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Bray Wanderers vs Wexford Prediction & Stats

Date: 09/10/2026
Time: 18:45
Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Vs
56%
22%
21%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Referee: -
1 Model Analysis2 Goal Analysis3 Team Strengths Analysis4 Props Analysis5 Double Chance6 Home & Away Over/Under7 Handicap8 Half Time Goals O/U9 Half Time Home & Away O/U10 Second Half Goals O/U11 Second Half Home & Away O/U
12 Top picks for this game14 Squad value15 Games History16 Overall Statistics17 League Table
Match preview & prediction

Bray Wanderers look set to edge Wexford in a high-scoring encounter, with the model favouring a home win. The expected total of 3.4 goals points to a lively match, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, carrying a 10% probability. Bray’s home form against stronger opposition shows an average of 2.0 goals scored and 1.29 conceded, while Wexford’s away record against weaker teams averages 1.1 for and 1.1 against. The match probabilities break down to 55% for a home win, 23% for a draw, and 22% for an away win. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (97.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (95.8%), Under 6.5 (94.2%), Home +2 handicap (90.6%), Home over 0.5 goals (88.0%), Under 5.5 (87.0%), Over 1.5 (86.3%), and Away under 2.5 goals (85.9%). Bray’s recent form after two straight defeats and Wexford’s after three straight defeats add further context to the projected outcome.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bray Wanderers win
56.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
22.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Wexford win
21.3%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-632W10W12L60W21W04L12L50W24L12LH·UCD28/10H·TRE02/11H·WAT07/11H·UCD10/07A·COB24/07H·KER31/07A·WEX03/08H·FIN07/08A·LON22/08A·ATH28/08← Premier DivisionFirst Division →
Avg total
3.9
Avg scored
2.2
Avg conceded
1.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.901.602.271.401.531.80
vs Stronger (14)1.711.572.001.291.431.86
vs Similar (13)2.081.462.501.171.711.71
vs Weaker (3)2.002.332.502.501.002.00
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L20W02L22D21W01L21W14L02L02LH·UCD05/10A·KER10/10H·TRE17/10H·KER10/07A·LON25/07A·COB31/07H·BRA03/08A·UCD07/08H·ATH21/08A·COR28/08
Avg total
2.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
1.8
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.101.571.071.641.121.50
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.902.000.501.751.172.17
vs Weaker (20)1.201.351.301.601.101.10
Clean sheet %13% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

5%11%16%22%4%09%120%222%319%413%513%6+
The model estimates around 3.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 3 (22%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
86.3%
Under 1.5
13.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
66.2%
Under 2.5
33.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
44.3%
Under 3.5
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
64.4%
No
35.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
9.9%
2-1
9.6%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
5.4%
Bray Wanderers goals ↓
Wexford goals →
01234
04.2%3.3%2.7%1.1%0.4%
16.2%9.9%5.7%2.4%0.8%
27.6%9.6%6.1%2.6%0.8%
35.4%6.8%4.4%1.8%0.6%
42.9%3.7%2.3%1.0%0.3%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Bray Wanderers goals (down), columns = Wexford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Kerry
2.00
Cork City
1.86
Longford Town
1.86
Athlone Town
1.86
UCD
1.57
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Bray Wanderers
1.29
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.00
Bray Wanderers is 0.29 points better than Wexford in terms of average points per game (1.29 vs 1.00).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Cork City
2.57
Longford Town
2.57
Bray Wanderers
2.43
UCD
2.29
Kerry
2.29
Athlone Town
1.57
Cobh Ramblers
1.29
Treaty United
1.14
Wexford
1.00
Finn Harps
0.86
Bray Wanderers is 1.43 goals better than Wexford in terms of goals scored per game (2.43 vs 1.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Athlone Town
1.00
Kerry
1.14
Treaty United
1.43
Cobh Ramblers
1.43
Longford Town
1.57
Wexford
1.86
Bray Wanderers
1.86
Cork City
2.00
UCD
2.29
Finn Harps
3.43
Bray Wanderers and Wexford are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.86).

