Bradford’s defensive record at home is solid, conceding only 0.71 goals per game against similarly ranked opposition, while Mansfield’s away defence has been porous, allowing 1.18 goals per match. The model projects a tight 2-goal encounter, with a 50% chance of a home win, 31% draw, and 18% away win, making a Bradford victory the favourite result. The most likely scoreline is 1-0, with a 16.5% probability, and the expected total is exactly two goals. The single-match average for Bradford is 1.07 goals scored and 0.71 conceded, whereas Mansfield averages 0.91 scored and 1.18 conceded. Suggested picks include Under 7.5 (99.9%), Under 6.5 (99.5% with a 4% edge), Away under 3.5 goals (99.5% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 HT goals (99.0%), Under 5.5 (98.4% with a 6% edge), Home under 2.5 HT goals (97.7% with a 5% edge), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.1% with a 2% edge), and Away under 2.5 goals (96.7% with a 7% edge). Bradford’s recent form shows a dip after two straight defeats, while Mansfield is coming off a heavy 0-5 loss, setting the stage for a defensively minded showdown.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bradford win
50.3%
Avg Implied 50.2% · @ 1.85
Edge
+0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Dafabet
1.90
Betano
1.87
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.86
1xBet
1.85
Draw
31.3%
Avg Implied 26.4% · @ 3.53
Edge
+4.9%
Best 5 market prices
Betfair
3.70
Pinnacle
3.67
BetVictor
3.60
Bet365
3.60
1xBet
3.58
Mansfield win
18.4%
Avg Implied 23.4% · @ 3.98
Edge
-5.0%
Best 5 market prices
BetVictor
4.10
Dafabet
4.10
Unibet
4.10
Pinnacle
4.10
Marathonbet
4.05
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bradford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.00
1.07
1.06
0.62
0.93
1.57
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
1.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (27)
1.00
1.11
1.07
0.71
0.92
1.54
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
2.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
4.0
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
2.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.40
1.27
1.75
1.44
1.00
1.07
vs Stronger (7)
1.71
1.57
2.00
2.25
1.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
1.30
1.17
1.67
1.17
0.91
1.18
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
60.5%
@ 1.25-13.5%
Under 1.5
39.5%
@ 3.57+13.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.28
BetVictor
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Pinnacle
1.26
Betfair
1.25
Under
Betfair
3.80
Bet365
3.75
Pinnacle
3.75
10Bet
3.60
1xBet
3.52
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
32.3%
@ 1.85-18.5%
Under 2.5
67.7%
@ 1.91+18.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
SBO
1.89
Betfair
1.87
10Bet
1.85
Pinnacle
1.85
Bet365
1.85
Under
Pinnacle
1.97
Bet365
1.95
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.93
Marathonbet
1.93
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
14.2%
@ 3.06-16.1%
Under 3.5
85.8%
@ 1.33+16.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.25
Unibet
3.20
10Bet
3.10
Betfair
3.10
Pinnacle
3.10
Under
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.34
Both teams to score
Yes
37.6%
@ 1.73-15.9%
No
62.4%
@ 1.99+15.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
Bet365
1.80
William Hil
1.75
Unibet
1.74
Betfair
1.73
Betano
1.72
No
Betfair
2.10
1xBet
2.01
10Bet
2.00
Betano
2.00
BetVictor
2.00
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
16.5%@ 6.99+10.2%
