Bradford, fresh from a 0-2 loss to Plymouth, will face Cambridge, who have just recovered from two straight defeats. The model sees a 45% chance of a home win, 37% for a draw, and 18% for an away win, making a Bradford victory the favourite. With an expected 1.5 goals, the most likely total is one goal, a 31% probability, and the single scoreline the model deems most probable is a 0-0 draw at 23.2%. Bradford’s home form shows an average of 1.08 goals scored and 0.62 conceded against similarly-matched opponents, while Cambridge’s away record averages 1.15 goals scored and 0.54 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (100%), Under 6.5 (99.9% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (99.8% with a 4% edge), Under 5.5 (99.5% with an 8% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.9%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.4% with a 3% edge), Away under 2.5 goals (98.4% with an 8% edge), and Home under 3.5 goals (98.2% with a 9% edge).
Results analysis
The pre-match favourite, Bradford, failed to deliver as the model had predicted a home win at 45 percent. Instead Cambridge edged a 1-2 victory, extending their run after a win and keeping their recent form of WLLDW intact. The final score of 1-2 confirmed the away triumph. The model’s call was wrong. Every suggested selection was settled: Under 7.5 hit at 100 percent; Under 6.5 hit at 99.9 percent; Away under 3.5 goals hit at 99.8 percent; Under 5.5 hit at 99.5 percent; Away under 2.5 HT goals hit at 99.0 percent; Away under 2.5 goals hit at 98.4 percent; Home under 3.5 goals hit at 98.2 percent; and Away under 2.5 2H goals hit at 98.2 percent. The match delivered a quiet, low-scoring affair that matched the model’s low-total expectations.
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🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bradford win✗ Miss
44.8%
Avg Implied 49.8% · @ 1.88
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Pinnacle
2.01
BetVictor
1.95
Bet365
1.95
William Hil
1.95
Marathonbet
1.93
Draw✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.41
Edge
+9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
3.70
Unibet
3.65
10Bet
3.55
Pinnacle
3.45
1xBet
3.40
Cambridge win✓ Hit
17.9%
Avg Implied 22.8% · @ 4.10
Edge
-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
10Bet
4.50
Dafabet
4.50
Unibet
4.40
Betfair
4.20
Betano
4.20
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bradford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.03
1.03
1.07
0.53
1.00
1.53
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.04
1.07
1.08
0.62
1.00
1.50
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.67
0.80
2.06
1.00
1.15
0.54
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.71
0.71
2.20
0.87
1.15
0.54
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 1.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 1 (31%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
45.8%
@ 1.31-25.2%
Under 1.5
54.2%
@ 3.21+25.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.36
BetVictor
1.35
10Bet
1.33
Betano
1.33
Superbet
1.32
Under
Unibet
3.50
Betfair
3.40
Bet365
3.40
10Bet
3.30
Pinnacle
3.23
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
19.4%
@ 2.00-27.7%
Under 2.5
80.6%
@ 1.78+27.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.12
Bet365
2.05
Marathonbet
2.04
SBO
2.04
1xBet
2.04
Under
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.83
Unibet
1.82
SBO
1.80
Betano
1.78
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
6.7%
@ 3.42-20.4%
Under 3.5
93.3%
@ 1.28+20.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.72
Bet365
3.50
Superbet
3.50
10Bet
3.45
Marathonbet
3.44
Under
10Bet
1.30
Betfair
1.30
Betano
1.30
Pinnacle
1.29
Unibet
1.29
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
26.7%
@ 1.82-23.9%
No
73.3%
@ 1.87+23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.91
Superbet
1.88
William Hil
1.85
1xBet
1.84
Marathonbet
1.84
No
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.91
Betfair
1.90
Betano
1.90
1xBet
1.86
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
0-0
23.2%@ 8.80+18.1%
1-0
20.7%@ 6.38+13.6%
1-1
12.5%@ 6.14+5.2%
2-0
10.8%@ 8.20+5.3%
0-1
10.4%@ 10.46+6.1%
2-1
5.6%@ 7.77-0.1%
3-0
3.6%@ 14.55+0.5%
0-2
3.0%@ 20.60+0.8%
Bradford goals ↓
Cambridge goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
23%
10%
3.0%
0.5%
0.1%
1
21%
13%
3.0%
0.5%
0.1%
2
11%
5.6%
1.5%
0.3%
0.0%
3
3.6%
1.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
4
0.9%
0.5%
0.1%
0.0%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bradford goals (down), columns = Cambridge goals (across).
