Bravo vs Mura Result & Analysis

Date: 29/08/2026

Time: 18:15

Final 2-0

Bravo

51%

24%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Mura

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Referee: -

1 Model Analysis 2 Goal Analysis 3 Team Strengths Analysis 4 Props Analysis 5 Double Chance 6 Home & Away Over/Under 7 Handicap 8 Half Time Goals O/U 9 Half Time Home & Away O/U 10 Second Half Goals O/U 11 Second Half Home & Away O/U

12 Top picks for this game 14 Squad value 15 Games History 16 Overall Statistics 17 League Table

Match preview & prediction

The model favours a home win for Bravo, with a 51% chance, while a draw sits at 25% and Mura’s chances are 24%. The expected total goals hover around 3.1, but the most likely total is two goals, with a 22% probability. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying an 11.3% chance, and that is the only scoreline to mention. Bravo’s home form shows an average of 1.45 goals scored and 1.55 conceded against similar opposition, whereas Mura, on the road, averages 1.7 goals scored and 2.0 conceded versus similar teams. The model’s selections include Away under 2.5 HT goals at 99.1%, Under 7.5 at 98.5%, Away under 2.5 2H goals at 98.1% with a 5% edge, Away under 3.5 goals at 96.2% with a 5% edge, Under 6.5 at 95.9% with a 4% edge, Home under 2.5 HT goals at 95.1% with a 3% edge, Away under 1.5 HT goals at 92.6% with a 5% edge, and Home under 2.5 2H goals at 92.2% with a 3% edge. Bravo is coming off a defeat to Maribor, while Mura also lost to Koper, setting a cautious tone for this encounter.

Results analysis

Bravo extended their winning run, beating Mura 2-0 as the Pythia model had predicted. The pre-match favourite was a Home win with a 51% probability, and the model’s call proved correct. The most likely total was 3 goals, yet the match finished under that mark, confirming the model’s strong Under 7.5 selection at 98.5%. Every suggested pick hit: Away under 2.5 2H goals (98.3%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (97.6%), Away under 3.5 goals (96.2%), Under 6.5 (95.8%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (95.4%), Away under 1.5 HT goals (92.1%), and Home under 2.5 2H goals (91.6%). The predictions were remarkably accurate, underscoring the model’s reliability.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✓ Hit

51.5%

Avg Implied 43.0% · @ 2.11

Edge

+8.4%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

2.23

Betano

2.18

Dafabet

2.17

Superbet

2.15

William Hil

2.15

Draw✗ Miss

24.4%

Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.32

Edge

-2.9%

Best 5 market prices

Pinnacle

3.53

Betfair

3.50

Dafabet

3.40

BetVictor

3.40

10Bet

3.40

Mura win✗ Miss

24.1%

Avg Implied 29.6% · @ 3.07

Edge

-5.5%

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

3.45

Dafabet

3.15

Pinnacle

3.15

Superbet

3.10

Betano

3.10

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bravo

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.9

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.50	1.47	1.50	1.36	1.50	1.56
vs Stronger (3)	1.33	0.67	1.00	0.00	1.50	1.00
vs Similar (27)	1.52	1.56	1.54	1.46	1.50	1.64
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-3pp vs league)

This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mura

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

3.1

Avg scored

1.4

Avg conceded

1.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.20	1.77	1.07	1.27	1.33	2.27
vs Stronger (14)	0.79	1.64	0.89	1.00	0.60	2.80
vs Similar (16)	1.56	1.88	1.33	1.67	1.70	2.00
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	17% (-10pp vs league)

