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Brighton vs Arsenal Result & Analysis

Date: 04/01/2025
Time: 17:30
Final 1-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
20%
25%
56%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Referee: A Taylor

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✗ Miss
19.9%
Avg Implied 20.2% · @ 4.74
Edge
-0.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
24.5%
Avg Implied 26.7% · @ 3.59
Edge
-2.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Arsenal win✗ Miss
55.5%
Avg Implied 53.0% · @ 1.81
Edge
+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-312L21W21W11D13L22D13L11D00D22DA·LIV02/11H·MAN09/11A·BOU23/11H·SOU29/11A·FUL05/12A·LEI08/12H·CRY15/12A·WES21/12H·BRE27/12A·AST30/12
Avg total
2.9
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
1.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.401.631.411.651.381.62
vs Stronger (6)1.002.331.002.751.001.50
vs Similar (23)1.391.521.331.421.451.64
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-551W52W20W11D30W00D32W51W10W31WA·SPO26/11A·WES30/11H·MAN04/12A·FUL08/12H·MON11/12H·EVE14/12H·CRY18/12A·CRY21/12H·IPS27/12A·BRE01/01
Avg total
3.6
Avg scored
2.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.100.772.270.671.930.87
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.880.882.000.671.801.00
vs Weaker (22)2.180.732.330.672.000.80
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%014%124%222%316%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 2.9 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
80.1%
Under 1.5
19.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
56.1%
@ 1.97+7.4%
Under 2.5
43.9%
@ 1.87-7.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
33.7%
Under 3.5
66.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
56.2%
No
43.8%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
11.6%
1-2
9.9%
0-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-0
6.4%
1-3
6.2%
0-3
5.9%
2-1
5.6%
Brighton goals ↓
Arsenal goals →
01234
06.4%9.0%9.4%5.9%2.8%
14.6%12%9.9%6.2%2.9%
23.0%5.6%5.2%3.3%1.5%
31.0%2.0%1.8%1.1%0.5%
40.3%0.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Arsenal goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Brighton is 0.34 points worse than Arsenal in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Brighton is 0.08 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.82).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Brighton is 0.66 goals worse than Arsenal in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 0.89).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Brighton is 4.5 percentage points worse than Arsenal in terms of average possession (53% vs 57%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 4.5 · Against 6.5 · Total 11.0

🚩 Corners

1703125348855565767471015812131011137417A·ASTH·BREA·WESH·CRYA·LEIA·FULH·SOUA·BOUH·MANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

6032222142122243233115245346562A·ASTH·BREA·WESH·CRYA·LEIA·FULH·SOUA·BOUH·MANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.9 · Against 11.5 · Total 24.4

⚠️ Fouls

3601496122014111510987201610131210181023183426191536232228A·ASTH·BREA·WESH·CRYA·LEIA·FULH·SOUA·BOUH·MANA·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ArsenalArsenal

For 6.2 · Against 2.2 · Total 8.4

🚩 Corners

1303451338231613102388176610461312119A·BREH·IPSA·CRYH·EVEH·MONA·FULH·MANA·WESA·SPOH·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.5 · Against 2.2 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

6021112232124131411323243364525A·BREH·IPSA·CRYH·EVEH·MONA·FULH·MANA·WESA·SPOH·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 9.3 · Against 7.8 · Total 17.1

⚠️ Fouls

23086712896912791012813108610114191715191920231411A·BREH·IPSA·CRYH·EVEH·MONA·FULH·MANA·WESA·SPOH·NOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.19.910.44.44.44.522.623.521.7
vs Stronger (8)11.09.012.53.92.85.022.120.723.2
vs Similar (40)10.010.09.94.74.94.422.523.921.1
vs Weaker (2)11.0-11.02.00.04.027.0-27.0
% over line68%65%71%68%69%67%66%78%54%
% under line32%35%29%32%31%33%34%22%46%
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.28.89.63.73.63.821.721.122.2
vs Stronger (0)---------
vs Similar (15)8.96.910.64.14.14.123.924.623.4
vs Weaker (35)9.49.69.13.53.33.620.619.621.6
% over line53%43%62%50%48%52%45%30%58%
% under line47%57%38%50%52%48%55%70%42%
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.8
Bournemouth
12.1
Manchester United
11.3
Southampton
11.2
Manchester City
11.2
Brentford
11.1
Everton
10.8
Fulham
10.6
Liverpool
10.6
Nottingham Forest
10.5
Newcastle
10.5
Crystal Palace
10.5
Ipswich
10.4
Wolves
10.4
Chelsea
10.3
Aston Villa
10.2
Brighton
10.1
West Ham
10.0
Leicester
9.8
Arsenal
9.3

