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Bravo vs Koper Result & Analysis

Date: 26/02/2024
Time: 14:00
Final 0-0
Bravo
Bravo
Vs
35%
29%
35%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✗ Miss
35.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
29.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Koper win✗ Miss
35.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L11D02L20W11D32W31W00D12LA·KOP28/10H·RAD05/11A·ALU10/11H·CEL26/11H·MUR03/12A·OLI07/12H·ROG10/12A·NK 10/02H·CEL18/02A·MAR22/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.231.271.331.271.131.27
vs Stronger (4)0.251.750.001.671.002.00
vs Similar (26)1.381.191.671.171.141.21
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D11D10W01L23L33D24L02L01L21WA·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11H·NK 11/11A·ALU26/11H·MAR06/12H·OLI10/12A·CEL16/12H·RAD10/02A·ALU16/02
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.431.371.531.401.331.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (19)1.631.372.001.221.301.50
vs Weaker (11)1.091.360.831.671.401.00
Clean sheet %27% (+0pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%221%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
73.1%
Under 1.5
26.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.3%
Under 2.5
53.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
24.8%
Under 3.5
75.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.7%
No
47.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
14.0%
0-0 ✓
9.3%
1-0
8.8%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.1%
1-2
8.0%
2-0
6.4%
0-2
6.3%
Bravo goals ↓
Koper goals →
01234
09.3%8.8%6.3%2.7%0.8%
18.8%14%8.0%3.4%1.1%
26.4%8.1%5.1%2.1%0.7%
32.7%3.4%2.2%0.9%0.3%
40.9%1.1%0.7%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Koper goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Bravo is 0.06 points better than Koper in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.33).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Bravo is 0.25 goals worse than Koper in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 1.42).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Bravo is 0.19 goals better than Koper in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.36).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Bravo is 15.8 percentage points worse than Koper in terms of average possession (41% vs 56%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BravoBravo

For 5.4 · Against 4.8 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

1702245534898833210457464981217115141210A·MARH·CELA·NK A·OLIH·MURH·CELA·ALUA·KOPH·MARA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 1.8 · Total 3.5

🟨 Cards

701423132215212245540417324A·MARH·CELA·NK A·OLIH·MURH·CELA·ALUA·KOPH·MARA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 10.3 · Total 20.5

⚠️ Fouls

260157167101048965161012121412791622232012152122261925A·MARH·CELA·NK A·OLIH·MURH·CELA·ALUA·KOPH·MARA·CEL
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

KoperKoper

For 4.5 · Against 3.6 · Total 8.1

🚩 Corners

140612716464410644556630810101410911A·ALUA·CELH·OLIH·MARA·ALUH·NK H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

603111231232421141234134563515A·ALUA·CELH·OLIH·MARA·ALUH·NK H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 13.4 · Against 12.5 · Total 25.9

⚠️ Fouls

41021202181622121219141215986121420164132434312624142636A·ALUA·CELH·MARA·ALUH·NK H·BRAA·MURH·ALUA·OLIA·MAR
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.510.18.92.72.33.124.324.224.3
vs Stronger (6)9.89.310.52.82.53.523.823.025.0
vs Similar (44)9.510.38.82.72.23.124.424.524.2
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line51%59%44%38%31%46%63%47%78%
% under line49%41%56%62%69%54%37%53%22%
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.19.29.12.72.52.924.923.825.9
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (30)8.88.88.83.02.53.524.422.725.8
vs Weaker (20)9.89.79.82.32.62.025.825.426.4
% over line51%44%59%40%28%52%79%76%82%
% under line49%56%41%60%72%48%21%24%18%
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
11.1
Celje
9.8
NK Domzale
9.7
Aluminij
9.6
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.5
Bravo
9.4
Koper
9.1
Maribor
8.9

