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Brighton vs Bournemouth Result & Analysis

Date: 25/02/2025
Time: 19:30
Final 2-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
42%
26%
31%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
England: Premier League
Referee: M Oliver

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
42.4%
Avg Implied 48.6% · @ 1.98
Edge
-6.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.2%
Avg Implied 24.9% · @ 3.87
Edge
+1.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth win✗ Miss
31.4%
Avg Implied 26.5% · @ 3.64
Edge
+5.0%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
70-722D11D40W20W31W01L07L21W30W40WA·AST30/12H·ARS04/01A·NOR11/01A·IPS16/01A·MAN19/01H·EVE25/01A·NOT01/02H·CHE08/02H·CHE14/02A·SOU22/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.1
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.801.471.751.251.861.71
vs Stronger (5)1.401.601.671.671.001.50
vs Similar (24)1.791.501.581.252.001.75
vs Weaker (1)4.000.004.000.00--
Clean sheet %27% (+1pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 – goals for & against
50-522D10W51W22D41W50W02L20W31W01LA·FUL29/12H·EVE04/01H·WES11/01A·CHE14/01A·NEW18/01H·NOT25/01H·LIV01/02A·EVE08/02A·SOU15/02H·WOL22/02
Avg total
3.4
Avg scored
2.4
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.731.131.570.791.881.44
vs Stronger (4)1.001.501.331.000.003.00
vs Similar (25)1.721.081.300.702.001.33
vs Weaker (1)5.001.005.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%17%23%6%012%123%222%317%410%59%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (23%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.6%
Under 1.5
18.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
58.3%
@ 1.58-2.5%
Under 2.5
41.7%
@ 2.45+2.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.9%
Under 3.5
64.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
61.6%
No
38.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.1%
2-1 ✓
9.0%
1-2
7.7%
1-0
6.8%
2-0
6.5%
2-2
6.3%
0-0
5.9%
0-1
5.6%
Brighton goals ↓
Bournemouth goals →
01234
05.9%5.6%4.7%2.2%0.8%
16.8%12%7.7%3.5%1.2%
26.5%9.0%6.3%2.9%1.0%
33.6%4.9%3.4%1.6%0.6%
41.5%2.0%1.4%0.7%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Bournemouth goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Liverpool
2.21
Arsenal
1.95
Manchester City
1.87
Chelsea
1.82
Newcastle
1.74
Aston Villa
1.74
Nottingham Forest
1.71
Brighton
1.61
Brentford
1.47
Bournemouth
1.47
Fulham
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.39
Everton
1.26
West Ham
1.13
Wolves
1.11
Manchester United
1.11
Tottenham
1.00
Leicester
0.66
Ipswich
0.58
Southampton
0.32
Brighton is 0.13 points better than Bournemouth in terms of average points per game (1.61 vs 1.47).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Liverpool
2.26
Manchester City
1.89
Arsenal
1.82
Newcastle
1.79
Brighton
1.74
Brentford
1.74
Chelsea
1.68
Tottenham
1.68
Nottingham Forest
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.53
Fulham
1.42
Wolves
1.42
Crystal Palace
1.34
West Ham
1.21
Manchester United
1.16
Everton
1.11
Ipswich
0.95
Leicester
0.87
Southampton
0.68
Brighton is 0.21 goals better than Bournemouth in terms of goals scored per game (1.74 vs 1.53).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Chelsea
1.13
Manchester City
1.16
Everton
1.16
Nottingham Forest
1.21
Bournemouth
1.21
Newcastle
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.34
Aston Villa
1.34
Fulham
1.42
Manchester United
1.42
Brentford
1.50
Brighton
1.55
West Ham
1.63
Tottenham
1.71
Wolves
1.82
Leicester
2.11
Ipswich
2.16
Southampton
2.26
Brighton is 0.34 goals worse than Bournemouth in terms of goals conceded per game (1.55 vs 1.21).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
61%
Liverpool
58%
Arsenal
57%
Chelsea
57%
Tottenham
55%
Manchester United
54%
Fulham
53%
Brighton
53%
Newcastle
51%
Aston Villa
50%
Bournemouth
49%
West Ham
48%
Brentford
48%
Southampton
48%
Leicester
45%
Crystal Palace
43%
Everton
41%
Nottingham Forest
41%
Ipswich
40%
Brighton is 3.9 percentage points better than Bournemouth in terms of average possession (53% vs 49%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 4.8 · Against 5.2 · Total 10.0