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💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Bradford is 0.40 points better than Cambridge in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.21).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Bradford is 0.05 goals better than Cambridge in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.15).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Bradford is 0.39 goals better than Cambridge in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.49).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bradford
For 6.7 · Against 5.8 · Total 12.5
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.2
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.6 · Against 12.4 · Total 24.0
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Cambridge
For 5.7 · Against 3.9 · Total 9.6
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.2 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.9 · Against 12.3 · Total 23.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bradford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
10.9
9.5
4.1
4.2
3.9
24.5
24.6
24.4
vs Stronger (3)
12.7
19.0
9.5
2.3
2.0
2.5
20.0
16.0
22.0
vs Similar (45)
10.0
10.5
9.5
4.3
4.4
4.2
25.0
25.4
24.6
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
% over line
55%
60%
50%
60%
64%
56%
73%
80%
67%
% under line
45%
40%
50%
40%
36%
44%
27%
20%
33%
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.0
9.0
8.9
2.8
2.7
3.0
22.5
22.4
22.6
vs Stronger (5)
6.0
3.0
12.0
1.0
1.0
1.0
20.7
21.0
20.0
vs Similar (45)
9.2
9.5
8.7
3.0
2.9
3.2
22.6
22.5
22.8
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
48%
42%
55%
30%
26%
35%
56%
58%
55%
% under line
52%
58%
45%
70%
74%
65%
44%
42%
45%
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.4
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.1
Leicester
10.8
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.5
Blackpool
10.4
Bromley
10.4
Huddersfield
10.3
Burton
10.2
Bradford
10.2
Sheffield Weds
10.2
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
10.1
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Doncaster
10.0
Stockport
9.9
Mansfield
9.8
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.3
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
8.9
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.9
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.0
Mansfield
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Doncaster
3.8
Luton
3.8
Leicester
3.8
Blackpool
3.8
Wycombe
3.7
Bromley
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.5
Oxford
3.4
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.9
Plymouth
24.6
Bradford
24.5
Stevenage
24.5
Huddersfield
24.4
Luton
24.0
Leyton Orient
23.5
Peterboro
23.4
Wigan
23.4
Blackpool
23.3
Milton Keynes Dons
23.0
AFC Wimbledon
23.0
Doncaster
22.6
Burton
22.5
Cambridge
22.5
Oxford
22.5
Reading
22.4
Mansfield
22.2
Leicester
22.2
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Bromley
21.7
Wycombe
21.1
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.6
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.6%
@ 1.51-4.8%
Under 9.5
43.4%
@ 2.40+4.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.58
Superbet
1.54
Betano
1.52
Unibet
1.52
Marathonbet
1.49
Under
1xBet
2.55
Betfair
2.55
Betano
2.42
Marathonbet
2.34
Superbet
2.32
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
51.3%
Under 3.5
48.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
66.0%
Under 21.5
34.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bradford or Draw✗ Miss
82.1%
Avg Implied 77.5% · @ 1.20
Edge
+4.6%
45%
37%
18%
covers Bradford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
Bradford or Cambridge✓ Hit
62.7%
Avg Implied 73.5% · @ 1.27
Edge
-10.8%
45%
37%
18%
covers Bradford + Cambridge
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.31
Bet365
1.30
William Hil
1.30
Marathonbet
1.29
1xBet
1.29
Draw or Cambridge✓ Hit
55.2%
Avg Implied 49.1% · @ 1.90
Edge
+6.1%
45%
37%
18%
covers Draw + Cambridge
Best 5 market prices
SBO
2.06
Bet365
2.00
10Bet
2.00
Betano
1.95
Unibet
1.94
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🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bradford over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
62.8%
@ 1.19-15.8%
Under
37.2%
@ 4.36+15.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.23
Betano
1.22
Superbet
1.20
BetVictor
1.20
1xBet
1.19
Under
Bet365
5.00
Betfair
4.80
Unibet
4.50
10Bet
4.33
Superbet
4.20
Bradford over/under 1.5Actual: Under
Over
26.0%
@ 1.98-21.2%
Under
74.0%
@ 1.77+21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.17
BetVictor
2.10
Marathonbet
2.08
1xBet
2.07
Superbet
2.00
Under
Bet365
1.91
Unibet
1.86
10Bet
1.83
Betano
1.78
Superbet
1.76
Bradford over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
