This opponent (Lecco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecco
Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
2.3
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
1.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.90
1.80
0.87
1.53
0.93
2.07
vs Stronger (26)
0.88
1.65
0.77
1.31
1.00
2.00
vs Similar (4)
1.00
2.75
1.50
3.00
0.50
2.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
17% (-12pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Total goals distribution
The model estimates around 2.4 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (27%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
71.2%
Under 1.5
28.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
44.1%
@ 1.77-8.9%
Under 2.5
55.9%
@ 2.00+8.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
23.0%
Under 3.5
77.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
45.9%
No
54.1%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.
Correct score
Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.7%
2-0
11.5%
0-0
9.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-0
6.3%
0-1
5.9%
3-1
5.1%
Brescia goals ↓
Lecco goals →
0
1
2
3
4
0
9.9%
5.9%
2.9%
0.8%
0.2%
1
13%
13%
4.7%
1.3%
0.3%
2
12%
9.4%
3.8%
1.0%
0.2%
3
6.3%
5.1%
2.1%
0.6%
0.1%
4
2.5%
2.1%
0.8%
0.2%
0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brescia goals (down), columns = Lecco goals (across).
💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis
🏆 Total PPG
Points / game
Parma
2.00
Como
1.92
Venezia
1.90
Cremonese
1.71
Catanzaro
1.51
Sampdoria
1.46
Palermo
1.44
Brescia
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.24
Modena
1.24
Reggiana
1.24
Cittadella
1.21
Pisa
1.21
Spezia
1.16
Bari
1.12
Ternana
1.10
Ascoli
1.08
FeralpiSalo
0.87
Lecco
0.68
Brescia is 0.65 points better than Lecco in terms of average points per game (1.33 vs 0.68).
⚔️ Attack
Goals scored / game
Venezia
1.74
Parma
1.74
Palermo
1.59
Catanzaro
1.56
Como
1.53
Sampdoria
1.36
Pisa
1.34
Cremonese
1.33
Cosenza
1.24
Sudtirol
1.21
Brescia
1.18
FeralpiSalo
1.16
Ternana
1.10
Modena
1.08
Cittadella
1.05
Bari
1.05
Ascoli
1.00
Reggiana
1.00
Spezia
0.95
Lecco
0.92
Brescia is 0.26 goals better than Lecco in terms of goals scored per game (1.18 vs 0.92).
🛡️ Defense
Conceded / game · lower better
Cremonese
0.86
Parma
0.92
Como
1.05
Brescia
1.08
Cosenza
1.11
Ascoli
1.11
Venezia
1.12
Reggiana
1.18
Cittadella
1.24
Modena
1.24
Bari
1.25
Sudtirol
1.26
Spezia
1.29
Sampdoria
1.33
Ternana
1.35
Palermo
1.37
Catanzaro
1.41
Pisa
1.42
FeralpiSalo
1.71
Lecco
1.95
Brescia is 0.87 goals better than Lecco in terms of goals conceded per game (1.08 vs 1.95).
⏱️ Possession
Avg possession %
Catanzaro
58%
Pisa
56%
Cremonese
56%
Venezia
52%
Reggiana
52%
Como
51%
Spezia
51%
Sampdoria
51%
Parma
50%
Bari
50%
Palermo
50%
Modena
50%
Cosenza
49%
Brescia
48%
Sudtirol
48%
Cittadella
47%
Lecco
47%
FeralpiSalo
45%
Ascoli
45%
Ternana
44%
Brescia is 1.2 percentage points better than Lecco in terms of average possession (48% vs 47%).
🎲 4. Props Analysis
Brescia
For 4.3 · Against 5.5 · Total 9.8
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.1 · Against 2.6 · Total 4.7
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.1 · Against 13.6 · Total 27.7
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Lecco
For 3.8 · Against 5.4 · Total 9.2
🚩 Corners
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.6 · Against 2.0 · Total 4.6
🟨 Cards
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 15.7 · Against 12.5 · Total 28.2
⚠️ Fouls
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
Brescia
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (50)
9.4
9.4
9.4
3.8
4.0
3.6
29.4
29.5
29.3
vs Stronger (22)
9.1
9.6
8.5
3.7
4.0
3.4
27.6
27.0
28.2
vs Similar (27)
9.3
9.2
9.4
3.9
4.0
3.7
30.5
31.5
29.3
vs Weaker (1)
16.0
-
16.0
5.0
-
5.0
37.0
-
37.0
% over line
47%
56%
39%
58%
62%
54%
89%
94%
83%
% under line
53%
44%
61%
42%
38%
46%
11%
6%
17%
This opponent (Lecco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecco
Split
Corners
Cards
Fouls
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Tot
Hme
Awy
Overall (36)
9.6
8.5
10.6
5.5
5.5
5.6
27.9
28.4
27.3
vs Stronger (30)
9.5
8.4
10.7
5.6
5.3
5.9
28.5
29.3
27.7
vs Similar (6)
9.7
9.0
10.3
5.2
6.3
4.0
24.7
24.0
25.3