🚩 Corners

15065296491249125312534811111010610715812A·SOUH·CHEA·NOTH·EVEA·MANA·IPSH·ARSA·ASTH·BREA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.9 · Against 2.3 · Total 4.2

🟨 Cards

702123134332223322222347645524A·SOUH·CHEA·NOTH·EVEA·MANA·IPSH·ARSA·ASTH·BREA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.8 · Against 12.0 · Total 24.8

⚠️ Fouls

34012111215138811121314131714149612201423272119252731231834A·SOUH·CHEA·NOTH·EVEA·MANA·IPSH·ARSA·ASTH·BREA·WES
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BournemouthBournemouth

For 4.9 · Against 5.8 · Total 10.7

🚩 Corners

14067643339673993715211313106121312128714H·WOLA·SOUH·LIVH·NOTA·NEWA·CHEH·EVEA·FULH·CRYA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 3.0 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.9

🟨 Cards

70433123236132223122317455754444H·WOLA·SOUH·LIVH·NOTA·NEWA·CHEH·EVEA·FULH·CRYA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 14.5 · Against 10.9 · Total 25.4

⚠️ Fouls

3101791513159912187161515141671312111126282421253129232522H·WOLA·SOUH·LIVH·NOTA·NEWA·CHEH·EVEA·FULH·CRYA·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.410.010.74.14.24.123.224.322.3
vs Stronger (8)10.48.513.04.03.25.323.723.224.3
vs Similar (40)10.410.410.34.24.63.923.024.521.8
vs Weaker (2)11.0-11.02.00.04.027.0-27.0
% over line69%62%75%62%60%64%69%81%58%
% under line31%38%25%38%40%36%31%19%42%
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BournemouthBournemouth

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)11.712.011.44.54.54.424.024.323.6
vs Stronger (7)10.410.89.54.03.65.022.121.025.0
vs Similar (39)11.912.111.74.74.94.624.325.223.6
vs Weaker (4)12.013.59.02.83.70.023.725.021.0
% over line70%79%61%72%68%76%79%75%83%
% under line30%21%39%28%32%24%21%25%17%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Tottenham
12.6
Bournemouth
11.7
Manchester United
11.2
Brentford
11.2
Newcastle
10.9
Everton
10.9
Southampton
10.8
Nottingham Forest
10.6
Ipswich
10.6
Fulham
10.6
Manchester City
10.5
Liverpool
10.4
Crystal Palace
10.4
Aston Villa
10.2
Brighton
10.1
Wolves
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Leicester
9.8
West Ham
9.8
Arsenal
9.2

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.8
Aston Villa
4.8
Bournemouth
4.7
Brighton
4.6
Wolves
4.6
Newcastle
4.5
Southampton
4.5
Nottingham Forest
4.3
Tottenham
4.1
Liverpool
4.1
Leicester
4.0
Fulham
4.0
Arsenal
4.0
West Ham
3.9
Manchester United
3.9
Crystal Palace
3.9
Brentford
3.9
Ipswich
3.7
Everton
3.6
Manchester City
3.3

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
24.0
Bournemouth
23.8
Tottenham
23.7
Wolves
23.5
Southampton
23.2
Brighton
22.9
Newcastle
22.9
Crystal Palace
22.8
Chelsea
22.6
Ipswich
22.6
Arsenal
22.0
Everton
21.8
Nottingham Forest
21.8
West Ham
21.5
Leicester
21.3
Liverpool
20.9
Fulham
20.7
Manchester United
20.6
Brentford
19.4
Manchester City
17.0
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
53.3%
Under 9.5
46.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
68.7%
Under 3.5
31.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Over
Over 21.5
79.7%
Under 21.5
20.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D01L20W00D11D01L03L11D20W10WA·AST30/12H·ARS04/01A·NOR11/01A·IPS16/01A·MAN19/01H·EVE25/01A·NOT01/02H·CHE08/02H·CHE14/02A·SOU22/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.700.690.620.790.79
vs Stronger (5)0.200.600.000.670.500.50
vs Similar (24)0.830.750.830.670.830.83
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BournemouthBournemouth

