PythiaFootballPythiaFootballBETA Free Picks Fixtures League Stats Team Stats Player Stats Pro Picks PRO Research Head-to-Head Validation Pricing Log in
← Back

Brentford vs Aston Villa Result & Analysis

Date: 23/08/2025
Time: 15:00
Final 1-0
Brentford
Brentford
Vs
37%
27%
36%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Referee: T Harrington

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brentford win✓ Hit
36.9%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.25
Edge
+7.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.3%
Avg Implied 27.4% · @ 3.45
Edge
-0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa win✗ Miss
35.9%
Avg Implied 43.4% · @ 2.18
Edge
-7.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-412L00D11D42W20W43W10W23L11D13LA·NEW02/04H·CHE06/04A·ARS12/04H·BRI19/04A·NOT01/05H·MAN04/05A·IPS10/05H·FUL18/05A·WOL25/05A·NOT17/08
Avg total
3.2
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.531.401.571.791.501.06
vs Stronger (6)0.831.670.751.751.001.50
vs Similar (23)1.781.352.111.891.571.00
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-430W32W41W12L03L10W10W20W02L00DA·SOU12/04H·PAR15/04H·NEW19/04A·MAN22/04A·CRY26/04H·FUL03/05A·BOU10/05H·TOT16/05A·MAN25/05H·NEW16/08
Avg total
2.5
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.701.102.070.871.331.33
vs Stronger (4)1.752.253.002.001.332.33
vs Similar (21)1.671.052.000.851.121.38
vs Weaker (5)1.800.402.000.001.750.50
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
79.2%
Under 1.5
20.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.7%
@ 1.85+3.9%
Under 2.5
45.3%
@ 1.91-3.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
32.3%
Under 3.5
67.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
59.2%
No
40.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.9%
2-1
8.4%
1-2
8.3%
1-0 ✓
7.0%
0-1
6.9%
0-0
6.9%
2-2
6.0%
2-0
5.9%
Brentford goals ↓
Aston Villa goals →
01234
06.9%6.9%5.8%2.7%1.0%
17.0%13%8.3%3.9%1.4%
25.9%8.4%6.0%2.8%1.0%
32.9%4.1%2.9%1.4%0.5%
41.0%1.5%1.0%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brentford goals (down), columns = Aston Villa goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Brentford is 0.32 points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.71).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Brentford is 0.03 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Brentford is 0.08 goals worse than Aston Villa in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.29).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Brentford is 6.1 percentage points worse than Aston Villa in terms of average possession (47% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrentfordBrentford

For 4.8 · Against 6.0 · Total 10.8

🚩 Corners

1805538536574544851336541011811119121899A·NOTA·WOLH·FULA·IPSH·MANA·NOTH·BRIA·ARSH·CHEA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

8021124442253343113113386287442A·NOTA·WOLH·FULA·IPSH·MANA·NOTH·BRIA·ARSH·CHEA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.8 · Against 9.0 · Total 19.8

⚠️ Fouls

240157971281268101210711971212121222162018182218162424A·NOTA·WOLH·FULA·IPSH·MANA·NOTH·BRIA·ARSH·CHEA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

Aston VillaAston Villa

For 6.0 · Against 4.9 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1603634911053121210775514297101081312141016H·NEWA·MANH·TOTA·BOUH·FULA·CRYA·MANH·NEWH·PARA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.3

🟨 Cards

802132124451333131133538546414H·NEWA·MANH·TOTA·BOUH·FULA·CRYA·MANH·NEWH·PARA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 8.9 · Against 11.3 · Total 20.2

⚠️ Fouls

3101311101051212196175910991215341124201731231419211815H·NEWA·MANH·TOTA·BOUH·FULA·CRYA·MANH·NEWH·PARA·SOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.910.311.53.43.63.218.517.519.4
vs Stronger (8)12.610.514.83.53.04.016.116.515.8
vs Similar (37)10.510.310.73.84.33.318.917.720.1
vs Weaker (5)13.0-13.00.60.01.522.0-22.0
% over line69%59%78%46%48%44%27%18%35%
% under line31%41%22%54%52%56%73%82%65%
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.410.53.73.63.822.722.323.0
vs Stronger (6)10.710.311.04.04.04.020.519.721.3
vs Similar (36)10.010.49.73.83.74.022.622.323.0
vs Weaker (8)12.511.014.02.82.53.025.225.325.0
% over line60%48%73%62%59%65%53%52%55%
% under line40%52%27%38%41%35%47%48%45%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
11.3
Bournemouth
11.1
Brentford
11.0
Newcastle
11.0
Everton
10.5
Liverpool
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Aston Villa
10.3
Leeds
10.2
Crystal Palace
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Manchester City
10.1
West Ham
9.9
Sunderland
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Brighton
9.8
Chelsea
9.7
Wolves
9.7
Arsenal
9.6
Burnley
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.8
Chelsea
4.7
Aston Villa
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.5
Sunderland
4.4
Brighton
4.4
Newcastle
4.4
Manchester United
4.4
Wolves
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.1
Liverpool
4.0
Arsenal
3.9
Tottenham
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Fulham
3.9
Burnley
3.9
Manchester City
3.8
West Ham
3.7
Everton
3.5
Leeds
3.4

