Bravo vs Nafta Result & Analysis

Date: 26/07/2026

Time: 16:00

Final 0-3

Bravo

49%

28%

23%

■ Home ■ Draw ■ Away

Nafta

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Referee: -

Match preview & prediction

In this Slovenia: 1. SNL match between Bravo and Nafta, the model predicts a home win, with Bravo favoured to come out on top. Recent form suggests that Bravo is coming off a draw, while Nafta has just suffered a defeat.

The probabilities stand at 49% for a home win, 28% for a draw, and 23% for an away win. The expected total goals is 2.5, with the most likely total being 2 goals. The most likely score is 1-1, with a probability of 13.3%.

At home, Bravo scores an average of 1.67 goals and concedes 1.44, while Nafta scores 1.57 goals and concedes 0.71 when away to an opponent of similar strength.

The model's selections include Under 3.5 at 75.4%, Over 1.5 at 72.8%, and Over 21.5 fouls at 70.9%. The home win percentage is 49%, the draw percentage is 28%, and the away win percentage is 23%.

Results analysis

The away team, Nafta, pulled off a stunning upset with a 0-3 win over the home team, Bravo, on a day when form told us otherwise. Bravo was coming off a draw and had been in decent form at home, having averaged 1.67 goals scored and 1.44 conceded in their last few matches. However, Nafta's away form was not as strong, having averaged 1.57 goals scored and 0.71 conceded, but they showed no signs of weakness in this match. The pre-match favourite, a Home win, was wrong, with the model's selection carrying a 49% probability of success. The model's selection was incorrect. The model's selection of Under 3.5 goals hit, as did Over 1.5 goals, with probabilities of 75.4% and 72.8% respectively.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✗ Miss

49.2%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Draw✗ Miss

28.0%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

Nafta win✓ Hit

22.7%

Avg Implied -

Best 5 market prices

No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bravo

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

2.8

Avg scored

2.0

Avg conceded

0.8

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.80	1.43	1.67	1.53	1.93	1.33
vs Stronger (12)	1.58	1.33	1.67	1.67	1.50	1.00
vs Similar (18)	1.94	1.50	1.67	1.44	2.22	1.56
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
Clean sheet %	23% (-3pp vs league)

This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nafta

Last 10 – goals for & against

Avg total

1.9

Avg scored

1.2

Avg conceded

0.7

Split	Total Scored	Total Conceded	Home Scored	Home Conceded	Away Scored	Away Conceded
Avg goals/game	1.97	0.77	2.13	0.87	1.80	0.67
vs Stronger (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-
vs Similar (15)	1.47	0.80	1.38	0.88	1.57	0.71
vs Weaker (15)	2.47	0.73	3.00	0.86	2.00	0.62
Clean sheet %	40% (+14pp vs league)

This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).

Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over

Over 1.5

72.8%

Under 1.5

27.2%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over

Over 2.5

46.1%

Under 2.5

53.9%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under

Over 3.5

24.6%

Under 3.5

75.4%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Both teams to scoreActual: No

Yes

50.2%

49.8%

Best 5 market prices

Yes

No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).

1-1

13.3%

1-0

11.2%

2-0

9.6%

2-1

9.4%

0-0

9.3%

0-1

6.7%

1-2

5.9%

3-0

4.9%

Bravo goals ↓

	Nafta goals →
	0	1	2	3	4
0	9.3%	6.7%	3.8%	1.2%	0.3%
1	11%	13%	5.9%	1.9%	0.5%
2	9.6%	9.4%	4.6%	1.5%	0.4%
3	4.9%	4.8%	2.3%	0.8%	0.2%
4	1.9%	1.9%	0.9%	0.3%	0.1%

Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Nafta goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game

Celje

2.18

Nafta

2.00

Koper

1.97

Bravo

1.82

Maribor

1.61

Olimpija Ljubljana

1.58

Radomlje

1.32

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.26

Aluminij

1.06

Mura

0.91

Bravo is 0.18 points worse than Nafta in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 2.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game