0-0
14.8%@ 10.21+10.4%
1-1
13.5%@ 6.32+6.4%
2-0
11.6%@ 8.61+6.5%
0-1
8.1%@ 10.79+4.0%
2-1
8.0%@ 7.69+2.2%
3-0
5.1%@ 14.56+2.0%
1-2
4.2%@ 11.95+0.5%
Bradford goals ↓
Mansfield goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
15%
8.1%
3.2%
0.7%
0.1%
1
17%
13%
4.2%
1.0%
0.2%
2
12%
8.0%
2.8%
0.6%
0.1%
3
5.1%
3.5%
1.2%
0.3%
0.0%
4
1.7%
1.1%
0.4%
0.1%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bradford goals (down), columns = Mansfield goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Leicester
2.34
Stockport
1.69
Luton
1.61
Bradford
1.60
Plymouth
1.59
Oxford
1.58
Stevenage
1.56
Sheffield Weds
1.49
Huddersfield
1.46
Mansfield
1.41
Milton Keynes Dons
1.38
Reading
1.37
Wycombe
1.37
Blackpool
1.30
Doncaster
1.30
Barnsley
1.28
Wigan
1.22
Cambridge
1.21
Burton
1.17
Notts County
1.17
AFC Wimbledon
1.15
Peterboro
1.15
Leyton Orient
1.13
Bromley
1.08
Bradford is 0.19 points better than Mansfield in terms of average points per game (1.60 vs 1.41).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Leicester
2.24
Plymouth
1.63
Huddersfield
1.61
Stockport
1.53
Oxford
1.51
Wycombe
1.50
Barnsley
1.48
Luton
1.48
Sheffield Weds
1.42
Reading
1.39
Peterboro
1.39
Mansfield
1.35
Milton Keynes Dons
1.32
Leyton Orient
1.28
Bradford
1.21
Blackpool
1.17
Cambridge
1.15
Notts County
1.12
AFC Wimbledon
1.11
Doncaster
1.09
Burton
1.09
Wigan
1.07
Bromley
1.03
Stevenage
1.02
Bradford is 0.14 goals worse than Mansfield in terms of goals scored per game (1.21 vs 1.35).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Leicester
0.77
Stevenage
1.02
Mansfield
1.09
Bradford
1.10
Oxford
1.14
Sheffield Weds
1.21
Luton
1.22
Wycombe
1.26
Wigan
1.26
Stockport
1.27
Milton Keynes Dons
1.30
Reading
1.30
Burton
1.30
Plymouth
1.37
Huddersfield
1.39
Blackpool
1.41
Peterboro
1.48
Cambridge
1.49
Doncaster
1.50
Notts County
1.54
Leyton Orient
1.54
AFC Wimbledon
1.57
Barnsley
1.59
Bromley
1.67
Bradford is 0.02 goals worse than Mansfield in terms of goals conceded per game (1.10 vs 1.09).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Luton
56%
Peterboro
55%
Stockport
55%
Wycombe
54%
Leyton Orient
52%
Barnsley
52%
Doncaster
50%
Reading
50%
Bradford
50%
Huddersfield
50%
Plymouth
48%
AFC Wimbledon
46%
Blackpool
46%
Burton
46%
Mansfield
46%
Wigan
45%
Stevenage
45%
Bradford is 4.1 percentage points better than Mansfield in terms of average possession (50% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Bradford
For 7.4 · Against 5.7 · Total 13.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.4 · Total 2.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 11.7 · Total 23.4
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Mansfield
For 4.5 · Against 5.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.3 · Against 1.3 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 9.5 · Total 22.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Bradford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.3
11.1
9.5
4.1
4.2
3.9
24.4
24.5
24.4
vs Stronger (3)
12.7
19.0
9.5
2.3
2.0
2.5
20.0
16.0
22.0
vs Similar (45)
10.1
10.7
9.5
4.3
4.4
4.2
24.9
25.2
24.6
vs Weaker (2)
12.0
12.0
-
1.0
2.0
0.0
16.0
16.0
-
% over line
57%
64%
50%
60%
64%
56%
71%
76%
67%
% under line
43%
36%
50%
40%
36%
44%
29%
24%
33%
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.7
9.8
9.6
3.5
3.5
3.5
22.3
21.9
22.6
vs Stronger (11)
10.0
9.8
10.2
4.2
4.2
4.2
22.3
23.0
21.4
vs Similar (37)
9.6
9.8
9.4
3.5
3.4
3.5
22.3
21.6
22.9
vs Weaker (2)
-
-
-
0.0
0.0
0.0
-
-
-
% over line
42%
46%
38%
46%
44%
48%
56%
50%
62%
% under line
58%
54%