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.2
Wolves
24.2
Tottenham
23.6
Sunderland
23.3
Burnley
23.1
Brighton
23.1
Aston Villa
23.1
Leeds
22.7
Newcastle
22.5
Chelsea
22.1
West Ham
22.1
Manchester United
21.8
Everton
21.6
Nottingham Forest
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.4
Arsenal
21.2
Fulham
21.0
Liverpool
20.7
Brentford
19.0
Manchester City
17.1
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
60.1%
Under 9.5
39.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
58.9%
Under 3.5
41.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
51.2%
Under 21.5
48.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D00D11D10W21W10W21W10W03LA·NEW02/04H·CHE06/04A·ARS12/04H·BRI19/04A·NOT01/05H·MAN04/05A·IPS10/05H·FUL18/05A·WOL25/05A·NOT17/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.670.860.640.560.69
vs Stronger (6)0.170.330.250.250.000.50
vs Similar (23)0.870.781.220.890.640.71
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D12L11D11D01L10W10W00D00D00DA·SOU12/04H·PAR15/04H·NEW19/04A·MAN22/04A·CRY26/04H·FUL03/05A·BOU10/05H·TOT16/05A·MAN25/05H·NEW16/08
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.500.530.730.530.270.53
vs Stronger (4)0.751.251.002.000.671.00
vs Similar (21)0.570.480.770.460.250.50
vs Weaker (5)0.000.200.000.000.000.25
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D11D31W10W22D00D02L01L10WA·NEW02/04H·CHE06/04A·ARS12/04H·BRI19/04A·NOT01/05H·MAN04/05A·IPS10/05H·FUL18/05A·WOL25/05A·NOT17/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.730.711.140.940.38
vs Stronger (6)0.671.330.501.501.001.00
vs Similar (23)0.910.570.891.000.930.29
vs Weaker (1)0.001.000.001.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Aston Villa) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Aston VillaAston Villa