⏱️ Possession

Not available for this league.
Possession isn't tracked for this league.

🎲 4. Props Analysis

Corners, cards and fouls aren't tracked for this league, so prop analysis isn't available here. Result, goals and both-teams-to-score markets are unaffected.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Bray Wanderers or Draw
78.7%
Avg Implied -
56%
22%
21%
covers Bray Wanderers + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers or Wexford
77.6%
Avg Implied -
56%
22%
21%
covers Bray Wanderers + Wexford
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Wexford
43.7%
Avg Implied -
56%
22%
21%
covers Draw + Wexford
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5
Over
88.2%
Under
11.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5
Over
63.0%
Under
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5
Over
36.0%
Under
64.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 3.5
Over
16.8%
Under
83.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5
Over
72.0%
Under
28.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5
Over
36.3%
Under
63.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5
Over
13.6%
Under
86.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 3.5
Over
4.0%
Under
96.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Bray Wanderers, so a minus line means Bray Wanderers give that many goals of a start and Wexford receive them. At -1, Bray Wanderers must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Bray Wanderers win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers -2
17.8%
Draw -2
17.2%
Wexford +2
65.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers -1
35.0%
Draw -1
21.3%
Wexford +1
43.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers +1
78.7%
Draw +1
12.3%
Wexford -1
9.0%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Bray Wanderers)
Bray Wanderers +2
91.0%
Draw +2
6.1%
Wexford -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D20W11D01L12L20W13L11DH·UCD28/10H·TRE02/11H·WAT07/11H·UCD10/07A·COB24/07H·KER31/07A·WEX03/08H·FIN07/08A·LON22/08A·ATH28/08← Premier DivisionFirst Division →
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.930.800.730.731.13
vs Stronger (14)0.861.070.860.710.861.43
vs Similar (13)0.690.850.670.830.710.86
vs Weaker (3)0.670.671.000.500.001.00
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L00D00D11D10W01L21W02L01L00DH·UCD05/10A·KER10/10H·TRE17/10H·KER10/07A·LON25/07A·COB31/07H·BRA03/08A·UCD07/08H·ATH21/08A·COR28/08
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.370.900.501.000.250.81
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.300.900.500.750.171.00
vs Weaker (20)0.400.900.501.100.300.70
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W01L40W10W03L00D30W11D01LH·UCD28/10H·TRE02/11H·WAT07/11H·UCD10/07A·COB24/07H·KER31/07A·WEX03/08H·FIN07/08A·LON22/08A·ATH28/08← Premier DivisionFirst Division →
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.130.671.470.670.800.67
vs Stronger (14)0.860.501.140.570.570.43
vs Similar (13)1.380.621.830.331.000.86
vs Weaker (3)1.331.671.502.001.001.00
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Wexford) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

WexfordWexford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W02L11D11D00D00D12L01L02LH·UCD05/10A·KER10/10H·TRE17/10H·KER10/07A·LON25/07A·COB31/07H·BRA03/08A·UCD07/08H·ATH21/08A·COR28/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored		Total
Conceded		Home
Scored		Home
Conceded		Away
Scored		Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.670.570.640.880.69
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (10)0.601.100.001.001.001.17
vs Weaker (20)0.800.450.800.500.800.40
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Bray Wanderers) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Bray Wanderers over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bray Wanderers over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Wexford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.597.7%-------
Away under 3.5 goals96.0%-------
Under 6.594.2%-------
Home +2 handicap91.0%-------
Home over 0.5 goals88.2%-------
Under 5.587.0%-------
Away under 2.5 goals86.4%-------
Over 1.586.3%-------
Home under 3.5 goals83.2%-------
Home or Draw78.7%-------
Home +1 handicap78.7%-------
Home or Away77.6%-------
Under 4.574.3%-------
Away over 0.5 goals72.0%-------

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (2)
€0m
CR (2)
€0m
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
TU (1)
€0m
CC (2)
€0m
FH (1)
€0m
AT (1)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
FH (1)
€0m
BW (1)
€0m
KER (1)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
CR (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CR (2)
€0m
CC (0)
€0m
BW (0)
€0m
AT (0)
€0m
FH (0)
€0m
TU (0)
€0m
KER (0)
€0m
No squad-value data to compare these two teams.