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L00D31W01L21W10W01L20W20W01LA·FUL29/12H·EVE04/01H·WES11/01A·CHE14/01A·NEW18/01H·NOT25/01H·LIV01/02A·EVE08/02A·SOU15/02H·WOL22/02
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.700.530.710.290.690.75
vs Stronger (4)0.251.000.330.330.003.00
vs Similar (25)0.680.440.600.200.730.60
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W20W20W20W00D04L10W10W30WA·AST30/12H·ARS04/01A·NOR11/01A·IPS16/01A·MAN19/01H·EVE25/01A·NOT01/02H·CHE08/02H·CHE14/02A·SOU22/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.3
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.070.771.060.621.070.93
vs Stronger (5)1.201.001.671.000.501.00
vs Similar (24)0.960.750.750.581.170.92
vs Weaker (1)3.000.003.000.00--
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Bournemouth) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BournemouthBournemouth

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-421W10W20W21W20W40W01L00D11D00DA·FUL29/12H·EVE04/01H·WES11/01A·CHE14/01A·NEW18/01H·NOT25/01H·LIV01/02A·EVE08/02A·SOU15/02H·WOL22/02
Avg total
1.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.030.600.860.501.190.69
vs Stronger (4)0.750.501.000.670.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.040.640.700.501.270.73
vs Weaker (1)2.000.002.000.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Bournemouth over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 19.5 fouls89.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 2.5 cards84.5%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.6%-------✓ Hit
Over 21.5 fouls79.7%-------✓ Hit
Under 11.5 corners70.5%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Danny Welbeck31%
João Pedro30%
Kaoru Mitoma27%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu25%
Georginio Rutter22%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Simon Adingra15%
Tariq Lamptey15%
Jack Hinshelwood13%
Solly March10%
Carlos Baleba10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Julio Enciso6%
Diego Gómez5%
Yasin Ayari5%
Adam Webster5%
Brajan Gruda4%
Mats Wieffer4%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Igor Júlio31%
James Milner25%
Joël Veltman25%
Mats Wieffer21%
Solly March20%
Carlos Baleba20%
Pervis Estupiñán19%
Jack Hinshelwood19%
Lewis Dunk19%
Jan Paul van Hecke18%
Yankuba Minteh16%
Adam Webster15%
Jakub Moder14%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro13%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Yasin Ayari10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Tariq Lamptey5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Kaoru Mitoma2%
Jason Steele0%
Julio Enciso0%
Simon Adingra0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
João Pedro20%
Brajan Gruda16%
Yankuba Minteh14%
Georginio Rutter12%
Mats Wieffer11%
Solly March10%
Tariq Lamptey10%
Kaoru Mitoma10%
Matt O'Riley9%
Joël Veltman8%
Danny Welbeck8%
Jack Hinshelwood6%
Julio Enciso6%
Simon Adingra6%
Adam Webster5%
Carlos Baleba5%
Pervis Estupiñán3%
Jan Paul van Hecke3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Bart Verbruggen2%
James Milner0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Jakub Moder0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Diego Gómez0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Julio Enciso25%
Danny Welbeck14%
João Pedro10%
Georginio Rutter9%
Simon Adingra9%
Pervis Estupiñán8%
Kaoru Mitoma7%
Evan Ferguson7%
Diego Gómez5%
Matt O'Riley4%
Brajan Gruda4%
Jack Hinshelwood3%
Yankuba Minteh3%
Yasin Ayari3%
Carlos Baleba2%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Ferdi Kadıoğlu0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Solly March0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Bournemouth
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Evanilson32%
Antoine Semenyo29%
Justin Kluivert23%
Dango Ouattara16%
Daniel Jebbison14%
Enes Ünal12%
Marcus Tavernier9%
Dean Huijsen8%
Luis Sinisterra7%
Ryan Christie6%
David Brooks6%
Miloš Kerkez5%
Lewis Cook2%
Neto0%
Tyler Adams0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Philip Billing0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Mark Travers0%
Adam Smith0%
Max Aarons0%
James Hill0%
Julián Araujo0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Alex Scott0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dean Huijsen33%
Ryan Christie31%
Marcos Senesi26%
Adam Smith26%
Justin Kluivert26%
Tyler Adams25%
Antoine Semenyo24%
Lewis Cook22%
Alex Scott22%
Marcus Tavernier19%
Julián Araujo15%
Miloš Kerkez15%
James Hill14%
David Brooks12%
Enes Ünal12%
Illia Zabarnyi10%
Philip Billing10%
Kepa Arrizabalaga9%
Dango Ouattara8%
Evanilson6%
Daniel Jebbison5%
Neto0%
Mark Travers0%
Max Aarons0%
Luis Sinisterra0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Justin Kluivert21%
Marcus Tavernier16%
Antoine Semenyo14%
Dango Ouattara11%
Miloš Kerkez10%
Ryan Christie9%
James Hill7%
Luis Sinisterra7%
Tyler Adams6%
Enes Ünal6%
Dean Huijsen6%
Lewis Cook5%
David Brooks3%
Evanilson3%
Illia Zabarnyi3%
Neto0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Philip Billing0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Mark Travers0%
Adam Smith0%
Max Aarons0%
Julián Araujo0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Alex Scott0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Antoine Semenyo40%
Dango Ouattara27%
Evanilson26%
Marcus Tavernier19%
Justin Kluivert18%
David Brooks9%
Alex Scott9%
Luis Sinisterra7%
Ryan Christie6%
Dean Huijsen3%
Lewis Cook2%
Neto0%
Tyler Adams0%
Kepa Arrizabalaga0%
Philip Billing0%
Marcos Senesi0%
Mark Travers0%
Adam Smith0%
Max Aarons0%
James Hill0%
Enes Ünal0%
Julián Araujo0%
Illia Zabarnyi0%
Miloš Kerkez0%
Daniel Jebbison0%
Julio Soler0%
Ben Winterburn0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €47m more valuable than Bournemouth's (€620m vs €573m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
IPS (11)
€130m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €95m less valuable than Bournemouth's (€190m vs €285m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
IPS (7)
€66m
SOU (5)
€53m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
FUL (3)
€28m
LEI (4)
€13m
Brighton's midfield is €74m more valuable than Bournemouth's (€180m vs €106m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
IPS (13)
€85m
SOU (15)
€79m
LEI (11)
€36m
Brighton's defence is €67m more valuable than Bournemouth's (€249m vs €182m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

