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Brighton vs Brentford Prediction & Stats

Date: 07/11/2026
Time: 15:00
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
48%
27%
25%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Referee: -
Match preview & prediction

Brighton are tipped to lift the match, with a 50% chance of victory, 27% for a draw and 23% for Brentford. The expected total is 2.7 goals, and the single most likely scoreline is 1-1, a 12.8% probability. Brighton’s home form shows an average of 1.55 goals scored and 0.73 conceded against similar opposition, while Brentford, on the road, averages 1.8 scored and 1.2 conceded. The model’s selections include Under 7.5 (99.3%), Under 6.5 (97.9%), Away under 3.5 goals (97.7%), Under 5.5 (94.2%), Home under 3.5 goals (91.4%), Home +2 handicap (90.9%), Away under 2.5 goals (90.8%) and Under 4.5 (86.1%). Brighton have just returned from a 3-4 loss to Chelsea, while Brentford remain unbeaten in five, having drawn 1-1 with Leeds. The picture suggests a tightly contested game with Brighton edging the odds.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win
48.1%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw
27.2%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brentford win
24.7%
Avg Implied -
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
40-422D30W13L30W01L03L00D40W40W34LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
3.3
Avg scored
2.0
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.371.131.640.711.121.50
vs Stronger (6)0.671.671.001.000.502.00
vs Similar (22)1.501.091.550.731.451.45
vs Weaker (2)2.000.004.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 – goals for & against
60-622D00D12L30W03L22D11D30W61W11DH·EVE11/04H·FUL18/04A·MAN27/04H·WES02/05A·MAN09/05H·CRY17/05A·LIV24/05H·TOT22/08A·BIR25/08A·LEE30/08
Avg total
3.1
Avg scored
1.9
Avg conceded
1.2
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.631.131.621.001.651.24
vs Stronger (5)0.401.801.001.000.252.00
vs Similar (22)1.731.091.671.001.801.20
vs Weaker (3)3.000.33--3.000.33
Clean sheet %37% (+11pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

6%13%19%26%8%016%126%222%315%48%56%6+
The model estimates around 2.7 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (26%).
Over/Under 1.5
Over 1.5
76.2%
Under 1.5
23.8%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5
Over 2.5
50.5%
Under 2.5
49.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5
Over 3.5
28.5%
Under 3.5
71.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to score
Yes
54.3%
No
45.7%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1
13.0%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.7%
0-0
7.9%
1-2
6.4%
0-1
6.2%
2-2
5.2%
Brighton goals ↓
Brentford goals →
01234
07.9%6.2%4.0%1.5%0.4%
19.6%13%6.4%2.3%0.6%
28.7%9.5%5.2%1.9%0.5%
34.6%5.1%2.8%1.0%0.3%
41.9%2.0%1.1%0.4%0.1%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Brentford goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Arsenal
2.24
Manchester City
2.05
Manchester United
1.87
Aston Villa
1.71
Liverpool
1.58
Bournemouth
1.50
Sunderland
1.42
Brighton
1.39
Brentford
1.39
Fulham
1.37
Chelsea
1.37
Everton
1.29
Newcastle
1.29
Leeds
1.24
Crystal Palace
1.18
Ipswich
1.18
Nottingham Forest
1.16
Tottenham
1.08
Hull
0.98
Coventry
0.97
Brighton and Brentford are level in average points per game (both 1.39).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.03
Arsenal
1.87
Manchester United
1.82
Liverpool
1.66
Chelsea
1.53
Bournemouth
1.53
Aston Villa
1.47
Brentford
1.45
Newcastle
1.39
Brighton
1.37
Leeds
1.29
Tottenham
1.26
Nottingham Forest
1.26
Fulham
1.24
Everton
1.24
Ipswich
1.19
Sunderland
1.11
Crystal Palace
1.08
Hull
0.99
Coventry
0.98
Brighton is 0.08 goals worse than Brentford in terms of goals scored per game (1.37 vs 1.45).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Arsenal
0.71
Manchester City
0.92
Brighton
1.21
Sunderland
1.26
Aston Villa
1.29
Everton
1.32
Manchester United
1.32
Fulham
1.34
Nottingham Forest
1.34
Crystal Palace
1.34
Chelsea
1.37
Brentford
1.37
Liverpool
1.39
Bournemouth
1.42
Newcastle
1.45
Leeds
1.47
Tottenham
1.50
Ipswich
1.58
Hull
1.91
Coventry
1.93
Brighton is 0.16 goals better than Brentford in terms of goals conceded per game (1.21 vs 1.37).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
60%
Liverpool
59%
Chelsea
57%
Arsenal
56%
Brighton
53%
Aston Villa
53%
Manchester United
52%
Newcastle
52%
Fulham
51%
Tottenham
50%
Bournemouth
50%
Brentford
47%
Nottingham Forest
46%
Leeds
46%
Crystal Palace
45%
Sunderland
45%
Everton
44%
Brighton is 6.2 percentage points better than Brentford in terms of average possession (53% vs 47%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 6.6 · Against 3.6 · Total 10.2

