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Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps Result & Analysis

Date: 30/05/2025
Time: 18:45
Final 3-1
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Vs
58%
23%
18%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bray Wanderers win✓ Hit
58.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
23.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps win✗ Miss
18.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W10W21W40W20W42W12L22D31W12LA·UCD31/03A·ATH04/04H·TRE11/04H·LON18/04H·UCD21/04H·KER25/04A·COB02/05A·DUN09/05H·ATH16/05H·WEX23/05
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.272.251.310.641.21
vs Stronger (16)1.191.191.751.500.620.88
vs Similar (11)1.731.552.671.170.602.00
vs Weaker (3)2.330.673.001.001.000.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-410W11D22D42W11D13L02L02L00D12LA·ATH28/03H·LON04/04A·WEX11/04H·KER18/04A·DUN21/04A·COB25/04H·TRE02/05H·ATH09/05A·LON17/05H·UCD23/05
Avg total
2.6
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.171.431.361.361.001.50
vs Stronger (13)0.771.380.801.400.751.38
vs Similar (17)1.471.471.671.331.251.62
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
59.5%
Under 2.5
40.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
37.1%
Under 3.5
62.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
57.7%
No
42.3%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
2-0
9.4%
1-0
8.3%
3-1 ✓
6.7%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
5.6%
2-2
5.3%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Finn Harps goals →
01234
05.6%3.9%2.6%0.9%0.2%
18.3%11%5.2%1.9%0.5%
29.4%9.9%5.3%1.9%0.5%
36.3%6.7%3.6%1.3%0.3%
43.2%3.4%1.8%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Finn Harps goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Dundalk
2.19
Cobh Ramblers
1.89
Bray Wanderers
1.82
UCD
1.51
Treaty United
1.31
Wexford
1.26
Longford Town
1.25
Finn Harps
1.00
Kerry
1.00
Athlone Town
0.56
Bray Wanderers is 0.82 points better than Finn Harps in terms of average points per game (1.82 vs 1.00).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Dundalk
2.06
Cobh Ramblers
1.87
Bray Wanderers
1.74
Treaty United
1.33
UCD
1.32
Wexford
1.20
Longford Town
1.19
Finn Harps
1.17
Kerry
1.11
Athlone Town
0.81
Bray Wanderers is 0.58 goals better than Finn Harps in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.17).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Dundalk
0.86
Cobh Ramblers
1.03
UCD
1.19
Treaty United
1.28
Wexford
1.37
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.58
Kerry
1.61
Longford Town
1.64
Athlone Town
1.92
Bray Wanderers is 0.17 goals better than Finn Harps in terms of goals conceded per game (1.41 vs 1.58).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W20W10W20W11D11D20W01LA·UCD31/03A·ATH04/04H·TRE11/04H·LON18/04H·UCD21/04H·KER25/04A·COB02/05A·DUN09/05H·ATH16/05H·WEX23/05
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.800.601.060.750.500.43
vs Stronger (16)0.620.690.751.120.500.25
vs Similar (11)0.910.641.330.500.400.80
vs Weaker (3)1.330.001.500.001.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D01L01L12L00D02L01L01L00D01LA·ATH28/03H·LON04/04A·WEX11/04H·KER18/04A·DUN21/04A·COB25/04H·TRE02/05H·ATH09/05A·LON17/05H·UCD23/05
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.630.640.790.310.50
vs Stronger (13)0.230.690.201.000.250.50
vs Similar (17)0.650.590.890.670.380.50
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D00D11D20W10W22D01L11D11D11DA·UCD31/03A·ATH04/04H·TRE11/04H·LON18/04H·UCD21/04H·KER25/04A·COB02/05A·DUN09/05H·ATH16/05H·WEX23/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.671.190.560.140.79
vs Stronger (16)0.560.501.000.380.120.62
vs Similar (11)0.820.911.330.670.201.20
vs Weaker (3)1.000.671.501.000.000.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Finn Harps) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-310W10W21W30W11D11D01L01L00D11DA·ATH28/03H·LON04/04A·WEX11/04H·KER18/04A·DUN21/04A·COB25/04H·TRE02/05H·ATH09/05A·LON17/05H·UCD23/05
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.800.710.570.691.00
vs Stronger (13)0.540.690.600.400.500.88
vs Similar (17)0.820.880.780.670.881.12
vs Weaker (0)------
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Finn Harps over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.582.2%-------✓ Hit

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (20)
€3m
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps have a similar squad value (both €0m).