62%
54%
56%
52%
44%
50%
38%
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Barnsley
11.7
Oxford
11.3
Plymouth
11.2
Leicester
11.0
Blackpool
10.6
Wigan
10.6
Luton
10.4
Burton
10.4
Bradford
10.3
Sheffield Weds
10.3
Huddersfield
10.2
Bromley
10.2
AFC Wimbledon
10.1
Wycombe
10.1
Peterboro
9.9
Doncaster
9.9
Stockport
9.8
Mansfield
9.7
Leyton Orient
9.7
Notts County
9.4
Reading
9.2
Milton Keynes Dons
9.2
Cambridge
9.0
Stevenage
8.9
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Plymouth
4.8
Notts County
4.4
Peterboro
4.2
Leyton Orient
4.1
Bradford
4.1
Huddersfield
4.1
Blackpool
3.9
Doncaster
3.8
Bromley
3.8
Stevenage
3.8
Mansfield
3.8
Luton
3.7
Leicester
3.7
Milton Keynes Dons
3.7
Wycombe
3.6
Burton
3.6
Reading
3.6
Barnsley
3.6
Oxford
3.5
AFC Wimbledon
3.3
Stockport
3.3
Wigan
3.2
Sheffield Weds
3.1
Cambridge
3.0
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Notts County
24.8
Plymouth
24.5
Bradford
24.4
Huddersfield
24.4
Stevenage
24.4
Luton
23.9
Leyton Orient
23.7
Wigan
23.3
AFC Wimbledon
23.2
Peterboro
23.2
Milton Keynes Dons
23.1
Blackpool
23.1
Doncaster
22.8
Reading
22.7
Burton
22.5
Oxford
22.4
Cambridge
22.4
Mansfield
22.3
Sheffield Weds
22.1
Leicester
22.0
Bromley
21.9
Wycombe
21.3
Stockport
20.8
Barnsley
20.4
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.9%
@ 1.88+9.8%
Under 9.5
41.1%
@ 1.82-9.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.94
Marathonbet
1.94
Betano
1.93
Betfair
1.91
Bet365
1.91
Under
Unibet
1.98
10Bet
1.85
Betano
1.82
Bet365
1.80
Betfair
1.80
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.3%
Under 3.5
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
66.9%
Under 21.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bradford or Draw
81.6%
Avg Implied 76.6% · @ 1.21
Edge
+5.0%
50%
31%
18%
covers Bradford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bradford or Mansfield
68.7%
Avg Implied 74.0% · @ 1.26
Edge
-5.3%
50%
31%
18%
covers Bradford + Mansfield
Best 5 market prices
William Hil
1.30
Betano
1.28
Bet365
1.28
1xBet
1.27
Marathonbet
1.27
Draw or Mansfield
49.7%
Avg Implied 49.4% · @ 1.88
Edge
+0.3%
50%
31%
18%
covers Draw + Mansfield
Best 5 market prices
Betano
1.95
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
1xBet
1.91
10Bet
1.90
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bradford over/under 0.5
Over
73.0%
@ 1.17-6.4%
Under
27.0%
@ 4.50+6.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
Under
Betfair
4.80
1xBet
4.65
Bet365
4.50
10Bet
4.50
BetVictor
4.50
Bradford over/under 1.5
Over
37.6%
@ 1.86-12.3%
Under
62.4%
@ 1.86+12.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.88
Pinnacle
1.88
1xBet
1.88
Marathonbet
1.88
BetVictor
1.87
Under
Pinnacle
1.91
1xBet
1.89
Marathonbet
1.89
Betano
1.85
Betfair
1.85
Bradford over/under 2.5
Over
14.5%
@ 3.74-10.3%
Under
85.5%
@ 1.23+10.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betfair
4.00
BetVictor
3.80
Pinnacle
3.79
Bet365
3.75
10Bet
3.75
Under
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
Bradford over/under 3.5
Over
4.4%
@ 8.70-6.5%
Under
95.6%
@ 1.06+6.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.00
Betano
7.10
Under
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
Mansfield over/under 0.5
Over
49.8%
@ 1.43-14.9%
Under
50.2%
@ 2.62+14.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
1.45
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44
BetVictor
1.44
1xBet
1.43
Under
Betfair
2.75
Pinnacle
2.73
10Bet
2.62
Bet365
2.62
Betano
2.62
Mansfield over/under 1.5
Over
15.2%
@ 3.21-13.8%
Under
84.8%
