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Brighton vs Chelsea Result & Analysis

Date: 18/01/2022
Time: 20:00
Final 1-1
Brighton
Brighton
Vs
30%
33%
37%
■ Home   ■ Draw   ■ Away
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Referee: K Friend
Match preview & prediction

Defensive solidity will shape the match, with Brighton’s home side conceding just 0.64 goals per game and Chelsea’s away side allowing only 0.57. The model favours an away win, giving Chelsea 37% of the win probability, Brighton 30% and a draw 33%. The expected total is 2.1 goals, centring on a 2-goal total with a 28% chance. The single most likely scoreline is 1-1, with a 14.8% probability. Brighton averages 1.09 goals scored at home against similar opposition, while Chelsea scores 2.0 away and concedes 0.57 against similar teams. Suggested picks include Under 25.5 fouls at 95.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 90.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 85.9%, Under 3.5 at 84.1%, Under 21.5 fouls at 79.0%, Under 4.5 cards at 79.0% and Over 9.5 corners at 77.7%. The match is poised for a tight, low-scoring affair.

Results analysis

The 1-1 draw stunned the pre-match favourite, the model’s pick of an away win at 37% that turned out wrong. Brighton’s two-game winning run was halted, while Chelsea’s own streak of two victories continued, yet neither side could break the deadlock. The model’s selection of a 2-goal total, the most likely scoreline 1-1, and the 2.1 expected goals all proved accurate, confirming the match’s low-scoring nature. Every suggested pick hit: Under 25.5 fouls at 95.2%, Under 5.5 cards at 90.0%, Under 23.5 fouls at 89.3%, Over 8.5 corners at 85.9%, Under 3.5 goals at 84.1%, Under 21.5 fouls at 79.0%, Under 4.5 cards at 79.0%, and Over 9.5 corners at 77.7%. The model’s predictions were largely vindicated despite the upset.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Brighton win✗ Miss
30.0%
Avg Implied 17.1% · @ 5.62
Edge
+12.9%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Draw✓ Hit
32.7%
Avg Implied 25.5% · @ 3.77
Edge
+7.2%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.
Chelsea win✗ Miss
37.3%
Avg Implied 57.5% · @ 1.67
Edge
-20.1%
Best 5 market prices
No market prices yet.

⚽ 2. Goal Analysis

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D02L00D11D11D01L20W11D32W11DH·NEW06/11A·AST20/11H·LEE27/11A·WES01/12A·SOU04/12H·WOL15/12H·BRE26/12A·CHE29/12A·EVE02/01H·CRY14/01
Avg total
2.0
Avg scored
1.0
Avg conceded
1.0
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.071.031.200.870.931.20
vs Stronger (5)1.202.001.332.001.002.00
vs Similar (23)1.040.911.090.641.001.17
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %33% (+8pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 – goals for & against
30-311D21W23L32W11D00D31W11D22D01LH·MAN28/11A·WAT01/12A·WES04/12H·LEE11/12H·EVE16/12A·WOL19/12A·AST26/12H·BRI29/12H·LIV02/01A·MAN15/01
Avg total
2.8
Avg scored
1.5
Avg conceded
1.3
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.900.771.930.801.870.73
vs Stronger (3)0.671.000.001.001.001.00
vs Similar (13)1.620.691.170.832.000.57
vs Weaker (14)2.430.792.750.752.000.83
Clean sheet %40% (+14pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

Total goals distribution

7%14%21%28%14%023%128%219%310%44%52%6+
The model estimates around 2.1 goals in this match; the single most likely total is 2 (28%).
Over/Under 1.5Actual: Over
Over 1.5
63.0%
Under 1.5
37.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
34.7%
@ 2.05-12.1%
Under 2.5
65.3%
@ 1.80+12.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
15.9%
Under 3.5
84.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Both teams to scoreActual: Yes
Yes
43.1%
No
56.9%
Best 5 market prices
Yes
No market prices yet.
No
No market prices yet.

