Brickfield Rangers are favoured to win at home, a 57% chance according to the model, while draws and away victories sit at 24% and 19% respectively. The expected total is 2.9 goals, with the most likely total being 2 goals at 24%. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 11.7% probability. Brickfield Rangers have been prolific at home, scoring an average of 2.36 goals and conceding only 0.82 against similar opposition, whereas Guilsfield, on the road, averages 0.86 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.1%), Away under 2.5 HT goals (98.7%), Away under 3.5 goals (98.1%), Away under 2.5 2H goals (97.5%), Under 6.5 (97.3%), Home under 2.5 HT goals (94.9%), Home +2 handicap (93.1%) and Under 5.5 (92.9%) with a 4% edge. All figures are presented as percentages.
Brickfield Rangers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.67 | 1.53 | 1.93 | 1.20 | 1.40 | 1.87 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 2.09 | 1.09 | 2.36 | 0.82 | 1.82 | 1.36 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 0.50 | 2.75 | 0.75 | 2.25 | 0.25 | 3.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 23% (+1pp vs league) | |||||
Guilsfield| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.70 | 1.43 | 2.50 | 1.19 | 0.79 | 1.71 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.95 | 1.21 | 2.58 | 1.00 | 0.86 | 1.57 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 1.27 | 1.82 | 2.25 | 1.75 | 0.71 | 1.86 |
| Clean sheet % | 17% (-5pp vs league) | |||||
| Guilsfield goals → | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | |
| 0 | 6.7% | 4.6% | 2.8% | 0.9% | 0.2% |
| 1 | 9.6% | 12% | 5.3% | 1.8% | 0.4% |
| 2 | 9.9% | 9.9% | 4.9% | 1.6% | 0.4% |
| 3 | 6.2% | 6.2% | 3.1% | 1.0% | 0.3% |
| 4 | 2.9% | 2.9% | 1.4% | 0.5% | 0.1% |
Brickfield Rangers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.63 | 0.50 | 0.67 | 0.40 | 0.60 | 0.60 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 0.82 | 0.32 | 0.91 | 0.18 | 0.73 | 0.45 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 0.12 | 1.00 | 0.00 | 1.00 | 0.25 | 1.00 |
| Clean sheet % | 67% (+45pp vs league) | |||||
Guilsfield| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.87 | 0.83 | 1.25 | 0.81 | 0.43 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 0.95 | 0.68 | 1.17 | 0.75 | 0.57 | 0.57 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 0.73 | 1.09 | 1.50 | 1.00 | 0.29 | 1.14 |
| Clean sheet % | 37% (+15pp vs league) | |||||
Brickfield Rangers| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 1.03 | 1.03 | 1.27 | 0.80 | 0.80 | 1.27 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (22) | 1.27 | 0.77 | 1.45 | 0.64 | 1.09 | 0.91 |
| vs Weaker (8) | 0.38 | 1.75 | 0.75 | 1.25 | 0.00 | 2.25 |
| Clean sheet % | 33% (+11pp vs league) | |||||
Guilsfield| Split | Total Scored | Total Conceded | Home Scored | Home Conceded | Away Scored | Away Conceded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Avg goals/game | 0.83 | 0.60 | 1.25 | 0.38 | 0.36 | 0.86 |
| vs Stronger (0) | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| vs Similar (19) | 1.00 | 0.53 | 1.42 | 0.25 | 0.29 | 1.00 |
| vs Weaker (11) | 0.55 | 0.73 | 0.75 | 0.75 | 0.43 | 0.71 |
| Clean sheet % | 60% (+38pp vs league) | |||||
| Pick | Probability | Avg odds | Best 1 | Best 2 | Best 3 | Best 4 | Best 5 | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Under 7.5 | 99.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 HT goals | 98.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 3.5 goals | 98.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 2.5 2H goals | 97.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 6.5 | 97.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 HT goals | 94.9% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home +2 handicap | 93.1% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Under 5.5 | 92.9% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +4.5% |
