Brentford vs Nottingham Forest Result & Analysis

Brentford are tipped to lift the trophy at their home ground, with the model favouring a home win at 44%. The match is expected to see about 2.6 goals, centring on a 2-goal total that carries a 27% chance. The single most likely scoreline is a 1-1 draw, with a 13.7% probability. Brentford have been scoring and conceding 1.67 goals each against similar opposition at home, while Nottingham Forest have managed 1.1 goals and allowed 2.0 at away venues. The model’s selections include Under 25.5 fouls at 86.6%, Under 11.5 corners at 82.5%, Over 2.5 cards at 82.3%, Under 23.5 fouls at 75.6%, Under 3.5 at 74.4%, Over 1.5 at 73.8%, Under 10.5 corners at 73.3%, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.8%. The probabilities for a home win, draw and away win are 44%, 29% and 27% respectively.

Brentford’s unbeaten run extended as they beat Nottingham Forest 3-2, a result that matched the model’s favourite call of a home win with a 44% probability. The prediction of a 2-goal total was correct, and the most likely scoreline of 1-1, 1-0 or 2-1 proved close to the actual 3-2 outcome. The model’s selections largely hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 86.6% hit, Under 11.5 corners at 82.5% hit, Over 2.5 cards at 82.3% hit, Over 1.5 at 73.8% hit, Under 10.5 corners at 73.3% hit, and Under 5.5 cards at 70.8% hit. Two picks missed: Under 23.5 fouls at 75.6% and Under 3.5 at 74.4%. The forecast proved largely accurate.