Correct score

Top 8 scorelines with probability, best odds and edge (left); the full probability grid (right).
1-1 ✓
14.8%
0-0
13.8%
0-1
12.5%
1-0
10.7%
0-2
7.7%
1-2
7.5%
2-1
6.5%
2-0
5.9%
Brighton goals ↓
Chelsea goals →
01234
014%12%7.7%2.9%0.8%
111%15%7.5%2.8%0.8%
25.9%6.5%3.6%1.4%0.4%
31.9%2.1%1.2%0.4%0.1%
40.5%0.5%0.3%0.1%0.0%
Each cell is the % chance of that exact scoreline. Rows = Brighton goals (down), columns = Chelsea goals (across).

💪 3. Team Strengths Analysis

🏆 Total PPG

Points / game
Manchester City
2.45
Liverpool
2.42
Chelsea
1.95
Tottenham
1.87
Arsenal
1.82
Manchester United
1.53
West Ham
1.47
Leicester
1.37
Brighton
1.34
Wolves
1.34
Newcastle
1.29
Crystal Palace
1.26
Brentford
1.21
Aston Villa
1.18
Southampton
1.05
Everton
1.03
Leeds
1.00
Burnley
0.92
Watford
0.61
Norwich
0.58
Brighton is 0.61 points worse than Chelsea in terms of average points per game (1.34 vs 1.95).

⚔️ Attack

Goals scored / game
Manchester City
2.61
Liverpool
2.47
Chelsea
2.00
Tottenham
1.82
Leicester
1.63
Arsenal
1.61
West Ham
1.58
Manchester United
1.50
Aston Villa
1.37
Crystal Palace
1.32
Brentford
1.26
Newcastle
1.16
Southampton
1.13
Everton
1.13
Brighton
1.11
Leeds
1.11
Wolves
1.00
Watford
0.89
Burnley
0.89
Norwich
0.61
Brighton is 0.89 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals scored per game (1.11 vs 2.00).

🛡️ Defense

Conceded / game · lower better
Liverpool
0.68
Manchester City
0.68
Chelsea
0.87
Tottenham
1.05
Wolves
1.13
Brighton
1.16
Crystal Palace
1.21
Arsenal
1.26
West Ham
1.34
Burnley
1.39
Aston Villa
1.42
Brentford
1.47
Manchester United
1.50
Leicester
1.55
Newcastle
1.63
Everton
1.74
Southampton
1.76
Watford
2.03
Leeds
2.08
Norwich
2.21
Brighton is 0.29 goals worse than Chelsea in terms of goals conceded per game (1.16 vs 0.87).

⏱️ Possession

Avg possession %
Manchester City
68%
Liverpool
63%
Chelsea
62%
Brighton
55%
Arsenal
53%
Manchester United
52%
Tottenham
52%
Leeds
52%
Leicester
52%
Crystal Palace
51%
West Ham
48%
Southampton
47%
Aston Villa
46%
Brentford
44%
Norwich
43%
Watford
41%
Newcastle
40%
Burnley
40%
Everton
39%
Brighton is 7.7 percentage points worse than Chelsea in terms of average possession (55% vs 62%).

🎲 4. Props Analysis

BrightonBrighton

For 5.7 · Against 5.7 · Total 11.4

🚩 Corners

180958810697426596175259131815118147127H·CRYA·EVEA·CHEH·BREH·WOLA·SOUA·WESH·LEEA·ASTH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 1.6 · Against 2.5 · Total 4.1

🟨 Cards

802111413224111333442254262468H·CRYA·EVEA·CHEH·BREH·WOLA·SOUA·WESH·LEEA·ASTH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 11.0 · Against 10.6 · Total 21.6

⚠️ Fouls

270117125714810111412158101214137161018172118252718262026H·CRYA·EVEA·CHEH·BREH·WOLA·SOUA·WESH·LEEA·ASTH·NEW
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

ChelseaChelsea

For 6.7 · Against 4.2 · Total 10.9

🚩 Corners

1801967108529471529161521013187138710617A·MANH·LIVH·BRIA·ASTA·WOLH·EVEH·LEEA·WESA·WATH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 2.2 · Against 2.4 · Total 4.6

🟨 Cards

702124113223253134252354257477A·MANH·LIVH·BRIA·ASTA·WOLH·EVEH·LEEA·WESA·WATH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total
For 10.2 · Against 11.6 · Total 21.8

