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Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town Result & Analysis

Date: 04/07/2024
Time: 18:45
Final 0-1
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Vs
48%
26%
26%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -

ðŸŽŊ 1. Model Analysis

Bray Wanderers win✗ Miss
47.8%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
25.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Longford Town win✓ Hit
26.5%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

âš― 2. Goal Analysis

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L10W12L13L21W00D31W02L10W01LA·COB03/05H·FIN06/05A·ATH10/05H·COR17/05A·WEX24/05A·UCD31/05H·COB03/06A·TRE07/06H·ATH13/06A·COR28/06
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.501.431.731.471.271.40
vs Stronger (12)1.251.831.402.801.141.14
vs Similar (15)1.471.201.890.890.831.67
vs Weaker (3)2.671.002.000.003.001.50
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W23L21W11D00D01L22D02L12L11DH·KER06/05A·FIN10/05H·TRE13/05H·ATH18/05H·COB25/05A·TRE31/05A·WEX03/06A·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.1
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.931.771.071.870.801.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.732.000.672.170.801.80
vs Weaker (19)1.051.631.331.670.801.60
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%23%6%013%123%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
81.2%
Under 1.5
18.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.8%
Under 2.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.4%
Under 3.5
64.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
60.2%
No
39.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
9.5%
1-0
7.6%
2-0
7.6%
1-2
6.8%
0-0
6.0%
2-2
6.0%
3-1
5.5%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Longford Town goals →
01234
06.0%5.1%3.9%1.6%0.5%
17.6%12%6.8%2.9%0.9%
27.6%9.5%6.0%2.5%0.8%
34.4%5.5%3.5%1.5%0.5%
41.9%2.4%1.5%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Longford Town goals (across).

💊 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Cork City
2.17
UCD
1.55
Athlone Town
1.54
Wexford
1.50
Bray Wanderers
1.41
Finn Harps
1.28
Cobh Ramblers
1.22
Treaty United
1.22
Longford Town
0.81
Kerry
0.75
Bray Wanderers is 0.60 points better than Longford Town in terms of average points per game (1.41 vs 0.81).

⚔ïļ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
1.78
Wexford
1.61
Bray Wanderers
1.49
Athlone Town
1.38
UCD
1.26
Longford Town
1.14
Cobh Ramblers
1.14
Treaty United
1.14
Finn Harps
1.08
Kerry
0.94
Bray Wanderers is 0.35 goals better than Longford Town in terms of goals scored per game (1.49 vs 1.14).

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Cork City
0.64
UCD
1.03
Treaty United
1.19
Finn Harps
1.19
Bray Wanderers
1.28
Athlone Town
1.31
Wexford
1.50
Kerry
1.53
Cobh Ramblers
1.56
Longford Town
1.78
Bray Wanderers is 0.50 goals better than Longford Town in terms of goals conceded per game (1.28 vs 1.78).

⏱ïļ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

ðŸŽē 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

ðŸĨ… 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖ïļ 7. Handicap

⏱ïļ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D10W01L03L01L00D10W01L10W01LA·COB03/05H·FIN06/05A·ATH10/05H·COR17/05A·WEX24/05A·UCD31/05H·COB03/06A·TRE07/06H·ATH13/06A·COR28/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.870.800.870.330.87
vs Stronger (12)0.421.250.602.000.290.71
vs Similar (15)0.730.601.000.330.331.00
vs Weaker (3)0.330.670.000.000.501.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-220W22D01L00D00D00D00D02L11D01LH·KER06/05A·FIN10/05H·TRE13/05H·ATH18/05H·COB25/05A·TRE31/05A·WEX03/06A·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.470.700.400.730.530.67
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.180.910.331.000.000.80
vs Weaker (19)0.630.580.440.560.800.60
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱ïļ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D11D10W20W00D21W01L00D00DA·COB03/05H·FIN06/05A·ATH10/05H·COR17/05A·WEX24/05A·UCD31/05H·COB03/06A·TRE07/06H·ATH13/06A·COR28/06
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.570.930.600.930.53
vs Stronger (12)0.830.580.800.800.860.43
vs Similar (15)0.730.600.890.560.500.67
vs Weaker (3)2.330.332.000.002.500.50
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Longford Town) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Longford TownLongford Town

