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Brighton vs Brentford Result & Analysis

Date: 06/12/2023
Time: 19:30
Final 2-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
45%
26%
29%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: P Bankes

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✓ Hit
45.2%
Avg Implied 54.5% · @ 1.77
Edge
-9.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✗ Miss
26.1%
Avg Implied 23.8% · @ 4.05
Edge
+2.3%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win✗ Miss
28.8%
Avg Implied 21.7% · @ 4.45
Edge
+7.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-322D12L20W11D11D20W11D32W10W23LH·LIV08/10A·MAN21/10H·AJA26/10H·FUL29/10A·EVE04/11A·AJA09/11H·SHE12/11A·NOT25/11A·AEK30/11A·CHE03/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.6
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game2.001.672.211.431.811.88
vs Stronger (4)1.751.251.501.502.001.00
vs Similar (25)1.961.762.181.451.792.00
vs Weaker (1)4.001.004.001.00--
Clean sheet %20% (-6pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L13L11D12L30W20W32W03L01L31WA·NEW16/09H·EVE23/09A·NOT01/10A·MAN07/10H·BUR21/10A·CHE28/10H·WES04/11A·LIV12/11H·ARS25/11H·LUT02/12
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.4
Avg conceded
1.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.471.201.691.251.211.14
vs Stronger (6)0.830.830.500.501.001.00
vs Similar (23)1.571.301.771.381.301.20
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %23% (-2pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%12%18%24%6%013%124%222%317%410%58%6+
The model estimates around 3.0 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (24%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
81.1%
Under 1.5
18.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Over
Over 2.5
57.5%
@ 1.64-1.0%
Under 2.5
42.5%
@ 2.31+1.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
35.1%
Under 3.5
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
60.6%
No
39.4%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
12.2%
2-1 ✓
9.3%
1-0
7.3%
1-2
7.2%
2-0
7.1%
0-0
6.1%
2-2
6.1%
0-1
5.5%
Brighton goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
06.1%5.5%4.3%1.9%0.6%
17.3%12%7.2%3.2%1.0%
27.1%9.3%6.1%2.7%0.9%
34.0%5.2%3.4%1.5%0.5%
41.7%2.2%1.4%0.6%0.2%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.39
Arsenal
2.34
Liverpool
2.16
Aston Villa
1.79
Tottenham
1.74
Chelsea
1.66
Newcastle
1.58
Manchester United
1.58
West Ham
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.29
Brighton
1.26
Bournemouth
1.26
Everton
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Wolves
1.21
Brentford
1.03
Nottingham Forest
0.95
Luton
0.68
Burnley
0.63
Sheffield United
0.42
Brighton is 0.24 points better than Brentford in terms of average points per game (1.26 vs 1.03).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.53
Arsenal
2.39
Liverpool
2.26
Newcastle
2.24
Chelsea
2.03
Aston Villa
2.00
Tottenham
1.95
West Ham
1.58
Crystal Palace
1.50
Manchester United
1.50
Brentford
1.47
Fulham
1.45
Brighton
1.45
Bournemouth
1.42
Luton
1.37
Wolves
1.32
Nottingham Forest
1.29
Burnley
1.08
Everton
1.05
Sheffield United
0.92
Brighton is 0.03 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.45 vs 1.47).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.76
Manchester City
0.89
Liverpool
1.08
Everton
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.53
Manchester United
1.53
Fulham
1.61
Aston Villa
1.61
Tottenham
1.61
Brighton
1.63
Newcastle
1.63
Chelsea
1.66
Brentford
1.71
Wolves
1.71
Nottingham Forest
1.76
Bournemouth
1.76
West Ham
1.95
Burnley
2.05
Luton
2.24
Sheffield United
2.74
Brighton is 0.08 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.63 vs 1.71).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
66%
Tottenham
62%
Liverpool
61%
Brighton
60%
Arsenal
59%
Chelsea
58%
Aston Villa
53%
Newcastle
52%
Manchester United
51%
Fulham
50%
Burnley
47%
Brentford
45%
Bournemouth
45%
Crystal Palace
42%
Luton
42%
West Ham
41%
Nottingham Forest
40%
Everton
40%
Sheffield United
35%
Brighton is 15.1 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (60% vs 45%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 5.4 · Against 3.5 · Total 8.9

