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Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town Result & Analysis

Date: 05/09/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 3-1
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Vs
66%
21%
14%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bray Wanderers win✓ Hit
65.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
20.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town win✗ Miss
13.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-413L40W10W20W21W32W22D02L10W23LH·UCD23/06A·ATH27/06H·WEX04/07H·DUN11/07A·LON26/07H·TRE01/08A·FIN04/08H·COB08/08A·WEX22/08A·UCD29/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.8
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.671.402.001.401.331.40
vs Stronger (15)1.471.271.621.381.291.14
vs Similar (12)1.831.582.171.331.501.83
vs Weaker (3)2.001.334.002.001.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-623L04L12L00D22D04L12L16L12L03LA·LON23/06H·BRA27/06A·COB04/07A·WEX11/07H·TRE25/07A·KER01/08H·UCD04/08A·DUN08/08A·FIN22/08H·COB29/08
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
2.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.771.930.791.860.752.00
vs Stronger (16)0.811.751.001.570.671.89
vs Similar (14)0.712.140.572.140.862.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %17% (-9pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%22%5%011%122%222%318%411%510%6+
The model estimates around 3.2 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
83.7%
Under 1.5
16.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
61.9%
Under 2.5
38.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
39.7%
Under 3.5
60.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
55.9%
No
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
2-0
10.3%
2-1
9.8%
1-1
9.6%
1-0
8.3%
3-0
7.7%
3-1 ✓
7.3%
0-0
5.0%
2-2
4.7%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Athlone Town goals →
01234
05.0%3.0%1.9%0.6%0.1%
18.3%9.6%4.2%1.3%0.3%
210%9.8%4.7%1.5%0.4%
37.7%7.3%3.5%1.1%0.3%
44.3%4.1%2.0%0.6%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Athlone Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dundalk
2.19
Cobh Ramblers
1.89
Bray Wanderers
1.82
UCD
1.51
Treaty United
1.31
Wexford
1.26
Longford Town
1.25
Finn Harps
1.00
Kerry
1.00
Athlone Town
0.56
Bray Wanderers is 1.26 points better than Athlone Town in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 0.56).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dundalk
2.06
Cobh Ramblers
1.87
Bray Wanderers
1.74
Treaty United
1.33
UCD
1.32
Wexford
1.20
Longford Town
1.19
Finn Harps
1.17
Kerry
1.11
Athlone Town
0.81
Bray Wanderers is 0.94 goals better than Athlone Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 0.81).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dundalk
0.86
Cobh Ramblers
1.03
UCD
1.19
Treaty United
1.28
Wexford
1.37
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.58
Kerry
1.61
Longford Town
1.64
Athlone Town
1.92
Bray Wanderers is 0.51 goals better than Athlone Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.92).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W10W10W11D01L01L02L10W22DH·UCD23/06A·ATH27/06H·WEX04/07H·DUN11/07A·LON26/07H·TRE01/08A·FIN04/08H·COB08/08A·WEX22/08A·UCD29/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.800.800.800.800.80
vs Stronger (15)0.800.870.621.001.000.71
vs Similar (12)0.750.830.830.670.671.00
vs Weaker (3)1.000.332.000.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W02L02L00D20W03L11D12L01L03LA·LON23/06H·BRA27/06A·COB04/07A·WEX11/07H·TRE25/07A·KER01/08H·UCD04/08A·DUN08/08A·FIN22/08H·COB29/08
Avg total
2.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.400.900.290.860.500.94
vs Stronger (16)0.440.810.290.860.560.78
vs Similar (14)0.361.000.290.860.431.14
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D20W00D10W10W31W21W00D00D01LH·UCD23/06A·ATH27/06H·WEX04/07H·DUN11/07A·LON26/07H·TRE01/08A·FIN04/08H·COB08/08A·WEX22/08A·UCD29/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.601.200.600.530.60
vs Stronger (15)0.670.401.000.380.290.43
vs Similar (12)1.080.751.330.670.830.83
vs Weaker (3)1.001.002.002.000.500.50
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Athlone Town) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-402L02L10W00D02L01L01L04L11D00DA·LON23/06H·BRA27/06A·COB04/07A·WEX11/07H·TRE25/07A·KER01/08H·UCD04/08A·DUN08/08A·FIN22/08H·COB29/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.2
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.371.030.501.000.251.06
vs Stronger (16)0.380.940.710.710.111.11
vs Similar (14)0.361.140.291.290.431.00
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Athlone Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.583.7%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (20)
€3m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Athlone Town have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (3)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Athlone Town have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (6)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Athlone Town have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (11)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
6
BW wins
1
Draws
1
AT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers vs Athlone Town · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
27/06/25AAthlone Town Vs BW0-4
16/05/25HBW Vs Athlone Town3-1
04/04/25AAthlone Town Vs BW0-1
02/11/24HBW Vs Athlone Town2-2
23/08/24AAthlone Town Vs BW0-1
13/06/24HBW Vs Athlone Town1-0
10/05/24AAthlone Town Vs BW2-1
05/04/24HBW Vs Athlone Town3-0

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25AUCD Vs BW3-2
22/08/25AWexford Vs BW0-1
08/08/25HBW Vs Cobh Ramblers0-2
04/08/25AFinn Harps Vs BW2-2
01/08/25HBW Vs Treaty United3-2
26/07/25ALongford Town Vs BW1-2
11/07/25HBW Vs Dundalk2-0
04/07/25HBW Vs Wexford1-0
27/06/25AAthlone Town Vs BW0-4
23/06/25HBW Vs UCD1-3

Athlone TownAthlone Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
29/08/25HAT Vs Cobh Ramblers0-3
22/08/25AFinn Harps Vs AT2-1
08/08/25ADundalk Vs AT6-1
04/08/25HAT Vs UCD1-2
01/08/25AKerry Vs AT4-0
25/07/25HAT Vs Treaty United2-2
11/07/25AWexford Vs AT0-0
04/07/25ACobh Ramblers Vs AT2-1
27/06/25HAT Vs Bray Wanderers0-4
23/06/25ALongford Town Vs AT3-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDLWL1.60
HomeLWWWL1.92
AwayWWDWL1.28
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%60%36%
AVG goals2.843.242.44
Over 1.5 %72%84%60%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %38%52%24%
Scored1.542.001.08
Conceded1.301.241.36
BTTS48%56%40%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners---
Cards---
Athlone Town
Athlone Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 0 Wins / 2 Draws / 8 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLLL0.94
HomeDLDLL1.04
AwayLDLLL0.85
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%25%19%
AVG goals2.662.922.42
Over 1.5 %70%67%73%
Over 2.5 %52%58%46%
Over 3.5 %30%42%19%
Scored1.001.210.81
Conceded1.661.711.62
BTTS52%54%50%
Clean Sheet20%21%19%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundalkDundalk3679
64%
2.2
7431+43
2.9
72%
53%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0122.10.9
-
2Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3872
58%
1.9
7139+32
2.9
82%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3971
59%
1.8
6855+13
3.2
79%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
4UCDUCD3756
43%
1.5
4944+5
2.5
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3951
36%
1.3
5250+2
2.6
72%
46%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
6Longford TownLongford Town3645
33%
1.2
4359-16
2.8
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
7WexfordWexford3544
34%
1.3
4248-6
2.6
71%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Finn HarpsFinn Harps3636
22%
1.0
4257-15
2.8
75%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
9KerryKerry3636
25%
1.0
4058-18
2.7
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Athlone TownAthlone Town3620
8%
0.6
2969-40
2.7
75%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Ireland: First Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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