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Brentford vs Chelsea Prediction & Stats

Date: 18/09/2026
Time: 19:00
Brentford
Brentford
Vs
42%
26%
32%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Brentford’s recent win over Tottenham gives them a slight lift, yet Chelsea’s victory against Fulham shows they are equally sharp on the road. The numbers leave no clear favourite; the model still picks a home win, with a 40 % chance for Brentford, 27 % for a draw and 33 % for Chelsea. The expected total of 3.0 goals sits above the 2-goal average, but the most likely total remains 2, a 24 % probability. The single score the model favours is 1-1, with a 12.5 % chance, a tidy draw that matches the balanced form: Brentford averages 1.67 goals scored and 1.00 conceded at home against similar opponents, while Chelsea averages 1.50 scored and 1.67 conceded away against similar opposition. The suggested picks are all high-confidence: Under 7.5 (98.4 %), Under 6.5 (95.8 %), Away under 3.5 goals (93.2 %), Home under 3.5 goals (91.5 %), Under 5.5 (89.9 %), Home +2 handicap (82.9 %), Under 25.5 fouls (81.6 %) and Home over 0.5 goals (80.6 %). Each selection carries its own probability, reflecting the tight contest predicted.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brentford win
41.6%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
26.0%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win
32.4%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D00D12L30W03L22D11D30W61W11DH·EVE11/04H·FUL18/04A·MAN27/04H·WES02/05A·MAN09/05H·CRY17/05A·LIV24/05H·TOT22/08A·BIR25/08A·LEE30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.131.621.001.651.24
vs Stronger (5)0.401.801.001.000.252.00
vs Similar (22)1.731.091.671.001.801.20
vs Weaker (3)3.000.33--3.000.33
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-403L10W13L11D01L21W12L32W20W43WA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.771.571.621.311.931.86
vs Stronger (2)1.004.000.003.002.005.00
vs Similar (12)1.251.671.001.671.501.67
vs Weaker (16)2.251.192.220.892.291.57
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%11%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%411%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
82.2%
Under 1.5
17.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
59.3%
Under 2.5
40.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
36.9%
Under 3.5
63.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
62.5%
No
37.5%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.0%
2-1
8.9%
1-2
7.8%
1-0
6.5%
2-2
6.4%
2-0
6.2%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.5%
Brentford goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
01234
05.7%5.5%4.7%2.3%0.8%
16.5%12%7.8%3.7%1.3%
26.2%8.9%6.4%3.0%1.1%
33.4%4.9%3.5%1.7%0.6%
41.4%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brentford goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Brentford is 0.03 points better than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.37).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Brentford is 0.08 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Brentford and Chelsea are level in goals conceded per game (both 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Brentford is 10.1 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (47% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrentfordBrentford

For 5.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1606564732149421026879323111010161312815125A·LEEA·BIRH·TOTA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·WESA·MANH·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60412113213241342124325464612A·LEEA·BIRH·TOTA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·WESA·MANH·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.1

⚠️ Fouls

31013512917149975148812968136718213118122220152113A·LEEA·BIRH·TOTA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·WESA·MANH·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

For 5.4 · Against 4.7 · Total 10.1

🚩 Corners

14047934677344425101645611121014787111011H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.5

🟨 Cards

7013132234331423134114155746472H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.7 · Against 13.1 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