⚠️ Fouls

34061151314711879111191510101618131417182119162224203427A·MANH·LIVH·BRIA·ASTA·WOLH·EVEH·LEEA·WESA·WATH·MAN
ForAgainstTotal per gameAverage total

BrightonBrighton

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.810.311.33.33.53.119.820.119.4
vs Stronger (9)10.310.010.83.04.01.817.218.016.2
vs Similar (38)10.910.411.43.33.43.320.420.819.9
vs Weaker (3)10.79.011.54.04.04.019.717.021.0
% over line60%56%64%38%36%40%32%44%20%
% under line40%44%36%62%64%60%68%56%80%
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

SplitCornersCardsFouls
TotHmeAwyTotHmeAwyTotHmeAwy
Overall (50)10.611.010.23.43.43.421.321.421.2
vs Stronger (4)10.812.59.03.24.52.020.521.519.5
vs Similar (19)11.712.611.03.43.43.320.820.221.3
vs Weaker (27)9.79.79.83.43.13.721.822.121.5
% over line54%56%52%46%44%48%46%52%40%
% under line46%44%48%54%56%52%54%48%60%
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

🚩 Total Corners

Match total corners / game
Burnley
10.8
Leeds
10.8
Brighton
10.8
Liverpool
10.8
Aston Villa
10.8
Leicester
10.7
Chelsea
10.6
Southampton
10.5
Wolves
10.4
Everton
10.3
Watford
10.3
Manchester City
10.2
Manchester United
10.2
Tottenham
10.2
Norwich
10.0
Arsenal
10.0
Crystal Palace
9.8
Newcastle
9.8
West Ham
9.7
Brentford
8.8

🟨 Total Cards

Match total cards / game
Aston Villa
3.7
Leeds
3.7
Newcastle
3.6
Tottenham
3.6
Watford
3.6
Everton
3.5
Wolves
3.5
Chelsea
3.4
Manchester United
3.4
Southampton
3.3
Brighton
3.3
Norwich
3.3
Arsenal
3.3
Brentford
3.2
Crystal Palace
3.1
Manchester City
3.0
Leicester
2.9
Liverpool
2.8
West Ham
2.7
Burnley
2.5

⚠️ Total Fouls

Match total fouls / game
Aston Villa
25.2
Watford
24.8
Brentford
24.5
Tottenham
23.5
Norwich
23.1
Crystal Palace
23.0
Leeds
22.6
Southampton
22.1
Leicester
21.7
Chelsea
21.3
Wolves
21.3
Manchester United
21.0
Newcastle
20.7
Everton
20.1
Brighton
19.8
Burnley
19.4
Arsenal
19.3
Liverpool
18.9
Manchester City
18.5
West Ham
18.2
Corners O/U 9.5Actual: Over
Over 9.5
77.7%
Under 9.5
22.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cards O/U 3.5Actual: Under
Over 3.5
38.6%
Under 3.5
61.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fouls O/U 21.5Actual: Under
Over 21.5
21.0%
Under 21.5
79.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔀 5. Double Chance

Double Chance

Two of the three results in one selection. The probability is the sum of those outcomes from the model above, so any edge here is the market pricing the combination out of line with its own 1X2.

🥅 6. Home & Away Over/Under

⚖️ 7. Handicap

⏱️ 8. Half Time Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-210W00D00D01L01L01L20W01L20W00DH·NEW06/11A·AST20/11H·LEE27/11A·WES01/12A·SOU04/12H·WOL15/12H·BRE26/12A·CHE29/12A·EVE02/01H·CRY14/01
Avg total
0.9
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.4
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.430.470.530.400.330.53
vs Stronger (5)0.201.200.001.330.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.430.350.550.180.330.50
vs Weaker (2)1.000.002.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %63% (+38pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Half Time · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-200D11D21W11D00D00D11D10W22D00DH·MAN28/11A·WAT01/12A·WES04/12H·LEE11/12H·EVE16/12A·WOL19/12A·AST26/12H·BRI29/12H·LIV02/01A·MAN15/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.8
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.900.330.870.270.930.40
vs Stronger (3)0.000.330.000.000.000.50
vs Similar (13)0.690.460.670.500.710.43
vs Weaker (14)1.290.211.120.121.500.33
Clean sheet %70% (+44pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Half Time Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Half Time Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 9. Half Time Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the first half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's half-time goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the half-time match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 HTActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 HTActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 10. Second Half Goals O/U