🚩 Corners

1308544466375337353228113810912610849A·CHEA·AEKA·NOTH·SHEA·AJAA·EVEH·FULH·AJAA·MANH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.4 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.8

🟨 Cards

90541452422243223129576263253A·CHEA·AEKA·NOTH·SHEA·AJAA·EVEH·FULH·AJAA·MANH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 12.8 · Total 23.1

⚠️ Fouls

320121613127121316129515128611119122028251929212020172032A·CHEA·AEKA·NOTH·SHEA·AJAA·EVEH·FULH·AJAA·MANH·LIV
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 4.6 · Against 5.7 · Total 10.3

🚩 Corners

140751886431105557111143812914711101212511H·LUTH·ARSA·LIVH·WESA·CHEH·BURA·MANA·NOTH·EVEA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.8 · Against 1.9 · Total 4.7

🟨 Cards

8012112114415352222533235585448H·LUTH·ARSA·LIVH·WESA·CHEH·BURA·MANA·NOTH·EVEA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.2 · Against 10.5 · Total 21.7

⚠️ Fouls

28010897121612147121412171010691212818162826192627162120H·LUTH·ARSA·LIVH·WESA·CHEH·BURA·MANA·NOTH·EVEA·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.810.79.04.84.84.723.623.823.4
vs Stronger (7)7.98.57.04.04.04.024.725.024.3
vs Similar (42)10.111.09.34.95.04.823.423.623.3
vs Weaker (1)13.013.0-4.04.0-23.023.0-
% over line52%56%48%64%60%68%60%72%48%
% under line48%44%52%36%40%32%40%28%52%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.09.310.73.53.43.520.920.221.7
vs Stronger (11)9.88.610.83.22.43.819.216.621.3
vs Similar (38)10.09.410.63.63.63.421.521.221.8
vs Weaker (1)12.012.0-3.03.0-18.018.0-
% over line56%42%71%50%54%46%36%31%42%
% under line44%58%29%50%46%54%64%69%58%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Manchester United
11.5
Bournemouth
11.1
Tottenham
11.1
Newcastle
10.7
West Ham
10.7
Luton
10.6
Everton
10.5
Sheffield United
10.5
Liverpool
10.3
Wolves
10.2
Burnley
10.1
Aston Villa
10.1
Fulham
10.0
Brentford
10.0
Chelsea
9.9
Brighton
9.8
Arsenal
9.8
Crystal Palace
9.8
Nottingham Forest
9.8
Manchester City
9.4

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Chelsea
4.9
Brighton
4.8
Wolves
4.7
Tottenham
4.6
Aston Villa
4.5
Burnley
4.4
Sheffield United
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Crystal Palace
4.2
Nottingham Forest
4.2
Manchester City
4.1
Everton
4.0
Luton
3.9
Fulham
3.8
Manchester United
3.7
Arsenal
3.7
Bournemouth
3.5
Brentford
3.5
Liverpool
3.3
West Ham
3.1