This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

83.2%

@ 1.22+7.8%

Under 1.5

16.8%

@ 3.74-7.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.25

Bet365

1.25

Pinnacle

1.25

10Bet

1.25

BetVictor

1.22

Under

Betfair

4.10

Pinnacle

3.93

BetVictor

3.80

Bet365

3.75

10Bet

3.70

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

60.9%

@ 1.76+8.1%

Under 2.5

39.1%

@ 1.97-8.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

1.80

Bet365

1.80

SBO

1.78

Betano

1.78

10Bet

1.77

Under

Pinnacle

2.03

Bet365

2.00

10Bet

2.00

Betano

1.98

SBO

1.98

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

38.6%

@ 2.87+6.4%

Under 3.5

61.4%

@ 1.36-6.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betfair

3.10

BetVictor

3.00

Bet365

3.00

Pinnacle

2.96

10Bet

2.90

Under

Pinnacle

1.40

Betano

1.39

10Bet

1.38

Betfair

1.36

Superbet

1.36

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

61.7%

@ 1.62+4.9%

38.3%

@ 2.13-4.9%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

Betfair

1.67

Bet365

1.67

Superbet

1.63

William Hil

1.62

Betano

1.62

1xBet

2.18

William Hil

2.15

Betano

2.15

Betfair

2.15

BetVictor

2.15

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

11.2%@ 6.01+3.9%

2-1

9.7%@ 7.90+4.1%

2-0 ✓

7.7%@ 10.21+3.5%

1-0

7.1%@ 7.84+1.6%

1-2

6.4%@ 9.96+2.0%

3-1

6.1%@ 14.68+3.1%

2-2

6.0%@ 11.64+2.3%

0-0

5.3%@ 10.57+1.2%

Bravo goals ↓

	Mura goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	5.3%	4.4%	3.4%	1.4%	0.4%
1	7.1%	11%	6.4%	2.7%	0.8%
2	7.7%	9.7%	6.0%	2.5%	0.8%
3	4.9%	6.1%	3.8%	1.6%	0.5%
4	2.3%	2.9%	1.8%	0.8%	0.2%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Mura goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Maribor

2.14

Celje

1.83

Koper

1.71

Bravo

1.57

Aluminij

1.14

Olimpija Ljubljana

1.14

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.14

Nafta

1.00

Mura

1.00

Radomlje

0.83

Bravo is 0.57 points better than Mura in terms of average points per game (1.57 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Maribor

1.86

Nafta

1.71

Celje

1.67

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.57

Radomlje

1.17

Bravo

1.14

Aluminij

1.14

Mura

1.14

Koper

1.00

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.43

Bravo and Mura are level in goals scored per game (both 1.14).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Maribor

0.71

Koper

0.71

Olimpija Ljubljana

0.71

Bravo

1.14

Aluminij

1.14

Celje

1.33

Radomlje

1.67

Nafta

1.71

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.71

Mura

2.00

Bravo is 0.86 goals better than Mura in terms of goals conceded per game (1.14 vs 2.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bravo

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Mura

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Bravo

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (4)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (46)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mura

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (23)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (27)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Mura

11.1

Aluminij

10.1

Olimpija Ljubljana

9.7

Bravo

9.6

Celje

9.4

Koper

9.2

Maribor

9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Aluminij

5.0

Celje

4.9

Maribor

4.7

Olimpija Ljubljana

4.7

Mura

4.2

Koper

4.0

Bravo

3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Aluminij

27.0

Maribor

25.2

Olimpija Ljubljana

25.2

Celje

25.0

Koper

24.9

Bravo

24.7

Mura

24.2

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

0.0%

Under 9.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Superbet

2.05

Pinnacle

2.01

Betano

2.00

1xBet

1.99

Marathonbet

1.98

Under

Pinnacle

1.75

1xBet

1.73

Betano

1.72

Superbet

1.70

Marathonbet

1.70

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

0.0%

Under 3.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

0.0%

Under 21.5

0.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

Bravo or Draw✓ Hit

75.9%

Avg Implied 70.3% · @ 1.30

Edge

+5.6%

51%

24%

covers Bravo + Draw

Best 5 market prices

Betano

1.37

10Bet

1.35

BetVictor

1.33

Betfair

1.33

William Hil

1.33

Bravo or Mura✓ Hit

75.6%

Avg Implied 73.2% · @ 1.25

Edge

+2.4%

51%

24%

covers Bravo + Mura

Best 5 market prices

William Hil

1.30

Betano

1.29

BetVictor

1.29

Superbet

1.27

Marathonbet

1.25

Draw or Mura✗ Miss

48.5%

Avg Implied 56.4% · @ 1.62

Edge

-7.9%

51%

24%

covers Draw + Mura

Best 5 market prices

Unibet

1.70

Betano

1.67

10Bet

1.67

Betfair

1.67

William Hil

1.65

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.