BrightonBrighton

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-201L02L00D10W10W00D00D10W12L11DH·NEW06/11A·AST20/11H·LEE27/11A·WES01/12A·SOU04/12H·WOL15/12H·BRE26/12A·CHE29/12A·EVE02/01H·CRY14/01
Avg total
1.1
Avg scored
0.5
Avg conceded
0.6
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game0.630.570.670.470.600.67
vs Stronger (5)1.000.801.330.670.501.00
vs Similar (23)0.610.570.550.450.670.67
vs Weaker (2)0.000.000.000.000.000.00
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Chelsea) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.

ChelseaChelsea

Second Half · Last 10 – goals for & against
20-211D10W02L21W11D00D20W01L00D01LH·MAN28/11A·WAT01/12A·WES04/12H·LEE11/12H·EVE16/12A·WOL19/12A·AST26/12H·BRI29/12H·LIV02/01A·MAN15/01
Avg total
1.4
Avg scored
0.7
Avg conceded
0.7
SplitTotal
Scored
Total
Conceded
Home
Scored
Home
Conceded
Away
Scored
Away
Conceded
Avg goals/game1.000.431.070.530.930.33
vs Stronger (3)0.670.670.001.001.000.50
vs Similar (13)0.920.230.500.331.290.14
vs Weaker (14)1.140.571.620.620.500.50
Clean sheet %60% (+34pp vs league)
This opponent (Brighton) is Similar. The matching ‘vs’ row is the one to weigh.
Second Half Over/Under 0.5Actual: Over
Over 0.5
0.0%
Under 0.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 1.5Actual: Under
Over 1.5
0.0%
Under 1.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Second Half Over/Under 2.5Actual: Under
Over 2.5
0.0%
Under 2.5
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🥅 11. Second Half Home & Away O/U

How many goals each side scores in the second half on its own. Each line is modelled directly from that team's second-half goals rather than read off a scoreline grid, so unlike the full-time version the two sides need not sum exactly to the second-half match total.
Brighton over/under 0.5 2HActual: Over
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Brighton over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 0.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 1.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Chelsea over/under 2.5 2HActual: Under
Over
0.0%
Under
0.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

🔥 12. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ordered by probability. Use Min odds to match the prices you want: slide down for near-certainties at short prices, up for longer prices. Unpriced picks are ranked on the model's fair odds. Edge defaults to Yes, showing only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them; switch to All to include the rest, and picks we hold no price for. The five columns are the best market prices (highest first) for each pick; edge is vs the average. Result grades each pick against the final score.
Min odds1.20
Edge
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5EdgeResult
Under 25.5 fouls95.2%-------✓ Hit
Under 5.5 cards90.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 23.5 fouls89.3%-------✓ Hit
Over 8.5 corners85.9%-------✓ Hit
Under 3.584.1%-------✓ Hit
Under 21.5 fouls79.0%-------✓ Hit
Under 4.5 cards79.0%-------✓ Hit
Over 9.5 corners77.7%-------✓ Hit