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Crystal Palace
24.5
Wolves
23.9
Chelsea
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Brighton
23.6
Tottenham
23.5
Luton
22.8
Newcastle
22.5
Nottingham Forest
22.2
Fulham
21.8
Everton
21.2
Manchester City
21.2
Arsenal
21.2
Burnley
21.1
Liverpool
21.0
Brentford
20.9
Bournemouth
20.8
Manchester United
20.4
Sheffield United
20.3
West Ham
19.7
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
50.1%
Under 9.5
49.9%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Over
Over 3.5
81.7%
Under 3.5
18.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
63.8%
Under 21.5
36.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-212L02L10W10W01L10W10W21W00D12LH·LIV08/10A·MAN21/10H·AJA26/10H·FUL29/10A·EVE04/11A·AJA09/11H·SHE12/11A·NOT25/11A·AEK30/11A·CHE03/12
Avg total
1.6
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.830.931.070.710.621.12
vs Stronger (4)0.501.251.001.500.001.00
vs Similar (25)0.880.921.090.640.711.14
vs Weaker (1)1.000.001.000.00--
Clean sheet %43% (+18pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D00D10W10W00D12L01L00D00DA·NEW16/09H·EVE23/09A·NOT01/10A·MAN07/10H·BUR21/10A·CHE28/10H·WES04/11A·LIV12/11H·ARS25/11H·LUT02/12
Avg total
0.8
Avg scored
0.4
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.600.530.750.500.430.57
vs Stronger (6)0.170.330.000.000.250.50
vs Similar (23)0.740.610.920.620.500.60
vs Weaker (1)0.000.000.000.00--
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
10-110W10W10W01L10W10W01L11D10W11DH·LIV08/10A·MAN21/10H·AJA26/10H·FUL29/10A·EVE04/11A·AJA09/11H·SHE12/11A·NOT25/11A·AEK30/11A·CHE03/12
Avg total
1.2
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.170.731.140.711.190.75
vs Stronger (4)1.250.000.500.002.000.00
vs Similar (25)1.080.841.090.821.070.86
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-301L02L11D02L20W20W20W02L01L31WA·NEW16/09H·EVE23/09A·NOT01/10A·MAN07/10H·BUR21/10A·CHE28/10H·WES04/11A·LIV12/11H·ARS25/11H·LUT02/12
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.670.940.750.790.57
vs Stronger (6)0.670.500.500.500.750.50
vs Similar (23)0.830.700.850.770.800.60
vs Weaker (1)3.001.003.001.00--
Clean sheet %47% (+21pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Over 2.5 cards92.2%-------✓ Hit
Over 3.5 cards81.7%-------✓ Hit
Over 1.581.1%-------✓ Hit
Over 19.5 fouls78.4%-------✗ Miss
Under 11.5 corners73.3%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro32%
Solly March22%
Jack Hinshelwood21%
Danny Welbeck18%
Ansu Fati16%
Simon Adingra15%
Evan Ferguson12%
Pascal Groß11%
Facundo Buonanotte9%
Pervis Estupiñán9%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Lewis Dunk8%
Joël Veltman3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Julio Enciso0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Billy Gilmour0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Mark O'Mahony33%
Pervis Estupiñán26%
Kaoru Mitoma24%
Jan Paul van Hecke23%
Facundo Buonanotte22%
Tariq Lamptey22%
Carlos Baleba21%
Billy Gilmour21%
Lewis Dunk20%
Benicio Boaitey20%
Joël Veltman18%
Igor Júlio17%
Valentín Barco17%
Pascal Groß16%
Danny Welbeck15%
James Milner15%
Julio Enciso14%
Adam Webster12%
Bart Verbruggen12%
Jakub Moder12%
Adam Lallana11%
Solly March11%
João Pedro11%
Ansu Fati8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Jack Hinshelwood7%
Evan Ferguson6%
Jason Steele5%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Pascal Groß20%
Kaoru Mitoma20%
Pervis Estupiñán17%
Solly March11%
James Milner10%
Tariq Lamptey9%
João Pedro8%
Mahmoud Dahoud8%
Simon Adingra8%
Julio Enciso7%
Ansu Fati4%
Adam Lallana4%
Facundo Buonanotte3%
Joël Veltman3%
Danny Welbeck3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Lewis Dunk2%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Evan Ferguson0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Jack Hinshelwood0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Carlos Baleba0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
João Pedro30%
Julio Enciso29%
Simon Adingra21%
Jack Hinshelwood14%
Danny Welbeck12%
Pascal Groß11%
Solly March11%
Kaoru Mitoma8%
Evan Ferguson6%
Ansu Fati4%
Carlos Baleba3%
Billy Gilmour3%
Mahmoud Dahoud0%
Adam Lallana0%
James Milner0%
Joël Veltman0%
Igor Júlio0%
Jason Steele0%
Lewis Dunk0%
Adam Webster0%
Jan Paul van Hecke0%
Jakub Moder0%
Pervis Estupiñán0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Tariq Lamptey0%
Odeluga Offiah0%
Facundo Buonanotte0%
Valentín Barco0%
Benicio Boaitey0%
Mark O'Mahony0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Yoane Wissa32%
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney24%
Neal Maupay21%
Kevin Schade18%
Ben Mee12%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Keane Lewis-Potter10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kristoffer Ajer7%
Zanka7%
Ethan Pinnock7%
Christian Nørgaard6%
Saman Ghoddos5%
Frank Onyeka4%
Nathan Collins3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Vitaly Janelt3%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Mark Flekken0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Aaron Hickey56%
Frank Onyeka31%
Ivan Toney29%
Zanka29%
Neal Maupay28%
Saman Ghoddos26%
Christian Nørgaard26%
Sergio Reguilón25%
Vitaly Janelt21%
Yoane Wissa21%
Rico Henry20%
Kristoffer Ajer18%
Mathias Jensen16%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Nathan Collins9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Mark Flekken8%
Bryan Mbeumo8%
Yehor Yarmoliuk7%
Ben Mee6%
Ethan Pinnock3%
Mads Roerslev3%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Rico Henry20%
Bryan Mbeumo20%
Sergio Reguilón19%
Ivan Toney12%
Neal Maupay10%
Shandon Baptiste10%
Mathias Jensen9%
Kevin Schade9%
Yoane Wissa9%
Mikkel Damsgaard9%
Vitaly Janelt8%
Frank Onyeka8%
Mads Roerslev6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Keane Lewis-Potter3%
Christian Nørgaard3%
Nathan Collins3%
Mark Flekken3%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Ben Mee0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Bryan Mbeumo32%
Ivan Toney29%
Yoane Wissa18%
Keane Lewis-Potter13%
Neal Maupay10%
Ben Mee6%
Kristoffer Ajer4%
Sergio Reguilón0%
Saman Ghoddos0%
Zanka0%
Mads Roerslev0%
Frank Onyeka0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Rico Henry0%
Joshua Dasilva0%
Nathan Collins0%
Ethan Pinnock0%
Shandon Baptiste0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Mark Flekken0%
Christian Nørgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Mathias Jensen0%
Kevin Schade0%
Myles Peart-Harris0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Michael Olakigbe0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
FUL (21)
€329m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
BUR (28)
€115m
SHU (27)
€110m
LUT (26)
€29m
Brighton's squad is €54m more valuable than Brentford's (€620m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
BUR (14)
€70m
SHU (9)
€29m
LUT (10)
€13m
Brighton's attack is €38m less valuable than Brentford's (€190m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
BOU (6)
€106m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
NFO (4)
€52m
WHU (5)
€48m
SHU (5)
€32m
FUL (3)
€28m
BUR (3)
€8m
LUT (6)
€4m
Brighton's midfield is €52m more valuable than Brentford's (€180m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SHU (13)
€49m
BUR (11)
€37m
LUT (10)
€12m
Brighton's defence is €40m more valuable than Brentford's (€249m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