7.8%
@ 4.06-15.1%
Under
92.2%
@ 1.21+15.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
4.50
Marathonbet
4.45
Pinnacle
4.43
1xBet
4.33
Superbet
4.15
Under
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
Bradford over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 8.86-8.7%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.04+8.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
9.40
1xBet
9.20
Bet365
9.00
Betfair
9.00
Betano
7.70
Under
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
Cambridge over/under 0.5Actual: Over
Over
40.7%
@ 1.50-21.4%
Under
59.3%
@ 2.45+21.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
1.55
Superbet
1.53
Pinnacle
1.53
Betano
1.50
Bet365
1.50
Under
Betfair
2.60
Pinnacle
2.56
BetVictor
2.50
Bet365
2.50
Betano
2.45
Cambridge over/under 1.5Actual: Over
Over
9.7%
@ 3.45-17.3%
Under
90.3%
@ 1.28+17.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
3.65
1xBet
3.56
Superbet
3.50
Bet365
3.50
Marathonbet
3.48
Under
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
Cambridge over/under 2.5Actual: Under
Over
1.6%
@ 9.43-8.3%
Under
98.4%
@ 1.04+8.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
11.00
1xBet
9.80
Marathonbet
9.50
Superbet
9.30
Betfair
9.00
Under
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
Cambridge over/under 3.5Actual: Under
Over
0.2%
@ 23.17-4.0%
Under
99.8%
@ 1.01+4.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
28.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bradford, so a minus line means Bradford give that many goals of a start and Cambridge receive them. At -1, Bradford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bradford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bradford)Actual: Cambridge
Bradford -2
5.2%
@ 6.92-7.7%
Draw -2
12.8%
@ 5.11-4.8%
Cambridge +2
82.0%
@ 1.29+12.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
8.00
Marathonbet
7.40
Bet365
7.00
Superbet
6.80
10Bet
6.25
Draw
Marathonbet
5.65
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.15
Bet365
5.00
10Bet
4.75
Away
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.23
Handicap -1 (Bradford)Actual: Cambridge
Bradford -1
18.0%
@ 3.24-9.6%
Draw -1
26.8%
@ 3.50+1.2%
Cambridge +1
55.2%
@ 1.92+8.4%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.50
Superbet
3.30
10Bet
3.10
Bet365
3.00
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Marathonbet
3.56
Superbet
3.50
Betfair
3.50
10Bet
3.40
Away
10Bet
2.00
Bet365
2.00
Unibet
1.98
Superbet
1.87
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Bradford)Actual: Draw
Bradford +1
82.1%
@ 1.20+7.2%
Draw +1
13.6%
@ 5.64-2.3%
Cambridge -1
4.3%
@ 9.83-4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
Draw
Bet365
6.50
Unibet
5.50
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Superbet
5.45
Away
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
10.00
10Bet
9.50
Unibet
9.50
Marathonbet
8.60
Handicap +2 (Bradford)Actual: Bradford
Bradford +2
95.7%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Draw +2
3.6%
@ 13.00-3.6%
Cambridge -2
0.7%
@ 27.33-2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Draw
Bet365
15.00
Betfair
13.00
Superbet
11.00
Away
Betfair
31.00
Bet365
29.00
Superbet
22.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bradford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.4
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.27
0.50
0.33
0.33
0.20
0.67
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.26
0.52
0.31
0.38
0.21
0.64
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.33
0.76
0.41
0.38
0.23
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
1.50
0.00
1.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
0.64
0.25
0.87
0.27
0.38
0.23
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
73% (+45pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
65.3%
@ 1.39-1.4%
Under 0.5
34.7%
@ 2.79+1.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
BetVictor
1.42
1xBet
1.42
Marathonbet
1.42
Pinnacle
1.41
Under
Bet365
3.00
Betfair
3.00
Unibet
2.90
Pinnacle
2.88
10Bet
2.88
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
30.7%
@ 2.85-1.9%
Under 1.5
69.3%
@ 1.38+1.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
3.07
Betano
3.00
1xBet
2.94
Marathonbet
2.94
Superbet
2.90
Under
Bet365
1.44
10Bet
1.42
Unibet
1.40
Superbet
1.38
Betano
1.38
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
9.2%
@ 7.45-3.3%
Under 2.5
90.8%
@ 1.06+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.50
William Hil
8.00
Betfair
7.50
1xBet
7.40
Marathonbet
7.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bradford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
48.6%
@ 1.84-2.0%
Under
51.4%
@ 1.88+2.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.97
Marathonbet
1.88
Betano
1.88
1xBet
1.87
Superbet