🎽 13. Player market rates

Brighton · 2026/27
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
Maxim De Cuyper67%
Olivier Boscagli33%
Mats Wieffer33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Pascal Groß33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Luka Vušković33%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Maxim De Cuyper0%
Diego Gómez0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Charalampos Kostoulas0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Maxim De Cuyper33%
Diego Gómez33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Yasin Ayari0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Maxim De Cuyper33%
Yasin Ayari33%
Diego Gómez33%
Charalampos Kostoulas33%
Pascal Groß0%
Olivier Boscagli0%
Mats Wieffer0%
Bart Verbruggen0%
Ibrahim Osman0%
Luka Vušković0%
Malick Yalcouyé0%
Zadok Yohanna0%
Chelsea · 2025/26
Anytime goalscorer
Matches in which the player scored
João Pedro35%
Enzo Fernández28%
Cole Palmer27%
Tyrique George27%
Estêvão Willian23%
Pedro Neto15%
Marc Guiu15%
Alejandro Garnacho14%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Moisés Caicedo10%
Andrey Santos7%
Tosin Adarabioyo7%
Josh Acheampong7%
Trevoh Chalobah7%
Malo Gusto6%
Jorrel Hato6%
Reece James5%
Liam Delap5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Marc Cucurella2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Dário Essugo0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
To be booked (yellow)
Matches in which the player was booked
Dário Essugo40%
Moisés Caicedo33%
Tyrique George27%
Enzo Fernández26%
Benoît Badiashile25%
Marc Cucurella24%
Wesley Fofana22%
Jorrel Hato20%
Estêvão Willian20%
Andrey Santos19%
Cole Palmer18%
Mamadou Sarr17%
Reece James13%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
João Pedro12%
Pedro Neto12%
Malo Gusto10%
Tosin Adarabioyo10%
Trevoh Chalobah9%
Filip Jørgensen8%
Marc Guiu8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Robert Sánchez6%
Roméo Lavia5%
Jamie Gittens4%
Josh Acheampong3%
Levi Colwill0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Jesse Derry0%
Anytime assist
Matches in which the player assisted
Facundo Buonanotte25%
Dário Essugo20%
Pedro Neto19%
Reece James15%
Marc Guiu15%
Jamie Gittens15%
Enzo Fernández13%
Malo Gusto10%
João Pedro10%
Andrey Santos10%
Tyrique George9%
Estêvão Willian9%
Marc Cucurella8%
Alejandro Garnacho7%
Cole Palmer6%
Wesley Fofana5%
Jorrel Hato3%
Liam Delap2%
Robert Sánchez2%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Levi Colwill0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Jesse Derry0%
Over 2.5 shots
Matches with 3+ shots taken
Alejandro Garnacho19%
João Pedro18%
Cole Palmer18%
Enzo Fernández15%
Liam Delap12%
Facundo Buonanotte12%
Estêvão Willian11%
Pedro Neto8%
Jamie Gittens4%
Reece James3%
Moisés Caicedo2%
Benoît Badiashile0%
Robert Sánchez0%
Tosin Adarabioyo0%
Trevoh Chalobah0%
Wesley Fofana0%
Marc Cucurella0%
Levi Colwill0%
Malo Gusto0%
Mamadou Sarr0%
Roméo Lavia0%
Filip Jørgensen0%
Andrey Santos0%
Dário Essugo0%
Tyrique George0%
Jorrel Hato0%
Shumaira Mheuka0%
Josh Acheampong0%
Marc Guiu0%
Jesse Derry0%
Players with at least 3 appearances, top 10 per market – scroll each card for the rest. These are shares of matches played, which is how these markets settle, not per-90 rates.

💰 14. Squad value

💰 Total value

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
CHE (39)
€1407m
ARS (29)
€1406m
MC (27)
€1326m
LIV (29)
€980m
MU (30)
€929m
TOT (36)
€920m
BHA (30)
€620m
NEW (25)
€568m
BRE (32)
€565m
AVL (27)
€536m
CRY (29)
€505m
EVE (24)
€459m
LEE (27)
€427m
WHU (24)
€274m
WOL (31)
€273m
SOU (30)
€205m
BUR (28)
€115m
NOR (34)
€107m
WAT (22)
€88m
LEI (22)
€69m
Brighton's squad is €787m less valuable than Chelsea's (€620m vs €1407m).

⚔️ Attack

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (9)
€635m
CHE (13)
€614m
ARS (13)
€608m
LIV (9)
€518m
MU (11)
€432m
TOT (12)
€250m
NEW (7)
€234m
CRY (11)
€229m
BRE (10)
€228m
AVL (10)
€220m
BHA (9)
€190m
EVE (7)
€174m
LEE (11)
€166m
WHU (7)
€84m
WOL (11)
€79m
SOU (10)
€72m
BUR (14)
€70m
NOR (10)
€46m
WAT (6)
€28m
LEI (7)
€20m
Brighton's attack is €424m less valuable than Chelsea's (€190m vs €614m).