@ 1.31+13.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
3.40
Pinnacle
3.26
1xBet
3.22
Marathonbet
3.22
BetVictor
3.20
Under
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
Mansfield over/under 2.5
Over
3.3%
@ 8.48-7.7%
Under
96.7%
@ 1.05+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
10.00
1xBet
8.60
Marathonbet
8.60
Betfair
8.00
Betano
7.20
Under
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
Mansfield over/under 3.5
Over
0.5%
@ 19.00-4.5%
Under
99.5%
@ 1.01+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Bet365
26.00
Betano
12.00
Under
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bradford, so a minus line means Bradford give that many goals of a start and Mansfield receive them. At -1, Bradford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bradford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bradford)
Bradford -2
8.9%
@ 6.66-4.5%
Draw -2
15.5%
@ 5.31-1.3%
Mansfield +2
75.6%
@ 1.28+5.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
10Bet
6.50
Marathonbet
6.40
Unibet
6.40
Draw
Bet365
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Marathonbet
5.40
10Bet
5.25
Unibet
4.90
Away
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
Handicap -1 (Bradford)
Bradford -1
24.4%
@ 3.26-3.0%
Draw -1
25.8%
@ 3.56+0.7%
Mansfield +1
49.7%
@ 1.89+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
3.40
Betfair
3.30
10Bet
3.30
Unibet
3.15
Marathonbet
3.15
Draw
Bet365
3.75
Betfair
3.60
Marathonbet
3.56
10Bet
3.50
Unibet
3.40
Away
Marathonbet
1.91
Bet365
1.91
10Bet
1.90
Unibet
1.90
Betfair
1.83
Handicap +1 (Bradford)
Bradford +1
81.6%
@ 1.21+7.6%
Draw +1
13.0%
@ 5.58-3.1%
Mansfield -1
5.4%
@ 9.04-4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
Draw
Bet365
6.00
Marathonbet
5.65
10Bet
5.50
Betfair
5.50
Unibet
5.25
Away
Bet365
10.00
Betfair
9.50
Marathonbet
8.70
Unibet
8.50
10Bet
8.50
Handicap +2 (Bradford)
Bradford +2
94.6%
@ 1.05+5.4%
Draw +2
4.3%
@ 13.00-2.9%
Mansfield -2
1.1%
@ 26.00-2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
Draw
Bet365
13.00
Betfair
13.00
Away
Betfair
26.00
Bet365
26.00
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bradford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.3
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
0.1
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.23
0.50
0.31
0.31
0.14
0.71
vs Stronger (2)
0.00
0.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.22
0.52
0.29
0.36
0.15
0.69
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.43
0.75
0.38
0.36
0.50
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.71
1.25
0.75
0.33
0.67
vs Similar (23)
0.48
0.35
0.58
0.25
0.36
0.45
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
63% (+35pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
65.9%
@ 1.36-2.2%
Under 0.5
34.1%
@ 2.92+2.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.42
BetVictor
1.39
Pinnacle
1.37
1xBet
1.36
10Bet
1.36
Under
Betfair
3.20
Bet365
3.00
William Hil
3.00
Pinnacle
2.97
1xBet
2.89
Half Time Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
30.2%
@ 2.72-3.9%
Under 1.5
69.8%
@ 1.41+3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.85
Betano
2.80
Betfair
2.75
Bet365
2.75
Unibet
2.70
Under
BetVictor
1.42
10Bet
1.42
Betano
1.42
Marathonbet
1.41
1xBet
1.41
Half Time Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
9.1%
@ 6.84-4.5%
Under 2.5
90.9%
@ 1.07+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
BetVictor
8.00
William Hil
7.00
Betfair
7.00
Bet365
7.00
Marathonbet
6.40
Under
