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Brentford vs Brighton Result & Analysis

Date: 21/02/2026
Time: 15:00
Final 0-2
Brentford
Brentford
Vs
42%
27%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Referee: J Gillett

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brentford win✗ Miss
42.2%
Avg Implied 42.0% · @ 2.25
Edge
+0.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
27.1%
Avg Implied 27.9% · @ 3.39
Edge
-0.7%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton win✓ Hit
30.7%
Avg Implied 30.2% · @ 3.13
Edge
+0.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-400D42W30W20W02L02L10W32W11D10WH·TOT01/01A·EVE04/01H·SUN07/01A·SHE10/01A·CHE17/01H·NOT25/01A·AST01/02A·NEW07/02H·ARS12/02A·MAC16/02
Avg total
2.4
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.171.851.081.471.24
vs Stronger (7)0.861.711.501.500.002.00
vs Similar (20)1.751.152.000.891.551.36
vs Weaker (3)2.670.00--2.670.00
Clean sheet %30% (+4pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D20W11D21W11D12L11D01L01L03LA·WES30/12H·BUR03/01A·MAN07/01A·MAN11/01H·BOU19/01A·FUL24/01H·EVE31/01H·CRY08/02A·AST11/02A·LIV14/02
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.571.301.581.081.561.44
vs Stronger (6)0.671.832.001.000.402.00
vs Similar (22)1.411.271.551.091.271.45
vs Weaker (2)6.000.00--6.000.00
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%19%25%7%014%125%222%316%49%57%6+
The model estimates around 2.8 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (25%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
78.8%
Under 1.5
21.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
54.2%
@ 1.75+0.3%
Under 2.5
45.8%
@ 2.04-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
31.9%
Under 3.5
68.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: No
Yes
58.4%
No
41.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.8%
2-1
9.0%
1-0
7.8%
1-2
7.6%
2-0
7.0%
0-0
7.0%
0-1
6.4%
2-2
5.9%
Brentford goals ↓
Brighton goals →
01234
07.0%6.4%4.9%2.1%0.7%
17.8%13%7.6%3.3%1.1%
27.0%9.0%5.9%2.5%0.8%
33.6%4.7%3.0%1.3%0.4%
41.4%1.8%1.2%0.5%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brentford goals (down), columns = Brighton goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Chelsea
1.37
Fulham
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Brentford and Brighton are level in average points per game (both 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Everton
1.24
Fulham
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Brentford is 0.08 goals better than Brighton in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.37).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Brentford is 0.16 goals worse than Brighton in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Brentford is 6.2 percentage points worse than Brighton in terms of average possession (47% vs 53%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrentfordBrentford

For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

13092643911265936274543111101213111281194A·MACH·ARSA·NEWA·ASTH·NOTA·CHEA·SHEH·SUNA·EVEH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 1.4 · Total 3.4

🟨 Cards

50223222312321212224543153234A·MACH·ARSA·NEWA·ASTH·NOTA·CHEH·SUNA·EVEH·TOTH·BOU
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.6 · Against 9.7 · Total 20.3

⚠️ Fouls

320147121118148811101074813138981021233216211712261718A·MACH·ARSA·NEWA·ASTH·NOTA·CHEA·SHEH·SUNA·EVEH·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

For 4.8 · Against 5.1 · Total 9.9

🚩 Corners

170655734526611616264455111277121778810A·LIVA·ASTH·CRYH·EVEA·FULH·BOUA·MANA·MANH·BURA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

804321312112315614534543256748A·LIVA·ASTH·CRYH·EVEA·FULH·BOUA·MANA·MANH·BURA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 10.8 · Total 23.6