🧠 Midfield

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
ARS (4)
€290m
TOT (7)
€282m
CHE (6)
€278m
MU (7)
€236m
LIV (6)
€201m
BHA (7)
€180m
EVE (7)
€162m
MC (3)
€160m
AVL (6)
€160m
BRE (7)
€128m
NEW (6)
€124m
LEE (5)
€98m
CRY (5)
€93m
WOL (6)
€79m
SOU (5)
€53m
WHU (5)
€48m
WAT (6)
€38m
NOR (11)
€31m
LEI (4)
€13m
BUR (3)
€8m
Brighton's midfield is €98m less valuable than Chelsea's (€180m vs €278m).

🛡️ Defence

Squad value (€m) · (players with data)
MC (15)
€531m
CHE (20)
€514m
ARS (12)
€508m
TOT (17)
€388m
MU (12)
€261m
LIV (14)
€260m
BHA (14)
€249m
NEW (12)
€210m
BRE (15)
€209m
CRY (13)
€182m
LEE (11)
€163m
AVL (11)
€156m
WHU (12)
€141m
EVE (10)
€123m
WOL (14)
€116m
SOU (15)
€79m
BUR (11)
€37m
LEI (11)
€36m
NOR (13)
€29m
WAT (10)
€22m
Brighton's defence is €266m less valuable than Chelsea's (€249m vs €514m).

🤝 15. Games History

H2H record

3 previous meetings
0
BHA wins
2
Draws
1
CHE wins
Full head-to-head record ↗

Head-to-head

Brighton vs Chelsea · H/A from BHA
DateH/AGameScore
29/12/21AChelsea Vs BHA1-1
20/04/21AChelsea Vs BHA0-0
14/09/20HBHA Vs Chelsea1-3

BrightonBrighton

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
14/01/22HBHA Vs Crystal Palace1-1
02/01/22AEverton Vs BHA2-3
29/12/21AChelsea Vs BHA1-1
26/12/21HBHA Vs Brentford2-0
15/12/21HBHA Vs Wolves0-1
04/12/21ASouthampton Vs BHA1-1
01/12/21AWest Ham Vs BHA1-1
27/11/21HBHA Vs Leeds0-0
20/11/21AAston Villa Vs BHA2-0
06/11/21HBHA Vs Newcastle1-1

ChelseaChelsea

Last 10 games · H/A coloured by result
DateH/AGameScore
15/01/22AManchester City Vs CHE1-0
02/01/22HCHE Vs Liverpool2-2
29/12/21HCHE Vs Brighton1-1
26/12/21AAston Villa Vs CHE1-3
19/12/21AWolves Vs CHE0-0
16/12/21HCHE Vs Everton1-1
11/12/21HCHE Vs Leeds3-2
04/12/21AWest Ham Vs CHE3-2
01/12/21AWatford Vs CHE1-2
28/11/21HCHE Vs Manchester United1-1

📊 16. Overall Statistics

Brighton
Brighton
England: Premier League
Recent: 2 Wins / 6 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallLWDWD1.26
HomeDDLWD1.28
AwayLDDDW1.24
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %28%28%28%
AVG goals2.062.082.04
Over 1.5 %66%68%64%
Over 2.5 %34%32%36%
Over 3.5 %12%12%12%
Scored1.001.080.92
Conceded1.061.001.12
BTTS50%48%52%
Clean Sheet32%40%24%
Corners10.8010.2811.32
Cards3.303.523.08
Chelsea
Chelsea
England: Premier League
Recent: 3 Wins / 5 Draws / 2 Losses
FormResultsPPG
OverallDWDDL1.82
HomeDWDDD1.80
AwayWLDWL1.84
StatsOverallHomeAway
Win %52%48%56%
AVG goals2.482.682.28
Over 1.5 %72%80%64%
Over 2.5 %46%44%48%
Over 3.5 %22%28%16%
Scored1.621.801.44
Conceded0.860.880.84
BTTS46%48%44%
Clean Sheet44%44%44%
Corners10.5810.9610.20
Cards3.383.363.40

