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Bravo vs Aluminij Result & Analysis

Date: 02/09/2023
Time: 13:00
Final 2-0
Bravo
Bravo
Vs
29%
32%
39%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aluminij
Aluminij
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✓ Hit
28.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
32.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aluminij win✗ Miss
39.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-303L10W11D01L11D20W11D12L03L21WH·CEL23/04A·MUR29/04H·TAB04/05H·RAD14/05A·MAR20/05H·ROG22/07A·NK 30/07A·MAR13/08H·KOP18/08A·RAD27/08
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.031.271.271.200.801.33
vs Stronger (3)1.001.671.001.501.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.041.221.311.150.791.29
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-531W01L22D31W11D22D01L20W45L01LA·BIL03/05H·PRI12/05A·KRK19/05H·GOR25/05A·GOR28/05H·CEL23/07A·MAR30/07A·RAD12/08H·OLI19/08H·MUR25/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.031.032.191.121.860.93
vs Stronger (1)2.002.002.002.00--
vs Similar (18)1.780.942.001.331.560.56
vs Weaker (11)2.451.092.500.672.401.60
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%13%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
64.0%
Under 1.5
36.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
35.6%
Under 2.5
64.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
16.6%
Under 3.5
83.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
43.8%
No
56.2%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.7%
0-0
13.3%
0-1
12.6%
1-0
10.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-2
7.8%
2-1
6.4%
2-0 ✓
5.5%
Bravo goals ↓
Aluminij goals →
01234
013%13%8.1%3.1%0.9%
110%15%7.8%3.0%0.9%
25.5%6.4%3.7%1.4%0.4%
31.8%2.1%1.2%0.5%0.1%
40.4%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Aluminij goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Bravo is 0.53 points better than Aluminij in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.86).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Bravo is 0.14 goals better than Aluminij in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.03).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Bravo is 0.81 goals better than Aluminij in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.97).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Bravo is 5.2 percentage points worse than Aluminij in terms of average possession (41% vs 46%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BravoBravo

For 3.9 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.4

🚩 Corners

14084652627210775364154121189121481064H·KOPA·MARA·NK A·MARH·TABA·MURH·CELA·NK H·OLIA·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.8 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

60322421121214132423335633354656H·KOPA·MARA·NK A·MARH·TABA·MURH·CELA·NK H·OLIA·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.6 · Against 12.8 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

37011911811159119121611141113181918131520192620212725313728H·KOPA·MARA·NK A·MARH·TABA·MURH·CELA·NK H·OLIA·KOP
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

AluminijAluminij

For 4.7 · Against 5.3 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

1208429461584541211106129H·MURH·OLIA·MARH·CELA·GORH·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.8 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

8032241413522565184H·MURH·OLIA·MARH·CELA·GORH·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.0 · Against 12.2 · Total 26.2

⚠️ Fouls

3801011161011914918201514212620233829H·MURH·OLIA·MARH·CELA·GORH·GOR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (41)8.99.28.62.52.12.926.827.626.2
vs Stronger (4)9.38.010.02.82.03.525.025.025.0
vs Similar (37)8.89.48.32.52.22.827.127.826.4
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line38%42%36%37%30%43%77%67%86%
% under line62%58%64%63%70%57%23%33%14%
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (37)10.09.511.00.80.80.726.224.829.0
vs Stronger (1)6.06.0-1.01.0-23.023.0-
vs Similar (22)10.810.711.01.31.41.226.825.329.0
vs Weaker (14)---0.00.00.0---
% over line67%50%100%14%16%11%67%75%50%
% under line33%50%0%86%84%89%33%25%50%
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.8
Aluminij
10.0
Celje
9.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Koper
9.3
Maribor
9.2
Bravo
8.9
NK Domzale
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
NK Domzale
5.0
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.9
Aluminij
4.8
Maribor
4.8
Mura
4.4
Koper
4.1
Celje
4.1
Bravo
4.0