Celje

2.50

Koper

2.09

Bravo

1.82

Maribor

1.73

Radomlje

1.47

Olimpija Ljubljana

1.42

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.25

Aluminij

1.24

Mura

1.03

Nafta

0.50

Bravo is 1.32 goals better than Nafta in terms of goals scored per game (1.82 vs 0.50).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better

Nafta

0.00

Celje

0.94

Olimpija Ljubljana

1.21

Maribor

1.21

Koper

1.26

Bravo

1.50

Brinje-Grosuplje

1.61

Mura

1.62

Aluminij

1.79

Radomlje

1.85

Bravo is 1.50 goals worse than Nafta in terms of goals conceded per game (1.50 vs 0.00).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.

Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bravo

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Nafta

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

Bravo

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (17)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (33)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (0)	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Nafta) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Nafta

Split	Corners			Cards			Fouls
Split	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy	Tot	Hme	Awy
Overall (50)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Stronger (6)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Similar (21)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
vs Weaker (23)	-	-	-	0.0	0.0	0.0	-	-	-
% over line	-	-	-	0%	0%	0%	-	-	-
% under line	-	-	-	100%	100%	100%	-	-	-

This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game

Mura

11.1

Aluminij

10.1

Olimpija Ljubljana

9.7

Bravo

9.6

Celje

9.2

Koper

9.2

Maribor

9.0

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game

Aluminij

5.0

Celje

4.8

Maribor

4.7

Olimpija Ljubljana

4.7

Mura

4.2

Koper

4.0

Bravo

3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game

Aluminij

27.0

Maribor

25.2

Olimpija Ljubljana

25.2

Koper

24.9

Bravo

24.7

Celje

24.7

Mura

24.2

Corners O/U 9.5

Over 9.5

53.2%

Under 9.5

46.8%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Cards O/U 3.5

Over 3.5

58.3%

Under 3.5

41.7%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

Fouls O/U 21.5

Over 21.5

70.9%

Under 21.5

29.1%

Best 5 market prices

Over

No market prices yet.

Under

No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Under 3.5	75.4%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 1.5	72.8%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls	70.9%	-	-	-	-	-	-	-	-

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (31)

€14m

OL (27)

€12m

MAR (26)

€10m

KOP (27)

€8m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (12)

€7m

OL (11)

€6m

MAR (10)

€5m

KOP (10)

€3m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

KOP (7)

€2m

MAR (6)

€2m

CEL (4)

€1m

OL (3)

€1m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)

CEL (15)

€6m

OL (13)

€5m

MAR (10)

€3m

KOP (10)

€3m

No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Nafta · H/A from BRA

Date	H/A	Game	Score
02/05/25	A	Nafta Vs BRA	0-1
08/03/25	H	BRA Vs Nafta	1-1
09/11/24	A	Nafta Vs BRA	0-1
26/08/24	H	BRA Vs Nafta	2-0

Bravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
18/07/26	A	Olimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA	0-2
23/05/26	H	BRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana	2-1
09/05/26	H	BRA Vs Radomlje	2-1
02/05/26	A	Celje Vs BRA	2-3
26/04/26	H	BRA Vs Maribor	3-0
19/04/26	A	Aluminij Vs BRA	0-1
15/04/26	H	BRA Vs Primorje	2-1
11/04/26	A	Mura Vs BRA	1-2
04/04/26	H	BRA Vs Koper	1-1
21/03/26	A	Olimpija Ljubljana Vs BRA	1-2

Nafta

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result

Date	H/A	Game	Score
17/07/26	H	NAF Vs Koper	0-2
31/05/26	H	NAF Vs Primorje	1-0
27/05/26	A	Primorje Vs NAF	0-0
22/05/26	H	NAF Vs Triglav	1-1
17/05/26	A	Brinje-Grosuplje Vs NAF	2-1
10/05/26	H	NAF Vs Beltinci	2-1
06/05/26	A	Bilje Vs NAF	0-1
30/04/26	A	Ilirija Vs NAF	0-2
25/04/26	H	NAF Vs Bistrica	2-1
17/04/26	A	Tabor Sežana Vs NAF	0-2

📊 9. Overall Statistics

Bravo

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Draws / 0 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	WWWWW	1.62
Home	DWWWW	1.72
Away	WWWWW	1.52

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	46%	48%	44%
AVG goals	3.06	3.00	3.12
Over 1.5 %	86%	92%	80%
Over 2.5 %	62%	64%	60%
Over 3.5 %	30%	24%	36%
Scored	1.62	1.64	1.60
Conceded	1.44	1.36	1.52
BTTS	60%	64%	56%
Clean Sheet	22%	24%	20%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

Nafta

Slovenia: 1. SNL

Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses

Form	Results	PPG
Overall	LDDWL	1.94
Home	WWDWL	2.08
Away	WWWLD	1.79

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Win %	56%	62%	50%
AVG goals	2.98	3.42	2.50
Over 1.5 %	84%	88%	79%
Over 2.5 %	48%	62%	33%
Over 3.5 %	32%	38%	25%
Scored	1.76	2.04	1.46
Conceded	1.22	1.38	1.04
BTTS	60%	77%	42%
Clean Sheet	32%	15%	50%
Corners	-	-	-
Cards	-	-	-

🏆 10. League Table

Record						Goals							Props / game						Squad value €m				Strengths
Rank	Team	MP	Pts	Win%	PPG	GF	GA	GD	G/G	O1.5	O2.5	O3.5	Cor	Cor O%	Crd	Crd O%	Fls	Fls O%	Tot	Att	Mid	Def	Att/g	Def/g	Poss%
1	Maribor	5	9	40%	1.8	7	2	+5	1.8	80%	20%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	10	5	2	3	1.4	0.4	-
2	Celje	4	8	50%	2.0	7	4	+3	2.8	75%	50%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	14	7	1	6	1.8	1.0	-
3	Nafta	5	7	40%	1.4	10	8	+2	3.6	100%	60%	40%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	2.0	1.6	-
4	Bravo	4	7	50%	1.8	5	5	+0	2.5	100%	50%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.2	1.2	-
5	Koper	4	5	25%	1.2	5	5	+0	2.5	100%	25%	25%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	8	3	2	3	1.2	1.2	-
6	Brinje-Grosuplje	4	5	25%	1.2	4	5	-1	2.2	100%	25%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.0	1.2	-
7	Radomlje	4	4	25%	1.0	6	7	-1	3.2	100%	75%	50%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	1.8	-
8	Olimpija Ljubljana	5	4	20%	0.8	2	5	-3	1.4	40%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	12	6	1	5	0.4	1.0	-
9	Mura	4	4	25%	1.0	6	10	-4	4.0	75%	75%	75%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	1.5	2.5	-
10	Aluminij	3	2	0%	0.7	1	2	-1	1.0	33%	0%	0%	-	0%	-	0%	-	0%	0	0	0	0	0.3	0.7	-

Slovenia: 1. SNL 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

← all matches

Bravo vs Nafta Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bravo

Nafta

Total goals distribution

Correct score

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

⚔️ Attack

🛡️ Defense

⏱️ Possession

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Bravo

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Nafta

🚩 Corners

🟨 Cards

⚠️ Fouls

Bravo

Nafta

🚩 Total Corners

🟨 Total Cards

⚠️ Total Fouls

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

🔥 6. Top picks for this game

💰 7. Squad value

💰 Total value

⚔️ Attack

🧠 Midfield

🛡️ Defence

🤝 8. Games History

Head-to-head

Bravo

Nafta

📊 9. Overall Statistics

🏆 10. League Table

A Pro feature