🚩 Corners

160747521153877110265571177163158121112A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.3 · Against 1.7 · Total 3.0

🟨 Cards

6031124211123311134162113624A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 12.4 · Against 8.6 · Total 21.0

⚠️ Fouls

280126136129197118799111210156141418192126191620222128A·CHEH·TROH·ASTA·TROH·MANA·LEEH·WOLA·NEWH·CHEA·TOT
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrentfordBrentford

For 5.3 · Against 5.9 · Total 11.2

🚩 Corners

1606564732149421026879323111010161312815125A·LEEA·BIRH·TOTA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·WESA·MANH·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.7 · Against 2.0 · Total 3.7

🟨 Cards

60412113213241342124325464612A·LEEA·BIRH·TOTA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·WESA·MANH·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.3 · Against 8.8 · Total 19.1

⚠️ Fouls

31013512917149975148812968136718213118122220152113A·LEEA·BIRH·TOTA·LIVH·CRYA·MANH·WESA·MANH·FULH·EVE
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)9.99.310.42.92.92.921.821.122.4
vs Stronger (10)8.79.58.43.65.03.024.324.024.4
vs Similar (34)10.19.410.83.13.03.221.120.921.4
vs Weaker (6)11.57.016.00.50.30.722.519.026.0
% over line59%41%75%44%48%41%49%35%60%
% under line41%59%25%56%52%59%51%65%40%
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.18.811.02.92.63.119.519.919.2
vs Stronger (10)10.28.011.63.43.03.817.818.717.2
vs Similar (34)10.39.011.53.02.53.520.120.120.1
vs Weaker (6)8.5-8.51.5-1.518.2-18.2
% over line62%50%71%40%36%43%29%39%21%
% under line38%50%29%60%64%57%71%61%79%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Newcastle
11.1
Bournemouth
10.7
Fulham
10.5
Hull
10.3
Manchester City
10.3
Liverpool
10.2
Tottenham
10.1
Chelsea
10.0
Ipswich
10.0
Brentford
9.9
Brighton
9.7
Nottingham Forest
9.7
Manchester United
9.6
Coventry
9.6
Leeds
9.5
Everton
9.3
Aston Villa
9.3
Sunderland
9.1
Arsenal
9.0
Crystal Palace
8.7

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Bournemouth
4.5
Tottenham
4.5
Chelsea
4.4
Newcastle
4.3
Ipswich
4.3
Hull
4.2
Sunderland
4.1
Manchester United
4.1
Brighton
4.0
Aston Villa
3.8
Coventry
3.7
Everton
3.7
Manchester City
3.7
Crystal Palace
3.7
Brentford
3.7
Liverpool
3.6
Fulham
3.6
Arsenal
3.5
Leeds
3.5
Nottingham Forest
3.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Ipswich
23.9
Aston Villa
23.6
Nottingham Forest
23.4
Bournemouth
23.2
Tottenham
22.9
Chelsea
22.7
Sunderland
22.7
Leeds
22.1
Brighton
22.1
Arsenal
22.1
Newcastle
21.8
Everton
21.6
Manchester United
21.5
Liverpool
21.4
Coventry
21.4
Crystal Palace
21.3
Hull
21.1
Manchester City
21.0
Fulham
20.0
Brentford
19.8
Corners O/U 9.5
Over 9.5
0.0%
Under 9.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5
Over 3.5
0.0%
Under 3.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5
Over 21.5
0.0%
Under 21.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.
Brighton or Draw
75.3%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Brighton + Draw
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Brighton or Brentford
72.8%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Brighton + Brentford
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw or Brentford
51.9%
Avg Implied -
48%
27%
25%
covers Draw + Brentford
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