⚠️ Fouls

34019151591291314610761511166717181134242127161326222429A·LIVA·ASTH·CRYH·EVEA·FULH·BOUA·MANA·MANH·BURA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.610.43.63.43.819.318.619.9
vs Stronger (11)10.710.012.03.74.13.017.518.615.5
vs Similar (36)9.99.410.43.83.14.220.018.621.2
vs Weaker (3)8.0-8.02.0-2.017.3-17.3
% over line58%52%63%50%48%52%32%30%33%
% under line42%48%37%50%52%48%68%70%67%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.49.39.63.93.44.522.322.022.6
vs Stronger (8)7.85.58.54.12.54.723.623.523.7
vs Similar (40)9.89.79.94.03.54.722.021.822.2
vs Weaker (2)10.0-10.02.0-2.022.5-22.5
% over line55%50%60%58%50%65%53%45%60%
% under line45%50%40%42%50%35%47%55%40%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.6
Liverpool
10.7
Bournemouth
10.5
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Brentford
10.0
Fulham
10.0
West Ham
9.8
Manchester United
9.8
Tottenham
9.8
Leeds
9.7
Everton
9.6
Aston Villa
9.6
Chelsea
9.6
Brighton
9.3
Wolves
9.1
Manchester City
9.1
Burnley
9.0
Arsenal
9.0
Sunderland
8.8
Crystal Palace
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.7
Chelsea
4.7
Brighton
4.2
Manchester United
4.2
Sunderland
4.2
Tottenham
4.2
Newcastle
4.1
Nottingham Forest
4.1
Aston Villa
4.0
Crystal Palace
4.0
Wolves
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Brentford
3.7
West Ham
3.5
Fulham
3.5
Liverpool
3.3
Burnley
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Leeds
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Wolves
24.2
Bournemouth
24.1
Aston Villa
23.0
Chelsea
22.9
Nottingham Forest
22.9
West Ham
22.7
Brighton
22.6
Everton
22.6
Tottenham
22.4
Sunderland
22.0
Manchester United
21.7
Arsenal
21.6
Leeds
21.5
Newcastle
21.1
Burnley
20.8
Manchester City
20.2
Liverpool
20.1
Crystal Palace
20.1
Fulham
19.7
Brentford
19.3
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
56.0%
Under 9.5
44.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
60.9%
Under 3.5
39.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
48.2%
Under 21.5
51.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D10W10W10W01L01L10W21W00D00DH·TOT01/01A·EVE04/01H·SUN07/01A·SHE10/01A·CHE17/01H·NOT25/01A·AST01/02A·NEW07/02H·ARS12/02A·MAC16/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.670.500.620.460.710.53
vs Stronger (7)0.430.710.750.500.001.00
vs Similar (20)0.650.500.560.440.730.55
vs Weaker (3)1.330.00--1.330.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L10W01L10W01L10W00D00D00D01LA·WES30/12H·BUR03/01A·MAN07/01A·MAN11/01H·BOU19/01A·FUL24/01H·EVE31/01H·CRY08/02A·AST11/02A·LIV14/02
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.530.600.580.500.500.67
vs Stronger (6)0.000.830.001.000.000.80
vs Similar (22)0.500.590.640.450.360.73
vs Weaker (2)2.500.00--2.500.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-300D32W20W10W01L01L00D11D11D10WH·TOT01/01A·EVE04/01H·SUN07/01A·SHE10/01A·CHE17/01H·NOT25/01A·AST01/02A·NEW07/02H·ARS12/02A·MAC16/02
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.970.671.230.620.760.71
vs Stronger (7)0.431.000.751.000.001.00
vs Similar (20)1.100.651.440.440.820.82
vs Weaker (3)1.330.00--1.330.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W10W10W11D10W02L11D01L01L02LA·WES30/12H·BUR03/01A·MAN07/01A·MAN11/01H·BOU19/01A·FUL24/01H·EVE31/01H·CRY08/02A·AST11/02A·LIV14/02
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.6
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.701.000.581.060.78
vs Stronger (6)0.671.002.000.000.401.20
vs Similar (22)0.910.680.910.640.910.73
vs Weaker (2)3.500.00--3.500.00
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls81.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.578.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.9%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Thiago42%
Fabio Carvalho33%
Dango Ouattara16%
Kevin Schade15%
Mathias Jensen12%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mikkel Damsgaard8%
Reiss Nelson7%
Nathan Collins5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Jordan Henderson3%
Yehor Yarmolyuk2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt30%
Michael Kayode20%
Igor Thiago20%
Yehor Yarmolyuk19%
Jordan Henderson18%
Nathan Collins17%
Kevin Schade15%
Dango Ouattara14%
Kristoffer Ajer13%
Ethan Pinnock12%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mathias Jensen7%
Rico Henry7%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Caoimhin Kelleher3%
Keane Lewis-Potter2%
Reiss Nelson0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frank Onyeka22%
Reiss Nelson14%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mikkel Damsgaard11%
Vitaly Janelt10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Jordan Henderson9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Kevin Schade8%
Nathan Collins7%
Mathias Jensen7%
Kristoffer Ajer6%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Yehor Yarmolyuk5%
Rico Henry3%
Igor Thiago2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Igor Thiago25%
Kevin Schade21%
Dango Ouattara19%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Reiss Nelson7%
Mikkel Damsgaard3%
Sepp van den Berg3%
Mathias Jensen2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Michael Kayode0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck28%
Matt O'Riley17%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Diego Gómez16%
Brajan Gruda15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Yasin Ayari12%
Kaoru Mitoma11%
Tom Watson10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Charalampos Kostoulas8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Jan Paul van Hecke5%
Pascal Groß5%
James Milner5%
Joël Veltman4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Diego Coppola0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Diego Coppola33%
Lewis Dunk32%
Mats Wieffer29%
Diego Gómez27%
Jan Paul van Hecke25%
Carlos Baleba20%
Kaoru Mitoma19%
Joël Veltman18%
Olivier Boscagli18%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu17%
Danny Welbeck12%
Charalampos Kostoulas12%
Brajan Gruda10%
Tom Watson10%
Pascal Groß10%
James Milner9%
Stefanos Tzimas8%
Yankuba Minteh8%
Bart Verbruggen8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Georginio Rutter6%
Yasin Ayari3%
Jason Steele0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Harry Howell0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Diego Coppola22%
Stefanos Tzimas17%
Harry Howell17%
Brajan Gruda15%
Pascal Groß14%
Yankuba Minteh11%
Mats Wieffer11%
Jack Hinshelwood10%
Tom Watson10%
Yasin Ayari9%
Georginio Rutter9%
Jan Paul van Hecke8%
Maxim De Cuyper6%
Olivier Boscagli6%
Danny Welbeck5%
James Milner5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Kaoru Mitoma4%
Joël Veltman4%
Diego Gómez3%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Matt O'Riley0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Matt O'Riley17%
Danny Welbeck15%
Yasin Ayari12%
Diego Gómez11%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Georginio Rutter6%
Brajan Gruda5%
Charalampos Kostoulas4%
Lewis Dunk3%
Jan Paul van Hecke2%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Jason Steele0%
Pascal Groß0%
Solly March0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Tom Watson0%
Diego Coppola0%
Stefanos Tzimas0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Yankuba Minteh0%
Harry Howell0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Brentford's squad is €54m less valuable than Brighton's (€565m vs €620m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Brentford's attack is €38m more valuable than Brighton's (€228m vs €190m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brentford's midfield is €52m less valuable than Brighton's (€128m vs €180m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Brentford's defence is €40m less valuable than Brighton's (€209m vs €249m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BRE wins
3
Draws
3
BHA wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brentford vs Brighton · H/A from BRE
DateH/AGameScore
22/11/25ABrighton Vs BRE2-1
19/04/25HBRE Vs Brighton4-2
27/12/24ABrighton Vs BRE0-0
03/04/24HBRE Vs Brighton0-0
06/12/23ABrighton Vs BRE2-1
01/04/23ABrighton Vs BRE3-3
14/10/22HBRE Vs Brighton2-0
26/12/21ABrighton Vs BRE2-0