1.82
Under
10Bet
2.00
Unibet
1.97
Superbet
1.88
Betano
1.85
Pinnacle
1.84
Bradford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
14.5%
@ 5.21-3.4%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.13+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.75
1xBet
5.70
Betano
5.10
Superbet
5.00
10Bet
4.50
Under
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
Bradford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
2.9%
@ 13.33-4.2%
Under
97.1%
@ 1.02+4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
16.00
10Bet
13.00
Betano
11.00
Under
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
Cambridge over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
33.3%
@ 2.60-2.4%
Under
66.7%
@ 1.44+2.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
2.67
Pinnacle
2.66
Betano
2.65
1xBet
2.58
Marathonbet
2.55
Under
Pinnacle
1.48
10Bet
1.45
Betano
1.44
Unibet
1.44
Marathonbet
1.44
Cambridge over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
6.3%
@ 9.57-3.4%
Under
93.7%
@ 1.03+3.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
10.50
Marathonbet
10.25
Superbet
9.60
10Bet
9.00
Betano
8.50
Under
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Cambridge over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
1.0%
@ 40.00-99.0%
Under
99.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
40.00
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bradford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.53
0.73
0.20
0.80
0.87
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.56
0.77
0.23
0.79
0.86
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Cambridge) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cambridge
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.07
0.47
1.29
0.59
0.77
0.31
vs Stronger (2)
1.00
0.50
1.00
0.50
-
-
vs Similar (28)
1.07
0.46
1.33
0.60
0.77
0.31
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
75.7%
@ 1.25+1.5%
Under 0.5
24.3%
@ 3.62-1.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Under
Bet365
4.00
Betano
3.75
Superbet
3.55
1xBet
3.50
Marathonbet
3.50
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
38.3%
@ 2.17-4.7%
Under 1.5
61.7%
@ 1.63+4.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.25
Superbet
2.25
1xBet
2.23
Marathonbet
2.23
Betano
2.15
Under
Bet365
1.73
Betano
1.67
Unibet
1.65
Marathonbet
1.61
1xBet
1.61
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
16.0%
@ 4.72-3.7%
Under 2.5
84.0%
@ 1.16+3.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
5.00
Superbet
4.90
Marathonbet
4.85
1xBet
4.85
Betano
4.40
Under
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bradford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
58.2%
@ 1.59-0.3%
Under
41.8%
@ 2.23+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.61
Superbet
1.60
Betano
1.57
10Bet
1.57
Under
Betano
2.30
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.20
1xBet
2.18
Bradford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
19.6%
@ 3.84-4.4%
Under
80.4%
@ 1.22+4.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
4.05
Superbet
3.90
1xBet
3.90
10Bet
3.75
Betano
3.60
Under
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
Bradford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
5.2%
@ 9.64-4.5%
Under
94.8%
@ 1.03+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Superbet
11.00
1xBet
9.80
10Bet
9.50
Betano
8.25
Under
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
Cambridge over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
39.5%
@ 2.16-3.3%
Under
60.5%
@ 1.62+3.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
2.25
Superbet
2.17
1xBet
2.16
Marathonbet
2.11
Betano
2.10
Under
Betano
1.67
Marathonbet
1.63
1xBet
1.62
Superbet
1.61
10Bet
1.57
Cambridge over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
9.3%
@ 7.04-3.9%
Under
90.7%
@ 1.07+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
7.50
Marathonbet
7.30
1xBet
7.20
Superbet
7.00
Betano
6.20
Under
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
Cambridge over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
1.8%
@ 21.17-2.7%
Under
98.2%
@ 1.01+2.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
26.00
Superbet
25.00
Betano
12.50
Under
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
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🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Under 7.5
100.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 6.5
99.9%
1.01
1xBet
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals
99.8%
1.01
Bet365
1.01
Betano
1.01
-
-
-
+4.0%
✓ Hit
Under 5.5
99.5%
1.02
Betano
1.04
Betfair
1.02
Superbet
1.02
1xBet
1.02
Bet365
1.02
+6.6%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals
99.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals
98.4%
1.04
Betano
1.06
Bet365
1.05