Home & Away Over/Under

How many goals each side scores on its own, independent of the result. Read off the same scoreline distribution as correct score, so these agree with the match over/under above by construction.
Brighton over/under 0.5
Over
79.9%
Under
20.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5
Over
47.7%
Under
52.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5
Over
21.8%
Under
78.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 3.5
Over
7.9%
Under
92.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5
Over
66.4%
Under
33.6%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5
Over
29.8%
Under
70.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5
Over
9.8%
Under
90.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 3.5
Over
2.5%
Under
97.5%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 7. Handicap

Handicap

The handicap is applied to Brighton, so a minus line means Brighton give that many goals of a start and Brentford receive them. At -1, Brighton must win by two or more to land; a one-goal Brighton win settles as Draw. There is no returned stake - the middle case is its own selection. Taken from the same scoreline distribution as correct score.
Handicap -2 (Brighton)
Brighton -2
10.7%
Draw -2
15.0%
Brentford +2
74.2%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap -1 (Brighton)
Brighton -1
25.8%
Draw -1
22.3%
Brentford +1
51.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +1 (Brighton)
Brighton +1
75.3%
Draw +1
14.8%
Brentford -1
9.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.
Handicap +2 (Brighton)
Brighton +2
90.1%
Draw +2
6.9%
Brentford -2
2.9%
Best 5 market prices
Home
No market prices yet.
Draw
No market prices yet.
Away
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
40-411D10W02L20W00D02L00D40W30W13LA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.2
Avg conceded
0.8
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.730.601.000.430.500.75
vs Stronger (6)0.171.000.501.000.001.00
vs Similar (22)0.820.550.910.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)1.500.003.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %57% (+31pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D02L10W00D11D00D20W31W10WH·EVE11/04H·FUL18/04A·MAN27/04H·WES02/05A·MAN09/05H·CRY17/05A·LIV24/05H·TOT22/08A·BIR25/08A·LEE30/08
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.9
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.770.500.770.460.760.53
vs Stronger (5)0.000.400.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.550.830.500.900.60
vs Weaker (3)1.330.33--1.330.33
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No half-time model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 HT
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D20W11D10W01L01L00D00D10W21WA·TOT18/04H·CHE21/04A·NEW02/05H·WOL09/05A·LEE17/05H·MAN24/05A·TRO20/08H·AST23/08H·TRO27/08A·CHE30/08
Avg total
1.3
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.5
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.530.640.290.620.75
vs Stronger (6)0.500.670.500.000.501.00
vs Similar (22)0.680.550.640.360.730.73
vs Weaker (2)0.500.001.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %53% (+28pp vs league)
This opponent (Brentford) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

BrentfordBrentford

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D00D10W20W03L11D11D10W30W01LH·EVE11/04H·FUL18/04A·MAN27/04H·WES02/05A·MAN09/05H·CRY17/05A·LIV24/05H·TOT22/08A·BIR25/08A·LEE30/08
Avg total
1.7
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.870.630.850.540.880.71
vs Stronger (5)0.401.401.001.000.251.50
vs Similar (22)0.860.550.830.500.900.60
vs Weaker (3)1.670.00--1.670.00
Clean sheet %50% (+24pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
No second-half model prices for this fixture yet - the form above is the record.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 0.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 1.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brentford over/under 2.5 2H
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
Under 7.599.3%-------
Under 6.598.0%-------
Away under 3.5 goals97.5%-------
Under 5.594.4%-------
Home under 3.5 goals92.1%-------
Away under 2.5 goals90.2%-------
Home +2 handicap90.1%-------
Under 4.586.3%-------
Home over 0.5 goals79.9%-------
Home under 2.5 goals78.2%-------
Over 1.576.2%-------
Home or Draw75.3%-------
Home +1 handicap75.3%-------
Away +2 handicap74.2%-------
Home or Away72.8%-------
Under 3.571.5%-------
Away under 1.5 goals70.2%-------