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (3)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps have a similar attack value (both €0m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (6)
€1m
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
Bray Wanderers and Finn Harps have a similar midfield value (both €0m).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
DUN (11)
€2m
CR (2)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BW wins
3
Draws
2
FH wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers vs Finn Harps · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
21/03/25AFinn Harps Vs BW5-0
11/10/24HBW Vs Finn Harps2-2
02/08/24AFinn Harps Vs BW1-2
06/05/24HBW Vs Finn Harps1-0
01/04/24AFinn Harps Vs BW2-0
20/10/23HBW Vs Finn Harps1-1
07/07/23AFinn Harps Vs BW0-0
12/05/23HBW Vs Finn Harps2-0

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/25HBW Vs Wexford1-2
16/05/25HBW Vs Athlone Town3-1
09/05/25ADundalk Vs BW2-2
02/05/25ACobh Ramblers Vs BW2-1
25/04/25HBW Vs Kerry4-2
21/04/25HBW Vs UCD2-0
18/04/25HBW Vs Longford Town4-0
11/04/25HBW Vs Treaty United2-1
04/04/25AAthlone Town Vs BW0-1
31/03/25AUCD Vs BW0-1

Finn HarpsFinn Harps

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
23/05/25HFH Vs UCD1-2
17/05/25ALongford Town Vs FH0-0
09/05/25HFH Vs Athlone Town0-2
02/05/25HFH Vs Treaty United0-2
25/04/25ACobh Ramblers Vs FH3-1
21/04/25ADundalk Vs FH1-1
18/04/25HFH Vs Kerry4-2
11/04/25AWexford Vs FH2-2
04/04/25HFH Vs Longford Town1-1
28/03/25AAthlone Town Vs FH0-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 7 Wins / 1 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLDWL1.62
HomeWWWWL2.00
AwayLWWLD1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%62%33%
AVG goals2.723.232.17
Over 1.5 %72%85%58%
Over 2.5 %56%69%42%
Over 3.5 %32%50%12%
Scored1.502.080.88
Conceded1.221.151.29
BTTS46%58%33%
Clean Sheet34%35%33%
Corners---
Cards---
Finn Harps
Finn Harps
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLLDL1.12
HomeDWLLL1.40
AwayWDDLD0.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%40%16%
AVG goals2.362.322.40
Over 1.5 %72%72%72%
Over 2.5 %32%32%32%
Over 3.5 %22%16%28%
Scored1.081.240.92
Conceded1.281.081.48
BTTS46%44%48%
Clean Sheet24%36%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1DundalkDundalk3679
64%
2.2
7431+43
2.9
72%
53%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
3
0122.10.9
-
2Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3872
58%
1.9
7139+32
2.9
82%
63%
34%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.91.0
-
3Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3971
59%
1.8
6855+13
3.2
79%
67%
46%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.71.4
-
4UCDUCD3756
43%
1.5
4944+5
2.5
68%
46%
24%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.2
-
5Treaty UnitedTreaty United3951
36%
1.3
5250+2
2.6
72%
46%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.3
-
6Longford TownLongford Town3645
33%
1.2
4359-16
2.8
83%
53%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
7WexfordWexford3544
34%
1.3
4248-6
2.6
71%
49%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.4
-
8Finn HarpsFinn Harps3636
22%
1.0
4257-15
2.8
75%
50%
36%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.21.6
-
9KerryKerry3636
25%
1.0
4058-18
2.7
72%
44%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
10Athlone TownAthlone Town3620
8%
0.6
2969-40
2.7
75%
56%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.81.9
-
Ireland: First Division 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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