4 previous meetings
2
BHA wins
1
Draws
1
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Brentford · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
01/04/23HBHA Vs Brentford3-3
14/10/22ABrentford Vs BHA2-0
26/12/21HBHA Vs Brentford2-0
11/09/21ABrentford Vs BHA0-1

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
03/12/23AChelsea Vs BHA3-2
30/11/23AAEK Athens FC Vs BHA0-1
25/11/23ANottingham Forest Vs BHA2-3
12/11/23HBHA Vs Sheffield United1-1
09/11/23AAjax Vs BHA0-2
04/11/23AEverton Vs BHA1-1
29/10/23HBHA Vs Fulham1-1
26/10/23HBHA Vs Ajax2-0
21/10/23AManchester City Vs BHA2-1
08/10/23HBHA Vs Liverpool2-2

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
02/12/23HBRE Vs Luton3-1
25/11/23HBRE Vs Arsenal0-1
12/11/23ALiverpool Vs BRE3-0
04/11/23HBRE Vs West Ham3-2
28/10/23AChelsea Vs BRE0-2
21/10/23HBRE Vs Burnley3-0
07/10/23AManchester United Vs BRE2-1
01/10/23ANottingham Forest Vs BRE1-1
23/09/23HBRE Vs Everton1-3
16/09/23ANewcastle Vs BRE1-0