Bravo over/under 0.5Actual: Over

Over

85.0%

@ 1.20+7.9%

Under

15.0%

@ 4.05-7.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.22

Betano

1.22

BetVictor

1.20

10Bet

1.20

Pinnacle

1.20

Under

Pinnacle

4.30

BetVictor

4.10

1xBet

4.10

Betano

4.00

10Bet

4.00

Bravo over/under 1.5Actual: Over

Over

56.5%

@ 1.99+9.9%

Under

43.5%

@ 1.74-9.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.10

BetVictor

2.05

Bet365

2.00

Superbet

2.00

10Bet

2.00

Under

Unibet

1.81

Betano

1.75

1xBet

1.74

Pinnacle

1.74

10Bet

1.73

Bravo over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

29.6%

@ 4.19+7.5%

Under

70.4%

@ 1.19-7.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

BetVictor

4.40

Bet365

4.33

Pinnacle

4.26

10Bet

4.20

1xBet

4.20

Under

Betano

1.22

Pinnacle

1.20

Bet365

1.20

10Bet

1.18

1xBet

1.18

Bravo over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

12.5%

@ 8.80+1.9%

Under

87.5%

@ 1.04-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

9.90

Bet365

8.50

Betano

8.00

Under

Betano

1.06

Bet365

1.05

1xBet

1.01

Mura over/under 0.5Actual: Under

Over

71.4%

@ 1.32+1.4%

Under

28.6%

@ 3.08-1.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.34

Unibet

1.34

10Bet

1.33

Bet365

1.33

Pinnacle

1.32

Under

Pinnacle

3.28

Bet365

3.25

BetVictor

3.20

Betano

3.10

10Bet

3.10

Mura over/under 1.5Actual: Under

Over

35.6%

@ 2.55-0.9%

Under

64.4%

@ 1.46+0.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.65

Bet365

2.62

10Bet

2.55

BetVictor

2.55

Marathonbet

2.53

Under

Betano

1.50

Pinnacle

1.48

1xBet

1.47

BetVictor

1.45

10Bet

1.45

Mura over/under 2.5Actual: Under

Over

13.2%

@ 5.87-2.5%

Under

86.8%

@ 1.09+2.5%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

6.20

BetVictor

6.00

10Bet

6.00

Bet365

6.00

Marathonbet

5.95

Under

Betano

1.12

Bet365

1.11

10Bet

1.09

BetVictor

1.09

Superbet

1.08

Mura over/under 3.5Actual: Under

Over

3.8%

@ 10.50-5.1%

Under

96.2%

@ 1.02+5.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

10.50

Bet365

10.50

Under

Betano

1.03

Bet365

1.02

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bravo, so a minus line means Bravo give that many goals of a start and Mura receive them. At -1, Bravo must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bravo win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.