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-330W20W30W01L02L00D00D20W02L00DA·SOU12/04H·PAR15/04H·NEW19/04A·MAN22/04A·CRY26/04H·FUL03/05A·BOU10/05H·TOT16/05A·MAN25/05H·NEW16/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.200.571.330.331.070.80
vs Stronger (4)1.001.002.000.000.671.33
vs Similar (21)1.100.571.230.380.880.88
vs Weaker (5)1.800.202.000.001.750.25
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Aston Villa over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.579.2%-------✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls78.9%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards77.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards76.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners71.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Thiago42%
Fabio Carvalho33%
Dango Ouattara16%
Kevin Schade15%
Mathias Jensen12%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mikkel Damsgaard8%
Reiss Nelson7%
Nathan Collins5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Jordan Henderson3%
Yehor Yarmolyuk2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt30%
Michael Kayode20%
Igor Thiago20%
Yehor Yarmolyuk19%
Jordan Henderson18%
Nathan Collins17%
Kevin Schade15%
Dango Ouattara14%
Kristoffer Ajer13%
Ethan Pinnock12%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mathias Jensen7%
Rico Henry7%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Caoimhin Kelleher3%
Keane Lewis-Potter2%
Reiss Nelson0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frank Onyeka22%
Reiss Nelson14%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mikkel Damsgaard11%
Vitaly Janelt10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Jordan Henderson9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Kevin Schade8%
Nathan Collins7%
Mathias Jensen7%
Kristoffer Ajer6%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Yehor Yarmolyuk5%
Rico Henry3%
Igor Thiago2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Igor Thiago25%
Kevin Schade21%
Dango Ouattara19%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Reiss Nelson7%
Mikkel Damsgaard3%
Sepp van den Berg3%
Mathias Jensen2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Michael Kayode0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Aston Villa
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Ollie Watkins27%
Emiliano Buendía20%
Morgan Rogers20%
Tammy Abraham19%
John McGinn18%
Donyell Malen17%
Ross Barkley13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Evann Guessand10%
Matty Cash6%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Amadou Onana5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ezri Konsa4%
Boubacar Kamara4%
Jadon Sancho3%
Ian Maatsen2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Lucas Digne0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Matty Cash24%
Marco Bizot21%
Boubacar Kamara19%
John McGinn18%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Morgan Rogers16%
Lamare Bogarde16%
Douglas Luiz15%
Lucas Digne14%
Andrés García12%
Amadou Onana11%
Evann Guessand10%
Ollie Watkins7%
Victor Lindelöf7%
Emiliano Martínez7%
Ian Maatsen7%
Youri Tielemans6%
Leon Bailey5%
Tyrone Mings5%
Ross Barkley4%
Pau Torres3%
Ezri Konsa2%
Jadon Sancho0%
Donyell Malen0%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Alysson0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Morgan Rogers20%
Youri Tielemans17%
Emiliano Buendía17%
Lucas Digne16%
John McGinn16%
Boubacar Kamara15%
Ollie Watkins9%
Matty Cash8%
Jadon Sancho8%
Donyell Malen7%
Tammy Abraham6%
Leon Bailey5%
Douglas Luiz5%
Evann Guessand5%
Ross Barkley4%
Victor Lindelöf4%
Emiliano Martínez2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Harvey Elliott0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Amadou Onana0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
Jamaldeen Jimoh0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Jamaldeen Jimoh33%
Morgan Rogers24%
Ollie Watkins24%
Emiliano Buendía13%
Harvey Elliott11%
Donyell Malen10%
Evann Guessand10%
Youri Tielemans6%
Ross Barkley4%
Amadou Onana3%
Jadon Sancho3%
John McGinn2%
Ian Maatsen2%
Matty Cash2%
Victor Lindelöf0%
Leon Bailey0%
Boubacar Kamara0%
Lucas Digne0%
Tyrone Mings0%
Tammy Abraham0%
Ezri Konsa0%
Emiliano Martínez0%
Marco Bizot0%
Pau Torres0%
Douglas Luiz0%
Lamare Bogarde0%
George Hemmings0%
Andrés García0%
Alysson0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Brentford's squad is €29m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€565m vs €536m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Brentford's attack is €8m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€228m vs €220m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brentford's midfield is €32m less valuable than Aston Villa's (€128m vs €160m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Brentford's defence is €53m more valuable than Aston Villa's (€209m vs €156m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
1
BRE wins
3
Draws
4
AVL wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brentford vs Aston Villa · H/A from BRE
DateH/AGameScore
08/03/25HBRE Vs Aston Villa0-1
04/12/24AAston Villa Vs BRE3-1
06/04/24AAston Villa Vs BRE3-3
17/12/23HBRE Vs Aston Villa1-2
22/04/23HBRE Vs Aston Villa1-1
23/10/22AAston Villa Vs BRE4-0
02/01/22HBRE Vs Aston Villa2-1
28/08/21AAston Villa Vs BRE1-1

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
17/08/25ANottingham Forest Vs BRE3-1
25/05/25AWolves Vs BRE1-1
18/05/25HBRE Vs Fulham2-3
10/05/25AIpswich Vs BRE0-1
04/05/25HBRE Vs Manchester United4-3
01/05/25ANottingham Forest Vs BRE0-2
19/04/25HBRE Vs Brighton4-2
12/04/25AArsenal Vs BRE1-1
06/04/25HBRE Vs Chelsea0-0
02/04/25ANewcastle Vs BRE2-1

Aston VillaAston Villa

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/08/25HAVL Vs Newcastle0-0
25/05/25AManchester United Vs AVL2-0
16/05/25HAVL Vs Tottenham2-0
10/05/25ABournemouth Vs AVL0-1
03/05/25HAVL Vs Fulham1-0
26/04/25ACrystal Palace Vs AVL3-0
22/04/25AManchester City Vs AVL2-1
19/04/25HAVL Vs Newcastle4-1
15/04/25HAVL Vs Paris Saint Germain3-2
12/04/25ASouthampton Vs AVL0-3

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 3 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLDL1.46
HomeLDWWL1.56
AwayDWWDL1.36
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%44%40%
AVG goals3.143.602.68
Over 1.5 %80%84%76%
Over 2.5 %58%56%60%
Over 3.5 %40%52%28%
Scored1.681.921.44
Conceded1.461.681.24
BTTS64%68%60%
Clean Sheet22%12%32%
Corners10.9110.3211.48
Cards3.804.093.52
Aston Villa
Aston Villa
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 1 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWWLD1.76
HomeWWWWD2.22
AwayWLLWL1.22
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%63%39%
AVG goals2.742.632.87
Over 1.5 %78%78%78%
Over 2.5 %60%56%65%
Over 3.5 %28%26%30%
Scored1.521.781.22
Conceded1.220.851.65
BTTS52%63%39%
Clean Sheet32%37%26%
Corners10.4410.4310.45
Cards4.284.364.19

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

← all matches