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
27.4
Bravo
26.8
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.3
Aluminij
26.2
Mura
26.1
Maribor
25.3
Celje
24.1
Koper
24.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
65.7%
Under 3.5
34.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
82.8%
Under 21.5
17.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D10W00D00D10W10W02L01L20WH·CEL23/04A·MUR29/04H·TAB04/05H·RAD14/05A·MAR20/05H·ROG22/07A·NK 30/07A·MAR13/08H·KOP18/08A·RAD27/08
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.570.400.530.400.60
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.500.501.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.370.560.380.540.360.57
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W00D12L11D11D10W00D20W21W01LA·BIL03/05H·PRI12/05A·KRK19/05H·GOR25/05A·GOR28/05H·CEL23/07A·MAR30/07A·RAD12/08H·OLI19/08H·MUR25/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.120.380.860.50
vs Stronger (1)1.000.001.000.00--
vs Similar (18)0.720.330.890.440.560.22
vs Weaker (11)1.450.641.500.331.401.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L10W01L01L11D10W01L10W02L01LH·CEL23/04A·MUR29/04H·TAB04/05H·RAD14/05A·MAR20/05H·ROG22/07A·NK 30/07A·MAR13/08H·KOP18/08A·RAD27/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.700.870.670.400.73
vs Stronger (3)0.331.000.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.670.670.920.620.430.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Aluminij) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

AluminijAluminij

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W01L10W20W00D12L01L00D24L00DA·BIL03/05H·PRI12/05A·KRK19/05H·GOR25/05A·GOR28/05H·CEL23/07A·MAR30/07A·RAD12/08H·OLI19/08H·MUR25/08← 2. SNL1. SNL →
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.601.060.751.000.43
vs Stronger (1)1.002.001.002.00--
vs Similar (18)1.060.611.110.891.000.33
vs Weaker (11)1.000.451.000.331.000.60
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aluminij over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls91.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.583.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls82.8%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards82.6%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards70.4%-------✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls70.4%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Bravo and Aluminij have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Bravo and Aluminij have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Bravo and Aluminij have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Bravo and Aluminij have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

No previous meetings
0
BRA wins
0
Draws
0
ALU wins

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Aluminij · H/A from BRA
DateH/AGameScore
No games.

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23ARadomlje Vs BRA1-2
18/08/23HBRA Vs Koper0-3
13/08/23AMaribor Vs BRA2-1
30/07/23ANK Domzale Vs BRA1-1
22/07/23HBRA Vs Rogaška2-0
20/05/23AMaribor Vs BRA1-1
14/05/23HBRA Vs Radomlje0-1
04/05/23HBRA Vs Tabor Sežana1-1
29/04/23AMura Vs BRA0-1
23/04/23HBRA Vs Celje0-3

AluminijAluminij

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
25/08/23HALU Vs Mura0-1
19/08/23HALU Vs Olimpija Ljubljana4-5
12/08/23ARadomlje Vs ALU0-2
30/07/23AMaribor Vs ALU1-0
23/07/23HALU Vs Celje2-2
28/05/23AGorica Vs ALU1-1
25/05/23HALU Vs Gorica3-1
19/05/23AKrka Vs ALU2-2
12/05/23HALU Vs Primorje0-1
03/05/23ABilje Vs ALU1-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLLW1.05
HomeLDLWL1.35
AwayWDDLW0.76
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%40%14%
AVG goals2.122.152.10
Over 1.5 %63%60%67%
Over 2.5 %34%30%38%
Over 3.5 %12%10%14%
Scored0.951.100.81
Conceded1.171.051.29
BTTS39%30%48%
Clean Sheet24%30%19%
Corners8.889.258.57
Cards4.003.584.36
Aluminij
Aluminij
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 3 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLWLL1.95
HomeLWDLL1.68
AwayWDDLW2.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %57%47%67%
AVG goals2.812.892.72
Over 1.5 %70%68%72%
Over 2.5 %49%53%44%
Over 3.5 %46%47%44%
Scored1.891.891.89
Conceded0.921.000.83
BTTS49%47%50%
Clean Sheet41%37%44%
Corners10.009.5011.00
Cards4.834.006.50

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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