5 previous meetings
4
BHA wins
0
Draws
1
BOU wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Bournemouth · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
23/11/24ABournemouth Vs BHA1-2
28/04/24ABournemouth Vs BHA3-0
24/09/23HBHA Vs Bournemouth3-1
04/04/23ABournemouth Vs BHA0-2
04/02/23HBHA Vs Bournemouth1-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25ASouthampton Vs BHA0-4
14/02/25HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
08/02/25HBHA Vs Chelsea2-1
01/02/25ANottingham Forest Vs BHA7-0
25/01/25HBHA Vs Everton0-1
19/01/25AManchester United Vs BHA1-3
16/01/25AIpswich Vs BHA0-2
11/01/25ANorwich Vs BHA0-4
04/01/25HBHA Vs Arsenal1-1
30/12/24AAston Villa Vs BHA2-2

BournemouthBournemouth

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
22/02/25HBOU Vs Wolves0-1
15/02/25ASouthampton Vs BOU1-3
08/02/25AEverton Vs BOU0-2
01/02/25HBOU Vs Liverpool0-2
25/01/25HBOU Vs Nottingham Forest5-0
18/01/25ANewcastle Vs BOU1-4
14/01/25AChelsea Vs BOU2-2
11/01/25HBOU Vs West Brom5-1
04/01/25HBOU Vs Everton1-0
29/12/24AFulham Vs BOU2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLLWWW1.42
HomeDDLWW1.60
AwayWWWLW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%44%32%
AVG goals3.042.803.28
Over 1.5 %84%76%92%
Over 2.5 %66%60%72%
Over 3.5 %40%36%44%
Scored1.501.481.52
Conceded1.541.321.76
BTTS54%56%52%
Clean Sheet28%28%28%
Corners10.3810.0010.71
Cards4.584.954.25
Bournemouth
Bournemouth
England: Premier League
Recent: 6 Wins / 2 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWLWWL1.50
HomeWWWLL1.68
AwayDDWWW1.32
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %42%48%36%
AVG goals2.962.723.20
Over 1.5 %80%72%88%
Over 2.5 %60%52%68%
Over 3.5 %36%28%44%
Scored1.621.641.60
Conceded1.341.081.60
BTTS58%48%68%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners11.6811.9611.39
Cards4.774.714.83