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
% over line
44%
33%
56%
86%
83%
89%
92%
89%
94%
% under line
56%
67%
44%
14%
17%
11%
8%
11%
6%
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
🚩 Total Corners
Match total corners / game
Venezia
10.4
Parma
10.2
Ternana
10.1
Brescia
10.0
Palermo
10.0
Cremonese
9.8
FeralpiSalo
9.8
Modena
9.7
Bari
9.7
Spezia
9.7
Cosenza
9.6
Lecco
9.6
Como
9.5
Ascoli
9.5
Reggiana
9.3
Catanzaro
9.2
Pisa
9.1
Cittadella
8.8
Sampdoria
8.6
Sudtirol
8.6
🟨 Total Cards
Match total cards / game
Cosenza
6.5
Pisa
6.2
Spezia
5.7
Modena
5.7
Ascoli
5.7
Bari
5.7
Sampdoria
5.7
Cittadella
5.6
Lecco
5.5
Sudtirol
5.4
Parma
5.4
Catanzaro
5.3
Reggiana
5.3
Palermo
5.2
Cremonese
5.2
Como
5.1
FeralpiSalo
5.1
Brescia
5.0
Ternana
4.9
Venezia
4.9
⚠️ Total Fouls
Match total fouls / game
Ascoli
32.1
Cittadella
32.1
Sampdoria
30.2
Sudtirol
30.1
Spezia
29.8
Reggiana
29.6
Bari
29.3
Como
29.1
Catanzaro
28.9
Pisa
28.8
Palermo
28.8
Modena
28.7
Brescia
28.5
Lecco
27.9
Cremonese
27.4
Cosenza
27.3
Ternana
27.3
Parma
26.8
FeralpiSalo
26.8
Venezia
25.9
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
53.5%
Under 9.5
46.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
76.1%
Under 3.5
23.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
90.3%
Under 21.5
9.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔀 5. Double Chance
Double Chance
Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under
⚖️ 7. Handicap
⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U
Brescia
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.60
0.70
0.64
0.50
0.56
0.88
vs Stronger (14)
0.50
1.00
0.71
1.00
0.29
1.00
vs Similar (16)
0.69
0.44
0.57
0.00
0.78
0.78
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
50% (+22pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecco
Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
1.0
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.47
0.70
0.40
0.60
0.53
0.80
vs Stronger (26)
0.46
0.69
0.31
0.54
0.62
0.85
vs Similar (4)
0.50
0.75
1.00
1.00
0.00
0.50
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
47% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecco over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecco over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecco over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U
Brescia
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.57
0.47
0.57
0.50
0.56
0.44
vs Stronger (14)
0.57
0.36
0.71
0.29
0.43
0.43
vs Similar (16)
0.56
0.56
0.43
0.71
0.67
0.44
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
60% (+32pp vs league)
This opponent (Lecco) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Lecco
Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.1
Avg conceded
0.8
Split
Total Scored
Total Conceded
Home Scored
Home Conceded
Away Scored
Away Conceded
Avg goals/game
0.43
1.10
0.47
0.93
0.40
1.27
vs Stronger (26)
0.42
0.96
0.46
0.77
0.38
1.15
vs Similar (4)
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
0.50
2.00
vs Weaker (0)
-
-
-
-
-
-
Clean sheet %
33% (+5pp vs league)
This opponent (Brescia) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U
How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brescia over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 1.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brescia over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecco over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecco over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Lecco over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
🔥 12. Top picks for this game
Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
Pick
Probability
Avg odds
Best 1
Best 2
Best 3
Best 4
Best 5
Edge
Result
Over 19.5 fouls
95.7%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls
90.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards
89.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 23.5 fouls
81.4%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 3.5
77.0%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✗ Miss
Over 3.5 cards
76.1%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Over 1.5
71.2%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners
70.3%
-
-
-
-
-
-
-
✓ Hit
No picks at these odds - lower the slider to see shorter-priced selections.