🏆 17. League Table

RecordGoalsProps / gameSquad value €mStrengths
RankTeamMPPtsWin%PPGGFGAGDG/GO1.5O2.5O3.5CorCor O%CrdCrd O%FlsFls O%TotAttMidDefAtt/gDef/gPoss%
1Manchester CityManchester City3893
76%
2.4
9926+73
3.3
76%
61%
47%
11.2
63%
2.9
32%
17.4
13%
1326
6351605312.60.7
68%
2LiverpoolLiverpool3892
74%
2.4
9426+68
3.2
84%
63%
47%
10.6
66%
3.1
39%
17.7
24%
980
5182012602.50.7
63%
3ChelseaChelsea3874
55%
1.9
7633+43
2.9
79%
53%
32%
10.4
53%
3.6
50%
21.4
42%
1407
6142785142.00.9
62%
4TottenhamTottenham3871
58%
1.9
6940+29
2.9
74%
58%
37%
10.2
63%
3.9
55%
21.0
45%
920
2502823881.81.1
52%
5ArsenalArsenal3869
58%
1.8
6148+13
2.9
79%
58%
32%
10.1
55%
3.5
39%
19.4
29%
1406
6082905081.61.3
53%
6Manchester UnitedManchester United3858
42%
1.5
5757+0
3.0
76%
50%
42%
10.7
68%
3.3
45%
19.2
32%
929
4322362611.51.5
52%
7West HamWest Ham3856
42%
1.5
6051+9
2.9
74%
58%
39%
10.3
63%
2.6
29%
16.2
13%
274
84481411.61.3
48%
8LeicesterLeicester3852
37%
1.4
6259+3
3.2
87%
63%
34%
10.7
58%
3.0
32%
20.0
29%
69
2013361.61.6
52%
9BrightonBrighton3851
32%
1.3
4244-2
2.3
82%
34%
16%
10.9
61%
4.0
55%
20.1
37%
620
1901802491.11.2
55%
10WolvesWolves3851
39%
1.3
3843-5
2.1
55%
37%
18%
9.8
53%
3.9
58%
18.9
29%
273
79791161.01.1
-
11NewcastleNewcastle3849
34%
1.3
4462-18
2.8
79%
47%
29%
9.2
50%
4.2
66%
20.3
37%
568
2341242101.21.6
40%
12Crystal PalaceCrystal Palace3848
29%
1.3
5046+4
2.5
74%
50%
26%
9.5
50%
3.7
55%
24.1
79%
505
229931821.31.2
51%
13BrentfordBrentford3846
34%
1.2
4856-8
2.7
82%
58%
24%
10.3
58%
3.1
45%
19.7
26%
565
2281282091.31.5
44%
14Aston VillaAston Villa3845
34%
1.2
5254-2
2.8
79%
58%
29%
11.0
61%
4.3
66%
24.0
66%
536
2201601561.41.4
46%
15SouthamptonSouthampton3840
24%
1.1
4367-24
2.9
82%
58%
39%
11.3
68%
3.3
53%
20.5
34%
205
7253791.11.8
47%
16EvertonEverton3839
29%
1.0
4366-23
2.9
74%
55%
34%
10.0
47%
4.0
55%
20.2
39%
459
1741621231.11.7
39%
17LeedsLeeds3838
24%
1.0
4279-37
3.2
82%
66%
37%
9.3
37%
4.6
68%
22.5
50%
427
166981631.12.1
52%
18BurnleyBurnley3835
18%
0.9
3453-19
2.3
71%
37%
26%
11.6
74%
3.0
34%
19.3
34%
115
708370.91.4
40%
19WatfordWatford3823
16%
0.6
3477-43
2.9
71%
55%
34%
10.4
66%
3.2
42%
21.1
50%
88
2838220.92.0
41%
20NorwichNorwich3822
13%
0.6
2384-61
2.8
84%
61%
29%
11.0
66%
3.1
34%
21.0
39%
107
4631290.62.2
43%
England: Premier League 2021/22 full table · click any column header to sort (click again to reverse). In-cell bars are scaled within each column; scroll right for props, squad value and strengths. Highlighted teams are this fixture's sides. Full England: Premier League stats & trends →

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