Handicap -2 (Bravo)Actual: Draw

Bravo -2

14.0%

@ 8.15+3.2%

Draw -2

16.0%

@ 6.12+1.5%

Mura +2

70.0%

@ 1.19-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Marathonbet

8.30

Bet365

8.00

Draw

Marathonbet

6.25

Bet365

6.00

Away

Bet365

1.20

Marathonbet

1.17

Handicap -1 (Bravo)Actual: Bravo

Bravo -1

30.0%

@ 3.76+6.8%

Draw -1

21.5%

@ 3.70-2.0%

Mura +1

48.5%

@ 1.63-4.8%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

4.00

Betfair

4.00

10Bet

3.95

Marathonbet

3.94

Unibet

2.90

Draw

Bet365

4.00

Marathonbet

3.92

10Bet

3.75

Betfair

3.75

Unibet

3.10

Away

Unibet

1.70

10Bet

1.67

Betfair

1.62

Bet365

1.60

Marathonbet

1.58

Handicap +1 (Bravo)Actual: Bravo

Bravo +1

75.9%

@ 1.31+8.6%

Draw +1

13.8%

@ 4.77-4.7%

Mura -1

10.3%

@ 6.18-4.0%

Best 5 market prices

Home

10Bet

1.35

Bet365

1.30

Marathonbet

1.28

Draw

Bet365

5.00

Marathonbet

4.80

10Bet

4.50

Away

Marathonbet

6.30

10Bet

6.25

Bet365

6.00

Handicap +2 (Bravo)Actual: Bravo

Bravo +2

89.7%

@ 1.08+7.1%

Draw +2

6.9%

@ 8.50-3.6%

Mura -2

3.3%

@ 13.00-3.5%

Best 5 market prices

Home

Bet365

1.08

Draw

Bet365

8.50

Away

Bet365

13.00

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.2

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.5

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.73	0.57	0.64	0.75	0.81
vs Stronger (3)	1.33	0.00	1.00	0.00	1.50	0.00
vs Similar (27)	0.59	0.81	0.54	0.69	0.64	0.93
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	53% (+27pp vs league)

This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mura

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.3

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

0.6

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.53	0.90	0.47	0.73	0.60	1.07
vs Stronger (14)	0.50	0.93	0.56	0.67	0.40	1.40
vs Similar (16)	0.56	0.88	0.33	0.83	0.70	0.90
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	37% (+10pp vs league)

This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

68.8%

@ 1.33-0.7%

Under 0.5

31.2%

@ 3.03+0.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.39

BetVictor

1.36

Pinnacle

1.34

Bet365

1.33

1xBet

1.33

Under

Bet365

3.25

Pinnacle

3.25

Betfair

3.20

William Hil

3.10

10Bet

3.10

Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

34.1%

@ 2.55-2.1%

Under 1.5

65.9%

@ 1.44+2.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.69

Betfair

2.63

Bet365

2.62

Betano

2.62

1xBet

2.56

Under

10Bet

1.48

Pinnacle

1.47

Betano

1.45

BetVictor

1.45

Betfair

1.44

Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

13.8%

@ 5.92-1.9%

Under 2.5

86.2%

@ 1.10+1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

6.50

Bet365

6.00

Betfair

6.00

1xBet

6.00

Betano

5.60

Under

Bet365

1.11

Betano

1.11

William Hil

1.10

Betfair

1.10

Superbet

1.08

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.

Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over

Over

54.5%

@ 1.86+4.7%

Under

45.5%

@ 1.85-4.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.90

Pinnacle

1.89

Marathonbet

1.85

1xBet

1.85

Superbet

1.85

Under

10Bet

1.90

Pinnacle

1.89

Superbet

1.85

Betano

1.82

1xBet

1.81

Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

17.4%

@ 5.33+0.1%

Under

82.6%

@ 1.11-0.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Marathonbet

5.60

1xBet

5.60

Betano

5.10

10Bet

5.00

Under

Betano

1.13

10Bet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.09

1xBet

1.09

Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

4.6%

@ 12.62-2.8%

Under

95.4%

@ 1.01+2.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

15.00

Betano

10.25

Under

Betano

1.02

10Bet

1.01

Mura over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under

Over

36.1%

@ 2.16-6.7%

Under

63.9%

@ 1.62+6.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

Pinnacle

2.23

Betano

2.18

Superbet

2.15

1xBet

2.14

Marathonbet

2.14

Under

Pinnacle

1.65

10Bet

1.65

Betano

1.62

Superbet

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Mura over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under

Over

7.9%

@ 7.00-5.3%

Under

92.1%

@ 1.06+5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

7.40

Marathonbet

7.40

10Bet

7.00

Betano

6.20

Under

Betano

1.09

10Bet

1.07

Marathonbet

1.04

1xBet

1.04

Mura over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under

Over

2.4%

@ 18.62-2.7%

Under

97.6%

@ 1.01+2.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

26.00

Betano

11.25

Under

10Bet

1.01

Betano

1.01

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.7

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.0

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.83	0.73	0.93	0.71	0.75	0.75
vs Stronger (3)	0.00	0.67	0.00	0.00	0.00	1.00
vs Similar (27)	0.93	0.74	1.00	0.77	0.86	0.71
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	50% (+24pp vs league)