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper50%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Mats Wieffer25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Malick Yalcouyé25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Lewis Dunk33%
Costinha33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Pascal Groß25%
Olivier Boscagli25%
Luka Vušković25%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Diego Gómez25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Diego Gómez50%
Yasin Ayari33%
Maxim De Cuyper25%
Charalampos Kostoulas25%
Lewis Dunk0%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Costinha0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Brentford
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Callum Wilson33%
Mikkel Damsgaard33%
Nathan Collins33%
Vitaly Janelt33%
Aaron Hickey33%
Keane Lewis-Potter33%
Kevin Schade33%
Igor Thiago33%
Michael Kayode33%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Vitaly Janelt67%
Nathan Collins33%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Kevin Schade0%
Igor Thiago0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Michael Kayode0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Mamadou Sangare67%
Keane Lewis-Potter33%
Jaidon Anthony33%
Yehor Yarmoliuk33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Nathan Collins0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Kevin Schade0%
Igor Thiago0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Michael Kayode0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Nathan Collins33%
Kevin Schade33%
Igor Thiago33%
Michael Kayode33%
Callum Wilson0%
Mikkel Damsgaard0%
Vitaly Janelt0%
Aaron Hickey0%
Keane Lewis-Potter0%
Jaidon Anthony0%
Yehor Yarmoliuk0%
Mamadou Sangare0%
Dango Ouattara0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
BOU (31)
€573m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
NFO (28)
€551m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
SUN (30)
€392m
FUL (21)
€329m
IPS (31)
€280m
COV (27)
€237m
HUL (27)
€105m
Brighton's squad is €54m more valuable than Brentford's (€620m vs €565m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
BOU (11)
€285m
NFO (9)
€263m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
FUL (9)
€178m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
SUN (9)
€157m
IPS (11)
€130m
COV (8)
€85m
HUL (7)
€22m
Brighton's attack is €38m less valuable than Brentford's (€190m vs €228m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
SUN (6)
€110m
BOU (6)
€106m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
IPS (7)
€66m
COV (6)
€52m
NFO (4)
€52m
HUL (8)
€31m
FUL (3)
€28m
Brighton's midfield is €52m more valuable than Brentford's (€180m vs €128m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NFO (15)
€236m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
BOU (14)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
SUN (15)
€125m
EVE (10)
€123m
FUL (9)
€123m
COV (13)
€99m
IPS (13)
€85m
HUL (12)
€52m
Brighton's defence is €40m more valuable than Brentford's (€249m vs €209m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

8 previous meetings
3
BHA wins
3
Draws
2
BRE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Brentford · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
21/02/26ABrentford Vs BHA0-2
22/11/25HBHA Vs Brentford2-1
19/04/25ABrentford Vs BHA4-2
27/12/24HBHA Vs Brentford0-0
03/04/24ABrentford Vs BHA0-0
06/12/23HBHA Vs Brentford2-1
01/04/23HBHA Vs Brentford3-3
14/10/22ABrentford Vs BHA2-0

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26AChelsea Vs BHA4-3
27/08/26HBHA Vs Tromso4-0
23/08/26HBHA Vs Aston Villa4-0
20/08/26ATromso Vs BHA0-0
24/05/26HBHA Vs Manchester United0-3
17/05/26ALeeds Vs BHA1-0
09/05/26HBHA Vs Wolves3-0
02/05/26ANewcastle Vs BHA3-1
21/04/26HBHA Vs Chelsea3-0
18/04/26ATottenham Vs BHA2-2

BrentfordBrentford

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
30/08/26ALeeds Vs BRE1-1
25/08/26ABirmingham Vs BRE1-6
22/08/26HBRE Vs Tottenham3-0
24/05/26ALiverpool Vs BRE1-1
17/05/26HBRE Vs Crystal Palace2-2
09/05/26AManchester City Vs BRE3-0
02/05/26HBRE Vs West Ham3-0
27/04/26AManchester United Vs BRE2-1
18/04/26HBRE Vs Fulham0-0
11/04/26HBRE Vs Everton2-2