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1LiverpoolLiverpool3884
66%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
89%
63%
45%
10.4
58%
3.9
55%
21.1
47%
980
5182012602.31.1
58%
2ArsenalArsenal3874
53%
1.9
6934+35
2.7
76%
45%
32%
9.7
55%
4.0
58%
21.2
47%
1406
6082905081.80.9
57%
3Manchester CityManchester City3871
55%
1.9
7244+28
3.1
84%
61%
39%
9.9
55%
3.9
58%
17.7
18%
1326
6351605311.91.2
61%
4ChelseaChelsea3869
53%
1.8
6443+21
2.8
76%
55%
26%
9.9
55%
5.2
79%
23.5
68%
1407
6142785141.71.1
57%
5NewcastleNewcastle3866
53%
1.7
6847+21
3.0
82%
61%
34%
11.1
66%
4.4
61%
22.6
61%
568
2341242101.81.2
51%
6Aston VillaAston Villa3866
50%
1.7
5851+7
2.9
84%
63%
32%
10.6
61%
4.7
79%
24.1
66%
536
2201601561.51.3
50%
7Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3865
50%
1.7
5846+12
2.7
71%
50%
26%
10.6
55%
5.0
76%
21.7
55%
551
263522361.51.2
41%
8BrightonBrighton3861
42%
1.6
6659+7
3.3
89%
71%
45%
9.8
63%
4.3
66%
22.8
55%
620
1901802491.71.6
53%
9BournemouthBournemouth3856
39%
1.5
5846+12
2.7
76%
55%
32%
10.9
63%
5.1
74%
24.3
82%
573
2851061821.51.2
49%
10BrentfordBrentford3856
42%
1.5
6657+9
3.2
84%
61%
39%
11.1
68%
3.8
53%
18.0
18%
565
2281282091.71.5
48%
11FulhamFulham3854
39%
1.4
5454+0
2.8
84%
58%
32%
9.9
55%
3.9
61%
21.1
50%
329
178281231.41.4
53%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3853
34%
1.4
5151+0
2.7
79%
45%
29%
10.2
55%
4.2
61%
22.0
58%
505
229931821.31.3
43%
13EvertonEverton3848
29%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
66%
37%
29%
10.2
58%
3.4
42%
21.4
50%
459
1741621231.11.2
41%
14West HamWest Ham3843
29%
1.1
4662-16
2.8
84%
50%
29%
9.6
53%
3.6
50%
22.4
53%
274
84481411.21.6
48%
15Manchester UnitedManchester United3842
29%
1.1
4454-10
2.6
76%
50%
24%
10.0
53%
4.2
66%
21.0
50%
929
4322362611.21.4
54%
16WolvesWolves3842
32%
1.1
5469-15
3.2
87%
66%
32%
9.7
58%
4.2
61%
24.3
76%
273
79791161.41.8
-
17TottenhamTottenham3838
29%
1.0
6465-1
3.4
82%
63%
45%
11.8
76%
4.2
55%
24.7
82%
920
2502823881.71.7
55%
18LeicesterLeicester3825
16%
0.7
3380-47
3.0
92%
61%
34%
9.8
50%
3.8
50%
21.7
47%
69
2013360.92.1
45%
19IpswichIpswich3822
11%
0.6
3682-46
3.1
84%
58%
39%
10.4
71%
4.1
55%
22.2
50%
280
13066850.92.2
40%
20SouthamptonSouthampton3812
5%
0.3
2686-60
2.9
79%
61%
42%
10.5
66%
3.9
53%
23.5
61%
205
7253790.72.3
48%
England: Premier League 2024/25 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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