This opponent (Mura) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Mura

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.8

Avg scored

0.7

Avg conceded

1.1

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	0.67	0.87	0.60	0.53	0.73	1.20
vs Stronger (14)	0.29	0.71	0.33	0.33	0.20	1.40
vs Similar (16)	1.00	1.00	1.00	0.83	1.00	1.10
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	47% (+20pp vs league)

This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over

Over 0.5

79.3%

@ 1.20+2.2%

Under 0.5

20.7%

@ 4.05-2.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

1.22

Betano

1.21

10Bet

1.20

Bet365

1.20

Superbet

1.18

Under

Bet365

4.33

1xBet

4.30

10Bet

4.00

Betano

3.95

William Hil

3.90

Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under

Over 1.5

46.4%

@ 1.95-1.0%

Under 1.5

53.6%

@ 1.76+1.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

2.00

10Bet

2.00

Superbet

1.97

1xBet

1.94

Marathonbet

1.94

Under

Bet365

1.80

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.76

Marathonbet

1.76

William Hil

1.75

Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under

Over 2.5

19.7%

@ 3.93-3.8%

Under 2.5

80.3%

@ 1.21+3.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

William Hil

4.20

1xBet

4.00

Bet365

4.00

Superbet

3.80

Betano

3.65

Under

Betano

1.24

Bet365

1.22

William Hil

1.20

1xBet

1.19

Superbet

1.18

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.

Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over

Over

63.1%

@ 1.60+5.3%

Under

36.9%

@ 2.19-5.3%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

1.62

Superbet

1.60

1xBet

1.60

Betano

1.57

Under

Betano

2.25

1xBet

2.20

10Bet

2.15

Superbet

2.15

Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

26.0%

@ 3.83+1.9%

Under

74.0%

@ 1.21-1.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

4.00

Marathonbet

3.92

1xBet

3.80

Betano

3.60

Under

Betano

1.25

1xBet

1.21

10Bet

1.20

Marathonbet

1.19

Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

8.4%

@ 9.00-2.0%

Under

91.6%

@ 1.04+2.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

10.00

Betano

8.00

Under

Betano

1.05

10Bet

1.03

Mura over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under

Over

44.9%

@ 1.82-5.7%

Under

55.1%

@ 1.87+5.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

1.84

10Bet

1.83

Superbet

1.83

Marathonbet

1.80

Betano

1.80

Under

Betano

1.91

Superbet

1.87

Marathonbet

1.86

1xBet

1.86

10Bet

1.85

Mura over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under

Over

11.4%

@ 5.00-7.0%

Under

88.6%

@ 1.13+7.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

1xBet

5.20

Marathonbet

5.20

10Bet

5.00

Betano

4.60

Under

Betano

1.16

10Bet

1.13

Marathonbet

1.11

1xBet

1.11

Mura over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under

Over

1.7%

@ 12.25-6.0%

Under

98.3%

@ 1.02+6.0%

Best 5 market prices

Over

10Bet

15.00

Betano

9.50

Under

Betano

1.03

10Bet

1.01

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 7.5	98.5%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 2H goals	98.3%	1.02	Betano 1.03	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	+6.0%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 HT goals	97.6%	1.01	10Bet 1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	+2.7%	✓ Hit
Away under 3.5 goals	96.2%	1.02	Betano 1.03	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	+5.1%	✓ Hit
Under 6.5	95.8%	1.01	Betano 1.02	1xBet 1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	+3.5%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 HT goals	95.4%	1.01	Betano 1.02	10Bet 1.01	-	-	-	+2.8%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 HT goals	92.1%	1.06	Betano 1.09	10Bet 1.07	Marathonbet 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	+5.3%	✓ Hit
Home under 2.5 2H goals	91.6%	1.04	Betano 1.05	10Bet 1.03	-	-	-	+2.0%	✓ Hit
Under 5.5	90.0%	1.04	Bet365 1.05	Betano 1.05	Betfair 1.04	1xBet 1.04	-	+0.0%	✓ Hit
Home +2 handicap	89.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+7.1%	✓ Hit
Away under 1.5 2H goals	88.6%	1.13	Betano 1.16	10Bet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.11	1xBet 1.11	-	+7.0%	✓ Hit
Home under 3.5 goals	87.5%	1.04	Betano 1.06	Bet365 1.05	1xBet 1.01	-	-	-1.9%	✓ Hit
Away under 2.5 goals	86.8%	1.09	Betano 1.12	Bet365 1.11	10Bet 1.09	BetVictor 1.09	Superbet 1.08	+2.5%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 HT goals	86.2%	1.10	Bet365 1.11	Betano 1.11	William Hil 1.10	Betfair 1.10	Superbet 1.08	+1.9%	✓ Hit
Home over 0.5 goals	85.0%	1.20	Bet365 1.22	Betano 1.22	BetVictor 1.20	10Bet 1.20	Pinnacle 1.20	+7.9%	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	83.2%	1.22	Betano 1.25	Bet365 1.25	Pinnacle 1.25	10Bet 1.25	BetVictor 1.22	+7.8%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 HT goals	82.6%	1.11	Betano 1.13	10Bet 1.13	Marathonbet 1.09	1xBet 1.09	-	-0.1%	✓ Hit
Under 2.5 2H goals	80.3%	1.21	Betano 1.24	Bet365 1.22	William Hil 1.20	1xBet 1.19	Superbet 1.18	+3.8%	✓ Hit
Over 0.5 2H goals	79.3%	1.20	William Hil 1.22	Betano 1.21	10Bet 1.20	Bet365 1.20	Superbet 1.18	+2.2%	✓ Hit
Under 4.5	79.0%	1.12	Betano 1.15	Pinnacle 1.15	Bet365 1.14	Betfair 1.13	Superbet 1.11	-3.5%	✓ Hit
Home or Draw	75.9%	1.30	Betano 1.37	10Bet 1.35	BetVictor 1.33	Betfair 1.33	William Hil 1.33	+5.6%	✓ Hit
Home +1 handicap	75.9%	1.31	10Bet 1.35	Bet365 1.30	Marathonbet 1.28	-	-	+8.6%	✓ Hit
Home or Away	75.6%	1.25	William Hil 1.30	Betano 1.29	BetVictor 1.29	Superbet 1.27	Marathonbet 1.25	+2.4%	✓ Hit
Home under 1.5 2H goals	74.0%	1.21	Betano 1.25	1xBet 1.21	10Bet 1.20	Marathonbet 1.19	-	-1.9%	✓ Hit
Away over 0.5 goals	71.4%	1.32	Betano 1.34	Unibet 1.34	10Bet 1.33	Bet365 1.33	Pinnacle 1.32	+1.4%	✗ Miss
Home under 2.5 goals	70.4%	1.19	Betano 1.22	Pinnacle 1.20	Bet365 1.20	10Bet 1.18	1xBet 1.18	-7.5%	✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (31)

€14m

OL (27)

€12m

MAR (26)

€10m

KOP (27)

€8m

RAD (21)

€5m

MUR (23)

€5m

BRA (19)

€4m

ALU (24)

€4m

BRI (24)

€3m

NAF (18)

€2m

Bravo and Mura have a similar squad value (both €4m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (12)

€7m

OL (11)

€6m

MAR (10)

€5m

KOP (10)

€3m

RAD (7)

€2m

MUR (8)

€2m

ALU (9)

€2m

BRA (5)

€1m

NAF (8)

€1m

BRI (7)

€1m

Bravo and Mura have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KOP (7)

€2m

MAR (6)

€2m

CEL (4)

€1m

MUR (5)

€1m

BRA (6)

€1m

BRI (7)

€1m

OL (3)

€1m

RAD (5)

€1m

ALU (5)

€1m

NAF (2)

€0m

Bravo and Mura have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (15)

€6m

OL (13)

€5m

MAR (10)

€3m

KOP (10)

€3m

MUR (10)

€2m

RAD (9)

€2m

BRA (8)

€2m

ALU (10)

€2m

BRI (10)

€1m

NAF (8)

