Brentford are tipped to edge Leeds at Griffin Park, with a 45% chance of a home win, 26% for a draw and 29% for a Leeds victory. The match is expected to produce an average of three goals, yet the most likely total is two, with a 24% probability. The single most probable scoreline is 1-1, a 12.2% chance. Brentford’s home form shows they average 2.2 goals scored and 1.4 conceded against similar opposition, while Leeds, on the road, averages 1.14 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. The model’s selections include Over 1.5 goals at 80.8%, Over 2.5 cards at 80.3%, Over 19.5 fouls at 73.6%, Under 25.5 fouls at 73.6% and Under 5.5 cards at 73.6%. The last five games for both sides have been unbeaten, each ending in a 1-1 draw against the other, setting a cautious tone for the fixture.
Results analysis
The 1-1 draw surprised everyone, as the pre-match favourite, Home win, was expected to win with a 45% probability. The model’s call was wrong, and the match ended in a stalemate. Brentford’s recent run of DWWDD kept them unbeaten in their last five, while Leeds came off a draw, both ending 1-1. The model’s selection Over 1.5 goals hit, with an 80.8% chance, while Over 2.5 cards missed at 80.3%. Over 19.5 fouls also missed at 73.6%, but Under 25.5 fouls and Under 5.5 cards both hit, each with 73.6%. The final score of 1-1 matched the most likely score of 1-1, which had a 12.2% probability.
🎯 1. Model Analysis
Brentford win✗ Miss
44.6%
Avg Implied 44.3% · @ 2.14
Edge
+0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
26.2%
Avg Implied 29.1% · @ 3.25
Edge
-2.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Leeds win✗ Miss
29.2%
Avg Implied 26.6% · @ 3.56
Edge
+2.6%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
⚽ 2. Goal Analysis
Brentford
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.0
Avg scored
1.7
Avg conceded
1.3
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.60
1.33
1.93
1.36
1.31
1.31
vs Stronger (6)
1.00
1.33
1.25
1.25
0.50
1.50
vs Similar (23)
1.61
1.39
2.20
1.40
1.15
1.38
vs Weaker (1)
5.00
0.00
-
-
5.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
3.7
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
2.2
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
1.63
1.37
2.13
1.07
1.13
1.67
vs Stronger (4)
2.00
3.00
3.00
2.00
1.00
4.00
vs Similar (15)
1.27
1.27
1.38
1.00
1.14
1.57
vs Weaker (11)
2.00
0.91
3.00
0.80
1.17
1.00
Clean sheet %
23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.8%
Under 1.5
19.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
57.2%
@ 2.09+12.2%
Under 2.5
42.8%
@ 1.71-12.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
34.8%
Under 3.5
65.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.4%
No
39.6%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
12.2%
2-1
9.3%
1-0
7.4%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.2%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.6%
Brentford goals ↓
Leeds goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
6.2%
5.6%
4.4%
1.9%
0.6%
1
7.4%
12%
7.3%
3.2%
1.0%
2
7.1%
9.3%
6.1%
2.7%
0.9%
3
3.9%
5.1%
3.4%
1.5%
0.5%
4
1.6%
2.1%
1.4%
0.6%
0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brentford goals (down), columns = Leeds goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Newcastle
1.29
Everton
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
West Ham
1.03
Burnley
0.58
Wolves
0.53
Brentford is 0.16 points better than Leeds in terms of average points per game (1.39 vs 1.24).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Tottenham
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
West Ham
1.21
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Burnley
1.00
Wolves
0.71
Brentford is 0.16 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.29).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Manchester United
1.32
Everton
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
West Ham
1.71
Wolves
1.79
Burnley
1.97
Brentford is 0.11 goals better than Leeds in terms of goals conceded per game (1.37 vs 1.47).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
West Ham
42%
Burnley
42%
Brentford is 1.8 percentage points better than Leeds in terms of average possession (47% vs 46%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brentford
For 5.5 · Against 4.6 · Total 10.1