| Away under 2.5 goals | 92.0% | 1.10 | 1.11 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +9.8% |
| Away under 1.5 HT goals | 91.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 2.5 2H goals | 90.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 2H goals | 88.5% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home under 3.5 goals | 88.0% | 1.05 | 1.05 | - | - | - | - | +0.9% |
| Under 2.5 HT goals | 85.7% | 1.12 | 1.13 | 1.12 | 1.11 | - | - | +4.1% |
| Home over 0.5 goals | 84.6% | 1.11 | 1.12 | 1.10 | - | - | - | +3.1% |
| Under 4.5 | 83.7% | 1.16 | 1.18 | 1.15 | 1.15 | - | - | +5.8% |
| Home under 1.5 HT goals | 82.7% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Home or Draw | 81.2% | 1.28 | 1.30 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.26 | +9.6% |
| Home +1 handicap | 81.2% | 1.26 | 1.26 | - | - | - | - | +11.3% |
| Over 0.5 2H goals | 80.3% | 1.14 | 1.14 | 1.13 | - | - | - | +0.0% |
| Under 2.5 2H goals | 79.3% | 1.26 | 1.28 | 1.25 | - | - | - | +7.1% |
| Over 1.5 | 79.1% | 1.13 | 1.14 | 1.12 | 1.12 | - | - | -1.0% |
| Home or Away | 75.5% | 1.21 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 1.19 | -0.1% |
| Home under 1.5 2H goals | 74.3% | - | - | - | - | - | - | - |
| Away under 1.5 goals | 73.7% | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.51 | 1.50 | - | - | +12.9% |
| Over 0.5 HT goals | 72.5% | 1.24 | 1.25 | 1.24 | 1.22 | - | - | -1.7% |
| Home under 2.5 goals | 71.2% | 1.28 | 1.28 | 1.28 | - | - | - | +0.1% |
| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/26 | H | 2-1 | |
| 27/09/25 | A | 4-1 |
Brickfield Rangers| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 28/08/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 16/08/26 | A | 0-5 | |
| 08/08/26 | A | 1-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | H | 5-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 2-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | A | 2-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 0-6 | |
| 28/03/26 | H | 2-1 |
Guilsfield| Date | H/A | Game | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 28/08/26 | A | 3-1 | |
| 22/08/26 | H | 2-2 | |
| 15/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 08/08/26 | H | 3-2 | |
| 01/08/26 | A | 1-1 | |
| 18/04/26 | H | 4-0 | |
| 11/04/26 | H | 4-1 | |
| 06/04/26 | A | 4-1 | |
| 03/04/26 | A | 1-2 |
| Record | Goals | Props / game | Squad value €m | Strengths | |||||||||||||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rank | Team | MP | Pts | Win% | PPG | GF | GA | GD | G/G | O1.5 | O2.5 | O3.5 | Cor | Cor O% | Crd | Crd O% | Fls | Fls O% | Tot | Att | Mid | Def | Att/g | Def/g | Poss% |
| 1 | Brickfield Rangers | 6 | 15 | 83% | 2.5 | 17 | 4 | +13 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.7 | - |
| 2 | Swansea University | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 18 | 5 | +13 | 4.6 | 100% | 100% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.6 | 1.0 | - |
| 3 | Newtown AFC | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 14 | 1 | +13 | 3.0 | 80% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.8 | 0.2 | - |
| 4 | Pontypridd Town | 5 | 13 | 80% | 2.6 | 16 | 10 | +6 | 5.2 | 100% | 100% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 2.0 | - |
| 5 | Mold Alexandra | 6 | 13 | 67% | 2.2 | 12 | 6 | +6 | 3.0 | 67% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.0 | - |
| 6 | Aberystwyth Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 16 | 5 | +11 | 4.2 | 80% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 3.2 | 1.0 | - |