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
16/02/26AMacclesfield Vs BRE0-1
12/02/26HBRE Vs Arsenal1-1
07/02/26ANewcastle Vs BRE2-3
01/02/26AAston Villa Vs BRE0-1
25/01/26HBRE Vs Nottingham Forest0-2
17/01/26AChelsea Vs BRE2-0
10/01/26ASheffield Weds Vs BRE0-2
07/01/26HBRE Vs Sunderland3-0
04/01/26AEverton Vs BRE2-4
01/01/26HBRE Vs Tottenham0-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/02/26ALiverpool Vs BHA3-0
11/02/26AAston Villa Vs BHA1-0
08/02/26HBHA Vs Crystal Palace0-1
31/01/26HBHA Vs Everton1-1
24/01/26AFulham Vs BHA2-1
19/01/26HBHA Vs Bournemouth1-1
11/01/26AManchester United Vs BHA1-2
07/01/26AManchester City Vs BHA1-1
03/01/26HBHA Vs Burnley2-0
30/12/25AWest Ham Vs BHA2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWWDW1.64
HomeWDWLD1.52
AwayWLWWW1.74
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %48%39%56%
AVG goals2.782.962.63
Over 1.5 %82%78%85%
Over 2.5 %44%48%41%
Over 3.5 %32%43%22%
Scored1.581.651.52
Conceded1.201.301.11
BTTS50%61%41%
Clean Sheet30%17%41%
Corners10.009.5710.37
Cards3.713.433.96
Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 4 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDLLL1.44
HomeDWDDL1.75
AwayDWLLL1.15
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%31%
AVG goals3.062.753.35
Over 1.5 %88%83%92%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %30%21%38%
Scored1.641.581.69
Conceded1.421.171.65
BTTS60%67%54%
Clean Sheet22%21%23%
Corners9.459.329.56
Cards4.193.684.64