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.2 · Against 8.7 · Total 17.9
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Leeds
For 4.3 · Against 3.7 · Total 8.0
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.0 · Against 2.1 · Total 4.1
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 12.6 · Total 23.8
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brentford
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
10.2
9.6
10.8
3.5
3.5
3.5
19.0
18.3
19.6
vs Stronger (10)
11.0
9.6
14.3
3.5
3.9
2.7
17.1
17.3
16.7
vs Similar (37)
10.2
9.6
10.6
3.8
3.8
3.7
19.5
18.7
20.0
vs Weaker (3)
5.0
-
5.0
0.7
0.0
2.0
19.0
-
19.0
% over line
57%
45%
68%
44%
46%
42%
32%
32%
32%
% under line
43%
55%
32%
56%
54%
58%
68%
68%
68%
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.1
9.6
8.5
3.0
3.2
2.9
21.8
21.9
21.8
vs Stronger (4)
7.0
7.5
6.5
3.8
4.0
3.5
24.5
25.5
23.5
vs Similar (20)
8.4
8.9
7.8
3.2
3.9
2.4
22.3
23.4
21.0
vs Weaker (26)
9.9
10.6
9.3
2.8
2.4
3.2
21.1
20.1
22.0
% over line
46%
54%
38%
32%
35%
29%
56%
67%
46%
% under line
54%
46%
62%
68%
65%
71%
44%
33%
54%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.4
Tottenham
10.5
West Ham
10.4
Bournemouth
10.4
Brentford
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Nottingham Forest
10.1
Fulham
10.1
Aston Villa
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Everton
9.8
Manchester United
9.7
Sunderland
9.5
Arsenal
9.4
Burnley
9.4
Manchester City
9.4
Wolves
9.2
Leeds
9.2
Crystal Palace
9.2
Chelsea
9.1
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.9
Chelsea
4.4
Sunderland
4.3
Manchester United
4.3
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Brighton
4.1
Wolves
3.9
Aston Villa
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Tottenham
3.8
Brentford
3.7
Newcastle
3.7
Everton
3.6
Liverpool
3.5
West Ham
3.5
Manchester City
3.5
Fulham
3.5
Arsenal
3.4
Burnley
3.4
Leeds
3.1
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Bournemouth
24.5
Wolves
24.1
Aston Villa
23.2
Chelsea
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Tottenham
22.6
Nottingham Forest
22.5
Sunderland
22.4
Everton
22.1
Manchester United
22.0
Leeds
22.0
Arsenal
22.0
West Ham
21.8
Burnley
21.8
Newcastle
21.5
Crystal Palace
21.1
Liverpool
20.7
Fulham
20.7
Brentford
18.9
Manchester City
18.5
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.3%
Under 9.5
44.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
62.3%
Under 3.5
37.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
57.8%
Under 21.5
42.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brentford
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.63
0.86
0.57
0.69
0.69
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.50
0.75
0.50
0.00
0.50
vs Similar (23)
0.74
0.70
0.90
0.60
0.62
0.77
vs Weaker (1)
3.00
0.00
-
-
3.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.5
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.7
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.87
0.60
1.20
0.33
0.53
0.87
vs Stronger (4)
0.50
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.73
0.53
0.75
0.38
0.71
0.71
vs Weaker (11)
1.18
0.55
2.00
0.40
0.50
0.67
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Under
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brentford
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.83
0.70
1.07
0.79
0.62
0.62
vs Stronger (6)
0.50
0.83
0.50
0.75
0.50
1.00
vs Similar (23)
0.87
0.70
1.30
0.80
0.54
0.62
vs Weaker (1)
2.00
0.00
-
-
2.00
0.00
Clean sheet %
47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Leeds) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Leeds
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.2
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
1.5
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.77
0.77
0.93
0.73
0.60
0.80
vs Stronger (4)
1.50
2.00
2.00
2.00
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (15)
0.53
0.73
0.62
0.62
0.43
0.86
vs Weaker (11)
0.82
0.36
1.00
0.40
0.67
0.33
Clean sheet %
50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Leeds over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 1.5
80.8%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
80.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 19.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Under 25.5 fouls
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards