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bradford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
46.0%
@ 1.78-5.9%
Under
54.0%
@ 1.93+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.83
Pinnacle
1.80
10Bet
1.77
1xBet
1.77
Marathonbet
1.77
Under
Pinnacle
1.96
10Bet
1.93
1xBet
1.92
Marathonbet
1.92
Unibet
1.92
Bradford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
12.7%
@ 4.96-5.9%
Under
87.3%
@ 1.14+5.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
5.05
1xBet
5.05
10Bet
5.00
Betano
4.75
Under
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
Bradford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
3.2%
@ 12.75-4.3%
Under
96.8%
@ 1.02+4.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
15.00
Betano
10.50
Under
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
Mansfield over/under 0.5 HT
Over
36.8%
@ 2.48-0.4%
Under
63.2%
@ 1.48+0.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Pinnacle
2.64
Betano
2.50
Marathonbet
2.46
1xBet
2.46
Unibet
2.45
Under
10Bet
1.50
Betano
1.50
1xBet
1.47
Unibet
1.47
Marathonbet
1.47
Mansfield over/under 1.5 HT
Over
7.4%
@ 8.85-3.1%
Under
92.6%
@ 1.03+3.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
9.50
1xBet
9.50
10Bet
8.50
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
Mansfield over/under 2.5 HT
Over
1.4%
Under
98.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bradford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.57
0.75
0.31
0.79
0.86
vs Stronger (2)
0.50
0.50
0.00
0.00
1.00
1.00
vs Similar (27)
0.78
0.59
0.79
0.36
0.77
0.85
vs Weaker (1)
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.00
-
-
Clean sheet %
53% (+25pp vs league)
This opponent (Mansfield) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Mansfield
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.83
1.00
1.06
0.64
0.57
vs Stronger (7)
0.86
0.86
0.75
1.50
1.00
0.00
vs Similar (23)
0.83
0.83
1.08
0.92
0.55
0.73
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
43% (+15pp vs league)
This opponent (Bradford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5
Over 0.5
74.8%
@ 1.22-1.2%
Under 0.5
25.2%
@ 3.88+1.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
Under
Betano
4.00
Marathonbet
3.98
1xBet
3.98
Bet365
3.75
William Hil
3.70
Second Half Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
36.0%
@ 2.06-9.3%
Under 1.5
64.0%
@ 1.71+9.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
2.10
Bet365
2.10
Unibet
2.05
1xBet
2.04
Marathonbet
2.04
Under
Betano
1.78
1xBet
1.73
Marathonbet
1.73
Bet365
1.67
William Hil
1.67
Second Half Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
15.6%
@ 4.31-6.0%
Under 2.5
84.4%
@ 1.19+6.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
William Hil
4.60
Bet365
4.50
1xBet
4.20
Marathonbet
4.20
Betano
4.05
Under
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bradford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
53.4%
@ 1.53-7.4%
Under
46.6%
@ 2.37+7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
10Bet
1.50
Under
10Bet
2.40
Betano
2.37
1xBet
2.35
Bradford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
16.9%
@ 3.49-9.6%
Under
83.1%
@ 1.26+9.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
3.56
1xBet
3.50
10Bet
3.50
Betano
3.40
Under
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
Bradford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
4.2%
@ 8.87-6.3%
Under
95.8%
@ 1.04+6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
9.70
10Bet
9.00
Betano
7.90
Under
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
Mansfield over/under 0.5 2H
Over
42.1%