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1ArsenalArsenal3885
68%
2.2
7127+44
2.6
71%
53%
24%
9.1
42%
3.2
47%
21.3
47%
1406
6082905081.90.7
56%
2Manchester CityManchester City3878
61%
2.1
7735+42
2.9
87%
63%
21%
10.3
58%
3.9
63%
20.9
42%
1326
6351605312.00.9
60%
3Manchester UnitedManchester United3871
53%
1.9
6950+19
3.1
84%
63%
37%
9.7
53%
3.8
58%
21.2
47%
929
4322362611.81.3
52%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3865
50%
1.7
5649+7
2.8
74%
53%
29%
10.2
68%
3.9
61%
23.0
63%
536
2201601561.51.3
53%
5LiverpoolLiverpool3860
45%
1.6
6353+10
3.1
84%
61%
29%
10.5
55%
3.6
50%
20.7
37%
980
5182012601.71.4
59%
6BournemouthBournemouth3857
34%
1.5
5854+4
2.9
76%
55%
42%
10.9
63%
4.3
63%
22.5
53%
573
2851061821.51.4
50%
7SunderlandSunderland3854
37%
1.4
4248-6
2.4
71%
45%
18%
9.0
45%
4.1
55%
22.1
58%
392
1571101251.11.3
45%
8BrightonBrighton3853
37%
1.4
5246+6
2.6
82%
50%
18%
9.7
58%
4.3
63%
22.0
55%
620
1901802491.41.2
53%
9BrentfordBrentford3853
37%
1.4
5552+3
2.8
82%
53%
37%
10.2
63%
3.7
53%
19.6
34%
565
2281282091.41.4
47%
10ChelseaChelsea3852
37%
1.4
5852+6
2.9
87%
66%
32%
10.4
68%
4.7
71%
23.4
68%
1407
6142785141.51.4
57%
11FulhamFulham3852
39%
1.4
4751-4
2.6
71%
50%
24%
10.5
66%
3.8
58%
20.8
39%
329
178281231.21.3
51%
12NewcastleNewcastle3849
37%
1.3
5355-2
2.8
76%
63%
34%
11.0
61%
4.2
61%
22.1
53%
568
2341242101.41.4
52%
13EvertonEverton3849
34%
1.3
4750-3
2.6
76%
45%
21%
9.4
42%
3.7
47%
21.7
58%
459
1741621231.21.3
44%
14LeedsLeeds3847
29%
1.2
4956-7
2.8
74%
55%
37%
9.5
53%
3.4
42%
21.7
47%
427
166981631.31.5
46%
15Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3845
29%
1.2
4151-10
2.4
71%
55%
21%
9.4
47%
3.7
63%
20.2
37%
505
229931821.11.3
45%
16Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3844
29%
1.2
4851-3
2.6
82%
53%
26%
10.1
58%
3.3
42%
22.2
53%
551
263522361.31.3
46%
17TottenhamTottenham3841
26%
1.1
4857-9
2.8
82%
63%
26%
10.2
50%
4.7
71%
22.3
58%
920
2502823881.31.5
50%
18West HamWest Ham3839
26%
1.0
4665-19
2.9
87%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.8
55%
21.7
47%
274
84481411.21.7
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3822
11%
0.6
3875-37
3.0
84%
50%
39%
9.6
53%
2.9
39%
19.5
37%
115
708371.02.0
42%
20WolvesWolves3820
8%
0.5
2768-41
2.5
79%
45%
24%
9.4
58%
3.8
58%
23.8
66%
273
79791160.71.8
-
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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