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L01L20W11D00D01L22D00D01L10WH·KER06/05A·FIN10/05H·TRE13/05H·ATH18/05H·COB25/05A·TRE31/05A·WEX03/06A·COR07/06A·KER13/06H·FIN28/06
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.471.070.671.130.271.00
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (11)0.551.090.331.170.801.00
vs Weaker (19)0.421.050.891.110.001.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸĨ… 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Longford Town over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

ðŸ”Ĩ 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.581.2%-------✗ Miss

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔ïļ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸ›Ąïļ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

ðŸĪ 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BW wins
5
Draws
2
LT wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers vs Longford Town · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
13/04/24ALongford Town Vs BW0-3
25/03/24HBW Vs Longford Town1-1
14/10/23ALongford Town Vs BW2-2
07/08/23HBW Vs Longford Town2-4
22/04/23ALongford Town Vs BW1-1
10/03/23HBW Vs Longford Town0-0
12/08/22HBW Vs Longford Town0-3
10/06/22ALongford Town Vs BW1-1

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/24ACork City Vs BW1-0
13/06/24HBW Vs Athlone Town1-0
07/06/24ATreaty United Vs BW2-0
03/06/24HBW Vs Cobh Ramblers3-1
31/05/24AUCD Vs BW0-0
24/05/24AWexford Vs BW1-2
17/05/24HBW Vs Cork City1-3
10/05/24AAthlone Town Vs BW2-1
06/05/24HBW Vs Finn Harps1-0
03/05/24ACobh Ramblers Vs BW2-1

Longford TownLongford Town

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/06/24HLT Vs Finn Harps1-1
13/06/24AKerry Vs LT2-1
07/06/24ACork City Vs LT2-0
03/06/24AWexford Vs LT2-2
31/05/24ATreaty United Vs LT1-0
25/05/24HLT Vs Cobh Ramblers0-0
18/05/24HLT Vs Athlone Town1-1
13/05/24HLT Vs Treaty United2-1
10/05/24AFinn Harps Vs LT3-2
06/05/24HLT Vs Kerry2-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWLWL1.20
HomeWWLWW1.36
AwayLWDLL1.04
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %30%36%24%
AVG goals3.043.242.84
Over 1.5 %86%88%84%
Over 2.5 %62%68%56%
Over 3.5 %36%40%32%
Scored1.361.561.16
Conceded1.681.681.68
BTTS62%68%56%
Clean Sheet20%20%20%
Corners---
Cards---
Longford Town
Longford Town
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLD0.96
HomeWWDDD0.96
AwayLLDLL0.96
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %22%24%20%
AVG goals2.782.802.76
Over 1.5 %76%80%72%
Over 2.5 %56%64%48%
Over 3.5 %30%24%36%
Scored1.121.081.16
Conceded1.661.721.60
BTTS56%64%48%
Clean Sheet16%16%16%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value ₮mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Cork CityCork City3678
61%
2.2
6423+41
2.4
67%
33%
28%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.80.6
-
2Athlone TownAthlone Town3960
41%
1.5
5451+3
2.7
69%
54%
26%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.41.3
-
3UCDUCD3859
39%
1.6
4839+9
2.3
71%
42%
16%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.0
-
4WexfordWexford3857
39%
1.5
6157+4
3.1
87%
63%
39%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.5
-
5Bray WanderersBray Wanderers3955
38%
1.4
5850+8
2.8
74%
54%
31%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.51.3
-
6Finn HarpsFinn Harps3646
33%
1.3
3943-4
2.3
69%
28%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United3644
31%
1.2
4143-2
2.3
64%
42%
25%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.2
-
8Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers3644
33%
1.2
4156-15
2.7
83%
56%
19%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.6
-
9Longford TownLongford Town3629
17%
0.8
4164-23
2.9
81%
58%
33%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.8
-
10KerryKerry3627
14%
0.8
3455-21
2.5
81%
39%
17%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.91.5
-
Ireland: First Division 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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