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 4 Wins / 2 Draws / 4 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLDWWL1.56
HomeWWLWW1.91
AwayDLLDL1.29
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %44%55%36%
AVG goals2.902.862.93
Over 1.5 %84%86%82%
Over 2.5 %56%64%50%
Over 3.5 %28%23%32%
Scored1.721.861.61
Conceded1.181.001.32
BTTS50%55%46%
Clean Sheet32%32%32%
Corners9.749.0910.25
Cards4.003.734.21
Brentford
Brentford
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDDWWD1.50
HomeDDWDW1.64
AwayLLDWD1.39
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %40%41%39%
AVG goals2.882.912.86
Over 1.5 %84%82%86%
Over 2.5 %50%59%43%
Over 3.5 %36%45%29%
Scored1.621.771.50
Conceded1.261.141.36
BTTS52%59%46%
Clean Sheet30%27%32%
Corners9.908.8610.71
Cards3.673.413.89

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City26
100%
3.0
62+4
4.0
100%
100%
50%
9.5
50%
3.0
0%
20.0
50%
1326
6351605313.01.0
60%
2ArsenalArsenal26
100%
3.0
40+4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
8.0
50%
3.0
50%
23.0
100%
1406
6082905082.00.0
56%
3HullHull26
100%
3.0
30+3
1.5
50%
0%
0%
7.5
0%
4.0
50%
19.0
0%
105
2231521.50.0
-
4ChelseaChelsea26
100%
3.0
75+2
6.0
100%
100%
100%
10.5
100%
4.5
100%
18.5
0%
1407
6142785143.52.5
57%
5BrentfordBrentford24
50%
2.0
41+3
2.5
100%
50%
0%
10.5
100%
3.0
50%
24.5
50%
565
2281282092.00.5
47%
6NewcastleNewcastle24
50%
2.0
42+2
3.0
100%
50%
50%
12.0
50%
5.5
50%
27.5
100%
568
2341242102.01.0
52%
7EvertonEverton24
50%
2.0
31+2
2.0
100%
0%
0%
10.5
50%
3.0
50%
22.5
50%
459
1741621231.50.5
44%
8LeedsLeeds24
50%
2.0
21+1
1.5
50%
0%
0%
8.0
50%
3.5
50%
23.5
50%
427
166981631.00.5
46%
9BrightonBrighton23
50%
1.5
74+3
5.5
100%
100%
100%
9.0
50%
5.0
100%
19.5
0%
620
1901802493.52.0
53%
10Manchester UnitedManchester United23
50%
1.5
54+1
4.5
100%
50%
50%
9.5
50%
3.5
50%
19.0
0%
929
4322362612.52.0
52%
11SunderlandSunderland23
50%
1.5
22+0
2.0
50%
50%
0%
7.5
0%
2.5
0%
25.5
100%
392
1571101251.01.0
45%
12IpswichIpswich23
50%
1.5
46-2
5.0
100%
100%
50%
10.0
50%
3.5
50%
22.5
50%
280
13066852.03.0
-
13LiverpoolLiverpool22
0%
1.0
44+0
4.0
100%
100%
100%
8.0
0%
7.0
100%
27.0
100%
980
5182012602.02.0
59%
14Nottingham ForestNottingham Forest21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
4.5
50%
26.0
100%
551
263522361.01.5
46%
15BournemouthBournemouth21
0%
0.5
23-1
2.5
100%
50%
0%
14.0
100%
4.0
50%
23.5
100%
573
2851061821.01.5
50%
16FulhamFulham20
0%
0.0
24-2
3.0
50%
50%
50%
8.5
50%
3.5
50%
22.0
50%
329
178281231.02.0
51%
17CoventryCoventry20
0%
0.0
04-4
2.0
50%
50%
0%
9.0
50%
3.5
50%
21.0
50%
237
8552990.02.0
-
18Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace20
0%
0.0
16-5
3.5
100%
50%
50%
6.0
0%
2.0
0%
19.0
0%
505
229931820.53.0
45%
19Aston VillaAston Villa20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
50%
50%
50%
6.5
0%
5.0
100%
22.0
50%
536
2201601560.02.5
53%
20TottenhamTottenham20
0%
0.0
05-5
2.5
100%
50%
0%
13.0
100%
2.5
0%
27.5
100%
920
2502823880.02.5
50%
England: Premier League 2026/27 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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