€1m

Bravo and Mura have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings

BRA wins

Draws

MUR wins

Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Mura · H/A from BRA

Date	H/A	Game	Score
11/04/26	A	Mura Vs BRA	1-2
03/02/26	H	BRA Vs Mura	0-2
04/10/25	A	Mura Vs BRA	1-1
26/07/25	H	BRA Vs Mura	2-0
28/04/25	H	BRA Vs Mura	1-1
02/03/25	A	Mura Vs BRA	1-1
03/11/24	H	BRA Vs Mura	2-1
17/08/24	A	Mura Vs BRA	2-3

Bravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
23/08/26	A	Maribor Vs BRA	3-1
16/08/26	A	Koper Vs BRA	0-0
09/08/26	H	BRA Vs Brinje-Grosuplje	1-1
02/08/26	A	Radomlje Vs BRA	1-2
30/07/26	A	Shkendija Vs BRA	3-1
26/07/26	H	BRA Vs Nafta	0-3
18/07/26	A	Olimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA	0-2
23/05/26	H	BRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana	2-1
09/05/26	H	BRA Vs Radomlje	2-1
02/05/26	A	Celje Vs BRA	2-3

Mura

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
22/08/26	H	MUR Vs Koper	0-1
16/08/26	A	Brinje-Grosuplje Vs MUR	1-2
10/08/26	H	MUR Vs Radomlje	1-3
01/08/26	A	Nafta Vs MUR	5-2
25/07/26	H	MUR Vs Olimpija Ljubljana	1-0
17/07/26	A	Celje Vs MUR	2-2
22/05/26	A	Radomlje Vs MUR	3-2
17/05/26	H	MUR Vs Maribor	2-1
10/05/26	A	Primorje Vs MUR	0-2
03/05/26	H	MUR Vs Koper	0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LWDDL	1.60
Home	WWWLD	1.62
Away	WLWDL	1.58

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	46%	46%
AVG goals	3.02	2.88	3.15
Over 1.5 %	84%	92%	77%
Over 2.5 %	64%	62%	65%
Over 3.5 %	32%	21%	42%
Scored	1.58	1.50	1.65
Conceded	1.44	1.38	1.50
BTTS	60%	58%	62%
Clean Sheet	24%	25%	23%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Mura

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WLLWL	0.80
Home	LWWLL	1.12
Away	WLDLW	0.50

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	20%	29%	12%
AVG goals	2.74	2.38	3.08
Over 1.5 %	78%	75%	81%
Over 2.5 %	52%	46%	58%
Over 3.5 %	26%	21%	31%
Scored	1.00	1.04	0.96
Conceded	1.74	1.33	2.12
BTTS	50%	50%	50%
Clean Sheet	14%	21%	8%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 17. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Maribor	7	15	57%	2.1	13	5	+8	2.6	86%	43%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	5	2	3	1.9	0.7	-
2	Koper	7	12	43%	1.7	7	5	+2	1.7	57%	14%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	8	3	2	3	1.0	0.7	-
3	Celje	6	11	50%	1.8	10	8	+2	3.0	83%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	14	7	1	6	1.7	1.3	-
4	Bravo	7	11	43%	1.6	8	8	+0	2.3	86%	43%	14%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	1	1	2	1.1	1.1	-
5	Aluminij	7	8	29%	1.1	8	8	+0	2.3	57%	29%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	4	2	1	2	1.1	1.1	-
6	Brinje-Grosuplje	7	8	29%	1.1	11	12	-1	3.3	100%	57%	29%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	3	1	1	1	1.6	1.7	-
7	Olimpija Ljubljana	7	8	29%	1.1	3	5	-2	1.1	29%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	5	0.4	0.7	-
8	Nafta	7	7	29%	1.0	12	12	+0	3.4	86%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	2	1	0	1	1.7	1.7	-
9	Mura	7	7	29%	1.0	8	14	-6	3.1	71%	57%	43%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.1	2.0	-
10	Radomlje	6	5	17%	0.8	7	10	-3	2.8	83%	67%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	5	2	1	2	1.2	1.7	-

Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches

Bravo vs Mura Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bravo

Mura

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bravo

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Mura

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Bravo

Mura

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bravo

Mura

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bravo

Mura

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

Head-to-head

Bravo

Mura

📊 16. Overall Statistics

🏆 17. League Table

A Pro feature