🎽 13. Player market rates
Brescia
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Gennaro Borrelli29%
Gabriele Moncini26%
Birkir Bjarnason13%
Flavio Bianchi10%
Dimitri Bisoli9%
Nicolas Galazzi9%
Alexander Jallow8%
Davide Adorni4%
Fabrizio Paghera4%
Massimo Bertagnoli4%
Andrea Papetti3%
Lorenzo Dickmann3%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Matteo Ferro0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Andrea Cistana39%
Fabrizio Paghera36%
Mohamed Fares31%
Lorenzo Dickmann22%
Giacomo Olzer21%
Dimitri Bisoli21%
Tom Van De Looi19%
Massimo Bertagnoli18%
Nicolas Galazzi18%
Davide Adorni16%
Alexander Jallow16%
Matthieu Huard16%
Gennaro Borrelli14%
Michele Besaggio14%
Lorenzo Andrenacci11%
Matteo Ferro10%
Andrea Papetti9%
Gabriele Moncini9%
Birkir Bjarnason8%
Riccardo Fogliata8%
Luca Lezzerini4%
Massimiliano Mangraviti4%
Flavio Bianchi3%
Michele Avella0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Nicolas Galazzi15%
Dimitri Bisoli12%
Lorenzo Dickmann8%
Riccardo Fogliata8%
Gennaro Borrelli7%
Andrea Papetti6%
Gabriele Moncini6%
Andrea Cistana4%
Fabrizio Paghera4%
Alexander Jallow4%
Massimiliano Mangraviti4%
Flavio Bianchi3%
Birkir Bjarnason0%
Davide Adorni0%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Giacomo Olzer0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Matteo Ferro0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Gabriele Moncini23%
Flavio Bianchi13%
Gennaro Borrelli11%
Giacomo Olzer7%
Lorenzo Dickmann5%
Birkir Bjarnason5%
Dimitri Bisoli3%
Davide Adorni0%
Mohamed Fares0%
Lorenzo Andrenacci0%
Andrea Cistana0%
Fabrizio Paghera0%
Luca Lezzerini0%
Tom Van De Looi0%
Alexander Jallow0%
Massimiliano Mangraviti0%
Massimo Bertagnoli0%
Michele Avella0%
Matthieu Huard0%
Andrea Papetti0%
Nicolas Galazzi0%
Michele Besaggio0%
Riccardo Fogliata0%
Matteo Ferro0%
Lecco
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Nicolò Buso26%
Andrija Novakovich13%
Franco Lepore12%
Artur Ioniță11%
Mattia Tordini11%
Umberto Eusepi8%
Lorenzo Di Stefano8%
Roberto Inglese7%
Alessandro Sersanti6%
Giovanni Crociata6%
Mats Lemmens6%
Alessandro Bianconi4%
Alessandro Caporale3%
Eddie Salcedo0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Eugenio Lamanna0%
Elio Capradossi0%
Luca Marrone0%
Mario Ierardi0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Umberto Saracco0%
Giorgio Galli0%
Luca Giudici0%
Davide Guglielmotti0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Riccardo Melgrati0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Matteo Battistini0%
Henri Salomaa0%
Marco Frigerio0%
Joshua Tenkorang0%
Duccio Degli Innocenti0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Luca Marrone50%
Alessandro Sersanti39%
Mats Lemmens39%
Giovanni Crociata36%
Eugenio Lamanna33%
Mattia Tordini33%
Vittorio Parigini31%
Duccio Degli Innocenti28%
Mario Ierardi25%
Alessandro Caporale23%
Davide Guglielmotti23%
Alessandro Bianconi17%
Elio Capradossi17%
Matteo Battistini15%
Franco Lepore15%
Marco Frigerio14%
Giorgio Galli11%
Vedran Celjak11%
Andrija Novakovich11%
Eddie Salcedo10%
Gabriel Lunetta10%
Artur Ioniță8%
Umberto Eusepi8%
Lorenzo Di Stefano8%
Nicolò Buso6%
Roberto Inglese0%
Umberto Saracco0%
Luca Giudici0%
Riccardo Melgrati0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Henri Salomaa0%
Joshua Tenkorang0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Lorenzo Di Stefano15%
Franco Lepore15%
Alessandro Caporale13%
Mario Ierardi12%
Luca Giudici9%
Artur Ioniță8%
Nicolò Buso6%
Giovanni Crociata6%
Mats Lemmens6%
Duccio Degli Innocenti3%
Alessandro Sersanti3%
Andrija Novakovich3%
Eddie Salcedo0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Umberto Eusepi0%
Eugenio Lamanna0%
Elio Capradossi0%
Luca Marrone0%
Roberto Inglese0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Umberto Saracco0%
Giorgio Galli0%
Davide Guglielmotti0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Riccardo Melgrati0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Matteo Battistini0%
Alessandro Bianconi0%
Henri Salomaa0%
Marco Frigerio0%
Mattia Tordini0%
Joshua Tenkorang0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nicolò Buso29%
Andrija Novakovich16%
Lorenzo Di Stefano15%
Mario Ierardi12%
Giovanni Crociata8%
Duccio Degli Innocenti7%
Franco Lepore6%
Alessandro Sersanti6%
Artur Ioniță6%
Alessandro Caporale3%
Eddie Salcedo0%
Vittorio Parigini0%
Umberto Eusepi0%
Eugenio Lamanna0%
Elio Capradossi0%
Luca Marrone0%
Roberto Inglese0%
Gabriel Lunetta0%
Umberto Saracco0%
Giorgio Galli0%
Luca Giudici0%
Davide Guglielmotti0%
Vedran Celjak0%
Riccardo Melgrati0%
Marcin Listkowski0%
Matteo Battistini0%
Alessandro Bianconi0%
Henri Salomaa0%
Marco Frigerio0%
Mattia Tordini0%
Joshua Tenkorang0%
Mats Lemmens0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.
Italy: Serie B 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full Italy: Serie B stats & trends →
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Venezia
Parma
Como
Cremonese
Catanzaro
Palermo
Sampdoria
Cosenza
Sudtirol
Modena
Reggiana
Pisa
Cittadella
Bari
Ternana
Spezia
Ascoli
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