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
4
BW wins
1
Draws
3
WEX wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Bray Wanderers vs Wexford · H/A from BW
DateH/AGameScore
03/08/26AWexford Vs BW2-1
22/08/25AWexford Vs BW0-1
04/07/25HBW Vs Wexford1-0
23/05/25HBW Vs Wexford1-2
28/02/25AWexford Vs BW2-0
17/09/24AWexford Vs BW0-0
26/07/24HBW Vs Wexford3-1
24/05/24AWexford Vs BW1-2

Bray WanderersBray Wanderers

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26AAthlone Town Vs BW2-1
22/08/26ALongford Town Vs BW4-2
07/08/26HBW Vs Finn Harps5-0
03/08/26AWexford Vs BW2-1
31/07/26HBW Vs Kerry0-4
24/07/26ACobh Ramblers Vs BW1-2
10/07/26HBW Vs UCD6-0
07/11/25HBW Vs Waterford1-2
02/11/25HBW Vs Treaty United1-0
28/10/25HBW Vs UCD3-2

WexfordWexford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
28/08/26ACork City Vs WEX2-0
21/08/26HWEX Vs Athlone Town0-2
07/08/26AUCD Vs WEX4-1
03/08/26HWEX Vs Bray Wanderers2-1
31/07/26ACobh Ramblers Vs WEX1-0
25/07/26ALongford Town Vs WEX1-2
10/07/26HWEX Vs Kerry2-2
17/10/25HWEX Vs Treaty United0-2
10/10/25AKerry Vs WEX0-2
05/10/25HWEX Vs UCD0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Bray Wanderers
Bray Wanderers
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 5 Wins / 0 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWLL1.62
HomeWLWLW2.00
AwayWWLLL1.21
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%65%38%
AVG goals3.303.692.88
Over 1.5 %82%92%71%
Over 2.5 %72%77%67%
Over 3.5 %48%62%33%
Scored1.782.271.25
Conceded1.521.421.62
BTTS60%62%58%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners---
Cards---
Wexford
Wexford
Ireland: First Division
Recent: 3 Wins / 1 Draws / 6 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWLLL1.24
HomeLLDWL1.32
AwayWWLLL1.16
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %34%36%32%
AVG goals2.602.442.76
Over 1.5 %72%68%76%
Over 2.5 %50%44%56%
Over 3.5 %30%28%32%
Scored1.161.241.08
Conceded1.441.201.68
BTTS44%36%52%
Clean Sheet22%32%12%
Corners---
Cards---

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1KerryKerry714
57%
2.0
168+8
3.4
100%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.31.1
-
2Longford TownLongford Town713
57%
1.9
1811+7
4.1
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.61.6
-
3Cork CityCork City713
57%
1.9
1814+4
4.6
100%
86%
71%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.62.0
-
4Athlone TownAthlone Town713
57%
1.9
117+4
2.6
86%
57%
14%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.61.0
-
5UCDUCD711
43%
1.6
1616+0
4.6
86%
71%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.32.3
-
6Cobh RamblersCobh Ramblers710
43%
1.4
910-1
2.7
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.31.4
-
7Treaty UnitedTreaty United710
43%
1.4
810-2
2.6
71%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.11.4
-
8Bray WanderersBray Wanderers79
43%
1.3
1713+4
4.3
100%
100%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0002.41.9
-
9WexfordWexford77
29%
1.0
713-6
2.9
86%
57%
29%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0001.01.9
-
10Finn HarpsFinn Harps70
0%
0.0
624-18
4.3
86%
86%
57%
-
0%
-
0%
-
0%
0
0000.93.4
-
Ireland: First Division 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Ireland: First Division stats & trends →

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