.5 %24%23%25%
Scored1.341.461.21
Conceded1.080.881.29
BTTS44%42%46%
Clean Sheet40%46%33%
Corners10.069.4610.71
Cards4.023.854.21

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3889
74%
2.3
9433+61
3.3
82%
66%
42%
8.9
50%
3.3
42%
19.7
29%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3884
68%
2.2
8843+45
3.4
84%
68%
53%
9.6
45%
3.5
39%
21.8
50%
1406
6082905082.31.1
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3875
61%
2.0
5843+15
2.7
71%
50%
24%
10.6
61%
3.4
47%
19.3
26%
929
4322362611.51.1
54%
4NewcastleNewcastle3871
50%
1.9
6833+35
2.7
74%
47%
29%
11.4
76%
3.7
45%
21.7
42%
568
2341242101.80.9
52%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3867
50%
1.8
7547+28
3.2
74%
61%
37%
9.8
45%
3.1
42%
19.7
39%
980
5182012602.01.2
61%
6BrightonBrighton3862
47%
1.6
7253+19
3.3
79%
66%
45%
9.7
55%
4.0
53%
22.4
58%
620
1901802491.91.4
60%
7Aston VillaAston Villa3861
47%
1.6
5146+5
2.6
79%
47%
21%
9.9
55%
4.3
55%
24.1
68%
536
2201601561.31.2
49%
8TottenhamTottenham3860
47%
1.6
7063+7
3.5
84%
61%
47%
10.5
63%
4.1
53%
21.1
39%
920
2502823881.81.7
50%
9BrentfordBrentford3859
39%
1.6
5846+12
2.7
82%
45%
32%
9.9
55%
3.1
45%
20.2
29%
565
2281282091.51.2
43%
10FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
5553+2
2.8
74%
66%
29%
10.2
47%
3.7
47%
21.8
42%
329
178281231.41.4
49%
11Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4049-9
2.3
68%
39%
18%
9.6
37%
4.3
58%
24.6
66%
505
229931821.11.3
46%
12ChelseaChelsea3844
29%
1.2
3847-9
2.2
66%
42%
21%
10.3
55%
3.9
58%
22.7
50%
1407
6142785141.01.2
59%
13WolvesWolves3841
29%
1.1
3158-27
2.3
71%
39%
13%
10.3
50%
4.3
61%
23.1
61%
273
79791160.81.5
-
14West HamWest Ham3840
29%
1.1
4255-13
2.6
76%
39%
26%
10.6
53%
2.6
26%
18.1
21%
274
84481411.11.4
42%
15BournemouthBournemouth3839
29%
1.0
3771-34
2.8
74%
47%
32%
10.9
66%
3.1
34%
20.2
32%
573
2851061821.01.9
41%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3838
24%
1.0
3868-30
2.8
79%
45%
34%
9.7
50%
3.9
61%
22.6
61%
551
263522361.01.8
37%
17EvertonEverton3836
21%
0.9
3457-23
2.4
74%
42%
21%
10.9
61%
4.2
66%
21.0
42%
459
1741621230.91.5
42%
18LeicesterLeicester3834
24%
0.9
5168-17
3.1
79%
63%
34%
9.8
50%
3.2
39%
21.6
58%
69
2013361.31.8
48%
19LeedsLeeds3831
18%
0.8
4878-30
3.3
76%
66%
45%
10.1
55%
4.0
61%
23.1
58%
427
166981631.32.1
48%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3825
16%
0.7
3673-37
2.9
66%
53%
34%
9.6
50%
3.6
42%
21.8
45%
205
7253790.91.9
44%
England: Premier League 2022/23 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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