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
5.0
Chelsea
5.0
Brighton
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Bournemouth
4.7
Southampton
4.7
Newcastle
4.6
Tottenham
4.6
Liverpool
4.4
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Leicester
4.3
Brentford
4.1
Crystal Palace
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
West Ham
4.0
Ipswich
3.8
Manchester City
3.5
Everton
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Tottenham
24.1
Aston Villa
23.7
Wolves
23.6
Crystal Palace
23.3
Southampton
23.1
Bournemouth
23.1
Chelsea
22.9
Newcastle
22.8
Ipswich
22.8
Brighton
22.7
Leicester
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.8
Arsenal
21.6
Liverpool
21.6
Everton
21.5
West Ham
21.3
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.3
Brentford
20.3
Manchester City
17.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Under
Over 9.5
55.9%
Under 9.5
44.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
61.6%
Under 3.5
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
58.2%
Under 21.5
41.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W01L10W10W01L10W02L00D00D11DA·LIV02/11H·MAN09/11A·BOU23/11H·SOU29/11A·FUL05/12A·LEI08/12H·CRY15/12A·WES21/12H·BRE27/12A·AST30/12
Avg total
1.0
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.570.700.470.710.690.69
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.001.250.500.50
vs Similar (23)0.650.650.580.580.730.73
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
50-530W52W00D01L10W00D01L31W10W11DA·SPO26/11A·WES30/11H·MAN04/12A·FUL08/12H·MON11/12H·EVE14/12H·CRY18/12A·CRY21/12H·IPS27/12A·BRE01/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.371.000.201.130.53
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)1.250.381.330.331.200.40
vs Weaker (22)1.000.360.920.171.100.60
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-202L20W11D01L12L12L11D11D00D11DA·LIV02/11H·MAN09/11A·BOU23/11H·SOU29/11A·FUL05/12A·LEI08/12H·CRY15/12A·WES21/12H·BRE27/12A·AST30/12
Avg total
1.9
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
1.1
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.930.940.940.690.92
vs Stronger (6)0.831.331.001.500.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.740.870.750.830.730.91
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Arsenal) is Stronger. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ArsenalArsenal

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-321W00D20W10W20W00D31W20W00D20WA·SPO26/11A·WES30/11H·MAN04/12A·FUL08/12H·MON11/12H·EVE14/12H·CRY18/12A·CRY21/12H·IPS27/12A·BRE01/01
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.401.270.470.800.33
vs Stronger (0)------
vs Similar (8)0.620.500.670.330.600.60
vs Weaker (22)1.180.361.420.500.900.20
Clean sheet %67% (+41pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Weaker. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Arsenal over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 1.580.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards79.8%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards74.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls73.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 25.5 fouls73.3%-------✗ Miss

