Bray Wanderers are tipped to win, with a 51% chance of triumph, a 23% chance of a draw and a 26% chance of a Cobh Ramblers victory. The model picks a home win as the most likely outcome. The expected total is 3.5 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 10% probability. Bray’s home form shows they average 2.5 goals scored and 1.17 conceded against similar opposition, while Cobh’s away numbers are 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded. The suggested selections are: Under 7.5 (97.5%), Away under 3.5 goals (94.5%), Under 6.5 (93.8%), Home +2 handicap (88.3%), Home over 0.5 goals (87.0%), Over 1.5 (86.8%), Under 5.5 (86.3%) and Home under 3.5 goals (85.0%). Bray’s recent form shows a 2-game losing streak, while Cobh come off a draw.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Bray Wanderers win
50.9%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
23.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers win
25.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Bray Wanderers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.90
1.60
2.27
1.40
1.53
1.80
vs Stronger (14)
1.71
1.57
2.00
1.29
1.43
1.86
vs Similar (13)
2.08
1.46
2.50
1.17
1.71
1.71
vs Weaker (3)
2.00
2.33
2.50
2.50
1.00
2.00
Clean sheet %
27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cobh Ramblers
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.80
1.17
2.13
0.87
1.47
1.47
vs Stronger (11)
1.82
1.36
2.17
1.17
1.40
1.60
vs Similar (12)
2.00
0.92
2.29
0.71
1.60
1.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.43
1.29
1.50
0.50
1.40
1.60
Clean sheet %
30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.7%
Under 1.5
13.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.9%
Under 2.5
33.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
45.1%
Under 3.5
54.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
66.7%
No
33.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.1%
2-1
9.3%
2-2
6.6%
2-0
6.6%
1-2
6.5%
3-1
6.3%
1-0
5.6%
3-2
4.5%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Cobh Ramblers goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
4.1%
3.6%
3.2%
1.5%
0.5%
1
5.6%
10%
6.5%
3.1%
1.1%
2
6.6%
9.3%
6.6%
3.1%
1.1%
3
4.5%
6.3%
4.5%
2.1%
0.7%
4
2.3%
3.2%
2.3%
1.1%
0.4%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Cobh Ramblers goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Bray Wanderers is 0.14 points worse than Cobh Ramblers in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.43).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Bray Wanderers is 1.14 goals better than Cobh Ramblers in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Bray Wanderers is 0.43 goals worse than Cobh Ramblers in terms of goals conceded per game (1.86 vs 1.43).
⏱️ Possession
Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bray Wanderers or Draw
74.2%
Avg Implied -
51%
23%
26%
covers Bray Wanderers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers or Cobh Ramblers
76.7%
Avg Implied -
51%
23%
26%
covers Bray Wanderers + Cobh Ramblers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Cobh Ramblers
49.1%
Avg Implied -
51%
23%
26%
covers Draw + Cobh Ramblers
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
Home & Away Over/Under
How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5
Over
86.9%
Under
13.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5
Over
60.2%
Under
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5
Over
33.2%
Under
66.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 3.5
Over
14.8%
Under
85.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5
Over
75.7%
Under
24.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5
Over
41.3%
Under
58.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5
Over
17.0%
Under
83.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 3.5
Over
5.5%
Under
94.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⚖️ 7. Handicap
Handicap
The handicap is applied to Bray Wanderers, so a minus line means Bray Wanderers give that many goals of a start and Cobh Ramblers receive them. At -1, Bray Wanderers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bray Wanderers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers -2
14.7%
Draw -2
15.6%
Cobh Ramblers +2
69.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers -1
30.3%
Draw -1
20.6%
Cobh Ramblers +1
49.1%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers +1
74.2%
Draw +1
14.0%
Cobh Ramblers -1
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers +2
88.2%
Draw +2
7.6%
Cobh Ramblers -2
4.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Bray Wanderers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.93
0.80
0.73
0.73
1.13
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
1.07
0.86
0.71
0.86
1.43
vs Similar (13)
0.69
0.85
0.67
0.83
0.71
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
0.67
0.67
1.00
0.50
0.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cobh Ramblers
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
1.13
0.53
vs Stronger (11)
1.00
0.73
1.00
0.83
1.00
0.60
vs Similar (12)
1.33
0.33
1.29
0.43
1.40
0.20
vs Weaker (7)
1.00
0.57
1.00
0.00
1.00
0.80
Clean sheet %
57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Bray Wanderers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.13
0.67
1.47
0.67
0.80
0.67
vs Stronger (14)
0.86
0.50
1.14
0.57
0.57
0.43
vs Similar (13)
1.38
0.62
1.83
0.33
1.00
0.86
vs Weaker (3)
1.33
1.67
1.50
2.00
1.00
1.00
Clean sheet %
43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Cobh Ramblers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Cobh Ramblers
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.67
0.63
1.00
0.33
0.33
0.93
vs Stronger (11)
0.82
0.64
1.17
0.33
0.40
1.00
vs Similar (12)
0.67
0.58
1.00
0.29
0.20
1.00
vs Weaker (7)
0.43
0.71
0.50
0.50
0.40
0.80
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cobh Ramblers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Under 7.5
97.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 3.5 goals
94.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 6.5
93.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +2 handicap
88.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home over 0.5 goals
86.9%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Over 1.5
86.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 5.5
86.5%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home under 3.5 goals
85.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away under 2.5 goals
83.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Away
76.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Away over 0.5 goals
75.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home or Draw
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Home +1 handicap
74.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
Under 4.5
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Cobh Ramblers have a similar squad value (both €0m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Cobh Ramblers have a similar midfield value (both €0m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Cobh Ramblers have a similar defence value (both €0m).
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Kerry
Longford Town
Cork City
Athlone Town
UCD
Treaty United
Wexford
Finn Harps