73.6%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Igor Thiago42%
Fabio Carvalho33%
Dango Ouattara16%
Kevin Schade15%
Mathias Jensen12%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mikkel Damsgaard8%
Reiss Nelson7%
Nathan Collins5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Jordan Henderson3%
Yehor Yarmolyuk2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Sepp van den Berg0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt30%
Michael Kayode20%
Igor Thiago20%
Yehor Yarmolyuk19%
Jordan Henderson18%
Nathan Collins17%
Kevin Schade15%
Dango Ouattara14%
Kristoffer Ajer13%
Ethan Pinnock12%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mathias Jensen7%
Rico Henry7%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Aaron Hickey4%
Caoimhin Kelleher3%
Keane Lewis-Potter2%
Reiss Nelson0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Frank Onyeka22%
Reiss Nelson14%
Fabio Carvalho11%
Mikkel Damsgaard11%
Vitaly Janelt10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Jordan Henderson9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Kevin Schade8%
Nathan Collins7%
Mathias Jensen7%
Kristoffer Ajer6%
Sepp van den Berg5%
Yehor Yarmolyuk5%
Rico Henry3%
Igor Thiago2%
Michael Kayode2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Igor Thiago25%
Kevin Schade21%
Dango Ouattara19%
Keane Lewis-Potter7%
Reiss Nelson7%
Mikkel Damsgaard3%
Sepp van den Berg3%
Mathias Jensen2%
Caoimhin Kelleher0%
Jordan Henderson0%
Kristoffer Ajer0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Rico Henry0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Hákon Rafn Valdimarsson0%
Fabio Carvalho0%
Yehor Yarmolyuk0%
Antoni Milambo0%
Michael Kayode0%
Kaye Furo0%
Romelle Donovan0%
Benjamin Arthur0%
Leeds
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Dominic Calvert-Lewin36%
Noah Okafor21%
Lukas Nmecha19%
Anton Stach15%
Ao Tanaka12%
Sean Longstaff11%
James Justin9%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Joe Rodon5%
Jayden Bogle5%
Joël Piroe5%
Wilfried Gnonto3%
Jaka Bijol3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Pascal Struijk0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Ethan Ampadu30%
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Jayden Bogle21%
Pascal Struijk16%
Gabriel Gudmundsson14%
Jaka Bijol13%
James Justin12%
Ilia Gruev12%
Sean Longstaff11%
Wilfried Gnonto10%
Lucas Perri10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Joe Rodon8%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin8%
Jack Harrison8%
Brenden Aaronson7%
Ao Tanaka6%
Sebastiaan Bornauw6%
Lukas Nmecha5%
Karl Darlow4%
Joël Piroe0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Brenden Aaronson12%
Jaka Bijol10%
Noah Okafor9%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Ilia Gruev8%
Sean Longstaff7%
Wilfried Gnonto7%
Jayden Bogle5%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Dominic Calvert-Lewin3%
Ethan Ampadu2%
Joël Piroe0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Sam Byram0%
Joe Rodon0%
Daniel James0%
Ao Tanaka0%
Lucas Perri0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Dominic Calvert-Lewin31%
Anton Stach9%
Lukas Nmecha8%
Joël Piroe5%
Sean Longstaff4%
Ao Tanaka3%
Noah Okafor3%
James Justin3%
Gabriel Gudmundsson3%
Pascal Struijk3%
Joe Rodon3%
Brenden Aaronson2%
Jaka Bijol0%
Sebastiaan Bornauw0%
Ethan Ampadu0%
Karl Darlow0%
Jack Harrison0%
Jayden Bogle0%
Sam Byram0%
Daniel James0%
Lucas Perri0%
Ilia Gruev0%
Wilfried Gnonto0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
💰 14. Squad value
💰 Total value
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
Brentford's squad is €138m more valuable than Leeds's (€565m vs €427m).
⚔️ Attack
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
Brentford's attack is €62m more valuable than Leeds's (€228m vs €166m).
🧠 Midfield
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brentford's midfield is €30m more valuable than Leeds's (€128m vs €98m).
🛡️ Defence
Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
BUR (11)
€37m
Brentford's defence is €46m more valuable than Leeds's (€209m vs €163m).
England: Premier League 2025/26 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →
PythiaFootballBETA
Arsenal
Manchester City
Manchester United
Aston Villa
Liverpool
Bournemouth
Sunderland
Brighton
Chelsea
Fulham
Newcastle
Everton
Crystal Palace
Nottingham Forest
Tottenham
West Ham
Burnley
Wolves