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Arsenal
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Kai Havertz42%
Bukayo Saka30%
Ethan Nwaneri22%
Gabriel Martinelli20%
Mikel Merino18%
Leandro Trossard16%
Declan Rice15%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Gabriel Magalhães12%
Martin Ødegaard11%
Riccardo Calafiori10%
Thomas Partey8%
Kieran Tierney5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Jurriën Timber4%
William Saliba4%
Jorginho4%
Raheem Sterling4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Riccardo Calafiori24%
Kai Havertz19%
Jurriën Timber19%
Gabriel Jesus19%
Jorginho19%
Raheem Sterling18%
Declan Rice17%
Myles Lewis-Skelly15%
Gabriel Magalhães14%
Bukayo Saka14%
Thomas Partey13%
Ben White12%
David Raya9%
Mikel Merino9%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Oleksandr Zinchenko9%
Leandro Trossard7%
Jakub Kiwior7%
William Saliba6%
Gabriel Martinelli6%
Ethan Nwaneri3%
Kieran Tierney0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Bukayo Saka30%
Martin Ødegaard22%
Declan Rice17%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Kai Havertz11%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Mikel Merino9%
Jurriën Timber8%
Ben White8%
Gabriel Jesus7%
Riccardo Calafiori7%
Ethan Nwaneri5%
Oleksandr Zinchenko4%
Thomas Partey4%
Jakub Kiwior3%
Myles Lewis-Skelly3%
Gabriel Magalhães2%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
William Saliba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bukayo Saka30%
Kai Havertz28%
Gabriel Jesus15%
Raheem Sterling14%
Leandro Trossard14%
Gabriel Martinelli10%
Martin Ødegaard9%
Ethan Nwaneri8%
Declan Rice8%
Gabriel Magalhães5%
Riccardo Calafiori3%
Mikel Merino2%
Jurriën Timber2%
Thomas Partey0%
Oleksandr Zinchenko0%
Kieran Tierney0%
Jorginho0%
David Raya0%
Ben White0%
William Saliba0%
Jakub Kiwior0%
Myles Lewis-Skelly0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €787m less valuable than Arsenal's (€620m vs €1406m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €418m less valuable than Arsenal's (€190m vs €608m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €110m less valuable than Arsenal's (€180m vs €290m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €260m less valuable than Arsenal's (€249m vs €508m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
2
Draws
4
ARS wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Arsenal · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
31/08/24AArsenal Vs BHA1-1
06/04/24HBHA Vs Arsenal0-3
17/12/23AArsenal Vs BHA2-0
14/05/23AArsenal Vs BHA0-3
31/12/22HBHA Vs Arsenal2-4
09/04/22AArsenal Vs BHA1-2
02/10/21HBHA Vs Arsenal0-0
23/05/21AArsenal Vs BHA2-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/12/24AAston Villa Vs BHA2-2
27/12/24HBHA Vs Brentford0-0
21/12/24AWest Ham Vs BHA1-1
15/12/24HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-3
08/12/24ALeicester Vs BHA2-2
05/12/24AFulham Vs BHA3-1
29/11/24HBHA Vs Southampton1-1
23/11/24ABournemouth Vs BHA1-2
09/11/24HBHA Vs Manchester City2-1
02/11/24ALiverpool Vs BHA2-1

ArsenalArsenal

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
01/01/25ABrentford Vs ARS1-3
27/12/24HARS Vs Ipswich1-0
21/12/24ACrystal Palace Vs ARS1-5
18/12/24HARS Vs Crystal Palace3-2
14/12/24HARS Vs Everton0-0
11/12/24HARS Vs Monaco3-0
08/12/24AFulham Vs ARS1-1
04/12/24HARS Vs Manchester United2-0
30/11/24AWest Ham Vs ARS2-5
26/11/24ASporting CP Vs ARS1-5

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 5 Draws / 3 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDLDDD1.30
HomeLWDLD1.69
AwayWLDDD0.88
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %32%46%17%
AVG goals2.862.812.92
Over 1.5 %80%73%88%
Over 2.5 %60%58%62%
Over 3.5 %36%38%33%
Scored1.341.501.17
Conceded1.521.311.75
BTTS58%58%58%
Clean Sheet26%31%21%
Corners10.159.8710.42
Cards4.704.964.46
Arsenal
Arsenal
England: Premier League
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Draws / 0 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWWWW2.28
HomeWWDWW2.56
AwayWWDWW2.00
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %70%80%60%
AVG goals3.043.122.96
Over 1.5 %76%84%68%
Over 2.5 %54%60%48%
Over 3.5 %38%40%36%
Scored2.342.442.24
Conceded0.700.680.72
BTTS40%44%36%
Clean Sheet48%52%44%
Corners9.218.789.62
Cards3.913.873.96

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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