@ 2.00-4.1%
Under
57.9%
@ 1.72+4.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
2.03
1xBet
2.03
Betano
2.00
10Bet
1.95
Under
Betano
1.75
10Bet
1.75
1xBet
1.70
Marathonbet
1.68
Mansfield over/under 1.5 2H
Over
10.5%
@ 6.20-4.5%
Under
89.5%
@ 1.09+4.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathonbet
6.70
1xBet
6.40
10Bet
6.00
Betano
5.70
Under
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
Mansfield over/under 2.5 2H
Over
1.9%
@ 17.38-3.6%
Under
98.1%
@ 1.01+3.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
10Bet
23.00
Betano
11.75
Under
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
99.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
1xBet
1.01
Bet365
1.01
-
-
+4.1%
Away under 3.5 goals
99.5%
1.01
Betano
1.02
Bet365
1.01
-
-
-
+4.5%
Away under 2.5 HT goals
98.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
98.4%
1.04
Betano
1.05
Bet365
1.04
Betfair
1.03
1xBet
1.03
-
+6.8%
Away under 2.5 2H goals
98.1%
1.01
Betano
1.02
10Bet
1.01
-
-
-
+3.6%
Home under 2.5 HT goals
96.8%
1.02
Betano
1.03
10Bet
1.02
-
-
-
+4.3%
Away under 2.5 goals
96.7%
1.05
Betano
1.07
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
1xBet
1.03
Marathonbet
1.03
+7.7%
Home under 2.5 2H goals
95.8%
1.04
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.01
-
-
+6.3%
Home under 3.5 goals
95.6%
1.06
Betano
1.08
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.05
-
-
+6.5%
Under 4.5
94.8%
1.11
Betano
1.14
Betfair
1.13
Pinnacle
1.13
10Bet
1.12
Bet365
1.12
+10.6%
Home +2 handicap
94.6%
1.05
Bet365
1.06
Betfair
1.04
-
-
-
+5.4%
Away under 1.5 HT goals
92.6%
1.03
Betano
1.06
10Bet
1.04
1xBet
1.02
Marathonbet
1.02
-
+3.1%
Under 2.5 HT goals
90.9%
1.07
Bet365
1.10
Betano
1.10
William Hil
1.08
Betfair
1.07
BetVictor
1.06
+4.5%
Away under 1.5 2H goals
89.5%
1.09
Betano
1.12
10Bet
1.09
Marathonbet
1.07
1xBet
1.07
-
+4.5%
Home under 1.5 HT goals
87.3%
1.14
Betano
1.16
10Bet
1.14
Marathonbet
1.12
1xBet
1.12
-
+5.9%
Under 3.5
85.8%
1.33
Betfair
1.36
Pinnacle
1.36
Betano
1.36
10Bet
1.35
BetVictor
1.34
+16.1%
Home under 2.5 goals
85.5%
1.23
Betano
1.26
Bet365
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
1xBet
1.24
Pinnacle
1.24
+10.3%
Away under 1.5 goals
84.8%
1.31
Betano
1.34
10Bet
1.33
1xBet
1.32
Marathonbet
1.32
Pinnacle
1.31
+13.8%
Under 2.5 2H goals
84.4%
1.19
Betano
1.23
William Hil
1.18
Bet365
1.18
Marathonbet
1.17
1xBet
1.17
+6.0%
Home under 1.5 2H goals
83.1%
1.26
Betano
1.29
10Bet
1.25
1xBet
1.25
Marathonbet
1.24
-
+9.6%
Home or Draw
81.6%
1.21
Betano
1.27
Bet365
1.22
1xBet
1.22
William Hil
1.22
10Bet
1.22
+5.0%
Home +1 handicap
81.6%
1.21
Marathonbet
1.22
10Bet
1.22
Bet365
1.22
Unibet
1.21
Betfair
1.20
+7.6%
Over 19.5 fouls
80.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away +2 handicap
75.6%
1.28
Bet365
1.30
Unibet
1.28
Marathonbet
1.28
10Bet
1.28
Betfair
1.25
+5.7%
Over 0.5 2H goals
74.8%
1.22
William Hil
1.25
Bet365
1.25
Betano
1.23
Marathonbet
1.19
1xBet
1.19
-1.2%
Over 2.5 cards
74.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
73.0%
1.17
Betano
1.20
Bet365
1.18
10Bet
1.17
Unibet
1.17
BetVictor
1.17
-6.4%
Over 8.5 corners
70.9%
1.51
Betano
1.55
1xBet
1.53
Marathonbet
1.53
Betfair
1.50
Unibet
1.44
+9.9%
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Bradford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Aden Baldwin50%
W. Swan20%
B. Pointon20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
M. Pennington25%
I. Touray20%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
M. Pennington25%
C. Connolly20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