34061211671218151118151317171210141361518171933292834222721H·BRIH·LUTA·FULA·SUNH·TOTH·MANA·LIVH·NOTH·LEEA·BRI
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.98.910.73.33.03.519.820.119.6
vs Stronger (9)10.38.811.64.35.03.818.219.517.2
vs Similar (36)10.08.911.03.32.63.920.420.220.6
vs Weaker (5)8.5-8.51.8-1.818.2-18.2
% over line60%52%65%46%41%50%34%43%27%
% under line40%48%35%54%59%50%66%57%73%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.110.89.54.04.13.822.522.722.3
vs Stronger (2)8.512.05.00.50.01.019.518.021.0
vs Similar (22)9.510.28.84.55.23.824.824.125.6
vs Weaker (26)10.811.410.33.83.54.120.821.719.9
% over line64%70%58%60%68%52%53%65%42%
% under line36%30%42%40%32%48%47%35%58%
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
47.3%
Under 9.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
54.1%
Under 3.5
45.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
47.3%
Under 21.5
52.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Brentford or Draw
66.1%
Avg Implied -
42%
26%
32%
covers Brentford + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford or Chelsea
74.4%
Avg Implied -
42%
26%
32%
covers Brentford + Chelsea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Chelsea
59.5%
Avg Implied -
42%
26%
32%
covers Draw + Chelsea
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Brentford over/under 0.5
Over
80.9%
Under
19.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5
Over
49.3%
Under
50.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5
Over
23.1%
Under
76.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 3.5
Over
8.7%
Under
91.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5
Over
77.8%
Under
22.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5
Over
44.3%
Under
55.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5
Over
19.2%
Under
80.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 3.5
Over
6.6%
Under
93.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Brentford, so a minus line means Brentford give that many goals of a start and Chelsea receive them. At -1, Brentford must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Brentford win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Brentford)
Brentford -2
8.8%
Draw -2
12.4%
Chelsea +2
78.7%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Brentford)
Brentford -1
21.3%
Draw -1
19.2%
Chelsea +1
59.5%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Brentford)
Brentford +1
66.1%
Draw +1
17.3%
Chelsea -1
16.6%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Brentford)
Brentford +2
83.4%
Draw +2
10.2%
Chelsea -2
6.3%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D02L10W00D11D00D20W31W10WH·EVE11/04H·FUL18/04A·MAN27/04H·WES02/05A·MAN09/05H·CRY17/05A·LIV24/05H·TOT22/08A·BIR25/08A·LEE30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.770.460.760.53
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.550.830.500.900.60
vs Weaker (3)1.330.33--1.330.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L10W02L11D00D10W01L21W00D31WA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.700.690.561.000.86
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.002.001.002.00
vs Similar (12)0.750.750.670.500.831.00
vs Weaker (16)0.940.500.780.441.140.57
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W20W03L11D11D10W30W01LH·EVE11/04H·FUL18/04A·MAN27/04H·WES02/05A·MAN09/05H·CRY17/05A·LIV24/05H·TOT22/08A·BIR25/08A·LEE30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.850.540.880.71
vs Stronger (5)0.401.401.001.000.251.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.550.830.500.900.60
vs Weaker (3)1.670.00--1.670.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L00D11D00D01L11D11D11D20W12LA·BRI21/04H·LEE26/04H·NOT04/05A·LIV09/05H·MAN16/05H·TOT19/05A·SUN24/05A·FUL24/08H·LUT27/08H·BRI30/08
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.9
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.930.870.940.750.931.00
vs Stronger (2)0.502.000.001.001.003.00
vs Similar (12)0.500.920.331.170.670.67
vs Weaker (16)1.310.691.440.441.141.00
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.598.4%-------
Under 6.595.8%-------
Away under 3.5 goals93.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals91.3%-------
Under 5.589.9%-------
Home +2 handicap83.4%-------
Over 1.582.2%-------
Under 25.5 fouls81.8%-------
Home over 0.5 goals80.9%-------
Away under 2.5 goals80.8%-------
Under 5.5 cards80.5%-------
Under 4.578.8%-------
Away +2 handicap78.7%-------
Away over 0.5 goals77.8%-------
Home under 2.5 goals76.9%-------
Under 11.5 corners75.6%-------
Home or Away74.4%-------
Over 2.5 cards74.3%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson33%
Mikkel Damsgaard33%
Nathan Collins33%
Vitaly Janelt33%
Aaron Hickey33%
Keane Lewis-Potter33%
Kevin Schade33%
Igor Thiago33%
Michael Kayode33%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt67%
Nathan Collins33%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Michael Kayode0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Sangare67%
Keane Lewis-Potter33%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Yehor Yarmoliuk33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Nathan Collins0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Kevin Schade0%
Igor Thiago0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Michael Kayode0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nathan Collins33%
Kevin Schade33%
Igor Thiago33%
Michael Kayode33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Chelsea
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto33%
Morgan Rogers33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Reece James33%
Roméo Lavia33%
Pedro Neto0%
João Pedro0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Cole Palmer0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro67%
Morgan Rogers33%
Maxence Lacroix33%
Cole Palmer33%
Malo Gusto33%
Jorrel Hato33%
Pedro Neto0%
Reece James0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro67%
Cole Palmer67%
Pedro Neto0%
Morgan Rogers0%
Reece James0%
Maxence Lacroix0%
Malo Gusto0%
Pep Chavarría0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Brentford's squad is €841m less valuable than Chelsea's (€565m vs €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Brentford's attack is €386m less valuable than Chelsea's (€228m vs €614m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Brentford's midfield is €150m less valuable than Chelsea's (€128m vs €278m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Brentford's defence is €305m less valuable than Chelsea's (€209m vs €514m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BRE wins
4
Draws
2
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brentford vs Chelsea · H/A from BRE
DateH/AGameScore
17/01/26AChelsea Vs BRE2-0
13/09/25HBRE Vs Chelsea2-2
06/04/25HBRE Vs Chelsea0-0
15/12/24AChelsea Vs BRE2-1
02/03/24HBRE Vs Chelsea2-2
28/10/23AChelsea Vs BRE0-2
26/04/23AChelsea Vs BRE0-2
19/10/22HBRE Vs Chelsea0-0

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ALeeds Vs BRE1-1
25/08/26ABirmingham Vs BRE1-6
22/08/26HBRE Vs Tottenham3-0
24/05/26ALiverpool Vs BRE1-1
17/05/26HBRE Vs Crystal Palace2-2
09/05/26AManchester City Vs BRE3-0
02/05/26HBRE Vs West Ham3-0
27/04/26AManchester United Vs BRE2-1
18/04/26HBRE Vs Fulham0-0
11/04/26HBRE Vs Everton2-2

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26HCHE Vs Brighton4-3
27/08/26HCHE Vs Luton2-0
24/08/26AFulham Vs CHE2-3
24/05/26ASunderland Vs CHE2-1
19/05/26HCHE Vs Tottenham2-1
16/05/26HCHE Vs Manchester City0-1
09/05/26ALiverpool Vs CHE1-1
04/05/26HCHE Vs Nottingham Forest1-3
26/04/26HCHE Vs Leeds1-0
21/04/26ABrighton Vs CHE3-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.50
HomeDDWDW1.64
AwayLLDWD1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%41%39%
AVG goals2.882.912.86
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %50%59%43%
Over 3.5 %36%45%29%
Scored1.621.771.50
Conceded1.261.141.36
BTTS52%59%46%
Clean Sheet30%27%32%
Corners9.908.8610.71
Cards3.673.413.89
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 5 Wins / 1 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWW1.52
HomeLLWWW1.54
AwayLLDLW1.50
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%46%42%
AVG goals3.303.003.58
Over 1.5 %84%79%88%
Over 2.5 %68%58%77%
Over 3.5 %42%29%54%
Scored1.821.711.92
Conceded1.481.291.65
BTTS60%46%73%
Clean Sheet24%33%15%
Corners10.0410.799.35
Cards4.434.574.31

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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