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 4 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWDWWL1.60
HomeWDWDD1.68
AwayDWWWL1.52
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %46%48%44%
AVG goals3.463.283.64
Over 1.5 %86%76%96%
Over 2.5 %68%60%76%
Over 3.5 %54%52%56%
Scored1.942.001.88
Conceded1.521.281.76
BTTS70%60%80%
Clean Sheet24%32%16%
Corners9.8410.689.00
Cards4.764.804.72
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 1 Draws / 5 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallWWLLW1.48
HomeLWWLW1.77
AwayLDLWL1.17
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %38%46%29%
AVG goals2.742.922.54
Over 1.5 %82%88%75%
Over 2.5 %48%54%42%
Over 3.5 %30%35%25%
Scored1.481.771.17
Conceded1.261.151.38
BTTS54%65%42%
Clean Sheet28%27%29%
Corners9.989.3510.67
Cards3.463.383.54

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3891
74%
2.4
9634+62
3.4
84%
63%
47%
10.9
61%
3.8
50%
18.6
26%
1326
6351605312.50.9
66%
2ArsenalArsenal3889
74%
2.3
9129+62
3.2
79%
63%
42%
9.7
50%
3.8
53%
21.0
42%
1406
6082905082.40.8
59%
3LiverpoolLiverpool3882
63%
2.2
8641+45
3.3
92%
66%
47%
11.6
71%
4.3
53%
22.5
53%
980
5182012602.31.1
61%
4Aston VillaAston Villa3868
53%
1.8
7661+15
3.6
87%
71%
58%
10.4
58%
5.0
74%
23.6
66%
536
2201601562.01.6
53%
5TottenhamTottenham3866
53%
1.7
7461+13
3.6
97%
79%
45%
12.4
76%
5.1
74%
25.1
87%
920
2502823881.91.6
62%
6ChelseaChelsea3863
47%
1.7
7763+14
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.4
58%
5.4
95%
23.9
63%
1407
6142785142.01.7
58%
7NewcastleNewcastle3860
47%
1.6
8562+23
3.9
84%
71%
61%
10.2
53%
4.6
63%
22.8
58%
568
2341242102.21.6
52%
8Manchester UnitedManchester United3860
47%
1.6
5758-1
3.0
79%
63%
34%
13.3
79%
4.4
68%
19.7
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
51%
9West HamWest Ham3852
37%
1.4
6074-14
3.5
95%
68%
53%
10.4
53%
3.9
61%
21.0
47%
274
84481411.61.9
41%
10Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3849
34%
1.3
5758-1
3.0
82%
55%
42%
9.9
58%
3.9
61%
23.6
63%
505
229931821.51.5
42%
11BrightonBrighton3848
32%
1.3
5562-7
3.1
87%
61%
39%
9.8
55%
5.0
76%
23.0
63%
620
1901802491.41.6
60%
12EvertonEverton3848
34%
1.3
4051-11
2.4
74%
42%
21%
11.1
61%
3.8
45%
21.8
55%
459
1741621231.11.3
40%
13BournemouthBournemouth3848
34%
1.3
5467-13
3.2
89%
71%
42%
11.8
74%
4.3
71%
23.7
63%
573
2851061821.41.8
45%
14FulhamFulham3847
34%
1.2
5561-6
3.1
79%
63%
39%
10.6
50%
3.8
47%
20.2
39%
329
178281231.41.6
50%
15WolvesWolves3846
34%
1.2
5065-15
3.0
84%
63%
29%
10.1
53%
4.9
76%
23.6
68%
273
79791161.31.7
-
16BrentfordBrentford3839
26%
1.0
5665-9
3.2
82%
66%
42%
10.6
63%
4.3
63%
21.5
50%
565
2281282091.51.7
45%
17Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest3836
24%
0.9
4967-18
3.1
87%
55%
39%
10.4
63%
4.2
61%
21.3
53%
551
263522361.31.8
40%
18LutonLuton3826
16%
0.7
5285-33
3.6
89%
71%
45%
11.3
71%
3.8
53%
24.0
61%
29
134121.42.2
42%
19BurnleyBurnley3824
13%
0.6
4178-37
3.1
92%
61%
37%
10.9
66%
4.3
66%
20.9
39%
115
708371.12.1
47%
20Sheffield UnitedSheffield United3816
8%
0.4
35104-69
3.7
89%
71%
55%
10.9
61%
4.0
50%
19.8
39%
110
2932490.92.7
35%
England: Premier League 2023/24 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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