N. Powell0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
J. Beesley0%
Jon McCracken0%
R. Welch0%
W. Swan0%
B. Pointon0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
J. Beesley40%
R. Welch25%
N. Powell20%
W. Swan20%
M. Gillesphey0%
I. Touray0%
C. Connolly0%
M. Pennington0%
K. Jackson0%
Josh Neufville0%
A. Sarcevic0%
A. Phillips0%
Aden Baldwin0%
Jon McCracken0%
B. Pointon0%
Mansfield
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
M. Smith33%
Jon Russell33%
L. Reed25%
N. Moriah-Welsh25%
Ryan Sweeney0%
R. Oates0%
Elliott Hewitt0%
D. McGoldrick0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
R. Hendry0%
L. Thompson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ryan Sweeney50%
L. Reed50%
R. Oates25%
R. Hendry25%
L. Thompson25%
Elliott Hewitt0%
D. McGoldrick0%
M. Smith0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
Jon Russell0%
N. Moriah-Welsh0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Jon Russell33%
R. Oates25%
R. Hendry25%
N. Moriah-Welsh25%
Ryan Sweeney0%
Elliott Hewitt0%
D. McGoldrick0%
M. Smith0%
L. Reed0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
L. Thompson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
D. McGoldrick33%
Jon Russell33%
N. Moriah-Welsh25%
Ryan Sweeney0%
R. Oates0%
Elliott Hewitt0%
M. Smith0%
L. Reed0%
Lucas Akins0%
Stephen McLaughlin0%
A. Oshilaja0%
Frazer Blake-Tracy0%
R. Hendry0%
L. Thompson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (22)
€69m
LUT (26)
€29m
SHW (24)
€21m
OXF (24)
€20m
HUD (26)
€16m
MKD (24)
€15m
PLY (25)
€13m
BLA (22)
€11m
LO (23)
€10m
STO (25)
€10m
WYC (24)
€10m
REA (20)
€10m
BAR (21)
€8m
WIG (21)
€7m
PET (23)
€7m
BRA (21)
€7m
STE (21)
€7m
DON (23)
€7m
MAN (23)
€6m
NC (24)
€6m
AW (21)
€5m
CAM (20)
€5m
BUR (17)
€5m
BRO (19)
€4m
Bradford and Mansfield have a similar squad value (both €7m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (7)
€20m
LUT (10)
€13m
SHW (6)
€7m
OXF (8)
€6m
MKD (8)
€5m
PLY (8)
€4m
LO (6)
€4m
BLA (8)
€4m
HUD (7)
€4m
STO (8)
€3m
REA (6)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
PET (8)
€3m
WYC (7)
€3m
NC (7)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
CAM (9)
€2m
WIG (8)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
BAR (5)
€2m
BUR (6)
€1m
MAN (6)
€1m
BRO (5)
€1m
Bradford's attack is €2m more valuable than Mansfield's (€3m vs €1m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (4)
€13m
MKD (6)
€7m
SHW (5)
€6m
OXF (4)
€6m
LUT (6)
€4m
HUD (6)
€4m
MAN (5)
€3m
LO (8)
€3m
REA (5)
€3m
STO (6)
€3m
BAR (7)
€3m
BLA (5)
€3m
PLY (6)
€3m
WIG (8)
€2m
WYC (5)
€2m
DON (6)
€2m
NC (7)
€2m
STE (6)
€2m
BUR (4)
€1m
PET (5)
€1m
BRO (6)
€1m
BRA (3)
€1m
AW (5)
€1m
CAM (3)
€1m
Bradford's midfield is €2m less valuable than Mansfield's (€1m vs €3m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
LEI (11)
€36m
LUT (10)
€12m
OXF (12)
€8m
SHW (13)
€8m
HUD (13)
€8m
PLY (11)
€6m
WYC (12)
€5m
BLA (9)
€4m
STO (11)
€4m
REA (9)
€4m
BAR (9)
€3m
LO (9)
€3m
STE (9)
€3m
DON (11)
€3m
MKD (10)
€3m
PET (10)
€3m
BRA (9)
€3m
WIG (5)
€3m
CAM (8)
€2m
AW (8)
€2m
BUR (7)
€2m
NC (10)
€2m
MAN (12)
€2m
BRO (8)
€2m
Bradford and Mansfield have a similar defence value (both €3m).
England: League One 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: League One stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Huddersfield
Sheffield Weds
Blackpool
Burton
Barnsley
Cambridge
Luton
Leyton Orient
Stockport
Notts County
Leicester
Reading
Oxford
Plymouth
Peterboro
AFC Wimbledon
Bromley
Doncaster
Stevenage
Wigan
Milton Keynes Dons
Wycombe