Bravo is expected to emerge victorious in this Slovenia: 1. SNL match against Brinje-Grosuplje, with a 51% chance of a home win. The draw is a possibility at 25%, but Brinje-Grosuplje's 24% probability of an away win suggests a narrow margin. The expected total number of goals is 3.0, indicating a potentially high-scoring encounter. The most likely correct score is 1-1, with a probability of 11.7%.
Bravo has been performing well at home, scoring an average of 1.88 goals per match and conceding 1.38. Against stronger opponents, they tend to concede fewer goals. Brinje-Grosuplje, on the other hand, averages 2.08 goals when playing away and concedes 0.92 goals against weaker opponents.
The model's selection is the Over 1.5 goals, with an 81.7% probability. This selection also offers a 7% edge. Bravo's recent form is promising, coming off a win, while Brinje-Grosuplje is looking to bounce back from a draw.
In terms of probabilities, there is a 51% chance of a home win, a 25% chance of a draw, and a 24% chance of an away win. The model's selections include the Over 1.5 goals (81.7%) and a home win (51%), with a draw (25%) and an away win (24%) also possible.
The draw between Bravo and Brinje-Grosuplje extends home team Bravo's run of consecutive draws to four. The final score was 1-1, resulting in a draw. The model's selection, Home win, was the pre-match favourite with a 51% probability, but its call was wrong. The model's selection had a 51% chance of winning, but the actual result was a draw. In contrast, the model's selection of Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 81.7% probability.
Bravo| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.47 | 1.71 | 1.43 | 1.62 | 1.50 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 0.67 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.70 | 1.56 | 1.77 | 1.54 | 1.64 | 1.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 20% (-6pp vs league) | |||||
Brinje-Grosuplje| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 2.17 | 0.93 | 2.47 | 0.73 | 1.87 | 1.13 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 1.46 | 1.00 | 1.50 | 0.50 | 1.43 | 1.43 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 2.71 | 0.88 | 3.11 | 0.89 | 2.25 | 0.88 |
| Clean sheet % | 40% (+14pp vs league) | |||||
| Brinje-Grosuplje goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 5.9% | 4.7% | 3.5% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 1 | 7.7% | 12% | 6.4% | 2.6% | 0.8% |
| 2 | 8.1% | 9.7% | 5.8% | 2.3% | 0.7% |
| 3 | 4.9% | 5.9% | 3.6% | 1.4% | 0.4% |
| 4 | 2.3% | 2.7% | 1.6% | 0.7% | 0.2% |
Bravo
Brinje-Grosuplje
Bravo| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (5) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (45) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Brinje-Grosuplje| Split | Corners | Cards | Fouls | ||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | Tot | Hme | Awy | |
| Overall (50) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (23) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| vs Weaker (27) | - | - | - | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.0 | - | - | - |
| % over line | - | - | - | 0% | 0% | 0% | - | - | - |
| % under line | - | - | - | 100% | 100% | 100% | - | - | - |
Bravo| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.77 | 0.77 | 0.71 | 0.64 | 0.81 | 0.88 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 1.33 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.50 | 0.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 0.70 | 0.85 | 0.69 | 0.69 | 0.71 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 50% (+24pp vs league) | |||||
Brinje-Grosuplje| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.97 | 0.47 | 1.33 | 0.33 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 0.85 | 0.38 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 1.06 | 0.53 | 1.56 | 0.56 | 0.50 | 0.50 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
Bravo| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.90 | 0.70 | 1.00 | 0.79 | 0.81 | 0.62 |
| vs Stronger (3) | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 |
| vs Similar (27) | 1.00 | 0.70 | 1.08 | 0.85 | 0.93 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Clean sheet % | 47% (+20pp vs league) | |||||
Brinje-Grosuplje| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.20 | 0.47 | 1.13 | 0.40 | 1.27 | 0.53 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (13) | 0.62 | 0.62 | 0.50 | 0.50 | 0.71 | 0.71 |
| vs Weaker (17) | 1.65 | 0.35 | 1.56 | 0.33 | 1.75 | 0.38 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+34pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge | Result |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over 19.5 fouls | 83.6% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 1.5 | 81.7% | 1.24 | 1.27 | 1.26 | 1.25 | 1.25 | 1.25 | +7.2% | ✓ Hit |
| Over 2.5 cards | 77.4% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 cards | 77.2% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Over 21.5 fouls | 70.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 11.5 corners | 70.7% | 1.18 | 1.19 | 1.16 | - | - | - | -6.2% | - |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| No games. | |||
Bravo| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 30/07/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 26/07/26 | H | 0-3 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 23/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 02/05/26 | A | 2-3 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 3-0 | |
| 19/04/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 15/04/26 | H | 2-1 |
Brinje-Grosuplje| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 02/08/26 | H | 1-1 | |
| 25/07/26 | A | 3-0 | |
| 18/07/26 | A | 0-2 | |
| 22/05/26 | A | 0-1 | |
| 17/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 09/05/26 | A | 0-4 | |
| 06/05/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 29/04/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 26/04/26 | H | 8-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Maribor | 7 | 15 | 57% | 2.1 | 13 | 5 | +8 | 2.6 | 86% | 43% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1.9 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | Koper | 7 | 12 | 43% | 1.7 | 7 | 5 | +2 | 1.7 | 57% | 14% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 1.0 | 0.7 | - |
| 3 | Celje | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 10 | 8 | +2 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 14 | 7 | 1 | 6 | 1.7 | 1.3 | - |
| 4 | Bravo | 7 | 11 | 43% | 1.6 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 2.3 | 86% | 43% | 14% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | - |
| 5 | Aluminij | 7 | 8 | 29% | 1.1 | 8 | 8 | +0 | 2.3 | 57% | 29% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.1 | 1.1 | - |
| 6 | Brinje-Grosuplje | 7 | 8 | 29% | 1.1 | 11 | 12 | -1 | 3.3 | 100% | 57% | 29% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1.6 | 1.7 | - |
| 7 | Olimpija Ljubljana | 7 | 8 | 29% | 1.1 | 3 | 5 | -2 | 1.1 | 29% | 0% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 12 | 6 | 1 | 5 | 0.4 | 0.7 | - |
| 8 | Nafta | 7 | 7 | 29% | 1.0 | 12 | 12 | +0 | 3.4 | 86% | 57% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1.7 | 1.7 | - |
| 9 | Mura | 7 | 7 | 29% | 1.0 | 8 | 14 | -6 | 3.1 | 71% | 57% | 43% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.1 | 2.0 | - |
| 10 | Radomlje | 6 | 5 | 17% | 0.8 | 7 | 10 | -3 | 2.8 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 1.2 | 1.7 | - |