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
Marathonbet
1.02
+8.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals
98.2%
1.04
Bet365
1.07
Betano
1.06
Superbet
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.02
+8.7%
✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.2%
1.01
Betano
1.01
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+2.7%
✓ Hit
Under 4.5
98.1%
1.08
Betano
1.11
10Bet
1.10
Betfair
1.10
Pinnacle
1.10
Bet365
1.10
+11.7%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals
97.1%
1.02
10Bet
1.02
Betano
1.02
Superbet
1.01
-
-
+4.2%
✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap
95.7%
1.04
Superbet
1.04
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
-
-
+6.3%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals
94.8%
1.03
Betano
1.05
Superbet
1.03
10Bet
1.03
1xBet
1.01
-
+4.5%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals
93.7%
1.03
Betano
1.05
10Bet
1.04
Superbet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.01
1xBet
1.01
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 goals
92.2%
1.21
Bet365
1.28
Unibet
1.24
Betano
1.23
10Bet
1.22
Pinnacle
1.21
+15.1%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.8%
1.06
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.09
William Hil
1.08
Superbet
1.07
Betfair
1.06
+3.3%
✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals
90.7%
1.07
Betano
1.10
Superbet
1.07
10Bet
1.06
1xBet
1.05
Marathonbet
1.05
+3.9%
✗ Miss
Away under 1.5 goals
90.3%
1.28
Pinnacle
1.31
Betfair
1.29
BetVictor
1.29
Betano
1.29
Marathonbet
1.28
+17.3%
✗ Miss
Home under 1.5 HT goals
85.5%
1.13
10Bet
1.17
Betano
1.15
Superbet
1.14
1xBet
1.10
Marathonbet
1.09
+3.4%
✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.0%
1.16
Bet365
1.20
Betano
1.20
Superbet
1.15
William Hil
1.15
1xBet
1.13
+3.7%
✗ Miss
Under 5.5 cards
82.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Home or Draw
82.1%
1.20
BetVictor
1.25
Betano
1.24
Marathonbet
1.23
William Hil
1.22
1xBet
1.22
+4.6%
✗ Miss
Home +1 handicap
82.1%
1.20
Marathonbet
1.23
Superbet
1.22
10Bet
1.20
Betfair
1.20
Bet365
1.18
+7.2%
✗ Miss
Away +2 handicap
82.0%
1.29
10Bet
1.33
Bet365
1.33
Unibet
1.32
Superbet
1.29
Marathonbet
1.23
+12.4%
✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals
80.4%
1.22
Betano
1.26
10Bet
1.22
Superbet
1.22
1xBet
1.20
Marathonbet
1.19
+4.4%
✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls
80.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 0.5 2H goals
75.7%
1.25
William Hil
1.29
Superbet
1.27
Betano
1.26
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
+1.5%
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
72.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bradford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aden Baldwin50%
W. Swan20%
B. Pointon20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pennington25%
I. Touray20%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Pennington25%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Beesley40%
R. Welch25%
N. Powell20%
W. Swan20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
Jon McCracken0%
B. Pointon0%
Cambridge
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
B. Knight75%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Callum Perry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
G. McConnell33%
Dominic Ball20%
S. Lavery20%
K. Watts20%
J. Eastwood20%
Liam Bennett20%
Z. Bradshaw20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Sullay Kaikai0%
Louis Appéré0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Isaac Heath0%
Callum Perry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Louis Appéré40%
G. McConnell33%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
B. Knight0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
Isaac Heath0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
B. Knight50%
Isaac Heath25%
Sullay Kaikai20%
P. Mpanzu0%
Dominic Ball0%
Louis Appéré0%
S. Lavery0%
K. Watts0%
J. Eastwood0%
G. Yahyai0%
Liam Bennett0%
G. McConnell0%
Z. Bradshaw0%
Callum Perry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
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💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Bradford's squad is €2m more valuable than Cambridge's (€7m vs €5m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Bradford and Cambridge have a similar attack value (both €3m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Bradford and Cambridge have a similar midfield value (both €1m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Bradford and Cambridge have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
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Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Mansfield
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe