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Bravo vs Radomlje Result & Analysis

Date: 05/11/2023
Time: 12:00
Final 0-2
Bravo
Bravo
Vs
43%
29%
28%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Referee: -

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bravo win✗ Miss
43.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Radomlje win✓ Hit
27.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BravoBravo

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L21W20W11D42W02L32W12L21W11DH·KOP18/08A·RAD27/08H·ALU02/09A·MUR16/09H·OLI23/09A·ROG27/09H·NK 30/09A·CEL07/10H·MAR22/10A·KOP28/10
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.131.401.271.331.001.47
vs Stronger (3)0.672.330.003.001.002.00
vs Similar (27)1.191.301.361.211.001.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-10pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W12L11D31W01L13L11D11D20W11DA·MUR19/08H·BRA27/08A·ROG03/09H·NK 17/09A·CEL23/09A·MAR28/09H·KOP01/10A·OLI08/10A·ALU22/10H·MUR29/10
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.071.071.201.130.93
vs Stronger (13)0.771.540.831.830.711.29
vs Similar (17)1.350.711.220.781.500.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %23% (-3pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%13%20%27%9%018%127%222%314%47%54%6+
The model estimates around 2.5 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
73.3%
Under 1.5
26.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
46.6%
Under 2.5
53.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
25.1%
Under 3.5
74.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
52.2%
No
47.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.8%
1-0
10.1%
0-0
9.1%
2-1
9.0%
2-0
8.1%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.9%
2-2
5.0%
Bravo goals ↓
Radomlje goals →
01234
09.1%7.5%4.8%1.8%0.5%
110%14%6.9%2.6%0.7%
28.1%9.0%5.0%1.8%0.5%
33.9%4.3%2.4%0.9%0.2%
41.4%1.5%0.8%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bravo goals (down), columns = Radomlje goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Celje
2.19
Maribor
1.94
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.78
Bravo
1.39
Koper
1.33
NK Domzale
1.19
Mura
1.11
Rogaška
1.00
Radomlje
0.92
Aluminij
0.86
Bravo is 0.47 points better than Radomlje in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 0.92).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Celje
2.08
Maribor
1.92
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.92
NK Domzale
1.44
Koper
1.42
Bravo
1.17
Mura
1.08
Rogaška
1.03
Aluminij
1.03
Radomlje
0.92
Bravo is 0.25 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals scored per game (1.17 vs 0.92).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Maribor
0.89
Celje
0.94
Bravo
1.17
Olimpija Ljubljana
1.22
Koper
1.36
Radomlje
1.42
Mura
1.58
NK Domzale
1.67
Rogaška
1.78
Aluminij
1.97
Bravo is 0.25 goals better than Radomlje in terms of goals conceded per game (1.17 vs 1.42).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Olimpija Ljubljana
62%
Maribor
59%
Koper
56%
Aluminij
46%
Mura
46%
NK Domzale
44%
Celje
41%
Bravo
41%
Not enough data to compare these two teams.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BravoBravo

For 5.6 · Against 5.5 · Total 11.1

🚩 Corners

150104574696464546846526141210151091012118A·KOPH·MARA·CELH·NK H·OLIA·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MARA·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 1.9 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

60122412211133224213243224563A·KOPH·MARA·CELH·NK H·OLIA·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MARA·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 11.3 · Total 21.9

⚠️ Fouls

26012141279166115131581412119118111526192517182326201926A·KOPH·MARA·CELH·NK H·OLIA·MURH·ALUH·KOPA·MARA·NK
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

RadomljeRadomlje

🚩 Corners

No recent corners data for this league.

🟨 Cards

No recent cards data for this league.

⚠️ Fouls

No recent fouls data for this league.

BravoBravo

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (49)9.49.99.02.52.22.825.825.725.9
vs Stronger (5)9.58.010.03.02.03.725.025.025.0
vs Similar (44)9.410.08.82.52.32.725.925.726.1
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line48%56%41%35%29%40%73%56%88%
% under line52%44%59%65%71%60%27%44%12%
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (49)---0.00.00.0---
vs Stronger (22)---0.00.00.0---
vs Similar (27)---0.00.00.0---
vs Weaker (0)---------
% over line---0%0%0%---
% under line---100%100%100%---
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Mura
10.8
Aluminij
10.3
Celje
9.9
Olimpija Ljubljana
9.7
Koper
9.7
Bravo
9.4
NK Domzale
9.4
Maribor
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aluminij
5.1
NK Domzale
4.8
Maribor
4.7
Olimpija Ljubljana
4.7
Mura
4.2
Koper
4.1
Celje
4.0
Bravo
3.8

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
NK Domzale
26.8
Aluminij
26.3
Olimpija Ljubljana
26.2
Bravo
25.8
Maribor
25.6
Mura
25.4
Koper
24.5
Celje
23.7
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
58.6%
Under 9.5
41.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
53.3%
Under 3.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
72.8%
Under 21.5
27.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L20W10W01L12L01L22D11D00D01LH·KOP18/08A·RAD27/08H·ALU02/09A·MUR16/09H·OLI23/09A·ROG27/09H·NK 30/09A·CEL07/10H·MAR22/10A·KOP28/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.700.400.730.470.67
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.410.670.430.710.380.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-320W02L11D31W01L10W00D11D10W01LA·MUR19/08H·BRA27/08A·ROG03/09H·NK 17/09A·CEL23/09A·MAR28/09H·KOP01/10A·OLI08/10A·ALU22/10H·MUR29/10
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.670.470.870.600.47
vs Stronger (13)0.380.770.331.000.430.57
vs Similar (17)0.650.590.560.780.750.38
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %43% (+17pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BravoBravo

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-302L01L10W10W30W01L10W01L21W10WH·KOP18/08A·RAD27/08H·ALU02/09A·MUR16/09H·OLI23/09A·ROG27/09H·NK 30/09A·CEL07/10H·MAR22/10A·KOP28/10
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.700.870.600.530.80
vs Stronger (3)0.001.330.002.000.001.00
vs Similar (27)0.780.630.930.500.620.77
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+20pp vs league)
This opponent (Radomlje) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

RadomljeRadomlje

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D10W00D00D00D03L11D00D10W10WA·MUR19/08H·BRA27/08A·ROG03/09H·NK 17/09A·CEL23/09A·MAR28/09H·KOP01/10A·OLI08/10A·ALU22/10H·MUR29/10
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.400.600.330.530.47
vs Stronger (13)0.380.770.500.830.290.71
vs Similar (17)0.710.120.670.000.750.25
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %73% (+47pp vs league)
This opponent (Bravo) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bravo over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bravo over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Radomlje over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls84.9%--------
Under 5.5 cards81.0%--------
Under 3.574.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards73.7%--------
Over 1.573.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls72.8%--------
Over 8.5 corners70.6%--------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (31)
€14m
OL (27)
€12m
MAR (26)
€10m
KOP (27)
€8m
RAD (21)
€5m
MUR (23)
€5m
BRA (19)
€4m
ALU (24)
€4m
NAF (18)
€2m
Bravo's squad is €1m less valuable than Radomlje's (€4m vs €5m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (12)
€7m
OL (11)
€6m
MAR (10)
€5m
KOP (10)
€3m
RAD (7)
€2m
MUR (8)
€2m
ALU (9)
€2m
BRA (5)
€1m
NAF (8)
€1m
Bravo and Radomlje have a similar attack value (both €1m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
KOP (7)
€2m
MAR (6)
€2m
CEL (4)
€1m
MUR (5)
€1m
BRA (6)
€1m
OL (3)
€1m
RAD (5)
€1m
ALU (5)
€1m
NAF (2)
€0m
Bravo and Radomlje have a similar midfield value (both €1m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CEL (15)
€6m
OL (13)
€5m
MAR (10)
€3m
KOP (10)
€3m
MUR (10)
€2m
RAD (9)
€2m
BRA (8)
€2m
ALU (10)
€2m
NAF (8)
€1m
Bravo and Radomlje have a similar defence value (both €2m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
1
BRA wins
2
Draws
2
RAD wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bravo vs Radomlje · H/A from BRA
DateH/AGameScore
27/08/23ARadomlje Vs BRA1-2
14/05/23HBRA Vs Radomlje0-1
12/03/23ARadomlje Vs BRA3-1
12/11/22HBRA Vs Radomlje1-1
05/09/22ARadomlje Vs BRA1-1

BravoBravo

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/10/23AKoper Vs BRA1-1
22/10/23HBRA Vs Maribor2-1
07/10/23ACelje Vs BRA2-1
30/09/23HBRA Vs NK Domzale3-2
27/09/23ARogaška Vs BRA2-0
23/09/23HBRA Vs Olimpija Ljubljana4-2
16/09/23AMura Vs BRA1-1
02/09/23HBRA Vs Aluminij2-0
27/08/23ARadomlje Vs BRA1-2
18/08/23HBRA Vs Koper0-3

RadomljeRadomlje

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/10/23HRAD Vs Mura1-1
22/10/23AAluminij Vs RAD0-2
08/10/23AOlimpija Ljubljana Vs RAD1-1
01/10/23HRAD Vs Koper1-1
28/09/23AMaribor Vs RAD3-1
23/09/23ACelje Vs RAD1-0
17/09/23HRAD Vs NK Domzale3-1
03/09/23ARogaška Vs RAD1-1
27/08/23HRAD Vs Bravo1-2
19/08/23AMura Vs RAD0-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bravo
Bravo
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 5 Wins / 2 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLWD1.16
HomeLWWWW1.62
AwayWDLLD0.72
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %31%50%12%
AVG goals2.292.462.12
Over 1.5 %69%67%72%
Over 2.5 %37%38%36%
Over 3.5 %14%17%12%
Scored1.081.380.80
Conceded1.201.081.32
BTTS45%38%52%
Clean Sheet22%29%16%
Corners9.429.889.00
Cards3.763.384.12
Radomlje
Radomlje
Slovenia: 1. SNL
Recent: 3 Wins / 4 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDDWD1.16
HomeLLWDD1.12
AwayDLLDW1.20
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %27%21%32%
AVG goals2.432.252.60
Over 1.5 %80%79%80%
Over 2.5 %41%33%48%
Over 3.5 %18%21%16%
Scored0.980.921.04
Conceded1.451.331.56
BTTS55%54%56%
Clean Sheet20%21%20%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1CeljeCelje3679
67%
2.2
7534+41
3.0
86%
61%
42%
9.8
55%
3.9
55%
21.8
60%
14
7162.10.9
41%
2MariborMaribor3670
56%
1.9
6932+37
2.8
81%
58%
31%
8.8
42%
4.4
68%
24.3
68%
10
5231.90.9
59%
3Olimpija LjubljanaOlimpija Ljubljana3664
50%
1.8
6944+25
3.1
81%
56%
42%
9.9
74%
4.1
53%
24.0
61%
12
6151.91.2
62%
4BravoBravo3650
33%
1.4
4242+0
2.3
83%
36%
14%
10.8
68%
3.6
53%
21.3
47%
4
1121.21.2
41%
5KoperKoper3648
33%
1.3
5149+2
2.8
78%
56%
31%
9.1
53%
3.9
59%
26.1
81%
8
3231.41.4
56%
6NK DomzaleNK Domzale3643
36%
1.2
5260-8
3.1
86%
64%
36%
11.3
74%
3.8
53%
24.3
58%
0
0001.41.7
44%
7MuraMura3640
28%
1.1
3957-18
2.7
78%
44%
33%
11.4
74%
3.7
53%
21.6
53%
5
2121.11.6
46%
8RogaškaRogaška3636
28%
1.0
3764-27
2.8
78%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.8
-
9RadomljeRadomlje3633
19%
0.9
3351-18
2.3
78%
36%
22%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
5
2120.91.4
-
10AluminijAluminij3631
22%
0.9
3771-34
3.0
78%
53%
39%
10.1
65%
4.8
70%
26.4
75%
4
2121.02.0
46%
11NaftaNafta00
0%
0.0
00+0
-
0%
0%
0%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
2
1010.00.0
-
Slovenia: 1. SNL 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Slovenia: 1. SNL stats & trends →

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