| 7 | Bangor City 1876 FC | 6 | 12 | 67% | 2.0 | 14 | 8 | +6 | 3.7 | 100% | 100% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.3 | 1.3 | - |
| 8 | Bala Town | 5 | 12 | 80% | 2.4 | 10 | 4 | +6 | 2.8 | 80% | 80% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 0.8 | - |
| 9 | Porthmadog | 6 | 11 | 50% | 1.8 | 11 | 9 | +2 | 3.3 | 83% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.5 | - |
| 10 | Caersws | 5 | 10 | 60% | 2.0 | 10 | 7 | +3 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.4 | - |
| 11 | Carmarthen Town | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 15 | 14 | +1 | 4.8 | 100% | 100% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.5 | 2.3 | - |
| 12 | Baglan Dragons | 6 | 10 | 50% | 1.7 | 5 | 5 | +0 | 1.7 | 33% | 33% | 17% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.8 | - |
| 13 | Treowen Stars | 5 | 9 | 60% | 1.8 | 13 | 9 | +4 | 4.4 | 100% | 100% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.6 | 1.8 | - |
| 14 | Guilsfield | 6 | 9 | 33% | 1.5 | 12 | 9 | +3 | 3.5 | 100% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.5 | - |
| 15 | Trethomas Bluebirds | 6 | 8 | 33% | 1.3 | 12 | 11 | +1 | 3.8 | 83% | 67% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 16 | Ynyshir Albions | 5 | 8 | 40% | 1.6 | 4 | 3 | +1 | 1.4 | 40% | 20% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.8 | 0.6 | - |
| 17 | Rhyl | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 9 | 8 | +1 | 3.4 | 80% | 60% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.6 | - |
| 18 | Afan Lido | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 11 | 13 | -2 | 4.0 | 67% | 67% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.2 | - |
| 19 | Caerau (Ely) | 6 | 7 | 33% | 1.2 | 13 | 17 | -4 | 5.0 | 100% | 83% | 83% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 2.2 | 2.8 | - |
| 20 | Caerphilly Athletic | 5 | 7 | 40% | 1.4 | 3 | 7 | -4 | 2.0 | 60% | 60% | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 1.4 | - |
| 21 | Newport City | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 9 | 5 | +4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 1.0 | - |
| 22 | Llanuwchllyn | 5 | 6 | 40% | 1.2 | 5 | 15 | -10 | 4.0 | 100% | 80% | 60% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 23 | Holyhead Hotspur | 5 | 4 | 20% | 0.8 | 7 | 9 | -2 | 3.2 | 80% | 80% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.4 | 1.8 | - |
| 24 | Cardiff Draconians | 4 | 4 | 25% | 1.0 | 5 | 7 | -2 | 3.0 | 50% | 50% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 25 | Denbigh Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 11 | 14 | -3 | 4.2 | 100% | 100% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.8 | 2.3 | - |
| 26 | Buckley Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 7 | 11 | -4 | 3.0 | 83% | 50% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.2 | 1.8 | - |
| 27 | Ruthin Town | 6 | 4 | 17% | 0.7 | 6 | 13 | -7 | 3.2 | 100% | 83% | 33% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 2.2 | - |
| 28 | Pontardawe Town | 5 | 3 | 20% | 0.6 | 5 | 9 | -4 | 2.8 | 60% | 60% | 40% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 1.8 | - |
| 29 | llanelli AFC | 6 | 2 | 0% | 0.3 | 6 | 18 | -12 | 4.0 | 100% | 83% | 67% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1.0 | 3.0 | - |
| 30 | Penrhyncoch | 5 | 1 | 0% | 0.2 | 3 | 16 | -13 | 3.8 | 100% | 80% | 80% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.6 | 3.2 | - |
| 31 | Llantwit Major | 4 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 1 | 14 | -13 | 3.8 | 75% | 75% | 50% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.2 | 3.5 | - |
| 32 | Gresford Athletic | 5 | 0 | 0% | 0.0 | 0 | 14 | -14 | 2.8 | 80% | 60% | 20% | - | 0% | - | 0% | - | 0% | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0.0 | 2.8 | - |