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
4.8
NK Domzale
4.7
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.4
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.0
Celje
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aluminij
27.6
NK Domzale
26.5
Maribor
25.2
Olimpija Ljubljana
25.1
Koper
24.7
Bravo
24.7
Mura
24.4
Celje
23.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.8%
Under 9.5
46.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
54.2%
Under 3.5
45.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
70.0%
Under 21.5
30.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L10W01L10W00D10W20W00D11DA·KOP28/10H·RAD05/11A·ALU10/11H·CEL26/11H·MUR03/12A·OLI07/12H·ROG10/12A·NK 10/02H·CEL18/02A·MAR22/02
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.530.530.530.600.53
vs Stronger (4)0.250.750.000.671.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.620.500.670.500.570.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W10W00D12L22D03L00D00D11DA·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11H·NK 11/11A·ALU26/11H·MAR06/12H·OLI10/12A·CEL16/12H·RAD10/02A·ALU16/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.630.710.640.620.62
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.720.880.750.700.70
vs Weaker (12)0.500.500.500.500.500.50
Clean sheet %57% (+30pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L01L01L10W11D22D11D00D01LA·KOP28/10H·RAD05/11A·ALU10/11H·CEL26/11H·MUR03/12A·OLI07/12H·ROG10/12A·NK 10/02H·CEL18/02A·MAR22/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.730.800.730.530.73
vs Stronger (4)0.001.000.001.000.001.00
vs Similar (26)0.770.691.000.670.570.71
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Koper) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

KoperKoper

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-221W01L00D01L11D11D21W02L01L10WA·MUR22/10H·BRA28/10A·ROG04/11H·NK 11/11A·ALU26/11H·MAR06/12H·OLI10/12A·CEL16/12H·RAD10/02A·ALU16/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.770.710.860.750.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (18)0.780.721.000.620.600.80
vs Weaker (12)0.670.830.331.171.000.50
Clean sheet %37% (+10pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Koper over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls83.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards80.5%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.575.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards74.3%-------✗ Miss
Over 1.573.1%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners70.1%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Bravo's squad is €4m less valuable than Koper's (€4m vs €8m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Bravo's attack is €2m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €3m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Bravo's midfield is €1m less valuable than Koper's (€1m vs €2m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Bravo and Koper have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

6 previous meetings
1
BRA wins
1
Draws
4
KOP wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Koper · H/A from BRA
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23AKoper Vs BRA1-1
18/08/23HBRA Vs Koper0-3
01/04/23AKoper Vs BRA1-0
10/12/22HBRA Vs Koper0-1
01/10/22AKoper Vs BRA2-0
24/07/22HBRA Vs Koper1-0

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/24AMaribor Vs BRA2-1
18/02/24HBRA Vs Celje0-0
10/02/24ANK Domzale Vs BRA1-3
10/12/23HBRA Vs Rogaška3-2
07/12/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA1-1
03/12/23HBRA Vs Mura2-0
26/11/23HBRA Vs Celje0-2
10/11/23AAluminij Vs BRA1-1
05/11/23HBRA Vs Radomlje0-2
28/10/23AKoper Vs BRA1-1

KoperKoper

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/24AAluminij Vs KOP1-2
10/02/24HKOP Vs Radomlje0-1
16/12/23ACelje Vs KOP2-0
10/12/23HKOP Vs Olimpija Ljubljana2-4
06/12/23HKOP Vs Maribor3-3
26/11/23AAluminij Vs KOP3-2
11/11/23HKOP Vs NK Domzale0-1
04/11/23ARogaška Vs KOP0-1
28/10/23HKOP Vs Bravo1-1
22/10/23AMura Vs KOP2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWDL1.24
HomeLLWWD1.65
AwayDDDWL0.79
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%50%12%
AVG goals2.422.582.25
Over 1.5 %78%77%79%
Over 2.5 %40%38%42%
Over 3.5 %16%19%12%
Scored1.161.420.88
Conceded1.261.151.38
BTTS52%38%67%
Clean Sheet22%31%12%
Corners9.5110.128.94
Cards3.833.474.17
Koper
Koper
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 2 Wins / 3 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLLLW1.36
HomeDLDLL1.20
AwayDWLLW1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %36%32%40%
AVG goals2.542.562.52
Over 1.5 %70%64%76%
Over 2.5 %44%40%48%
Over 3.5 %24%24%24%
Scored1.321.321.32
Conceded1.221.241.20
BTTS56%52%60%
Clean Sheet28%24%32%
Corners9.119.179.06
Cards3.893.504.29

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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